Potatoes & sweetpotatoes

... I I S


- '2


-si3/c


POT


TOES


EETPOT


Released:


April
3:00


ESTIMATED


1983 1
ET




POTATO


ATO


C
R

Statistica


reportingg
)oard
I Reporting


rvice


U.S. Department
of Agriculture


STOCKS


Washington,
20250


POTATO


STOCKS


PERCENT


April
Lion n


perce
stock
perce


1 ,
netri
From


1983
c tons
last A


potato


kpril


s accounted


ntage


as a year


stoc
the 1
and


are
major


percent


percent


estimated


84.8


producing


above


production


million


States


years
these


ago
15 S


states


April


same


ago.


three


percent
dropped


than


to 7.9


Eastern


year


million


two years ago. New
Pennsylvania holdings


States,
ago.and


York
are up


estimate


percent


8 percent
stocks are
10 percent


short
up


holding


ibove
of
14


two
last


totaled
years
April


percent t


from


9.9
ago.
and


million
Maine
percent


year


cwt, 5
storage
t below


while


Comments


continued


on page


FALL
(FOR


NILl CT.


I


POTATOES:
15 STATES


PRODUCTION


ESTIMATING


POTATO


STOCKS


STOCKS)


I





4
-------------III an1I~I.~I~I -~~~IIIIII s -- --- -- --


NOTE:


Stocks


are defined


as the quantity remaining


storage for


all purposes
other losses
Sales of fall


for about
age and 1
percent.


90
oSS


and uses, inc1
that occur aft
potatoes for
percent of the
and home use a


uding shrink
er the date
all purposes
total fall


account


age


and waste


of each


report.


generally account


production.


for the remaining


Shrink
10


TABLE
APRIL 1


AND MAY


POTATOES:
1 TOTAL


DECEMBER


STOCKS,


JANUARY 1


AND COMPARABLE


ESTIMATING POTATO


, FEBRUARY 1, MARCH
PRODUCTION FOR 15 S1


1,
FATES


STOCKS


CROP


:PRODUCTION:


DEC 1


JAN 1


FEB 1


MAR 1


APR 1


MAY 1


1,000


242,
247,
278,
266,
294,
295,
S311,
285,
255,
286,
294.


219,850
200,820
171,730
192,810
201,775


64,830
59,535
44,446
50.660


173,500


144,950


116.500


84,845


TABLE


POTATOES USED FOR


PROCESSING


EIGHT


STATES


AND 1982


CROPS


:STORAGE:


STATE


:SEASON


: DEC 1


: JAN 1


: FEB 1


: MAR 1


:APR 1


: MAY 1


: ENTIRE
: SEASON


IDAHO & MALHEUR


OREG


:1982


16.720


-83 14.330


21,450
18.645


26,000
23,395


31,205
28.535


36,840
34.480


42,270


56,585


MAINE


:1981
:1982


4,135
4,430


5,975


7,325


WASH AND OTHER


AREAS,


OREG


:1981


-82 1


:1982-83


7,730
6.840


1,255
0.130


4,940
3.685


38,095


47,325


OTHER


STATES


:1982-83


5,088
5.651


10,220


11,111
12,170


12,750


15,769


TOTAL


:1981


:1982-83


1,683
8.896


51,749
48.710


62,133
59.380


3,900
1,055


7,001
4,065


99,090


127,004


------------------- -


----






TABLE 3.
GROWERS,


POTATOES:
PROCESSORS,


PRODUCTION AND TOTAL


STOCKS OF FALL


AND LOCAL DEALERS ON APRIL


POTATOES HELD BY


1982 AND APRIL


CROP OF 1981


CROP OF


STATE


:APR 1


STOCKS:


:APR 1


STOCKS


:PRODUC-
: TION


:TOTAL STOCKS
:APR 1. 1982


: AS % OF
: PRODUCTION


:PRODUC-
: TION


:TOTAL
:APR 1


STOCKS


: AS % OF
: PRODUCTION


1,000 CWT


PERCENT


,000 CWT


PERCENT


CALIF
COLO
IDAHO
MAINE
MICH
MINN
MONTH
NEBR


6,919
: 11,600
84,540
26,520
7,050
13,300
1,739
2,252


1,500
3,100
34,500
8,600


7,585
12,600
89,890
26,500
8,085
11,520
1,924
2,147


3,900


1,900
3,300
34,500
7,900
1,800
3,400


UPSTATE


5,365
6.875


1/120
650


4,995
7,020


1/275
600


m -DAK
0HIO
OREG
PA
gASH


20,125
1,890
21,710
5,250
52,920
18,190


4,600


5,800
1,050
12,600
2,650


17,250
2,328
21,105
5,758
52,800
22,575


4,900
I/
6,700
1,150
13,200
3,430


15 STATE
TOTAL


:286.245


81,870


294,082


84,845


1/ OHIO COMBINED WITH LONG
OPERATIONS.


ISLAND TO


PREVENT POSSIBLE


DISCLOSURE


OF INDIVIDUAL


users


stocks estimates,
past performance,


deviations


a percent of


between


in evaluating


"Root


the April


the final


for the 1973-82
statistically tl


made
to 1
year


concerning
he final e
s estimate


ten-year
e "Root
expected


the reliability


lean Square
calculated.


Error"


preliminary


of the April


stati


estimate


estimate and averaging the


period.


Square
; in t


estimate,


Mean
errors


season


iminary estimate.


"Root


Square


's 4.4 percent. Thi
estimate of 84.8 mil
estimate by more than
Chances are 9 out of


not exceed


7.5 percent or


different


Error"


means


lion


e square
Error"


he current


assuming
mm those


for the April
: chances are


hundredweight


4.4 percent or
10 {(90 percent


stical


measure


computed- by ex
e and the final


3 potato
based on


pressing
estimate


squared percentage deviations


Probability
preliminary


factors


influencing


1983 potato
out of 3 t


not be above


approximately


confidence


lev


s average
statements
estimate


becomes


relative


affecting


recent


stocks


or belo


years


estimate


the current
w the final


3.73 million hundredweight.
el) that the difference wil


approximately 6.36 million hundredweight.


+nti-h rti Flf ~fnrnnH-n


To assist


III rra~FP


+ka bnri 1


h r uli a a


kLI+IIWdn


nra ii min~ru


+ha n~r)


I


I




UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA

3 1262 08860 5059


(Continued


from


page


Stocks


greater


Central


than
million


percent.


from


year;


a year
In cwt


are up


Minnesota


and North


States


78 percent
3 percent;


potato


Dakota


tocks a
stocks


totaled


above


Michigan


million


3 years
holdings


million


.9 m


ago.
at 1


cwt,


scons


million


are down


Ilion


are up


percent
stocks
are up
percent


percent.


six Western


April
years
total


movement
dumps co
storage


fros


stock


ago.
held


Idaho
34.5


of frost


,ntinued


on April


damage.
s of 13


million
percent


States


percent m
storage
million c


damaged


last


Potato
million


month.


held
lore


an estimated


than


accountir


a year
ig for


60.8


ago
over


potatoes,


potatoes


potential
shrink al
cwt are


percent


Californi a


from


grower


storage


survey


1/2 percent
continued to


from


percent


percent more


million


cwt of


id 11 percent
two-fifths oi


same


cellars


indicates


a year


1to
that


potatoes


more
the


than


national


earlier.


feedlots


the potato


be marketable


run
while


year.
potatoes


above no
Ie Oregon
Colorado
*s stored


irmal


field


Washington


holdings


stocks
than i


are


ast


April


appearance


million
million
farms,
compared


March


cwt,
cwt


discarded


with


totaled


April


recent ab
potatoes
without


23.5


million
million


1983


ove


S


dumped d
grading


ame p
during
and


a year


period


i major
a year


grading,
lost t(


earlier.


cwt compared with


fall
ago.
to


States


livesto


shrinkage


(mo


Disappearance


29.4 million


cwt for


totaled


includes
ck on I
isture


potato


the month


March


1982.


Potatoes


totaled
earlier.
million


84.1


processed
million


Processing
cwt for March


April


cwt,


during
1982.


1983


recent


March


less


totaled


n eight
than in


13.0


million


major


processing


same


period


cwt compared


States


year


with


UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250


POSTAGE AND 9E3S PAID
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
AGRICULTURE
AOIR 01


OFFICIAL BUSINESS


FIRST CLASS


PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USEt 3200


~"~


i urvr(c