Potatoes & sweetpotatoes

fA. l


At?


POT


ATOES


C
R
SB
Statistical


rop
reporting
board
Reporting


rvice


U.S. Department
of Agriculture


CKS


Washington,
20250


: i,


POTATO


TOCKS


PERCENT


March
metric to
front last
accounted
percent a


ns


, 1983
) for


March


year


potato


percent


ago.


tock


major.
0 perc
* of p


are estimated


fall


ent


producing


above


reduction


States


) years
these


million


This


States


March


compared


8 million
5 percent
1 stocks


with


In the


percent
totaled


years


three


above
11.9


stern


a year
million


ago.


Pennsylvania holding


States


ago ar
cwt, 4
York
are up


estimated


percent


percent
stocks <
40 perca


holdings
above twi


short


last


totaled
years
March


percent


.8 million


Maine


percent


from


year


torage
above


while


(Comments


continued


on page


FALL


POTATO


PRODUCTION


STOCKS


(FOR


NIL. CV.


STATES


ESTIMATING


POTATO


STOCKS)


Nt


S%.~
a ^"
a,








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CKS


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I






NOTE:


Stocks are defined


and uses


as the quantity remaining in storage for all


including shrinkage and waste and other


the date of each report.


Sales of fall


account for about 90 percent of the total


losses


potatoes for all


production.


purposes


that occur after
purposes general


Shrinkage and


and home use account for the remaining 10 percent.


TABLE 1.


AND MAY 1


mil I ndmFlTTA'I


TOTAL STOCKS,


R EBMECED 1


IA IADlbV


..ND COMP .AB E PRODUCTION FOR
AND COMPARABLE PRODUCTION FOR


FEBRUARY 1, MARCH 1, APRIL
15 STATES ESTIMATING POTATO


TOCKS


CROP


: PRODUCTION


DEC 1


JAN 1


FEB 1


MAR l


APR 1


I4AY l


-----111111~ -- --- ---- --- --- ---- --- --- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----
1,000 CWT-


242,390
247,686
278,679
266,422
294,978
295,421
311,981
285,060
255,691
286,245
294.082


155,190
154,890
183,850
181,720
198,630
202,550
219,850
200,820
171,730
192,810
201.775


105,690
105,360
131,480
129,710


146,6
163,1
173.5


57,860
55,465
75,217
70,970
81,130
88,680
99,250
92,550
72,460
81,870


162,980
147,910
121,565
137,120
144.950


64,830
59,535
44,446
50,660


TABLE


POTATOES USED FOR PROCESSING 1/,


EIGHT


STATES


, 1981


AND 1982 CROPS


STATE


STORAGE
SEASON


DEC 1


JAN 1


FEB 1


MAR 1


APR 1


TO
SMAY 1


ENTIRE
SEASON


IDAHO AND MALHEUR


MAINE


WASH AND OTHER
AREAS. OREG


OTHER


STATES 3/


TOTAL


1981-82
1982-83


1981-82
1982-83

1981-82
1982-83


1981-82
1982-83


1981-82
1982-83


16,720
14.330


17,730
16.840


5,088


41,683
38.896


21,450
18.645


1,255
0,130

6,329
7.135


51,749
48.710


26,000
23,395

3,450
3,675
24,940
23,685

7,743
8.625


62,133
59,380


36,840


42.270


56,585


28.535


4,135
4.430


33.855


9,385
10,220

73,900
71,055


- 11,111


87,001


5,975


38,095


12,750


99,090


7,325


47,325


15,769


127.004


1/ TOTAL
PRODUCED.


QUANTITY RECEIVED


AND USED


FOR PROCESSING REGARDLESS OF


DOES NOT INCLUDE QUANTITIES USED FOR POTATO CHIPS


INCLUDES MAINE


GROWN POTATOES ONLY.


MICH, MINN,


ND


THE STATE


IN MAINE,
AK AND WIS.


IN WHICH THE


MINN


POTATOES WERE


N DAK OR WIS.


nit vlrl







TABLE 3.


POTATOES: PRODUCTION AND TOTAL STOCKS OF FALL POTATOES HELD BY GROWERS,
PROCESSORS, AND LOCAL DEALERS ON MARCH 1, 1982 AND MARCH 1, 1983


CROP OF 1981


CROP OF 1982


-IIIII ---------- ---------- -- -----111111 -----------III --- -- -- --- -- --- --- -- --


STATE


: PRODUCTION


: :MAR 1 STOCKS:
:TOTAL STOCKS: AS % OF
:MAR 1. 1982 PRODUCTION


PRODUCTION


:TOTAL
:MAR 1


STOCKS:
1983 :


AR 1 STOCK
AS % OF
PRODUCTION


---------------I ---IIIIIII -IIIIIIIII -ILII~IIII n -- -- -- -- -- -


1,000 CWT


PERCENT


,000 CWT


PERCENT


CALIF
COLO
IDAHO
MAINE
MICH
MINN
MONT
NEBR
NY L I
UPSTATE


NDAK

" OREG
PA
SWASH
WIS


6,919
11,600
84,540
26,520
7,050
13,300
1,739
2,252
5,365
6,875
20,125
1,890
21,710
5,250
52,920
18. 190


1,200
350
1,100
7,200
80
8,300
1,500
17,000
4.150


15 STATE TOTAL


286.245


11,280


294,082


116,500


To ass
the "Root
calculated
estimate a
Percentage
becomes s


ist use
Mean
This


rs in
Square
is


Lnd the final
deviations
statistically


evaluating the reliability of
Error". a statistical meas


I


computed
estimate


y expressing
as a percent


the 1963-82
"Root Mean


twenty-y(
Square


d
the


the March


ure based
eviations
Final es


ear period.
Error". P


concerning expected errors in the current preliminary
season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this
those influencing recent years's preliminary estimate.


, 1983 potato stocks estimates,


between
;timate


Ine squ
robability


estimate
year's


st performance,
the March 1
and averaging 1
are root of th


sl


:e relative
estimate


has been
preliminary
the squared


statements can be
'e to the final e
are not different


average
made
rnd of


from


The "Ri
TilS means
will not b


oot Mean Square Error" for the March


that chances


ie above or


are


below


2 out of
the final


the


estimate


983 potato stocks estimate is 3.6 percent.
current estimate of 117 million hundredwe


e by more than 3.6 1


percent


or appri


million hundredweight. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent 'confidence le\
difference will not exceed 6.3 percent or approximately 7.34 million hundredweight.


iqht


oximately 4.19
vel) that the


During the past 10
averaged 3.15 million
million hundredweight.
the past 10 years.


years,
hundredwi


the difference between the Marcl
eiaht. The largest deviation wi


The preliminary March


1


estimate was


h 1 preliminary and final estimate
ss 5.12 and the smallest was 0.30
below the final estimate 8 out of


rln


"~i,,,


;Sr":
c
: :~8$
: ""
,:: EB~


ii: ; r
.:sg;~ .i:"ai
i" :I


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|




UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA
IIIII30l8M86II0 4I111
3 1262 08860 4896


(Continued


from


page


Stoc


greater
at 5.4


from


ks i
than


million


percent.


last


the
year
cwt


six,


are up


Minnesota


year


NortI


Central


more


States


than


percent


potato
h Dakota


stocks
i stocks


totaled


doubled t
Michigan


ro years
holdings
lion c


million


million


cwt, 8
Wisconsin
7 million
down 2


percent


percent
stocks
are up
percent
lower.


Th
March


year
as t
of f


he
ros


February
remainir
Potato
million


six Western


Idaho


overage tror
t damaged p
y. Farmers


g19


shrink


percent


States


percent
stocks


m


last


potatoes


torage


held
more


an estimated


than


million


year
were


speculate


March


continues


are up


from


last


percent


year.


seems


year
n cwt


to b


removed


that
may
run a
while


from
to
be


million


are up Z
ssipating


cellars
I 1/2


3 percent
percent


perce


marketable


ibove normal.
Oregon holdings


of pc
More
from l


Additional


Idaho
nt of
ue to


Washington
of 9.4 m


)tato
thai


last


es on
n two
year,


quantity


farmer;
the
frost


stock
million


during


potatoes
damage.
of 17.1


are up


Disappearance


million
million


farm


compared
February
1982.


cwt,
cwt


isca
with


rded


totaled


March


percent a
potatoes
without


ibove


1983


dumped d
grading


million


28.5


same
during
and


year


million


period a
grading
lost 1


earlier.


compared


with


major
year
. fed


fall


States


livestock


shrinkage
appearance


25.8


million


(moi
for
cwt


totals


include


on
ture


potato


month


February


Potatoes


totaled


71.1


earlier.
1.8 millic


processed


million


Processing


March


cwt,
during


February


1983


percent
February
1982.


less


totaled


n e


eight


than


major
the s


million


n


process


;ame
icwt


period a
compared


States


year
with


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