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Front cover Abstract Page i Acknowledgements Page i Table of Contents Page ii Page iii Main Page 1 Page 2 Page 3 Page 4 Page 5 Page 6 Page 7 Page 8 Page 9 Page 10 Reference Page 11 |
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22 4P *^j A zz^13~ Economic Information Report 226 Budgeting Costs and Returns: Indian River Citrus Production, 1985-86 Food E Resource Economics Department Agricultural Experiment Stations and Cooperative Extension Service Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences University of Florida, Gainesville 32611 June 1986 Oluraro ABSTRACT Estimated costs and returns of growing white seedless grapefruit in the Indian River area of Florida are presented for the twelfth consecu- tive year. The format presented may be used by individual growers to budget costs and returns, utilizing individual data on specific groves. Key words: citrus, Indian River, budgeting, costs and returns. NOTE: Whenever mentioned in the manuscript, "per acre" represents "gross grove acres" and not "net tree acres." The budget cost items have been revised to reflect current applications being used by growers-e.g., dilute tank is now 2X (modified dilute). The previous years' budget costs presented in this report have also been revised to reflect the changes. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT Appreciation is extended to Mrs. Jane Wilson for typing the final draft of this manuscript. ABSTRACT Estimated costs and returns of growing white seedless grapefruit in the Indian River area of Florida are presented for the twelfth consecu- tive year. The format presented may be used by individual growers to budget costs and returns, utilizing individual data on specific groves. Key words: citrus, Indian River, budgeting, costs and returns. NOTE: Whenever mentioned in the manuscript, "per acre" represents "gross grove acres" and not "net tree acres." The budget cost items have been revised to reflect current applications being used by growers-e.g., dilute tank is now 2X (modified dilute). The previous years' budget costs presented in this report have also been revised to reflect the changes. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT Appreciation is extended to Mrs. Jane Wilson for typing the final draft of this manuscript. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page ABSTRACT. . . . ..... .. . .. i ACKNOWLEDGEMENT . . . .. . . i LIST OF TABLES . . . . . .. ii INTRODUCTION. . . . ..... . 1 METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION . . . .. 1 THE GROVE SITUATION . . . .. . 1 COSTS OF INPUTS. .. . . . .. . .. 4 SPRAY PROGRAM. . . . . . . 4 COSTS AND RETURNS . . . . . 7 HISTORICAL COST TRENDS. . . . .. . 7 REFERENCES. . . . . . . .. 11 LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Schedule of production practices for an Indian River Florida grapefruit grove . . . . 2 2 Calculation of normal production per tree .. .... 4 3 Costs of inputs supplied on a custom basis used in cal- culating costs. . . . . .. 5 4 Costs of chemicals used in calculating costs . 6 5 Spray program used in budget based on custom rates and application of one 500-gallon tank (2X) per acre .. 8 6 Estimated annual per acre costs and returns for a mature white seedless grapefruit on sour orange rootstock, Indian River area, Florida. .. . . . 9 7 Estimated annual per acre costs and returns for 5-year average costs and returns for a mature, white seedless grapefruit grove producing citrus for fresh fruit packing in Indian River area, 1981-82--1985-86. ... 10 8 Estimated annual per acre costs and returns and 5-year average costs and returns (inflated to 1986 dollars) for a mature, white seedless grapefruit grove producing citrus for fresh fruit packing in Indian River area, 1981-82--1985-86. . . .... .. .... 10 iii BUDGETING COSTS AND RETURNS: INDIAN RIVER CITRUS PRODUCTION, 1985-86 Ronald P. Muraro INTRODUCTION Budget analysis provides the basis for many grower decisions. Budget analysis can be used to calculate potential profits from an operation, to determine cash requirements for an operation, and to determine break-even prices. This paper presents a budget constructed from current data and will serve as a format for growers to develop an analysis of costs and returns from their individual records. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION The data presented here were developed by surveying custom opera- tors, input suppliers, growers, and colleagues at the Citrus Research and Education Center in Lake Alfred. This annual survey is conducted in February and March. THE GROVE SITUATION Shown in Table 1 are production practices for an Indian River grape- fruit grove and times during the year when they would likely be performed. There are two benefits to developing such a table for an individual grove. First, it shows what work is needed and when, so that operations can be planned well in advance. Second, it can be helpful if an annual cash flow analysis is developed to plan financing. The individual grower can achieve benefits by developing a plan for a particular grove. Specific production practices vary from grove to grove making it difficult to define a "typical" grove. Many combinations of practices and various tree combinations accomplish production of acceptable yields and returns. Although the example represents a white seedless grape- RONALD P. MURARO is associate professor of food and resource economics and extension farm management economist. He is stationed at the Citrus Research and Education Center, Lake Alfred. Table 1.-Schedule of production practices and budget items for an Indian River Florida grapefruit grove Month Annual Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec total Total revenue: 20% Final deposit payment Less: Pick & haul cost X DOC advertisement tax X Adjusted revenue Grove expenses: Disc Chop Mow X X X X X Labor, general grove work, pull vinesX X Herbicide (1/2 grove acre Spot equivalent) _X X Treatment Spray: Post bloom/nutritional X Summer oil/greasy spot X Fall miticide X Supplemental miticide Dust Fertilizer 65# N/A 65# N/A Dolomite Hedging and topping Hedge Brush removal/chop brush Chop brush Tree removal X Young tree care X X X X X Irrigation (times/month) 2 2 2 1 1 1 Miscellaneous (clean ditches) X Grove taxes including water management Interest expense X Annual principal payment on mortgage X Total grove expenses Net returns (loss) Cumulative net returns aThis is a suggested schedule of practices. Actual practices would not necessarily be done on the exact schedule shown here. fruit grove, the cost and return data is designed to be applicable to most grove situations. A grower, realtor, or land appraiser can substi- tute individual grove costs and expected returns into the budget format and develop a budget for a particular grove. A "your cost" column is provided for this purpose. In the following budget, above average management and cultural practices are assumed. Beyond this general assumption, the following specifics are assumed. 1. A 20-year-old irrigated grove; 2. Variety is white seedless on sour orange rootstock; 3. Tree loss is 3 percent annually; 4. Trees are pulled and replaced when production falls below 50 percent of expected yield; 5. Production is for fresh use; 6. Tree density is 70 trees per acre; and 7. Custom-caretaker providing grove management. As a result of tree losses and replacement, the tree ages will vary. The budget reflects the following age distribution: Situation Boxes/tree 3% pulled and reset 0.0 3% 1 year old 0.0 3% 2 years old 0.0 3% 3 years old 1.0 3% 4 years old 1.7 45% 5-19 years old 4.9 3% producing 50% of expected yield 4.0 37% mature producing 8.0 Calculation of normal production per tree is shown in Table 2. Note that the proportion of trees by age column only adds to 91 percent since 9 percent of the trees are non-bearing. Table 2.--Calculation of normal production per tree Boxes Total Age of Tree Trees /tree boxes Total no. Proportion No. ea. a all ages ea. age age ----No.--- 3 years 70 x 0.03 = 2.1 x 1.0 = 2.10 4 years 70 x 0.03 = 2.1 x 1.7 = 3.57 5-19 years 70 x 0.45 = 31.5 x 4.9 = 154.35 Prod. 50% of exp. yield 70 x 0.03 = 2.1 x 4.0 = 8.40 20 years 70 x 0.37 = 25.9 x 8.0 = 207.20 Total boxes = 375.62 proportion adds up to 0.91 (91 percent) as 9 percent of the trees were non-bearing (see page 3). COSTS OF INPUTS Costs for various production inputs are the average of the data obtained from annual custom rate and chemical and fertilizer surveys. The custom rate costs are shown in Table 3 and the various chemical and fertilizer costs are shown in Table 4. Both tables, as do the others, have a column reserved for the individual grower to insert data from a particular grove. This will allow a comparison of the grower's costs and returns with those of the hypothetical case presented. SPRAY PROGRAM The spray program presented here is believed to be of the type followed by a majority of growers. It is not the exact program outlined in the Florida Citrus Spray Guide 1986, nor is it necessarily the most economical spray program. Most growers of fruit for fresh packing use at least four sprays in their insect and disease control programs. These costs are presented in the budget. Table 3.--Costs of inputs supplied on a custom basis used in calculating costs Item Unit Low High Average Your cost -- ------------------------ " Labor Mowing (9'-10' rotary) Mowing (sickle) Herbiciding Topping Hedging (2-side) tractor-drawn Hedging (2-side) self-propelled Chop brush Removing trees (front-end loader) Power saw w/out operator Tractor and driver Truck and driver Water truck Rotary ditcher Fertilize, bulk Spray, 2X Spray, aerial (15 GPA) Dust, aerial Plant trees Dolomite, lime, or aragonite Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Hour Acre Tank Acre Lb. Each Ton 6.00 17.50 17.00 16.50 76.00 71.00 180.00 19.00 32.00 4.00 15.50 15.00 16.50 16.00 4.00 26.00 1.15 -- 8.00 24.00 25.00 25.00 82.75 82.75 220.00 23.00 38.25 8.00 28.50 28.50 28.50 23.00 6.75 40.00 1.50 7.23 21.52 20.63 21.05 79.58 77.19 200.00 21.58 35.31 6.18 18.16 18.29 20.75 18.42 5.33 28.08 5.00 8.0 1.30 7.38 ars-------------------- - - ------- - 1 Table 4.--Costs of chemicals used in calculating costs Item Unit Cost Your cost -------------- Dollars------------- Copper, tri-basic Zinc Manganese Chlorobenzilate Difolatan 80 Sprills Ethion Vendex 50W Kelthane MF Benlate Oil, 97% Sticker Sulphur dust Krovar II 12-2-15-2.4 MgO fertilizer 16-0-16-4 MgO fertilizer 8-2-8 fertilizer plus minors Aragonite (delivered) Lb. Lb. Lb. Pint Lb. Pint Lb. Pint Lb. Gal. Pint Lb. Lb. Ton Ton Ton Ton 0.95 0.37 0.20 3.41 5.02 2.51 17.93 3.33 13.12 2.13 0.94 0.14 7.90 140.01 144.72 104.93 18.00 This program is outlined in Table 5 as a post bloom, a supplemental post bloom miticidee), a summer oil, and a fall miticide application. Each spray application is a modified dilute (2X) spray. COSTS AND RETURNS The estimated costs and returns based on the foregoing assumptions and data are shown in Table 6. Total revenue ($1,458.75) is based on preliminary estimated on-tree price per box (price net of picking and hauling costs). Total specified costs ($672.07) is comprised of grove care costs ($599.13) plus a management cost ($72.94). Return to land and trees ($786.68) represents net return above fixed costs. Other cost items which are not included in the budget are ad valorem taxes, water drainage district taxes, interest on grove investment, crop insurance, and other grower assessments. These costs vary from grove to grove depending on age, location, soil, and time of purchase or establishment. However, as guidelines, ad valorem taxes in the Indian River citrus area average $40 to $50 per acre. Annual debt payment may cost as high as $400 per acre ($3,000 average debt per acre @ 12 percent interest). These costs should be considered in arriving at a net return to land and trees (total return minus costs). HISTORICAL COST TRENDS Annual budgets of costs and returns for mature, fresh, white seedless grapefruit in the Indian River area have been developed and published the past four years. Estimated cost and return histories for 1981-82 through 1984-85 along with 1985-86, and a five-year average are presented in Table 7. The affects of recent freezes on Florida's annual grapefruit supply has resulted in a fluctuating on-tree price per box. However, even with increasing operating costs, annual net return to land and trees has increased over the five-year period. To allow comparisons in current values, these same costs and returns, inflated to 1986 dollars, are presented in Table 8. Table 5.-Spray program used in budget based on custom acre rates and application of one 500-gallon tank (2X) per Item Amount/acre Costa Your cost Post bloom application (April) Copper (fungicide) Manganese Zinc Sticker Application (2X) Total Supplemental post bloom application (May) Vendex 4L Sticker Application (2X) Total Summer oil application Oil Ethion Copper Application (2X) Total Fall miticide application Kelthane Sticker Application (aerial) Total Grand total -----------Dollars------- 8 Ibs. 10 lbs. 10 lbs. 1 pint 1 tank 1.25 lbs. 1 pint 1 tank 5 gals. 7.5 pints 7.0 lbs. 1 tank 6 pints 1 pint 15 gals. 8.36 2.20 4.07 1.03 28.08 43.74 24.65 1.03 28.08 53.76 11.05 20.07 7.32 28.08 66.52 21.96 1.03 5.00 27.99 192.01 a Assumes material is custom applied; therefore, a 10 percent to the material cost. handling and supervision charge is added Table 6--Estimated annual per acre costs and returns for a mature white seedless grapefruit on sour orange rootstock, Indian River area, Florida Item Description Amount Your cost ------------------Dollars----- ---- I. Revenue 375 boxes @ 3.' 1,458.75 II. Expenses Weed control Mow middles 5 times per year 48.75 Clean ditches 4.98 General grove work By hand 11.01 Herbicide (2 l. : r plus spot '. Krovar II, incl. apple. 63.4E 128.22 .r program From Table L 192.01 Fertilizer Materialc 12-2-15-2.4 MgO, 1085 lbs. 83.25 Application 2 @ $5.25/acre 10.50 93.75 Aragonite Material0 1/3 ton @ $18.00 6.00 Application 1 ton every third year $7.38 ton @ 1/3 2.46 8.46 Pruning (maintenance) Topping ($79.58/hr. 2.0 A/hr.) + 3 yrs. 13.26 Hedging ($77.19/hr. + 3.5 A/hr.) + 2 yrs. 11.03 Removing brush 5.12 29.41 Tree replacement and care (1 through 4 years) Remove tree 2.1 trees per acre 18.04 Prepare and plant resets Including 2.1 trees per acre 24.5? Water (Average 10 waterings) 15.5S Fertilizer Including application 75.31 Irrigation (flood) Total 18 in./year 71.97 Management 5% of gross sales 72.94 III. Total specified costs 672.07 IV. Return to land and trees 786.68 On-tree price per box is preliminary; assumes average of all methods of sale (fresh and pocessed . The herbicide costs shoim represent the cost for an existing program. Te Initial cost for beginning a herbicide program would be $23.03 for application and $57.83 for material. CAssumes material custom applied; therefore, a 10 percent -- and supervision charge is added to material cost, Other methods to estimate a management cost are used in the industry. Other selected methods will give a different return to land and trees than reported here. Table 7.-Estimated annual per acre costs and returns and 5-year average costs and returns for a mature, white seedless grapefruit grove producing citrus for area, 1981-82--1985-86 fresh fruit packing in Indian River On-tree Total Net return price Gross specified to land Year /box Yield revenue costs and trees $2.23a 1.86a 2.28a 2,70a 3.89b 323c 375 375 375 375 --------------Dollars------------- 720.29 586.75 133.54 697.50 855.00 1,012.50 1,458.75 589.75 625.34 655.941 672.07 107.75 229.66 356.56 786.68 5-yr. avg. 2.59 945.35 605.97 339.38 a On-tree prices for all sales methods as reported by the Florida Crop and Livestock Reporting Service. Estimated at time of printing and is not a published price. Yield reduced due to January 1982 freeze. d Fixed costs such as taxes, debt service, and crop insurance are not included. A management cost of 5% of gross revenue is included. Table 8.-Estimated annual per acre costs and returns and 5-year average costs and returns (inflated to 1986 dollars) for a mature, white seedless grapefruit grov fruit packing in Indian River e producing citrus for fresh area, 1981-82--1985-86 Consumer On-tree Total Net return price price Gross specified to land Year index /box Yield revenue costs and trees ------------Dollars---------- 1981-82 113.0 $2.52 338 851.76 663.03 188.73 1982-83 109.5 2.04 375 765.00 645.78 119.22 1983-84 105.0 2.39 375 896.25 656.61 239.64 1984-85 101.4 2.74 375 1,027.50 665.12 362.38 1985-86 100.0 3.89 375 1,458.75 672.07 786.68 5-yr. avg. -- 2.72 365 992.80 660.52 332.28 aConsumer price index for each year inflated to 1986 prices (1986 100), with 1986 consumer price index estimated to be 326.8. 1981-82 1982-83 1983-84 1984-85 1985-86 REFERENCES Brooke, Donald L. and Ben Abbitt. Factors to Consider in Purchasing a Citrus Grove. Univ. of Fla. Coop. Ext. Svc. Cir. 437. Gainesville: 1978. Citrus Summary 1985. Florida Crop and Livestock Reporting Service. Florida Agricultural Statistics. Jan. 1986. DuCharme, E. P. "Tree Loss in Relation to Young Tree Decline and Sand Hill Decline of Citrus in Florida," Proc. Fla. State Hort. Soc. 84 (1971), pp. 48-52. Florida Citrus Spray Guide 1986. Univ. of Fla. Coop. Ext. Svc. Cir. 393-L. Gainesville: Jan. 1986. Koo, R. C. J., editor. Recommended Fertilizers and Nutritional Sprays for Citrus. Univ. of Fla. Agr. Exp. Sta. Bull. 536D. Gainesville: March 1984. Muraro, Ronald P. "Comparative Citrus Budgets." Lake Alfred Citrus Research and Education Center (CREC) Report. Lake Alfred, FL: Apr. 1986. "Cost for Establishing, Planting, and Maintaining a Citrus Grove through Four Years of Age." Lake Alfred CREC Report. Lake Alfred, FL: Nov. 1985. "Cost of Planting and Maintaining Reset Citrus Trees through Four Years." Lake Alfred CREC Report. Lake Alfred, FL: Aug. 1985. "Summary Custom Rate Survey for Twenty Indian River Citrus Caretakers." Lake Alfred CREC Report. Lake Alfred, FL: Apr. 1986. Savage, Zach. Citrus Yields Per Tree Age. Agr. Ext. Ser. 60-8. Univ. of Fla., Gainesville. 1960. |