Front Cover
Front Cover
Title Page
Title Page
Foreword
Page i
Executive summary
Page ii
Page iii
Page iv
Page v
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Table of Contents
Page vii
Page viii
Page ix
List of Tables
Page x
Page xi
Page xii
Page xiii
List of Figures
Page xiv
List of abbreviated terms and acronyms
Page xv
Page xvi
Chapter I: Overview
Page 1
The food production record and its implication
Page 1
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Background on the food balance in sub-Saharan Africa
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Conceptual framework
Page 29
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Organization
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Chapter II: Food demand in sub-Saharan Africa
Page 41
The structure of demand
Page 41
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Population
Page 43
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Tastes and preferences
Page 45
Income
Page 45
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Prices
Page 48
Unmet nutritional needs
Page 48
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Regional consumption patterns and retail policies
Page 51
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Sahel
Page 54
Consumption patters
Page 54
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Retail policies
Page 56
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West Africa
Page 58
Consumption patterns
Page 58
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Retail policies
Page 60
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Central Africa
Page 63
Consumption patterns
Page 63
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Retail policies
Page 66
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East Africa
Page 68
Consumption Patterns
Page 68
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Retail policies
Page 70
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Southern Africa
Page 72
Consumption patterns
Page 72
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Retail policies
Page 74
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Chapter III: Food supply in sub-Saharan Africa
Page 78
Introduction
Page 78
Environment and resources
Page 78
Africa ecosystems
Page 78
Climate
Page 78
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Soils
Page 83
Page 84
Resources
Page 85
Land
Page 85
Labor
Page 86
Capital
Page 86
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Structure of food production
Page 93
Land use systems
Page 94
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Socioeconomic organization
Page 96
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Land tenure
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Labor
Page 106
Risk-bearing
Page 106
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The production potential
Page 108
Additional available resources
Page 109
Land
Page 109
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Irrigable land
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Mixed cropping
Page 119
Labor
Page 120
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Technological change
Page 123
Crop technology
Page 124
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Mechanical technology
Page 139
Storage technology
Page 140
Processing technology
Page 141
Other inputs
Page 141
Fertilizer
Page 141
Pesticides
Page 142
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Herbicides
Page 144
Training and extension
Page 144
Reasons for absence of green revolution
Page 145
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Production relationships and implications for increasing food supply
Page 148
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Rethinking research methodology
Page 155
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Estimates of potential
Page 160
Absolute physical limit to production (MOIRA)
Page 160
The food gap as a projection of present trends
Page 161
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Chapter IV: Policies affecting food supply
Page 169
Introduction
Page 169
Page 170
Policies affecting farmers' incentives
Page 171
Benefits
Page 171
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Costs
Page 174
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Marketing policies
Page 176
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Trade policies
Page 178
Constraints
Page 179
Financial limitations
Page 179
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Managerial skills and information systems
Page 181
Regional analysis
Page 181
Sahel
Page 181
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Food production record
Page 183
Food and agricultural policies
Page 184
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West Africa
Page 205
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Food production record
Page 207
Food and agricultural policies
Page 208
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Central Africa
Page 231
Food production record
Page 232
Food and agricultural policies
Page 233
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East Africa
Page 244
Food production record
Page 244
Food and agricultural policies
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Southern Africa
Page 264
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Ties to South Africa
Page 268
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Food production record
Page 270
Food and agricultural policies
Page 271
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Chapter V: Model, projections, and scenarios
Page 294
Introduction
Page 294
Model description
Page 295
Equations
Page 295
Supply
Page 295
Demand
Page 295
Description of the variables
Page 296
Area harvested
Page 297
Price
Page 297
Risk
Page 297
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Yield
Page 299
Consumption
Page 300
Price
Page 300
Income
Page 300
Data sources and method of estimation
Page 300
Model results
Page 301
Production and consumption dynamics
Page 301
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Import demand and food needs
Page 305
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Scenarios
Page 316
Scenario 1
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Scenario 2
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Scenario 3
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Scenario 4
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Scenario 5
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Scenario 6
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Scenario 7
Page 346
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Scenario 8
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Comparing results
Page 350
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Chapter VI: Conclusions
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Appendices
Page 369
A. Key to the climatic map of Africa
Page 370
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B. Technical terms of maize breeding
Page 372
C. Projections
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Appendix tables
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Reference
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