POLICY BACKGROUND
AN ANALYSIS OF
THE US MIDEAST PEACE PLAN
EMBASSY OF ISRAEL
WASHINGTON, D,C.
December 24, 1969
AN ANALYSIS OF
THE US MIDEAST PEACE PLAN
1. The Press this week published reports of a set of US
formulations submitted December 18 to the Four Power confer-
ence, dealing with an Israeli-Jordanian settlement. This
follows the new formulations submitted by the US on October
28 to the USSR, Egypt and certain other governments, detailing
a proposed Israeli-Egyptian settlement. Both documents have
only recently been brought to the attention of the Israel
Government.
2. The Negotiation Principle
An analysis of their content shows them to be specific,
detailed and comprehensive, covering every substantive aspect
of a settlement. Left to the parties to hammer out between
themselves in a so-called "Rhodes-type" negotiation under
Ambassador Jarring are peripheral and technical questions. This
is an abrupt reversal of the principle that US policy has
hitherto proclaimed, namely the need for the parties them-
selves to negotiate their differences so as to guarantee a true
and lasting peace.
3. This tenet was repeatedly and publicly acknowledged as
essential for peace. It was emphasized by President Johnson
in an address on June 19, 1967: "Clearly," he said, "the
parties to the conflict must be the parties to the peace... It
is hard to see how it is possible for nations to live together
in peace if they cannot learn to reason together," President
Nixon endorsed this view in his address to the UN General
Assembly on September 18 when he said: "A peace to be lasting
must leave no seeds of a future war. It must rest on a
settlement which both sides have a vested interest in main-
taining... We are equally convinced that peace cannot be
achieved oh the basis of anything less than a binding, irrevoc-
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able commitment by the parties to live together in peace."
Secretary Rogers gave voice to the principle in his statement
to the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, March 27, 1969,
declaring: "His (Jarring's) mission is to promote agreement--
and this can only mean agreement between the parties.
US policy as unfolding now comes close to the advocacy
and development of an imposed settlement. While this may not
be deliberate, the mechanics and dynamics are moving in that
direction.
4. The Acid Test of Negotiation
Israel will resist this. It remains adamant in the
view that a lasting peace is feasible only if the Arab Govern-
ments show a readiness to negotiate their differences with
Israel and agree to open a new era of true reconciliation.
Conversely, so long as Arab representatives persist in avoiding
any and every contact with representatives of Israel, they
demonstrate thereby, their intention not to resolve the dis-
pute but to perpetuate it for renewed assault upon the life
and limb of the Israeli people. There can be no two ways
about this. If there is to be peace there has to be re-
conciliation. If there is to be reconciliation there has to be
negotiation. There is no instance in history of a resolution
of a dispute between states except by the normal, universal,
international practice of sitting down and hammering out the
differences.
Do the Arabs wish to make peace or not? After 21 years
of Arab animosity and the violation of every accepted rule of
international conduct, Israel is entitled to ask its neighbors
to submit to this elementary acid test of their true intentions
before it commits itself to any change in the present status-
quo. There is no mere technicality, nor is it just a matter'of
POLICY BACKGROUND
procedure. Everything that has happened over the past 21 years
affirms the legitimacy of this one precondition Israel makes.
It is upheld by the disastrous lessons of 1957. The Arabs
then were not required to negotiate and enter into a direct
peace commitment with Israel. A political settlement, con-
ceived by the United States, was imposed upon Israel. That
settlement did not eradicate the roots of the Israel-Arab con-
flict. It left them intact for the war of 1967.
5. The Implications of Detailing a Settlement
By addressing themselves in detail to matters of sub-
stance, the US proposals do more than to undermine the
principle of negotiation; they pre-empt its very prospect. For
there can be little meaningful left for the parties to
negotiate once outside powers virtually decide on each and
every item for solution. Certainly, the Arabs are not going
to give an inch on anything that has already been decided upon
in their favor by the Powers.
Above all, by pre-ordaining what amounts to a total
Israeli withdrawal, the United States squanders away the one
major card Israel possesses (the occupied territories) that
might conceivably bring the Arabs to the negotiating table to
talk peace. Israel will not again surrender this crucial bar-
gaining factor as it did in 1957 to its own peril in 1967.
6. Analysis of Formulations
An analysis of the actual US formulations as given in
the Press shows how inimical they are to vital interests of
Israel unwittingly though this be
.-ithdrawal
The New York Times, December 22, states that with respect
to an Israeli-Jordanian settlement the American plan lays
down:
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POLICY BACKGROUND
"The parties would determine procedures and a time-
table with the use of a map, for the withdrawal of
Israeli troops from substantially all of Jordan's
west bank, occupied in the June, 1967 war."
A similar demand is made of Israel in the October 28 US
proposals with respect to -the old frontier with Egypt.
Israel is adamantly opposed to this approach, not be-
cause it covets Arab territory which it does not, but because
the US plan ignores fundamental security realities.
Israel's view on the border question is governe.d.by the
single yardstick of security. Israel seeks secure geographic
boundaries, not territorial aggrandizement. Three times the
Arabs have physically assaulted the old boundaries in their
attempt to destroy Israel. The former armistice lines that
twisted and turned in total geographic irrationality were of
themselveos-.a temptation for aggression. They demonstrated
Israel's acute vulnerability, with every major population
center exposed to the range of Arab guns and to lightening air
strike, Israel would have been content with the old frontiers
had they not been rendered inviable by the Arabs' own actions.
What Israel asks and is resolved to obtain is a reasonable
margin of security that it has not had so far. It insists up-
on essential corrections of the old defunct armistice lines
and their replacement by secure and recognized boundaries.
Security must, in the first instance, rest on geography. It
can never be a function merely of arrangements. The Middle
East is the graveyard of every conceivable kind of inter-
national security arrangement from the tripartite guarantee
of 1950 (by the US, Britain and France which failed to prevent
the war of 1956 and was discarded in May of 1967) through
the impotent international security guarantees of 1957 (which
collapsed overnight when Nasser, ten years after, declared
himself ready for war). The proposal mooted now to make the
USSR party to guarantees can hardly be expected to be con-
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.POLICY BACKGROUND
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DECEMBER 24, 1969
ducive to the peace of the area and certainly not to the
security of Israel.
5. Refugees
On the refugee question, the US document of December 18
is, in a sense, the most disturbing. The New York Times reports:
"Under the American guidelines, Arab refugees
from the 1948 Palestine war would be given the
choice of repatriation to Israel or resettlement
in Arab countries with compensation from Israel.
It would be up to Israeli and Jordanian negotiators
to agree on the number of refugees to be permitted
repatriation annually, but the American paper
specifies that the first refugees should arrive
in Israel no more than three months after con-
clusion of a negotiated settlement."
Taken together with the demand for Israeli withdrawal,
the above proposal, if acted upon, would initiate the realiza-
tion of President Nasser's doctrine of "Land and People."
This doctrine is the core of what has been termed the two-
phase strategy for Israel's elimination. Phase one is to
compel an Israel retreat back to the June 4, 1967 armistice
lines and thereby retrieve the strategic bridgeheads pointing to
the heart of Israel, ("Land"). Phase two is the systematic
introduction into Israel of the Arab refugees, thus dismem-
bering Israel from within by injecting into its bloodstream a
hostile element of maximum size ("People"). These two objectives
are what the Arabs mean by a "political settlement." The US
proposal inevitably must serve to encourage them as to its
feasability.
It needs little imagination to comprehend the kind of
pressures Arab Governments will exert upon the refugees compel-
ling them to demand admission into Israel, not to speak of the
pressures that will be put on Israel to take them in. Indeed,
by the US plan, Israel's hands are substantially tied from
the outset. There is to be a timetable for repatriation;
POLICY BACKGROUND
Israel has to undertake to accept the first quota within
three months after.the conclusion of a political settlement
with Jordan; Israel's sovereignty is subordinated to an
international commission that is to supervise selection and
classification; and, by the conditions of the operation, the
Arab Governments have the instrument to blackmail their total
accord with Israel on every point. For it is suggested that
all aspects of the political settlement be implemented be-
fore the completion of the refugee repatriation, since this
is to take years to complete. Hence, following the Israeli
withdrawal, the Arabs can veto whatever obligations they
might have made on the pretext that Israel has refused entry
to a group of refugees, whatever their number.
Rather than resolve the refugee problem, the present
plan will only serve to exacerbate and perpetuate it. Were
Israel to accept the scheme, the date of the first Arab in-
flux would probably go down in hist-ory as the beginning of
the dismemberment of the Jewish State. Israel rejects it be-
cause it won't sign its own death warrant.
6. Jerusalem
With regard to Jerusalem, the New York Times explains
the US proposal as follows:
"Israel and Jordan together would settle the
problem of ultimate control over Jerusalem,
recognizing that the city should be unified,
with free traffic through all parts of it,
and with both countries sharing in civic and
economic responsibilities of city government."
What appears to be envisaged is some sort of condominium
in which Jordanian rule would be established alongside the
Israeli. The role of Jordan would not even be restricted to
theeastern sector it conquered in 1948, but would now be
expected to embrace the whole of the city on a share and
DECEMBER 24, 1969
POLICY BACKGROUND
share alike basis with Israel. Thus Israel's future status
in its own capital is to be even less than it was before
1967. This is really a preposterous notion,
Jordan never had any sovereign rights in Jerusalem.
Its occupation of the eastern sector for 19 years was that
of an aggressor. Twice in two decades, in 1948 and 1967,
it unleashed unprovoked war against Jerusalem. In the area
it captured by force, Jordan literally eradicated every trace
of Jewish existence. It destroyed every ancient synagogue
and every house of learning. It destroyed Jewry's most
revered historic cemetery and banned Jewry's access to the
holiest of its shrines. Under its rule, freedom of worship
was selective and discriminatory. Jewish access was barred
entirely in defiance of Jordan's obligations under the
armistice.
There can be no justice or logic in restoring a
Jordanian administration of whatever sort over a city which,
in living memory and before, has always known a Jewish maj-
ority and where, today, for the first time, there exists by
law, freedom of worship and access for all.
7. The Substance of Peace
The US documents do contain language about peace and
non-belligerency. The New York Times quotes:
"Each country will accept the obligations of a
state of peace between them, including the
prohibition of any acts of violence from its
territory against the other."
These words, however, appear meaningless when measured against
the full contents of the documents (December 18 and October
28). Nothing is said about recognizing Israel politically or
its sovereign statehood. The need to establish secure and
agreed boundaries is ignored. Israel is required to surrender
sovereign rights over its capital. It is asked to prejudice
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POLICY BACKGROUND
its security and sovereignty with respect to the refugees.
The principle of direct negotiations is jettisoned. The
aim of lasting peace is reduced to "a state of peace."
And in place of peace agreements "final accords" are pro-
posed. These are not matters of semantics. They are
expressions and measures that distinguish a negotiated peace
settlement from a political arrangement conceived and
imposed by third parties.
8. The Four Power Process
The US proposals are now to be debated in the Four
Power talks. Conceivably, America, will have to take into
consideration the views and suggestions put forth by the
Soviet Union which openly proclaims itself to be Israel's
enemy and the advocate of the Arabs; by France whose position
dovetails that of USSR, which deprives Israel of the arms
it contracted to deliver and which it now seeks to peddle in
Arab capitals; and by Britain which has joined in competing
for Arab favor by imposing a partial embargo of its own on
Israel, reneging on the agreement to sell Israel the very
kind of tanks it now seeks to market in the Arab countries.
The Four Powers, having reduced the proposals to
their lowest common denominator, will then presumably place
them before the Arabs and the Israelis for approval. It is
not difficult to imagine the emasculation they would have
undergone by that time, the strengthened pro-Arab terms
they will by then contain, and the concerted pressures to
which a politically defenseless Israel will then be subjected.
Here, in short, are all the components of an imposed solution
emanating out of a formula which is tantamount to an un-
witting prescription for the disintegration of Israel.
9. The Arab Governments cannot but take courage from
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the US stand, viewing as they must the concessions as a gesture
of appeasement and as a license for further diplomatic and
military escalation against Israel.
The Soviet Union, consonant with the diplomatic history
of the past 10 months, has predictably rejected the US proposals
of October 28 dealing with Israel and Egypt. It will also,
predictably, press in the Four Power talks, for drastic pro-
Arab modification of the December 18 US plan with respect to
Jordan. Indeed, the Soviet Union can now step forth as the new
champion of Jordan, reaping for itself propaganda and political
fruits not available before, For this is Soviet tactic, as it
is that of every totalitarian regime to respond to each con-
cession extorted; with a demand for more.
10. US-Israel Friendship
As for Israel, it grieves the fact that the US found it
necessary to propose a plan which, with all its good intent for
peace, is actually retrogressive to peace. It grieves the mis-
understanding that has developed between the two Governments, be-
cause Israel cherishes United States friendshipr.ooted as it is
in common ideals and a common aspiration for peace. But it has
to be made clear that Israel cannot place its very future in
jeopardy by agreeing to proposals, even those of its greatest
friend, that enshrine elements disastrous to its vital in-
terests. As stated by Prime Minister Golda Meir in a New York
Times interview, December 22:
"Israel won't accept this (the US plan). We're not
going to commit suicide. We didn't survive three wars
in order to commit suicide so that the Russians can
celebrate victory for Nasser. That isn't what we're
here for and what thousands have died for. Nobody in
the world can make us accept it. What can happen is
that life can be made difficult for us."
So it can, and the ones to benefit, ultimately, will be
those who obstruct peace, who seek to evict every vestige of
western influence from the area, and who are bent on destroying
the regions only democracy.
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