Potato stocks

htM~rI


rot


AT


Released:


P M.


ET
I'


- al


HUME

MAR


LI


LIBRARY


1981


I -. 4_ U -__ __


I.F.A.S. Univ. u


KS


Washington,
20250


POTATO


STOCK


DOWN


PERCENT


FROM


YEAR


EARLIER


Potato


15 major
"T80 and


stock


fall


as of March


potato


9 percent


le


producing
!ss than on


1981


States
March


are estimated


down


at 94


million


23 percent


1979.


cwt in the


from March


three


34 pg
Maine


percent
'S stock


Holdings
percent
Dakota's
Wisconsi


ago
cwt,


from
ks 1


Eastern


March


totall


than


st


Western


down


are each down


OCKS ar
re down
States
percent


percent
23 perc


State


a year
million


Central


March
e down


are 68.0


than


from


ent


estimated


ago
cwt,


State


1980


percent


percent,


million


March


March


from


year


down


tock


.8 million


percent
; percent


estimated


percent


from


cwt,


year


below


earlier


respectively.


down


1979.


1980.
earl lier


Idaho'
Holding


below
from
13.5
March


while


Estimated


percent


stocks


from


March


a year
million
1. 1979


Minne
stock
March


total


Washington


cwt,


down


I, 1979.
earlier.
cwt, 35
. North


a year


3.5 million
and Oregon


Disappearance


million


date


livestock
(moisture
million c


cwt,


percent


includes


on potato
loss). D


March


below


.6 milliK
farms,


, 1981


the
i cwt


same
, of


discarded


appearance


compared with


during


million


period
lotatoe
without
the
:wt for


major


a year a(
s dumped
grading,
month of
February


fall


State
Total


during
and 1


totaled


disappearance


grading,


lost


February
1980.


to shrinkage
totaled 24.2


States


quantity
totaled 6


potato
million


process
cwt, 4


March


percent


1981


than


seven


same


period


major
year


ago.


The May


for the


Stoc


State


cent age of sto
for the March,


inas


sibility of


ick


ks
hav


Report
e been
type e


April and
disclosure


and the
reinstate


timate
stock


problem


become more concentrated


associated
ed at the


for the


report
as the


fewer hand


level


estimate


request
States


Thi


of potato
data users


will not
primarTTy


tock


decline


tock


Per-


be estimated


to the
d hold-


i


rr-ri%


Crop
Reporting
Board
Economics and
Statistics Service
U.S. Department
of Agriculture


1981


_ __


i luul


.







NOTE:


^I.I------ -------------^----------*------*--------------------------
Stocks are defined as the quantity remaining in storage for all purposes
and uses, including shrinkage and waste and other losses that occur after


the date of each report.


Sales of fall


potatoes for all purposes generally.


account for about 90 percent of the total f
loss and home use account for the remaining


11 production.
10 percent.


Shrinkage and


TABL
1, AND MAY 1


* aS -- s- -- ---- --- -------- a



E I. FALL POTATOE:5 DECEMBER 1, JANUARY
TOT STOCKS AND COMPARABLE PRODUCTION FOR
E 4 ALPTTa J(tBR1 AUR


FEBRUARY


1, MARCH 1,


15 STATES ESTIMATING POTATO ST


OCKS 1/
-KK a K nfKl


: PRODUCTION


: ~DEC 1


JAN 1


FEB 1


MAR 1


APR 1


MAY 1


1,000 CWT


1971 2/
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980


259,977
258,613
242,390
247,686
278,679
266,422
294,978
295,421
311,981
285,060
253,883


SEE TABLE 3 FOR LIST OF
BEGINNING WITH 1971, LA



TABLE 2. PO


171,600
172,550
155,190
154,890
183,850
181,720
198,630
202,550
219,850
200,820
169,780


147,550
148,600
132,050
131,600
160,100
156,220
172,230
175,300
193,520
176,020
143.960


120,650
122,350
105,690
105,360
131,480


15 STATES.
TE SUMMER PRODUCTION FOR N Y


TATOES USED FOR PROCESSING 1/,


95,850
97,150
82,510
80,460


57,860
55,465
75,217
70,970
81,130
88,680
99,250
92.550


WIS AND WASH HAS BEEN CLASSIFIED AS FALL.


SEVEN STATES,


1979 AND


1980 CROPS


STATE


: STORAGE
: SEASON


DEC 1


: JAN 1


FEB 1


: MAR 1


: APR 1


: MAY 1


ENTIRE
SEASON


a 1,000 CWT


IDAHO AND MALHEUR


MAINE 2/


WASH AND OTHER
AREAS, OREG

OTHER STATES 3/


TOTAL


1979-80
1980-81

1979-80
1980-81


1979-80
1980-81


1979-80
1980-81


1979-80
1980-81


14,220
14,460

2,010


13,510
14.610


2,660
2,355

32,400
33.615


18,690
18,710

2,655
2,880

16,995
16,845

3,405
2,890

41,745
41,325


23,970
23,235

3,470
3,545

20,725
19,725

4,260
3,745

52,425
50,250


28,840
28,100

4,245
4,245

24,915
23,710

5,100
4,565

63,100
60,620


34,440


5,200


?F9,395


6.055


75,090


39,930


6,200


33,360


6,880


86,370


55,600


7,965


43.295


8;785


115,645


APRIL


64,830
59,535


r


"""







TABLE 3.


POTATOES:


PRODUCTION AND TOTAL STOCKS OF FALL POTATOES HELD BY GROWERS,


PROCESSORS AND LOCAL DEALERS ON MARCH 1


1980 AND MARCH 1,


------------------* ------Illllll -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- a --------------- r


CROP OF


CROP OF


aIlllrll~~ --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- -- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------


STATE


: PRODUCTION


: MAR1


: TOTAL STOCKS:


:MAR 1


1,000 CWT


STOCKS:


AS % OF


: PRODUCTION


PERCENT


: PRODUCTION


TOTAL STOCKS


: MAR 1


1,000 CWT


: MAR 1 STOCKS
AS % OF
PRODUCTION


PERCENT


CALIF
COLO
IDAHO
MAINE
MICH
MINN
MONT
NEBR


NY -LI I
UPSTATE:
N DAK
OHIO
OREG
PA
WASH
WIS


6,364
11,455
85,050
27,685
8,000
12,920
1,800
1,482
6,431
6,463
18,240
2,400
25,310
6,000
48,450
17.010


4,400
44,500
15,800
2,400
6,800
1,620
650
1,000
800
6,900


9,800
1,750
18,900
3.700


6,438
10,950
78,455
24,960
7,403
9,920
1,725
1,876
4,418
6,250
15,680


19,745
4,180
43,935
16.000


4,050
38,500
10,700
1,200
4,000
1,300
850
100
800
4,600


1,150
14,600
2,800


15 STATE
TOTAL


: 285,060


121,720


253,883


94,230


assist users


"Root


calculated.
estimate ar
percentage


becomes s
concerning


season


Mean
This


Square


evaluating


Error"


is computed


Id the final
deviations


estimate


statistically the
expected errors


estimate,


assuming


those influencing recent


years


the reliability of


a statistical
y expressing
as a percent


he 1961-80
"Root Mean


measure


the March


based


deviations


of the final


twenty-year


Square


the current
factors afl


Error"


period.


preliminary
Fecting this


' preliminary estimates.


potato


between


estimate
The s(


Probabi
estimate


year


stocks


performance,


the March 1
and averaging


luare


ity statements
relative to the


s estimate


estimates


preliminary
the squared


of this


final


average


e


are not different


nd of
from


"Root


This me
will nc
million


tans


,t be above


Square


chances


Error"


are 2


or below


hundredweight


difference will


for the March


out of 3


the final


Chances


not exceed 6.4 percent or


I that th
estimate


ie current


more


potato st
estimate


percent


-ocks


estimate


of 94.2
percent


is 3.


percent.


million hundredweight
or approximately 3.49


confidence


level


approximately 6.03 million hundredweight.


During


averaged
million
t+h nac+


2.


the past


Lion


hundredweight
In Vaomc


10 years,


the difference between the March


hundredweight.


The largest


The preliminary March


deviation


estimate was


preliminary


was 5.0 and
below the f


and final


the smallest


final


estimate


estimate
was 0.3
8 out of




UNIVERSITY OF FLORInA ftll


3 1262 08862 1205


FALL


POTATOES:


PRODUCTION


AND


STOCKS LJ


NIL CUT


~I


U 1


SEE FOOTNOTE 1.


TABLE 1.


*PRU TION BY CROP YEAR.


*STOCKS BY MONTHS FOLLOWING HARVEST.


FIRST YEAR


E3TZNAT


,li



EE""
""
i
.x ,11;
..I


:y

B





Ei::
b
E


PRODUCT ION*


STOCKS*


0o1 .0 MAY 1
sII .II I 1"


iilii


I\
IPi


~G~J"
~G~J"I~F
~
I' 1
,L


"x


]


)*"


"4,


I


xx