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Page i Page ii Dedication Page iii Page iv Contributors Page v Page vi Table of Contents Page vii Page viii Introduction Page ix Page x Page xi Page xii Information, business, and society Page 1 Page 2 Page 3 Page 4 Page 5 Page 6 Page 7 Page 8 Page 9 Page 10 Page 11 Page 12 Page 13 Page 14 Page 15 Page 16 Page 17 Page 18 Page 19 Page 20 Page 21 Page 22 Page 23 Page 24 Page 25 Discussion on Norton Bedford paper "Information, business, and society" Page 26 Page 27 Page 28 Page 29 Page 30 Varieties of accounting theory Page 31 Page 32 Page 33 Page 34 Page 35 Page 36 Page 37 Page 38 Page 39 Page 40 Page 41 Page 42 Page 43 Page 44 Page 45 Page 46 Page 47 Page 48 Page 49 Comments on "varieties of accounting theory" Page 50 Page 51 Page 52 Page 53 Page 54 Page 55 Page 56 Page 57 Page 58 The commercial foundations of accounting theory Page 59 Page 60 Page 61 Page 62 Page 63 Page 64 Page 65 Page 66 Page 67 Page 68 Page 69 Page 70 Page 71 Page 72 Page 73 Page 74 Page 75 Page 76 Page 77 Are there commercial foundations of accounting theory? Page 78 Page 79 Page 80 Page 81 Page 82 Page 83 Page 84 Page 85 Page 86 Page 87 Page 88 Page 89 The balance sheet -- embodiment of the most fundamental elements of accounting theory Page 90 Page 91 Page 92 Page 93 Page 94 Page 95 Page 96 Page 97 Page 98 Page 99 Page 100 Page 101 Page 102 Page 103 Page 104 Discussion of "the balance sheet -- embodiment of the most fundamental elements of accounting theory" Page 105 Page 106 Page 107 Page 108 Page 109 Page 110 Page 111 Page 112 Page 113 What is the message of "A statement of basic accounting theory"? Page 114 Page 115 Page 116 Page 117 Page 118 Page 119 Page 120 Page 121 Page 122 Page 123 Page 124 Page 125 Page 126 Page 127 Page 128 Page 129 Page 130 Page 131 A response Page 132 Page 133 Page 134 Page 135 Page 136 Page 137 The past's future Page 138 Page 139 Page 140 Page 141 Page 142 Page 143 Page 144 Page 145 Page 146 Page 147 Page 148 Discussion of "The past's future" Page 149 Page 150 Page 151 Page 152 Page 153 Page 154 Page 155 Page 156 Page 157 Page 158 Page 159 Page 160 Page 161 Page 162 Page 163 Advertising Page 164 |
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FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY Papers given at the Accounting Theory Symposium University of Florida March 1970 Edited by WILLIARD E. STONE University Gaine of Florida sville / 1971 Pr e s s Univerifty of 7lorida Accounting Seriej no. 7 College of Business Administration Robert F. Lanzillotti, Dean Accounting Department Williard E. Stone, Chairman or Accounting Series Editorial Board ,i ,bil C. Mobley, Ph.D., Florida A & M University /.; | F hih Cheng Yu, Ph.D., University of Florida j "-lilliard E. Stone, Ph.D., University of Florida COPYRIGHT 1971 BY THE STATE OF FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF GENERAL SERVICES All Rights Reserved LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CATALOG CARD NO. 75-137855 ISBN 0-8130-0314-8 PRINTED IN U.S.A. Bill Paton, Shirt Sleeves Accountant THE PROCEEDINGS of the accounting theory symposium on "Foundations of Accounting Theory" held on the University of Florida campus in March 1970 are dedicated to Dr. William A. Paton. His influences on accounting theory beginning in 1922 with Ac- counting Theory have continued undiminished for a generation. It was William A. Paton who first formulated an integrated, viable theory of accounting which dared to depart from the pragmatic, work-a-day approach. So many of his innovations have now been accepted, both in theory and in practice, that it is difficult to remember the storms of controversy raised by his ideas in earlier years. The academic phase of accounting theory, in particular, owes much of its progress of re- cent years to the firm foundation provided by Dr. Paton's work. It is a pleasure and an honor to dedicate the proceedings to Dr. Paton as a very small recognition of the enormous debt which the profession of accounting owes to him. Gainesville WILLIARD E. STONE 1970 Honored Guest William A. Paton Participants Albers, Wayne J., Ernst & Ernst Anderson, Carl A., University of Flor- ida Anderson, Wilton T., Oklahoma State University Benninger, Larry J., University of Florida Bhada, Yezdi K., Ohio University Brown, James E., Stetson University Caplan, Edwin H., University of New Mexico Clift, R. C., University of Melbourne Copeland, Ronald M., Pennsylvania State University DaVault, James W., University of Florida -Demaris, E. Joseph, University of Illinois Devine, Carl T., Florida State Univer- sity Ellett, John S., II, University of Flor- ida Fertig, Paul E., Ohio State University Flowers, William B., University of Alabama Frank, Werner, University of Wiscon- sin Gorton, Donald E., Wayne State Uni- versity Green, David, Jr., University of Chi- cago Haas, Robert S., Lybrand, Ross Bros. & Montgomery Hartman, Robert F., Jr., Florida Tech- nological University Hendricksen, Eldon S., Washington State University Horwitz, Bertrand, Syracuse Univer- sity Jergensen, Louis C., University of South Florida Keller, Thomas F., Duke University Langendorfer, Harold Q., University of North Carolina McCullers, Levis D., University of Kentucky Miles, Catherine E., Georgia State Uni- versity Miller, Herbert E., Michigan State University Mobley, Sybil C., Florida A & M Uni- versity Montgomery, James B., Florida Atlan- tic University Mueller, Gerhard G., University of Washington Patten, Ronald J., Virginia Polytech- nic Institute Pattillo, James W., Louisiana State University Pointer, Larry G., Texas A & M Uni- versity Price, Harry R., University of Miami Ray, Delmas D., University of Florida Schattke, Rudy, American Institute of CPAs Stone, Williard E., University of Flor- ida Thorne, Jack F., University of Florida Voss, William M., University of Ar- kansas Whitehurst, Frederick D., University of Florida Williams, Thomas H., University of Texas Wixon, Rufus, Wharton School, Uni- versity of Pennsylvania --Wyatt, Arthur R., Arthur Andersen & Company Yeargen, P. B., University of Georgia Yu, Shih Cheng, University of Florida iv Contributors NORTON M. BEDFORD, Ph.D., CPA, holds the Weldon Powell Memo- rial Professorship in accountancy, and is Professor of Accountancy and Business Administration, College of Commerce and Business Administration, University of Illinois (Urbana-Champaign). He was also President of the American Accounting Association at the time of this symposium. R. J. CHAMBERS is Professor of Accounting, University of Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, and was Visiting Professor of Ac- counting, University of Florida, in 1970. C. WEST CHURCHMAN, Ph.D., is Professor of Business Administra- tion, Schools of Business Administration, University of California (Berkeley). HARVEY T. DEINZER, Ph.D., CPA, is Professor of Accounting, College of Business Administration, University of Florida. Louis GOLDBERG, Litt.D., is Head of the Department of Accounting, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia, and was Visiting Professor of Accounting, University of Florida, in 1970. ROBERT E. JENSEN, Ph.D., is the Nicolas M. Salgo Professor of Opera- vi CONTRIBUTORS tions Research, College of Business Administration, University of Maine. KERMIT D. LARSON, Ph.D., CPA, is Associate Professor of Accounting, College of Business Administration, University of Texas (Austin). ALFRED RAPPAPORT, Ph.D., CPA, is Associate Professor of Accounting and Information Systems, Graduate School of Management, North- western University. ROBERT T. SPROUSE, Ph.D., is Professor of Accounting and Director of the Stanford Executive Program, Graduate School of Business, Stan- ford University. ROBERT R. STERLING, Ph.D., is Professor of Business Administration, School of Business, University of Kansas. JOHN T. WHEELER, Ph.D., is Professor of Business Administration and Associate Dean for Academic Affairs, Schools of Business Admin- istration, University of California (Berkeley). STEPHEN A. ZEFF, Ph.D., is Professor of Accounting, Graduate School of Business Administration, Tulane University. Contents Introduction ix William A. Paton Information, Business, and Society 1 Norton M. Bedford Discussion on Norton Bedford Paper, "Information, Business, and Society" 26 John T. Wheeler Varieties of Accounting Theory 31 Louis Goldberg Comments on "Varieties of Accounting Theory" 50 Stephen A. Zeff The Commercial Foundations of Accounting Theory 59 R. J. Chambers Are There Commercial Foundations of Accounting Theory? 78 Kermit D. Larson vii The Balance Sheet-Embodiment of the Most Fundamental Elements of Accounting Theory 90 Robert T. Sprouse Discussion of "The Balance Sheet-Embodiment of the Most Fundamental Elements of Accounting Theory" 105 Alfred Rappaport What is the Measure of "A Statement of Basic Accounting Theory"? 114 .Harvey T. Deinzer A Response 132 Robert R. Sterling The Past's Future 138 C. West Churchman Discussion of "The Past's Future" 149 Robert E. Jensen viii CONTENTS Introduction William A. Paton I'M ESPECIALLY PLEASED to have the opportunity to make these comments, as in my status of "honored guest" at the meetings where these papers were presented there seemed to be no appropriate point at which I could put in my oar. First, I'd like to remind readers that the rubric for the conference, according to the printed program, was "Foundations of Accounting Theory." And on the outside cover appeared the related caption "Ac- counting Theory Symposium." With such headings one would expect to hear something about accounting, and I am glad to be able to re- port that several speakers did actually deal with accounting and its basic problems. They were perhaps outnumbered-if commentators are included-by those presenting a somewhat hazy mixture of the "new" approaches and points of view, embroidered with a dab of sta- tistics and mathematical allusions and occasional references to the amazing developments in computers and other devices, but the group addicted to plain accounting saved the day by keeping the conference at least within sight of the course laid out for it. Providing major help in this connection were the outstanding presentations of the professors from "Down Under," Ray Chambers and Lou Goldberg. Right here I must confess that I get very tired at times of what ix INTRODUCTION the current crop of revolutionaries in accounting have to say, espe- cially those who find excuses for abandoning or avoiding the term "accounting" entirely. I don't object particularly to the content of their statements, but I don't like the pretension that they have broad- ened horizons and made discoveries of great importance. Actually they are ruminating, with little added but some fresh jargon. See, for a major example of earlier explorations, the extensive writing of Dr. Leon Carroll Marshall, and especially his proposals at meetings of the American Association of Collegiate Schools of Business, during his tenure as dean of the College of Commerce and Administration at the University of Chicago (1909-1924). Marshall was all for suppressing accounting altogether through glorification of quantitative measure- ment, broadly defined, and through statistical approaches and tech- niques. It should also be noted that the need for servicing management, of which so much is made nowadays, was stressed by Marshall and many of his contemporaries. Indeed, the view that a major objective of accounting is facilitating the administration of business has always accompanied systematic study of the subject, from the earliest days. Accounting is a broad and pervasive field, as business transactions of every kind that are expressed in monetary terms are our meat and drink. But this doesn't mean that the accountant must be a mathemati- cian, a statistical wizard, a psychology specialist, a rhapsodic social participant, or even a computer operator (although here's an area that he must be keenly aware of). I heartily go along with Ray Chambers when he suggests that we will do well to confine our attention to something less than the whole field. For a long time I've wished that the Paton and Littleton monograph ("An Introduction to Corporate Accounting Standards") had never been written, or had gone out of print twenty-five years or so ago. Listening to Bob Sprouse take issue with the "matching" gospel, which the P & L monograph helped to foster, confirmed my dissatisfaction with this publication. As I look on this monograph now, I surmise that the authors must have been unduly influenced by one of FDR'S famous fireside chats in which he stated: "I am going to put prices back at the 1926-1929 level and then hold them there for a generation" (this is from memory, unverified). The basic difficulty with the idea that cost dollars, as incurred, attach like barnacles to the physical flow of mate- rials and stream of operating activity is that it is at odds with the-actual process of valuation in a free competitive market. The customer does not buy a handful of classified and traced cost dollars; he buys a prod- WILLIAM A. PATON uct, at prevailing market price. And the market price may be either above or below any calculated cost figure. Despite any statements in the monograph that seem to hold otherwise, I have never espoused the socialistic, cost-plus interpretation of product pricing, and I apologize, humbly, for any apparent veering in this direction contained in Paton and Littleton. On the other hand, we have to admit that costs must be recognized and dealt with. Probably we can agree that orderly and reasonable procedure in the final absorption of costs incurred is pref- erable to purely arbitrary, haphazard treatment. For a long time I've been touting the idea that the central element in business operation is the resources (in hand or in prospect) and that the main objective of operation is the efficient utilization of the avail- able assets. I am further firmly convinced that the most significant measure of any resource is what it is currently worth (not always readily determinable, I'll grant). How can we determine where we stand, what earning rate we are achieving, or where we should go from here without knowing the value of employed resources? I object, vig- orously, to certified statements showing land and timber at a fraction of their demonstrable current market value, with no mention of the true facts anywhere. Several speakers at the conference, I am happy to report, took note of the importance of current market values. With respect to the present-day emphasis on prediction, I was greatly impressed with Professor Chambers' position, indicated in the following quotation: "I can readily admit the necessity of future cal- culations; but I cannot see how these calculations can be made, or if made, can be worthwhile, without the fullest possible knowledge of the present financial state of the firm and the fullest possible account of its past." In concluding these scattered comments, I can't forego the op- portunity to pay tribute to my longstanding and esteemed friend Professor Williard E. Stone. Who but Will Stone would have had the audacity to conceive of this conference, and who but he would have displayed the persistence and ingenuity necessary to bring such a proj- ect to an impressive fruition. Hearty congratulations to you, Williard! xi Information, Business, and Society Norton M. Bedford IF THERE IS ANYTHING to the total systems approach, it would ap- pear that some set of relationships ought to exist among information, business, and society. It would seem that business activities must de- pend on the information supplied the business entity and that the na- ture of society must depend significantly upon the actions taken by business. Contrariwise, it would seem that the nature of society will condition significantly that which business does and that the activities business decides to undertake will determine the type of information which needs to be supplied. Thus it appears that there must exist some- thing of a network or a system which flows from information to busi- ness to society and back again. Furthermore, it would appear that accountants, representing the main business-information system of American society, ought to be interested in the nature of the set of re- lationships implied by such a network. The development of such a set of relationships in detail and the construction of a network display of their interconnections are, of course, well beyond the capacity of hu- man accomplishments in the present and foreseeable future. Conse- quently, one must paint with a broader brush and in subdued, rather than bold, colors. Nevertheless, there is a great need for such a paint- ing if the accounting discipline is to adapt to this changing world. 2 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY Without such a picture, no matter how indistinct the pattern outline, there exist no acceptable criteria for expanding the scope of ac- counting technology and the area to which that technology should be applied. Let us start the picture of the network with the notion of informa- tion. While it has many definitions, the rather crude one that "infor- mation is a bit of news that reduces a decision-maker's uncertainty as to the decision he ought to make or the action he ought to take" will suffice for this analysis. Recall that this means that communicating to a decision-maker something already known would not be information, nor would disclosing a bit of news not bearing on the decision under examination qualify. By inference, if information reduces uncertainty, then misinformation would increase a decision-maker's uncertainty as to the decision he ought to make or the action to take. Furthermore, the nature of man's imagination is such that there is ample reason to think that misinformation, as well as information, is a well-established institution in most societies of the world. In fact, there seems to be such a considerable amount of misinformation floating around in so- ciety that any analysis of information ought to include an examination of the nature of misinformation and its impact on business and society. One more notion must be set forth before starting an analysis of the relationships among information, business, and society. It is the con- cept of "environmental instability," which is essentially a subjective concept because environment is merely that view of the outside world entertained by a decision-maker over which he believes he has no control. It includes the economic conditions of a society, the political philosophy prevailing within and among nations, and every other ex- ogenous constraining factor perceived by the decision-maker. Because these environmental factors seem to an individual decision-maker to fluctuate in a rather random manner, they represent nonconstant factors which the decision-maker views as environmental instability. In addition, if a decision-maker is confronted with an exogenous fac- tor of which he had not previously been aware, he thinks of the en- vironment as unstable, because it does not present itself to him in terms of specific known factors. In view of these two conditions, it appears that the environmental instability faced by a decision-maker may be increased either by making the decision-maker aware of previously un- considered factors in his environment or by, in fact, increasing the fluctuations of the factors comprising his known environment. To the decision-maker, both of these developments would result in an increase NORTON M. BEDFORD in the complexity of the environment in which he views himself as acting. To the decision-maker, changes in the instability of his envi- ronment represent changes in the complexity of the environment in which he is operating. In this sense, the complexity of an environment refers to the difficulty of perceiving and being aware of all elements in the environment and the way these elements interact. Complexity could be increased or decreased by changing the number of significant factors in the decision-maker's environment or by changing the extent of interactions among these factors. For an individual decision-maker, it is the instability of the environ- ment that makes decision-making difficult. Because he can never be completely informed, to the individual decision-maker the environ- ment is more of an unstable factor than it is a complex factor. But, on the average, for all decision-makers this instability varies directly and is highly correlated with the complexity of the environment. This is significant, for, at the macro level, with which this study is concerned, it is environmental complexity rather than environmental instability with which the accountant needs to be concerned. The advantage of shifting to the macro level is that the study shifts from the multitude of individual subjective views of environmental in- stability of each decision-maker to an average condition, which at any point in time is a single, valued condition. There is no way of knowing, of course, what this average condition of environmental instability is; in fact, there is no need to know, for our interest is concerned pri- marily with changes in the average and only incidentally with what it is at any one point in time. Changes in environmental instability, you will recall, were due ei- ther to the decision-maker becoming more aware of previously uncon- sidered factors in his environment or to an actual increase in the in- stability of the perceived environment. The shift to the macro level excludes the first of these from consideration, because, "on the aver- age," man's intelligence will not change so rapidly that there will be a sudden overall increase in man's intuitive perception of the nature of his environment. Rather, without formal information-development processes, it appears that man's ability to comprehend his existing en- vironment occurs slowly. This means that, if a study is seeking to determine the relationships among information, business, and society at only a general level, it is appropriate to ignore the gradual intuitive increase in the intellectual capacity of man to understand his environ- ment. This does not mean that this factor must be ignored. If one is 4 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY more rigorously inclined, there is certainly no reason not to develop a rate of change in man's ability to understand the environment in which he operates and then add this to the change in the complexity of the previously known environment. For the purpose of starting this anal- ysis, however, it is assumed that at the macro level the bulk of the changes in the instability of the environment are due to changes in the actual complexity of that environment. These changes in the com- plexity of the environment are technological and social value changes with which accounting information can, without assuming a subjec- tive point of view, be concerned. Returning to more familiar ground in order to set up a relationship between the business decision-making process and information, note that individual decision-makers face various degrees of uncertainty in the various decision-making activities. For some decisions, they are al- most certain as to what they should do. In such a situation, an item of news confirming a condition about which the decision-maker was al- most certain would not provide a great deal of help to him. Such a bit of news would represent a small amount of information because it would not reduce significantly the decision-maker's condition of un- certainty. Recall, however, that the amount of information is quite distinct from the value of information, because the value of informa- tion typically refers to the income or utility increase resulting from the use of the information. The distinction between amount and value of information is best revealed by an example. Thus, if a decision-maker were fairly certain that he should decide to take action A rather than action B, a news item confirming that he should decide on A would represent a small amount of information. But, if the income difference between action A and action B were $50,000, the small amount of in- formation could be of considerable value. The point is that the value of information depends upon the decision-making opportunities avail- able to the decision-maker and not on his uncertainty about them. On the average, or over the long run, assuming income opportunities are random in nature, there would be a high correlation between the amount and value of information. In the macro sense of this study, they may, therefore, be considered as similar measures. To avoid any misunderstanding, however, this study is confined to the relationship of the amount of information to the business decision-making process. With this relationship between the amount and value of information in mind, recall that if a decision-maker were highly uncertain as to which among possible alternative decisions he should select, a news NORTON M. BEDFORD 5 item indicating the proper decision to make would be of considerable help to him and would represent a large amount of information, unless a certain psychological point, which will be examined in a few mo- ments, has been reached. The relationship of business decision-making uncertainty to infor- mation is best examined with the diagram on the following page. In order to simplify comprehension of the diagram, the explanation will start with a discussion of the curves in the first quadrant. Presum- ably, this is the condition of the business world today, although one has doubts at times that there really is more information than misin- formation now provided business decision-makers. Briefly, the curves in the first quadrant reveal that, as environmental complexity goes from low to high, the decision-maker's uncertainty condition, his entropy, increases at a rapid rate. This is reflected in the "uncertainty-level" curve. The function of information appears on the chart as one of reducing the amount of uncertainty from the total area between the uncertainty-level curve and the positive x-axis to the cross-hatched portion between the uncertainty-level curve and the "amount of information" curve. The curves indicate that the gap between the uncertainty level and the amount of information grad- ually increases as the uncertainty-level curve increases at a rapid rate; whereas the amount of information curve decreases at a rather rapid rate until, from point 2 on, increases in data actually decrease the amount of information provided decision-makers. The curves in the first quadrant appear intuitively reasonable. The idea that an increase in the number of variables, conditions, or events to be considered a part of the environment causes decision-making un- certainty to rise tends to agree with one's personal experience when confronted with too many factors to be considered in making a deci- sion. Also, the idea that information helps reduce uncertainty, until one gets so much of it that it cannot be comprehended, agrees with one's personal psychological experience. The curves are based on more than intuition, however, for they are supported in general by certain research studies in psychology.1 Limited direct confirmation of their validity at the micro level has been provided by a nonquanti- tative empirical research study of the reactions of a purchasing agent of a university. In this research, the purchasing agent's area of purchas- ing responsibilities was increased substantially. This resulted in, and 1. See unpublished study by Professor Lawrence S. Revsine, University of Illinois (Urbana-Champaign, Illinois). II Possible amount of information Uncertainty level High i- II1IIII High Environmental simplicity Environmental complexity Amount of misinformation Possible amount of misinformation SThe Origin of Certainty Information level III IV High Relationship of Business Decision-Making Uncertainty to Information NORTON M. BEDFORD 7 was treated as, an increase in environmental complexity. The addi- tional responsibilities were assigned as though they were new perma- nent responsibilities. Under the research project, this condition pre- vailed for one month. At the same time, using a computer, the amount of data pertinent to the decisions to be made was increased to the point that the purchasing agent could not read it all. At the end of the month, confusion reigned supreme. Although further research on the validity of the curves is needed for purposes of developing a sensitivity to the interrelationships among information, business, and society, the curves have been accepted as valid in this analysis. The agonizing part about the curves in the first quadrant is that as a society we do not know where, at the macro level, business decision- making uncertainty and information now exist on the curve. It is a question of considerable concern to accountants whether business is now supplied data at level 1, 2, or 3. The fact that many business exec- utives have employees digest and brief information reports suggests that our business-information condition may be beyond point 2. Other requests for information from business executives suggest that the present condition may be closer to point 1 than to point 2. On balance, considering the twentyfold increase in paper work in business in the last fifteen years, one is inclined to the view that, overall, the present business information condition may be on the downward slope of the information curve. Supporting this view is the statement of a scientist at Arthur D. Little that in the seventies, one of the three major prob- lems facing business and society will be "a surfeit of information" that may engulf us all before we can do anything about the other two problems-pollution and a lack of energy sources. On the other hand, the rather amazing success of business as reflected in the growth of the gross national product implies that some very sound business decisions have been made in recent years. This, in turn, implies that the environ- mental complexity is not so involved that decision-making must take place under conditions of high uncertainty. In this context, one is inclined to the view that the prevailing uncertainty level has not reached excessive heights and may be somewhere near a point on the uncertainty-level curve directly vertical from point 2 on the informa- tion curve. The determination of the present point on the two curves is a critical problem for accountants. If, for example, empirical research supports the belief that too many data are now being provided deci- sion-makers, it means that accountants will have to redirect research 8 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY toward means for compressing information (possibly along the lines Baruch Lev suggested in his research study on information theory and accounting) and toward means for improving the accounting percep- tion process in order to be more selective in recognizing data for proc- essing. Broadly, the implication is that accounting research ought to be directed toward compression and selectivity methods. With the explanation of the first quadrant curves complete, it is rel- atively easy to grasp the meaning of the curves in the third quadrant. As "environmental simplicity" increases along the x-axis, the "cer- tainty level" in which decisions are made increases more than propor- tionately. Mitigating against the implication that the source of peace and contentment of man is withdrawal from the hostility of the pres- ently perceived environment is the emergence of misinformation in society. From misinformation arises (1) distrust among men due to lack of communication; (2) myths and false guides for action, due to lack of knowledge, as studies of certain tribes of Africa reveal; and (3) general confusion among men regarding proper action. Ultimate- ly, excessive misinformation will be categorized as irrelevant and ig- nored for decision-making, and the amount of misinformation curve will turn up toward the x-axis. While this situation is not relevant to the topic of this paper, for conceptual completeness one might con- clude that movement to the left on the environmental simplicity x-axis, while tending to create a condition of certainty in decision- making, really represents a return to animallike life, where decisions are made on the basis of instinct and intuition. The second quadrant curve indicates that, if information is increased as the environment becomes more simple, the amount of certainty in decision-making increases. This is reflected in the area between the "possible amount of information" curve in the second quadrant and the certainty-level curve in the third quadrant. It is in the fourth quadrant that the role of misinformation in mod- ern society is revealed. Essentially, increases in incorrect data increase, up to a point, the decision-making uncertainty area lying between the uncertainty-level curve in the first quadrant and the "possible amount of misinformation" curve in the fourth quadrant. While empirical evi- dence on the role of misinformation in modern society is lacking, lim- ited analyses and intuitive reactions indicate that at least two types of misinformation prevail in modern society: (1) purposely released misinformation, in the form of propaganda intended to widen the decision-making uncertainty area until confu- NORTON M. BEDFORD 9 sion results and man is no longer able to act in his best interest; and (2) nonpurposely released information, in the form of inadequate perception by message receivers and inadequate sensing of the environment. The implication of the curve in the fourth quarter is that, while mis- leading advertising pays, if the objective is to confuse the decision- making of others, it pays only up to a point. One might, in an opti- mistic mood, suggest that the curve implies that if we get enough misinformation in society people might ultimately tend to ignore it and use only reliable information. This possibility has implications for the auditing function in society, for audited information would be re- liable information. Of course, to the extent that the auditing function becomes more fully recognized as one of providing reliable informa- tion, there will have to occur a significant expansion in both the audit- ing tools and technology and the scope of applications of the auditing function in society. There is, in fact, some evidence to indicate that auditing has taken a few first steps along the long road of developing reliable information for society. As to where our society now stands on the possible amount of mis- information curve in the fourth quadrant, one can only hope that we are near the nadir and that the depth of the misinformation curve is not so much greater than the height of the information curve that mis- information's devisive role is on the wane in modern society. As of now, man can only make his guesses and call for extensive social psy- chology research. Returning to the main topic of this paper, note that there is a subtle intuitive implication reflected in the first quadrant curves to the effect that the "environmental complexity" of business is constantly increas- ing in American society and is creating a more than proportionate in- crease in the entropy facing business decision-makers. What is the evi- dence to support such a proposition? Actually, there is precious little, and the problem becomes one of searching for evidence. Broadly, there appear to be two reasonable ways to look for this evidence. One is to examine developments in the business world itself; the other is to examine the problem of the business environment from the point of view of society. As to the developments in the business world itself, it seems most convincing to note a few specific environmental developments since World War i which reveal that business decision-makers face a con- stantly increasing complex business environment. For example: INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY (1) There has been an increasing specialization of workers, which has created much greater interdependence among business actions. As a result of the increasing interdependence, the business decision-maker has become well aware that the consequences of a decision may be felt in many other parts of the business world. Reactions to decisions come from unexpected places. (2) The size of large business entities has increased significantly, which creates the possibility that a lower-level decision-maker may be suboptimizing his own area of responsibility to the detriment of other areas of the total entity. This would be so because of his inability to grasp and relate all activities of the total entity. (3) The population explosion has been widely recognized and, be- cause it increases more than proportionately the communication chan- nels which could exist among people, makes decision-makers aware of the difficulty of their task of discerning changes in the wants and needs of society which have to be satisfied by business. (4) The knowledge explosion since World War n has created multiple ways of doing things. Products can be produced and distrib- uted in different ways and the correct way at one particular point in time depends upon the circumstances. Overall, the result is a more complex environment for decision-making. (5) Organizations have become more complex in a psychological sense. That is, involved motivational and inspirational devices are used to coordinate effective employee relationships. These devices are part of the business environment as tools which the decision-maker must consider using in selecting courses of action. These five situations are illustrative and not conclusive evidence that the business environment seems to be becoming more and more com- plex. It is hoped, however, that the illustrations are sufficient to gen- erate support for the proposition that the business environment is now most complex and that business itself is a highly interdependent struc- ture of separate entities. The illustrations do not reveal trends, let alone a rate of trend change; thus, they afford no basis for predicting the future, except possibly to imply that things will be different. Yet, if one aspires to establish a set of relationships among information, busi- ness, and society, it would be highly desirable to be able to predict developments in one of these areas and then to use the developed re- lationships to predict developments in other areas. An examination of the cause of changes in the business world is therefore appropriate. It is assumed to be impossible to even recognize, let alone itemize 10 NORTON M. BEDFORD and categorize, all the forces for change in the business world. But a study of a number of them suggests that technology underlies them all. The proposition accepted in this study is that technology is the most powerful force for change in the business environment and that its influence seems to be increasing. At the macro level, this suggests that, if means were available to forecast technological change, that forecast could be used to predict the future complexity of the business decision-maker's environment. Technological forecasting is a relatively new discipline. Its method- ology is not well developed, but some of its current findings are signif- icant to anyone interested in the information needs of future society. Some of these are discussed in the following pages. The first finding of significance is that applications of technological forecasting proceed as shown in the accompanying diagram. The elongated S curve is based on a number of empirical studies which indicate that business use of technological development pro- ceeds through a pioneering stage at a slow rate of application then accelerates until new applications are rapidly introduced. This stage of rapid applications continues until the possibilities of application tend toward exhaustion at the upper level of the curve. The expectation line is the significant line to accountants. This line reflects the human tendency to extrapolate linearly, and the gap be- tween the "expectation line" and the "application line" represents an information gap in society which needs to be corrected and for which accountants might assume a responsibility. The gap when expectations lag behind actual applications, area A on the graph, is serious in that it develops an indifferent attitude on the part of decision-makers that tends to foster careless decision-making and a disdain for advanced decision-making technology. It needs to be corrected by an improved information system if business decision-making is to be performed in harmony with environmental developments. It is the gap in area B on the graph that is much more significant, however, for, when expecta- tions exceed realization, human frustration and conflict result, which, in turn, tend to result in an undesirable atmosphere that can only do harm for the institution of business. While the implication of the fol- lowing graph on the application of one technological development may be quite significant to decision-makers in an industry devoted to its development, for all of business, interest attaches to the rate at which new technological developments are introduced into society. The limited evidence available suggests that in an overall sense the rate 11 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY of technological innovation is still in a period of rapid expansion. As fast as one technological development is exploited and fully applied, new developments occur, so that, in the envelope-curve context, the rate of total technological change in society is rapidly upward and may even be accelerating. High Expectation line /-- / Application line A Expectation line Low to tl t2 t3 t4 tn-3 -2 tn-1 tn Time Extent of Utilization of Technological Development The fact is that, up until 1800, technological activity was under the control of an authoritarian philosophy of life. Authoritative pro- nouncements were accepted without question and without testing them against reality. Starting before but emerging as a replacement to the authoritarian philosophy of life about 1800 came the philosophy of "experimentally tested thought," widely heralded as the scientific method. This method of experimentally tested thought generated a steady acceleration of technological development which carried over 12 NORTON M. BEDFORD into an expanded role for business in society. But the limitation to the tested thought philosophy is that different specialized fields of study were kept quite distinct, and this separateness of fields of study re- sulted in duplicate and redundant basic work in different fields. Be- cause the fields were not coordinated, technological advances did not occur as rapidly as they might have. Moving now in the waning years of the twentieth century to complement the philosophy of experi- mentally tested thought is the philosophy of "interfield innovation" to motivate and control human and technological developments. The central goal of this new emerging philosophy of life is to "satisfy hu- man needs"; it is reflected in newspaper jargon as "the cult of the young," "the student revolt," or "the hippie movement." Actually, the only reason the new philosophy is mislabeled as a youth movement is that many post-thirty members of society, having attained some degree of security in society, have lost the sharpness of their sensi- tivity to new developments. But whatever its cause and precise nature, the new philosophy of interfield innovation breaks down the barriers among different fields of study and provides for the use, under an overall systems approach, of developments in any field that promises to further a technological advance. The result of this mingling of vari- ous fields of study reduces duplicate studies, broadens perspective, and tends to accelerate even more technological advances in all parts of so- ciety. Now, as this occurs, the dependence of business decision-makers on formal information will increase rapidly. This is so, because past ex- perience is not repeated in a time of such rapid change and the infor- mation informally obtained by decision-makers by experience over the years past loses its relevance. The implication is that so rigid is to be the relationship between business and information in the future that business decision-making may become an information function, with the power of business flowing to the centers of information. The conclusion that technological change is to increase at an increas- ing rate is supported by a number of technological forecasts in such diverse areas as (1) the speed of aircraft; (2) human transportation speeds, in general, which suggest, incidentally, that by the year 2350 we shall be approaching the speed of light; (3) efficiency of fuel- burning electric power plants; (4) rate of improvement in the grinding process; (5) efficiency of, illumination sources; (6) lowest tempera- ture achieved in the laboratory by artificial means; (7) machine tool tolerances; (8) micro-engineering; and (9) installed technological! horsepower in the United States. Illustrative of the results of these 13 9,000 Combat aircraft 8,000 - 7,000 - 0 , 6,000 - V 5,000- Cgl 4,000- 3,000- 2,000- 1,000 500- 250 - 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 Trend of Aircraft Speed NORTON M. BEDFORD technological forecasts is the accompanying chart of maximum air- craft speed for the period 1925 to 2000.2 The implication so far is that information and business are going to be much more interrelated in the future than in the past. There has also been an implication, based on the premise that the main force for change in business is technology, that the business environment of the future is going to change rapidly and will need a greatly improved quality of information in the future. This emerging problem of infor- mation quality, with which accountants are becoming increasingly concerned, is viewed as the solution to the previously discussed possi- bility that excessive data, posing as information, are now being pre- sented to business decision-makers. The conclusion is that accounting research of the future ought to be directed primarily to the two problems of: (1) developing a methodology for compressing information; and (2) developing perception processes to improve the selectivity of information. It would be of interest to make a prediction of the probability that the information-development process of the future, still known as ac- counting presumably, will be adequate to supply the information needs of the future. Unfortunately, this symposium came about six months too soon to include actual data into the information-prediction model which I believe appropriate for this question. The model, adapted from a study by A. L. Floyd of Lockheed Aircraft, is based on the trend of the "amount of information per bit of data communi- cated." The forecast is to be based on the calculation of a probability of improving the information per data bit through applied research effort. The model appears somewhat as follows. The probability that a researcher will improve the quality of infor- mation (quantity of information per data bit) on one research project from level 1 to level 2 would be: X (1) P(2,1) = -,where: X is the number of possible research projects that would result in an advance in the information per data bit from level 1 to level 2; and M is the total number of research projects that could be undertaken by the researcher. 2. Adapted from James R. Bright, ed., Technological Forecasting for Industry and Government (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1968), p. 68. 15 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY If this basic formula (1) is expanded to include the average number of qualified researchers R, each completing N research projects per period of time, the probability that the accounting profession will advance the information per data bit to a given level L in a given time span (At) would be: (2) P(L,At) = 1 X (t) This states that the probability of advancing the quality of account- ing information to level L is merely 1 minus the probability of not ad- vancing to the new level. X Practically, it is believed that a measure of both M and I (informa- tion per data bit) can be simulated by a research project on this issue using accounting reports over the period 1933-1970. These initial measures of the ratio of successful research projects to projects at- tempted and of the information per data bit at level 1 can be used as a starting point. It is assumed that the information per data bit can be improved-by any one of a number of itemized possible research proj- ects. The itemization of possible research projects is still an open- ended project in itself that will be arbitrarily closed on August 31, 1970, after approximately two hours' study per week for one year. Now, given the objective of improving the quality of information per data bit and the finite number of possible research projects M of which X will result in an improvement in the information per data bit, it is evident that as improvements are made in I (information per data bit), the number of successful research projects remaining to be com- pleted will decrease slightly. However, if one posits a limit to the in- formation per data bit of I = 50 per cent of the uncertainty condition, it is apparent that as the level of I approaches this limit due to research results, the number of remaining successful research projects must ap- proach 0. For purposes of this model under development, it will be assumed that the rate of change in the remaining successful research projects is proportional to the number of research projects used to develop the quality of information to the prevailing higher level above level 1. This may be expressed as: (3) = -k(M X), where: 16 NORTON M. BEDFORD A2 is the change in the level of I; and k is a constant. Integrating equation (3) between the level 2 amount of information per data bit and the limiting value of I, defined as E, while X ranges from 0 to X, is found as follows: M 0 E X dx -k (4) M = M- X k d2, X 2 which may be expressed as: = 1 exp [-k(E- 2)]. M Note that equation (4) does not recognize that X and M change with time and that k could be time-dependent. X Now, if we substitute the derived value --into equation (2), we have: (5) P(L,At) = 1 exp [-(E 2)kNR(At)]. This means that the probability of moving the quality of informa- tion per data bit I to level 1 over any period of time is equal to the dif- ference between 1 P(t) and the result of multiplying the probabil- ities of not achieving level L as follows: t (6) P(L,t) = 1 exp[-(E- 2) kNR(At)]. 00 Now the trouble with equation (6) is that, although it replaces the sum of all the kNR(At) elements in equation (5) with the integral, the integral cannot be evaluated because the number of researchers R can be varied, which significantly influences the rate of time by which the quality of information is improved. But is it possible to assume that, once the accounting profession shifts its interest to the improvement of the quality of their informa- tion and away from the quantity of data, researchers will shift from efforts to develop additional data bits to the new area of research. While the form of this shift in interest is not known, it is assumed that 17 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY the rate of shift is a function of the difference in the amount of infor- mation provided by improving the quality of information over in- creasing the quantity of information in the same period of time. Then the number of researchers available to carry out research projects to improve the quality of information could be estimated as: (7) R = R(fge fgn)Ro(t), where: fge = effectiveness measure of improving accounting information by improving quality; fgn = effectiveness measure of improving accounting information by increasing quantity; and Ro(t) = the growth rate of total accounting researchers. Then, the first order approximation (fge fgn) can be used to make the assumption that: (8) R = (fge fgn)Ro(t). Now assuming that k and N in equation (6) are relatively constant, equation (8) can be placed in equation (6) to yield: t (9) P(L,t) = 1 exp [-(E 2) (fge fgn)T(t)dt], where: 00 T(t) is a function which varies with time and is equal to k(t) N(t) Ro(t). For future projections, the probability P(L,t) may be held at a con- stant 50 percent value, and then the way the information per data bit improves with time can be estimated. By setting P(L,t) = .5, the inte- gral in equation (9) can be evaluated by separation of variables with the result that: (10) P(L,t)= .5 = 1- exp [Y] 1 (C- ) where: 1 fgn/E 1 fge/E' C1, C2 are constants; and the integral of T(t) = constant times change in time for the finite ranges of time considered. Equation (10) is the basis for plotting and projecting the trend of 18 NORTON M. BEDFORD changes in the quality of information (information per data bit). Three measurements are necessary to use it: (1) the limit of the information per data bit to which we aspire; (2) the extent to which accounting information can be improved by increasing quantity must be estimated; and (3) the value of C, must be determined from at least two data points. Lacking data to test the formula at this time but putting it through the computer with arbitrary numbers and comparing it with the trend of technological changes as exemplified on page 14 as a reflection of the change in business environment, one develops an apprehension that accounting information, including that developed by management sci- ence technology, cannot be developed rapidly enough to be adequate for the needs of business decision-makers well before the year 2000. Turning now to an examination of environmental complexity from the point of view of society as a whole, it seems appropriate to confine the concept of environment to the set of human activities and those parts of the physical environment to which there is a human reaction. This set of human activities is, from a broad structural sociological point of view, merely the interactions among individuals or groups in society. These interactions are governed by the socially accepted modes of thought and action of individuals or groups. In addition to these social norms, which stimulate specific actions by individuals and groups, cultural values indicate in general how a group or an individ- ual in a society will behave. For example, in some societies the majority of the population may prefer football. In other societies the majority may prefer opera. The interrelated mass of these norms and values rep- resents the framework or structure of society in the sense that the mass is all tied together in a sort of interconnected network of relationships. The status and functioning of this unified, total human social structure imposes realistic restraints on the activities or operations of individual business firms within that society. Illustrative of these restraints are such business commandments as: (1) Business action shall not disturb the social norms of private property and freedom of choice. (2) Business action shall not disturb suddenly the cultural values which provide stability to a society. (3) Business actions shall not disturb those aspects of the physical environment which influence social norms and cultural values. Subject to a multitude of manifest and latent social and physical con- 19 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY straints such as those listed, business seems to have relatively free choice in what it chooses to do. There is, however, a growing realiza- tion in the business world today that the chosen objective of optimiz- ing the economic operations of the business entity may have so domi- nated business interests that both the established social norms and cultural values of American society have been weakened, with the re- sult that total human society seems, to many members of society, to be falling apart. As evidence, they point not only to the pollution of our physical environment but also to the apparent loss of purpose in hu- man life emerging in our total society. It is this disorganization of the human environment and its tendency to destroy meaning in life, they contend, that represents the present-day environment with which business decision-makers must be concerned in planning (budgeting) and controlling the operation of a business entity. In more precise terms, it seems that the impact of the excessive in- terest in economic objectives, along with a multiple list of other factors such as the population increase, industrialization, and higher education, seem to have, according to the economic law of diminishing utility, dulled human sensitivity to social norms and cultural values to such an extent that a decrease in the stability of human responses to specific stimuli is in reality what has occurred. As a result, it becomes more and more difficult to predict behavior, and, to the casual observer, so- ciety does indeed seem to be falling apart. This instability of the hu- man response increases with rapid changes. The overall result is an in- crease in the uncertainty condition on the part of the people who must act, which manifests itself in an increased risk to business operations and even to the business institution itself. These risks, it must be reiter- ated, are due to the instability of the human response to the traditional stimuli of values and norms. They are now environmental constraints of such magnitude that they must be considered in business operations and budgeting; whereas, they may have been recognized informally in the past when they were less significant elements. The point being made is that business must adjust its activities to be in accord with the prevailing cultural values and norms of the society in which it operates. This relationship between business and society is becoming more and more a rigid relationship that cannot be violated. Furthermore, it is the function of information to enable business to comply with this relationship. In an effort to restrict the scope of this paper, the opposite problem of the set of responsibilities of society to business is not considered. 20 NORTON M. BEDFORD With this background in mind, it is time to discuss the nature of so- ciety and the way it is changing toward the objective of determining more precisely the relationships among information, business, and so- ciety that will prevail in the future. As to the nature of the components (the specific elements of the social environment) which should be considered in providing infor- mation for business planning and budgeting and to managers for oper- ating business entities, there seem to be as many views as there are social scientists. The problem is an ever present consideration, how- ever, for all societies in human history have had to operate according to the restrictions of the relationships among the values and norms of society. But the situation is more acute today, for not only is the world most complex, but it is also highly interrelated and this interrelated- ness means that actions in one part of a complex society may have an unknown impact in another part of society. It is, therefore, particu- larly important that business firms view and understand the whole sys- tem of human society before they seek to improve the operations of their subpart of that whole system. Otherwise, they may do more harm than good to the total system. It may well be that the cause of much of the unfavorable view of business today is the tendency of business entities to suboptimize their own entity operations to the det- riment of the whole human social system. It may be fair to contend that the failure of business decision-makers to consider the constraints imposed by society on business operations and budgeting has caused business firms to fail to respond to the changed social system arising in the post-World War ii period. It may be that business has not clearly perceived its role in society. It may be that business in general has not recognized that the interests and values of society have to be part of the interests and values of the business, because business is merely part of society. It seems reasonable to suggest that businessmen must quit thinking about their "social responsibilities," because the term implies that business is separated from society. Rather, business has to start thinking about the role of business in society and to consider the proper functions of business in human society. Business must stop thinking that the subparts of society (and business is merely one of many subparts) are relatively independent of the whole system. Busi- nessmen must operate and budget in terms of the whole society system. It is the overwhelming task of information to see that business is sufficiently informed to make this adjustment, and accountants must begin to so think. This requirement-that businessmen must think in 21 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY terms of the whole social environment-is a requirement that will be extremely difficult for accountants to implement. It has been pointed out previously that technological change alone is going to increase the complexity of business operations to such an extent that a doubt arose that information developers could meet that need by the year 2000. Now, consideration of the social environment and the realization that business must be more sensitive to and more cooperative with that social environment places an even greater burden on the information function in society. The only reasonable approach to this aspect of the functioning of accounting information and business appears to be to assume that the social environment faced by business decision-makers can be under- stood by studying the manifest and latent communications network prevailing in total society. The type of communication network re- ferred to is the flow of all types of messages throughout the environ- ment, where the term "message" is used in its broad sense as the transmission of motivational stimuli that cause action. If the business entity were well wired into this total communication network by an expanded monitoring information system, it could become aware of the constraints which the environment is placing on its operations. It seems reasonable to suggest that it is the responsibility of accounting information, as one likes to view accounting, to see that business starts becoming well wired, by an information network, into all activities of society, in order that society will continue to accept the institution of business as we know it. Limited historical evidence indicates that so- ciety measures organizational goals in terms of their perceived con- tribution to the functioning of the total system of which the single organization is only a part. Organizational business goals become an operational subset of the aims of the society and must be devised, in- terpreted, and implemented within that essential social environmental constraint. Not to do so ensures the failure not only of the individual business manager but of the institution of business as well. Thus, the goal-setting problem of an organization includes the task of deter- mining a relationship of the organization to the larger society. The set of relationships between business and society must be such that it will be apparent that the question of what business organization goals shall be depends significantly upon what society wants done or can be persuaded by business to support. Furthermore, since changes in both business organizations and society are constantly taking place and will alter organization goals, these goals need to be constantly re- 22 NORTON M. BEDFORD viewed and altered appropriately. As further explanation of the nature of the set of relationships between business and society, note that the goals of a business organization determine the kind of goods and serv- ices which the organization will produce and offer to society. When the goals are easily identified, social appraisal and evaluation of goals may be accomplished by referring to appropriate accounting data. When goals are intangible and not clearly evident to society, the social appraisal of the goals and the effectiveness with which they are carried out is much more difficult; social unrest arises. This means that infor- mation must facilitate public awareness of the extent to which business goals are in harmony with the goals of total society. Presumably, this could be accomplished by an expansion of the auditing concept in society. In conclusion, some consideration must be given to the problem of predicting the future values and norms of society in order to attempt to arrange a set of relationships among information, business, and so- ciety that will span time and further the development of civilization.3 Although the notion of a norm or value change is readily understood at a very general level of consideration, the forecasting of specific norm or value changes is most involved. There are great complexities in the way different ones interact with one another. Note first that a norm-value change is generally not a matter of sub- scribing to or abandoning a certain norm or value. Rather, it is a matter of the extent to which the norm-value is believed and the way it is grouped with others. Also, the norm-values of society tend to conflict with one another when taken in the aggregate in just the way our life- needs (for rest, amusement, exercise, and rewarding activity) contra- dict one another in competing for time, attention, and resources. The practical importance of the problem of future norm-values is so great, however, that attempts to deal with it cannot be abandoned because of its difficulties. With this reservation constantly in mind, the subsequent considerations of future American norm-values will con- sider those values itemized by the working party on "values and rights" of the Commission on the Year 2000 of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. In the deliberations of this commission, the follow- ing norm-values were regarded as particularly affected by or involved in foreseeable future developments: (1) Privacy 3. Much of the following material on value change was obtained from a lecture by Professor Nicholas Rescher at the University of Texas in 1969. 23 INFORMATION, BUSINESS, SOCIETY (2) Equality (legal, social, and economic) (3) Personal integrity (versus depersonalization) (4) Welfare (personal and social) (5) Freedom (of choice and action) (6) Law abidingness and public order (7) Pleasantness of environment (8) Social adjustment (9) Efficiency and effectiveness in organizations (10) Rationality (organizational and individual) (11) Education and intelligence (12) Ability and talent. Actually, the values in this list can be sorted into three categories as follows: (1) Individual rights norm-values-privacy, equality, personal in- tegrity, welfare, freedom (2) Life-setting norm-values-public order, pleasantness of envi- ronment (3) Personal characteristic norm-values-efficiency, rationality, so- cial adjustment, education, intelligence, ability, talent. Each of the norm-values in the basic list can also be placed into one of the two categories as (1) threatened in the future, or (2) needed in the future. Individual rights norm-values and life-setting norm-values clearly fall into the threatened category in that their realization is apt to be substantially more difficult in the future society. The condition of being needed appears to be the lot of the personal characteristic norm-values in that their espousal, maintenance, and realization will be especially important in the future society. In addition to the basic list of social and ability norm-values, there can be little question that the character norm-values of honesty, loy- alty, idealism, friendliness, and truthfulness will have a yet greater need in the crowded, depersonalized, and complex society of the future, however highly these values may have been prized heretofore. Ameri- can society has treasured these character values throughout its history, but in the future they will very likely be markedly upgraded as a social environment takes shape in which they are increasingly indispensable. Witness the call of the youth for honesty in government. The plain fact is that over the past generation there has been a marked tendency in American norm-values to shift from the notion of "getting ahead in the world" to the notion of "service to mankind." This is a trend that will certainly continue and possibly intensify. 24 NORTON M. BEDFORD 25 Although there is no quantified basis for the projection, the forecast is that known changes in specific values are underway and that busi- ness must adjust to them. Accountants should aspire to provide the in- formation to enable the adjustments to be made. Overall, the responsibility of the information function in discover- ing, developing, and maintaining a desirable set of relationships be- tween business and society is an appalling comprehension. When one realizes that society is not a static structure and that there is a need for a constant awareness of the changes taking place in society, it seems quite clear that American society is going to have to direct a much greater portion of its resources to the information industry. It seems that accountants ought now to be doing research on methods for per- ceiving and monitoring both internal and external activities in and surrounding business and that they should be attempting to develop new concepts of significance and of objectivity. Discussion on Norton Bedford Paper "Information, Business, and Society" John T. Wheeler WHEN I AGREED to be the discussant for the Bedford paper, I did not realize I would be expected to comment on information, busi- ness, and society, and all in fifteen minutes. Professor Bedford has treated us to a tour de force of accounting as the information system of business in the society of the seventies. I could not possibly com- ment on all facets of his presentation. Instead, I would like to focus on three issues raised in the paper which I believe are of utmost impor- tance to accountants, the future of accounting, and the foundations of accounting theory. First, the relationship between information systems and account- ing needs to be explored. Some people view the two as almost syn- onymous. Others look at a subsystem of information called the management-information system and equate it with accounting. This is the position which Bedford seems to take. For example, he states, "It seems reasonable to suggest that it is the responsibility of account- ing information, as one likes to view accounting, to see that business starts becoming well wired, by an information network, into all activ- ities of society, in order that society will continue to accept the insti- tution of business as we know it." I take a much more limited view of accounting as a special form of 26 JOHN T. WHEELER an information system limited to data expressed in monetary terms and with a generally agreed upon set of rules for the collection, manipula- tion, and dissemination of data for the use of decision-makers. I have the old-fashioned notion that the people in market research, produc- tion control, personnel, public relations, etc., have a role to play in the total management-information system. The present trend of accountants is in the direction attributed to philosophers who learn less and less about more and more until they know nothing about everything. We know little enough now without compounding our ignorance by trying to encompass within account- ing all aspects of information or even of management information. There is nothing in the training, experience, or personal characteristics of accountants to indicate a competence for providing information to business decision-makers concerning changes in legal, social, and po- litical factors in the environment within which business operates or concerning changes in human factors within the organization. Ac- countants need to define clearly the area within which they will oper- ate and be certain that they possess the competence to perform at a high level within the scope of their defined activities. Second, the relationship between accounting and our business sys- tem needs to be clarified. There is a distinct symbiotic relationship be- tween accounting and business. Business could not have developed to its present complexity without the related advancements in account- ing, and accounting has been forced to grow in stature to retain its place in business and provide its segment of information to manage- ment, investors, government, and the general public. Accounting, however, is not the handmaiden of business, and it is not the role of accountants to preserve any particular institutions or specific eco- nomic system. Accounting is a universal type of information system which is needed in every known form of economic system and by all resource-using people or organizations within those systems. In our own society, accounting is as vital to government as to business, to nonprofit organizations as to business firms. We need to expand our horizons but not so much in terms of a larger role within the business firm but rather to a larger role within society by giving more attention to our possible service to nonbusiness organizations and to society in general. This does not mean that the role of accounting in business cannot grow or should not change. Accounting is an indispensable element in the operation of business in a free-enterprise economy. If one studies 27 the more limited role which accounting plays in firms in centrally planned socialist economies, it becomes evident that, despite the many limitations in the present state of accounting, the operation of com- plex industrial organizations in an increasingly complex society has been made possible by the sophisticated information role of modern accounting. I find myself in rather strong disagreement with Bedford on the role of individual business firms within our society. He states, "The status and functioning of this unified, total human social structure imposes realistic restraints on the activities or operations of individual business firms within that society. Illustrative of these restraints are such busi- ness commandments as: (1) Business action shall not disturb the social norms of private property and freedom of choice. [I believe business should operate so as to demonstrate that these are viable social norms in our emerging society.] (2) Business action shall not disturb suddenly the cultural values which provide stability to a society. [This places business in a conservative role, but business was once a revolutionary force in society, and it needs to return to this position if it is to provide leadership in bringing about a new and better society.] (3) Business actions shall not disturb those aspects of the physical environment which influence social norms and cultural values. [Business must dis- turb the physical environment, but it should do so in a way which will contribute positively to the determination and attainment of social norms and cultural values.]" In short, I would argue, as Bedford does, that business firms are merely a part of society and they must operate in conformance with the interests and values of society. This does not mean that business decision-makers should seek to preserve the status quo. Just as business has been an aggressive force in bringing about technological change, it should also operate so as to provide leadership in building a new and better society. Bedford speaks about interfield innovation with respect to technological change, but it is even more appropriate to apply this term to the essential role of business in bringing about change in general. Third, the relationship between accounting and society needs to be developed. Accounting theory has developed with a theoretical foun- dation in the theory of the firm and the economic concept of business income. This strong tie to micro-economics has been of fundamental importance in the structure of accounting theory. We have, however, failed to develop a comparable foundation in macro-economics. Ac- 28 DISCUSSION JOHN T. WHEELER counting should serve society, and the foundations of accounting the- ory should rest on welfare economics rather than on the theory of the business firm. Bedford has pointed to important forces in society which must be recognized by accountants, and, by implication at least, they should be factors in the emergence of new foundations for ac- counting theory. He states, "The proposition accepted in this study is that technology is the most powerful force for change in the business environment and that its influence seems to be increasing." He goes on to point out the emergence of the "philosophy of interfield innovation to motivate and control human and technological developments." He then explains that "the central goal of this new emerging philoso- phy of life is to 'satisfy human needs'; it is reflected in newspaper jargon as 'the cult of the young,' 'the student revolt,' or 'the hippie movement.' " This view of technology appears to me to be outmoded. One of the messages of today is that the role of technology is to serve rather than determine. It is social values rather than technology which is the most powerful force for change in the business environment. Bedford, in a later section of his paper, seems to recognize this fact, and he empha- sizes in particular how the rapidly changing society values increase en- vironmental complexity and thus the need for information for the decision-maker. It is becoming increasingly evident that society is going to require technologists and business firms to turn their atten- tion to solutions to problems which are of particular concern to so- ciety. Pollution, urban problems, population growth, and poverty are examples of issues which society wants to see solved even if this means diverting resources from other areas where the rate of technological advance might be more rapid such as space exploration. Bedford emphasizes the role of business in interfield innovation, the importance of information to business, and thus the vital role of ac- counting in providing business with predictions of the "future values and norms of society in order to attempt to arrange a set of relation- ships among information, business, and society that will span time and further the development of civilization." The implications of all of this for accounting research are pointed out by Bedford as follows: "The conclusion is that accounting research of the future ought to be directed primarily to the two prob- lems of: (1) developing the methodology for compressing informa- tion; and (2) developing perception processes to improve the selectiv- ity of information." In the original version of his paper which I 29 received there was a misprint, so (2) read "Developing perception processes to improve the seductivity of information." I liked the original wording better, because there is something about the term "seductivity of information" which appeals to me. In either case, Bedford's prescription for future accounting research is good, but I do not find the needed prescription for the construction of the "foun- dations of accounting" theory. I would summarize Bedford's message as encouragement for ac- counting to expand to provide the information needed by business to become well wired into all activities of society. That is, the emphasis is on society as the environment of business, business as a dynamic and integral force in a changing society, and accounting as a vital function in providing information for business decision-makers. I would like to suggest a subtle but fundamental change in this picture. Accounting needs to expand to provide one vital type of in- formation for all decision-makers in our changing society in order to facilitate the operations of all institutions of that society toward the attainment of the goal of the maximization of human welfare. Here, the emphasis is on accounting as one type of information system uti- lized by all segments of society in their quest for the good life for all mankind. If this approach is accepted, the conclusions follow that the foundations of accounting theory must rest on concepts of human welfare and that we should look to philosophy and welfare economics for useful concepts in its development. This is consistent with Bed- ford's emphasis on the macro approach, but it is more limited in scope. He refers at the beginning of his paper to the total systems approach, and this perspective is important, but it is my considered opinion that accounting must be viewed as a subsystem. Progress in the develop- ment of accounting theory will be dependent upon the careful defini- tion of the scope and purpose of accounting and the total-information systems approach is antithetical to this objective. 30 DISCUSSION Varieties of Accounting Theory Louis Goldberg W ILLIAM JAMES has a sentence which may be pertinent to these discussions-but I hope it is not. "There is," he says, "a curious fascination in hearing deep things talked about, even though neither we nor the disputants understand them."1 EVIDENCE OF CONFUSION The purpose of this paper is to try to distinguish between some of the senses in which the expression "accounting theory" has been and is being used, for there can be little doubt, surely, that it is used with different meanings and, indeed, with different objectives. At first sight, it may seem that this is a very narrow purpose and merely an exercise in classification; to some extent it is, but I hope it will also lead to some clarification of ideas and perhaps some broaden- ing, rather than narrowing, of our thinking about accounting. The literature of accounting has not been especially notable for the precision of its terminology, and, if anybody doubts that there are dis- crepancies in usage of the expression mentioned, let him ponder just a few instances: In the preface to his Accounting Theory, W. A. Paton made it clear 1. William James, Pragmatism (New York: Longmans Green, 1908), p. 5. 31 VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY that he was expounding an entity theory of the accounting system to explain the recording and reporting processes of accounting as a coun- ter to the then prevailing expository textbook presentation of the pro- prietary theory.2 The premises and postulates explicitly listed in the final chapter of that classic work are for him assumptions which "ac- countants are sometimes in danger of forgetting"and which therefore indicate "limitations of their work."3 For A. C. Littleton, "accounting theory, since it has grown largely out of accounting practice, may seem to serve principally as a means of explaining and illuminating what is done in accounting. But theory has a further ohligatiQn, that of strengthening practice by subjecting customs to analysis and testing their justification by finding the rela- tion of customary ideas to basic concepts and purposes."4 Note here, incidentally, the personification of theory-it has obligations, it is able to do things, just as a human being. Among the many other observa- tions of this author on accounting theory was this: "Theory can be an aid to understanding, and understanding united with practical wis- dom can carry us a long way toward a good choice. Perhaps it is too much to expect either theory or practice to be completely satisfactory alone. I am convinced that theory could not, for theory does not di- rect; when we use theory we do not seek to prescribe. We are only trying to analyse, to understand, to persuade. Theory therefore must consist of explanations, definitions, reasons, justifications, persuasions. And only sometimes of suppositions and hypotheses."5 He also states, "If we view the term broadly (that is, not confining it to 'a theory') theory can be properly called a body of doctrine. It is an area of beliefs, explanations, justifications, related to an area of practice. Its elements are descriptions, definitions, arguments, inferences, explana- tions, reasons-and principles."' For Eldon S.Hendriksen, accounting theory is "logical reasoning in the form of a set bo oacprinciples that (1) provide a general frame of reference by which accounting practice can be evaluated and (2) guide the development of new practices and procedures."7 He recog- 2. William Andrew Paton, Accounting Theory (New York: Ronald Press, 1922), p. iii. 3. Paton, p. 472. 4. A. C. Littleton, Essays in Accountancy (Urbana-Champaign, Ill.: University of Illinois Press, 1961), p. 376. This passage was written in 1939. 5. Littleton, 1948 ed., p. 310. 6. Littleton, 1949 ed., p. 387. 7. Eldon S. Hendriksen, Accounting Theory (Homewood, Ill.: Richard D. Irwin, 1965), p. 1. 32 nizes that "accounting theory may also be used to explain existing practices to obtain a better understanding of them"8 but subordinates this objective to that of providing "the general frame of reference for the evaluation and development of sound accounting practices."9 Grounds for the choice of the one instead of the other do not seem to be explicitly given. For Newman and Melman, "the entire framework of accounting theory and its concepts and principles can be viewed as constituting, in effect, the reporting principles and standards designed to achieve fair- ness in financial reporting."'0 Thus, for them, accounting theory is something designed and is, further, restricted to certain requirements ,of financial reporting. Since these authors set out to provide assistance for candidates for the CPA examinations, their attitude is presumably a reflection or at least a not uncommon interpretation of that of the professional body which conducts those examinations. Leonard Spacek draws a distinction between the terms "practical" and "theoretical," "practical being usable or valuable in practice or ac- tion; while theory is contemplation or speculation.""x He also averred that, "when theory and professional requirements to state facts are in conflict, the theory is wrong."12 Thus, it would seem that theory has a normative or ethical character, if it can be right or wrong rather than true or false. ARS (Accounting Research Study) no. 1, although not fiing ac .cTinlg t ieory, as ann oWt-trmr a f .it ars ae o01, mehis6ie ostulates "b e c au., g e _rm..legn itself readily tQa steartic1ssificatiQn of the.oposiio of. ac. cqut~~fiQ y and _actce."'i3S And in his comments on this study SMr. Spacek sates that "the essential prerequisite to the establishment Sof a-s o framework of accounting theory must be a clear determi- nation of the purposes and objectives of accounting, which would 8. Hendriksen, p. 1. 9. Hendriksen, p. 1. 10. Benjamin Newman and Martin Melman, Accounting Theory: A CPA Re- view (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1967), p. v. 11. Leonard Spacek, A Search for Fairness in Financial Reporting to the Pub- lic (Chicago: Arthur Andersen & Co., 1969), p. 171. This is strongly reminiscent of the definition in Samuel Johnson's Dictionary of 1785: Theory. Speculation, not practice; scheme; plan or system yet subsisting only in the mind. 12. Spacek, p. 182. 13. Maurice Moonitz, The Basic Postulates of Accounting, Accounting Re- search Study (ARS) 1 (New York: American Institute of CPA'S [AICPA], 1961), p. 2. 33 LOUIS GOLDBERG VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY go far beyond the 'definition of accounting' in Chapter 3. .."14 Mr. Spacek's views are further expressed in his comments on that study: "After the purposes and objectives of accounting are properly defined [and recognized as prerequisites to theory], the next step is the establishment of a basic foundation to accomplish these purposes and objectives.... Then, sound accounting principles consistent with that foundation should be determined."15 The inference is that accounting theory is the basic foundation which is established to accomplish the purposes and objectives of accounting. And, in his comments on ARS 3, he states again: "The principal purpose of the two research studies... is to establish a sound foundation for and a general framework of ac- counting theory so that financial accounting and the resulting financial reporting will meet the current needs of all segments of our society."1x Another suggestion was made by Carman G. Blough, who, in com- menting on ARS 3, stated: "Accounting principles are not theoretical hypotheses untried in practice or tried and discarded as impractical."17 The AAA Statement of Basic Accounting Theory (ASOBAT) states: "We define 'theory' as a cohesive set of hypothetical, conceptual and pragmatic principles forming a general frame of reference for a field of study,"8s and "the committee has conceived of theory as a coherent set of concepts explaining and guiding the accountant's action in iden- tifying, measuring and communicating economic information."'9 R. F. Salmonson puts these together and gets: "Accounting theory consists of a cohesive set of conceptual, hypothetical, and pragmatic proposi- tions 'explaining and guiding the accountant's action in identifying, measuring, and communicating economic information.' "20 These last definitions suggest a few observations: 1. The whole set of "principles" (AAA), "concepts" (AAA), or "prop- ositions" (Salmonson) comprises accounting theory. This does not ap- pear to leave room for a theory of this or that, unless one equates a theory with a principle or a concept or a proposition. In other words, "accounting theory" in this use of the term is, of necessity, general. 14. Moonitz, p. 57. 15. Moonitz, p. 57. 16. Robert T. Sprouse and Maurice Moonitz, A Tentative Set of Broad Accounting Principles for Business Enterprises, ARS 3 (New York: AICPA, 1962), p. 77. 17. Sprouse and Moonitz, p. 60. 18. ASOBAT (Evanston, Ill.: AAA, 1966), p. 1. 19. ASOBAT, p. 2. 20. R. F. Salmonson, Basic Financial Accounting Theory (Bellmont, Calif.: Wadsworth Publishing Co., 1969), p. 1. '34 2. The principles, etc., have to be "cohesive" or "coherent," but it is not explained what is meant by these terms. Salmonson goes on to say that "the term 'proposition' is defined as any declarative statement, true or false. It is used to include in the body of theory ideas not uni- versally acceptable, but advanced for explanation or for guidance of practice."21 In the absence of further guidance from Salmonson, this seems to imply that some false statements and some true statements may be brought into a relation of cohesiveness with each other to give us the "body of theory." It is somewhat difficult to see the relevance of universal acceptability in this connection. What is meant by a de- clarative statement being either universally acceptable or not univer- sally acceptable? Human nature being what it is, surely the great probability is that those who agree with it will accept it, while those who do not agree with it will not accept it. Where does that get us? 3. The principles, etc., are stated to be "hypothetical, conceptual and pragmatic." Does this mean that each principle, etc., is hypothet- ical, conceptual, and pragmatic at the same time? Or is it meant that some principles are hypothetical, some conceptual, and some prag- matic? And what meaning is attached to each of these adjectives? 4. The AAA committee, first, has the principles forming a general frame of reference for a field of study; later it concepts explain and guide the accountant's action. There seems to be some inconsistency here. Accountants' actions may be a field for study, and I believe they are, but the concepts which guide accountants in their actions may not be the same as the principles which constitute a frame for a field of study. If the committee had said in the first place that it was looking at a frame of reference for the actions of accountants, such a statement would at least have been consistent. This is by no means an exhaustive listing of expressed views; the selection has been made simply to draw attention to the fact that there are conflicting views among writers on accounting as to what account- ing theory is all about. Of course, each one of us no doubt knows what he means by accounting theory, but, viewed collectively, we do seem to have difficulty in making our meaning pellucid. THEORY SENSE Because it appeared that some confusion existed even then among writers on accounting theory, I drew a broad distinction some years ago between what I called "accounting doctrine" and "accounting 21. Salmonson, p. 1. 35 LOUIS GOLDBERG VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY theory."22 Briefly, the basis of that distinction was that in accounting theorywe are concerned with discovering propositions of a general- izing nature which express facets of truth about the phenomena of accounting; whereas, in accounting doctrine we are interested in pro- pounding or laying down standards which are to govern the activities of accountants in their work. Under this distinction, accounting the- ory deals with concepts, accounting doctrine with precepts; theory with examination of what is, doctrine with what should be. Fam still of the opinion that the'distinction is vallTanifof sufficient significance to warrant the use of different expressions, but as I do not ' desire to quibble about the use of words, let us for present purposes call them both theory, but let us distinguish between Theory Sense 1--. and Theory Sense 2. Theory Sense 1 is the desirable fraie of reference now so often being referred to as the desideratum for governing the conduct and performance of accountants, especially in the prepara- tion of reports of companies and corporations for public consumption. This is, to a large degree (but not wholly), equivalent to what I pre- , viously designated accounting doctrine. Theory Sense 2 carries the meaning of generalizations derived from observed phenomena of ac- counting. This is the sense in which accounting theory was used in the work referred to. It is clear thatSTheory Sense 1 is the area that practitioners are most interested in. They are seeking guidance in the performance of their functions in a complex environment which has changed and is chang- ing rapidly. The accelerated rate of change in the world in which the accountant operates has created problems which have arisen virtually unforeseen but which, nevertheless, often demand urgent solution. Some of these problems have been relatively short-lived, some have been solved, but many remain recalcitrant and almost impervious to. the best endeavors of many accounting thinkers. Hence, most of the attention of the relevant committees of the pro- fessional bodies of accountants, of leaders of the profession, and of many academic writers has been turned in this direction. These people have been seeking a set of propositions which will serve as a code by which accountants can fashion their performance and justify their pro- fessional stance. They have, so to speak, been trying to construct a set of instructions to accompany a do-it-yourself accounting kit. The story of this endeavor up to a fairly recent date has been told by 22. L. Goldberg, An Inquiry into the Nature of Accounting (Evanston, Ill.: AAA, 1965), pp. 34-35 and chaps. 3 and 4. 36 LOUIS GOLDBERG Reed K. Storey.23 It is desirable, I think, to consider just a few basic aspects of this development. It is surely important to be quite clear in our own minds as to what we are doing or trying to do. If we wish to derive standards of per- / formance, we are in a normative field-an area of norms-and the basic / question that we are asking is: What is good accounting? Or better, perhaps, what is the best accounting? S 7 This is the area of ideals, the area of mores, the area of law-justice, / equity, fairness. But it is also the area of personal disagreement, of preferences and prejudices, of differing interpretations, even of defi- ance and rebellion. It is the area of balancing the many against the few, S benefit against detriment, advantage against disadvantage. Here belong S the discussions of how general and how accepted generally accepted principles should be, and of what, in some countries of the British Commonwealth, is meant by "true and fair" in an auditor's opinion. Limitations of time and space do not permit a full examination of the Problems arising from these considerations, but there.ire. tw points of s jgi~ance which should be commented upon. S.. First' f we wish to set up standards of performance, we must recog- nize t at we are in a normative field, and considerations of ethics (as a field of study, not in the sense of professional behavior) are pertinent and warrant attention. And on this point I cannot express what I think is the appropriate attitude more aptly than in the words of a writer in a very different discipline: there have... been theories which have attempted to base ethics on natural science, and in particular on biology and psychology. But such theories appear to have been guilty, on occasions, of il- logicality in that they appear to have assumed that ethical propo- sitions can be deduced as a conclusion solely from non-ethical premises.... We cannot infer that we ought to do "x" from, for example, the statements "most people do x," or "most people desire to do x," or "most people are commanded to do x"; there must also be an acceptable ethical premise such as "we ought to do what other people do" or "... what other people desire to do" or "... what other people are commanded to do." Furthermore, this argu- ment that we cannot draw an ethical conclusion from entirely non-ethical premises applies not only to psychology or biology; a system of moral precepts can not only have no complete de- 23. Reed K. Storey, The Search for Accounting Principles (New York: AICPA, 1964). 37 VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY pendence on science: it can have no complete dependence, for instance, on theology or history. Premises arrived at from such studies may, of course, lead to ethical conclusions, but only if one premise is itself ethical. Furthermore, such ethical premises must, of course, command the support of those concerned, and it has been at this point that many ethical theories have failed to carry conviction.24 Does this help to explain why there has been such great difficulty in arriving at the body of principles or postulates or standards-call them what you will-which should govern the performance of accountants? Have we led ourselves up a garden path in seeking norms from positive observations without recognizing the need for an intervening norma- tive premise which can command support? It may be that Mr. Spacek is right in saying that there is only one basic postulate for the guidance of accountants; but, if he is, has he chosen the right one? Let us consider for a few moments the proposed postulate of fairness. The implication seems to be that the accountant (Query: Is this meant to be the CPA only, or does it include others as well?) is in a position to determine what is fair for all parties con- cerned. This, in turn, implies that the accountant knows who all the parties are and what their requirements are in respect to accounting Information. It should be noted also that this proposition seems to be Related particularly to published information, although it might be suggested that internal data are also meant to be covered. Now, if to be fair means to be impartial, that is, not to favor any person or group of persons vis-a-vis others, then this presumes that there is available neutral information uncolored by the influence of the interests of anybody. It is possible that accounting data of this kind do exist, especially, perhaps, in relation to events that have taken place in the past. But there is also, of necessity, a sizable quantum of account- ing data that is not and cannot be free from the attitudes of particular people concerned in the quantification of prospective or even of some past events; this applies in any uncompleted venture at any given point of time.25 However earnestly the accountant may wish to interpret these incomplete ventures impartially, or better perhaps, neutrally, he 24. Crawford Knox, The Idiom of Contemporary Thought (New York: Chapman and Hall, 1956), p. 150. 25. The term "venture" is here used in the same sense as in chap. 8 of my An Inquiry into the Nature of Accounting, viz., a series of events linked by a common measure and a social or economic objective into a meaningful relation- ship. 38 LOUIS GOLDBERG must adopt somebody's point of view about them. And this brings us straight up against the problems that accountants have been talking and writing about for years without having arrived at any complete solution-problems of valuation of assets, going-concern or break-up bases, depreciation and amortization, conservatism and consistency, price-level change, etc. It seems difficult to see how a criterion of fair- ness, in the sense of impartiality, would in fact make any difference to the tasks which the accountant has to face at present. However, to be fair might have a somewhat different meaning, namely, to be equitable. At first sight, this might seem to be the same as being impartial, but in many cases equity requires some kind of compensation for a person or group of persons who may be at a dis- advantage vis-a-vis others. That is to say, some kind of equalizing process is envisaged. Now, neutral information is not ipso facto of equal use or benefit to different people. If the accountant is to apply this notion of fairness as a criterion, his task will be even more onerous than under the other interpretation. Not only would he need to know who all the parties are and their requirements, he would also need to know whether any of them suffers any disabilities relative to others in interpreting information, what these are, and how to compensate for them, so that the relative disabilities would disappear. This would in- volve a knowledge of means of avoiding the perpetuation of the rela- tion of such disabilities, for it is hard to see how information made publicly available would not benefit those with present advantages at least as much as those with present disadvantages, with the result that the latter would still be under a relative disability. Even if all available information were made known to all parties, the relative disability of inadequacy in interpretation would remain. The concept of equitable- ness imposes a judicial function upon the accountant which he is not adequately trained to carry out, especially when it comes down to spe- cific cases, which it must do if it is to be of any practical significance. So long as social and / or economic and / or political activity is under- taken in any but the smallest and simplest communities, there must surely always be some people who know more about the activities of a particular unit than others, who may be affected by those activities. Equality of knowledge and even equality of opportunity for knowl- edge are mythical, even if only because of inevitable time lags between action and reporting upon action. Of course, the term "fairness" may mean something different alto- gether; if it does, I am sure we should all be happy to consider it. 39 VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY Perhaps the committee of the AICPA was right in stating that postu- lates were few in number26 (although I find it hard to understand how they could know this unless they knew what they were); but perhaps, too, they were wrong in insisting that these postulates lay in the en- vironment of accounting, for a person's norms of conduct and per- formance are the result of a self-development. He may develop them through the experience of his interactions with the circumstances in which he finds himself from time to time, but the important word here is "interaction"; that is, his development comes from a process of adap- tation to his environment, but it is he who adapts. It may sound old- fashioned to talk about heredity and environment, but we all do still owe something of what we are to our parents and forebears. And I suggest that there is a sense in which a profession is in an analogous position; it has to find its norms within itself, that is, the actions of its members. The members of a profession should, indeed, study the en- vironment in which the profession exists and they operate, but their norms cannot be wholly derived from that environment: the traditions of the profession should also play a part. -The second point is this: the standards of performance adopted, if They are to be effective, must be based upon somebody's authority and need to be supported by some sort of sanction. The acceptance of a code involves some sacrifice of freedom of action, and the question that arises is: are the members of the accountancy profession willing to yield their freedom of action to some other body, be it even a com- mittee of their own choosing? Experience with one or two of the APB'S opinions provides some evidence of doubt about the willingness to do this to the extent necessary. Even a statute passed by a constitutionally authorized body will not be effective if a sufficiently strong body of opposition is marshalled against its operation. The floor of history is strewn with examples of authoritative pronouncements of various kinds which, because of suffi- ciently strong opposition to them, have had to be withdrawn, been al- lowed to become inoperative, or else have produced conditions of rebellion. Numerous references have been made to the urgency for the profes- sion to formulate its set of generally accepted principles for fear that some governmental agency would take the task into its own hands and do the job for the profession. This appears to be regarded with a con- siderable degree of horror. I wonder whether this fear is completely 26. See Moonitz, p. 1. 40 LOUIS GOLDBERG justified. Provided that responsible representations of the profession are seriously considered, I cannot see that the formulation of a code of performance by a governmental agency would necessarily be a bad code. It might well have the advantage of having been impartially con- structed. And, if it were not a bad code, it would at least have the virtue of force of law and a system of enforceable sanctions to make it operative. But, of course, whoever formulates the code, the question is whether we trust our code-makers. THEORY SENSE 2-A Accounting (and, in earlier texts and articles, bookkeeping) has often been defined as or asserted to be a science. In most of such state- ments insufficient attention has been paid to the characteristics of ei- ther accounting or science to convince that the label fits properly. More recently, argument has been put forward to justify the view that accounting makes use of scientific method. At times one gets an impression that it is not so much those who carry out the accounting processes who say this, but rather, those writers about accounting (including myself) who convince themselves of their own scientific integrity. I do not wish to engage in the rather sterile "art or science" debate, but I think it is worth repeating that, even if accountants are not them- selves scientific in their work, this does not preclude a scientific study of what they do. In the same way, the activities of primitive tribesmen or of subnormal people may not be scientific in the way in which we normally use that word, but this does not preclude a scientific study of their activities. Very little is known-or at least has been recorded for us-about the way accountants do, in fact, go about their day-to-day work, so that we cannot judge whether they do attack their problems in a scientific way. Whatever evidence there is could well be collected and analyzed from this point of view. I am aware, of course, that a great deal has been written and lectured on scientific method, and it is pretty good stuff. Much of it-perhaps most of it-has been written by philosophers and logicians, and I have quoted from it on occasions when it suited me. But, on this occasion, time does not permit a lengthy excursion into it. However, we should remind ourselves that the essential character- istic of the practicing scientist (as distinct, perhaps, from the academic scientific methodist) is surely curiosity as to what is. He wants to find 41 VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY out something, preferably something which nobody knows yet. How something works in the way it does, why something exists in the way it does. The why is not a teleological why but an operational one; it is, in effect, an extended how. What is termed causal relationship, or neces- sary and sufficient conditions, and so on, is a statement of how x and y are related to each other. /, _-^>The function of a theorist is to formulate statements which will en- able people, including himself, to understand the relation between dis- parate phenomena. These phenomena-or facts-can only be perceived or observed; they have no theory content in themselves. But, when various facts are related to each other, the element of theory appears. That is, theory, as distinct from facts, arises when a relationship be- tween two or more facts or series of facts is perceived or hypothesized. Such a relationship can be tested for its relative truth; that is, it can be confirmed or refuted. And we must not forget that this discernment, perception, or hypothesizing of a relationship is a human activity; hence, value judgment enters into it, and the influence of one's envi- ronment and habits of thought come into play. At the same time, we cannot talk about facts without expressing some relationships; the very naming of a fact is an expression of a lingual or semantic relationship between the word and the thing. It follows that value judgments and relationships and truth are inevitably and inextricably bound up with the process of communication. The relevance of this is that it suggests that it is important to dis- cover some general propositions about accounting as it is practiced, before finally writing prescriptions about the way it should be prac- ticed. This is not to say, as some writers seem to argue, that what is being done now is satisfactory and should not be changed. It is to say that we should find out what is being done at present and why it is being done in the way it is. Apart from satisfying our scientific curi- osity, the resulting understanding may provide a basis for formulating prescriptive statements as needed. For example, it is not difficult to argue with a great deal of force, as many writers have done, that accountants (and businessmen) are wrong in their treatment-or rather nontreatment-of the problems arising out of so-called price-level changes. A significant question that still has not, so far as I am aware, been adequately answered is why they do what they do. Is it wholly and simply due to wrong- headedness and perverseness? Are they conscious and deliberate sin- ners flying in the face of divine authority-the divinity being the 42 goddess of Reason? Or do they err through ignorance? Or through apathy? Or could it be that some people in business benefit through such changes? To get proper answers to these questions, we need em- pirical investigations into what is in fact happening, so that generali- zations and diagnoses can be securely and convincingly based on a wealth rather than on a meager sample of evidence. It would be fruit- ful, I think, to ask directors and general managers questions such as these: are you aware of the fact that since the end of World War i the purchasing power of the dollar has declined steadily and considerably? If so, have you taken this decline into consideration in formulating your business policy? If so, what steps have you taken; if not, why haven't you taken any? Answers to questions like these would tell us something about what people do or don't do and why. There are many, many questions that may be formulated that have not yet been asked as a basis for scientifically derived generalizations about the accounting process. In other words, dispassionate fact-finding investigations are re- quired, and they will be more convincing, in whatever direction they point, than polemics and assertions, however logically based these latter may be. Briefly and in summary, the position I want to take is this: there is something to be found out about accounting, and it is embodied in what accountants do. Hence, we must observe what they do, try to measure it in some way, and try to develop hypotheses (i.e., statements of relationships) which can be tested by further observation. If, over a period, some generalizations can be firmly established by reference to observed and recorded data, we shall be on our way to developing some Sense 2-A theories. fi THEORY SENSE 2-B :y/ f Theory Sense 2 thus means explanation of relationships between facts. But the ultimate success of a theory in this sense depends on its capacity tapredict as well as toexplain. This aspect has not gone completely unnoticed in accounting litera- ture. For instance, D. C. Phillips wrote recently: "Perhaps the most important feature aa. scientific theory is its predictive vale. With he aid of a theory it should be possible to make a prediction about some future observable event. Sir Karl Popper has explicated this predictive function of science in detail an' hREs" Fg;ued that non-scientific the- 43 LOUIS GOLDBERG VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY ories (or pseudo-scientific theories) do not havepredictive value."27 It must be remembered, however, that even what appear to be the most firmly based scientific theories are still tentative: they are founded on environmental assumptions which further investigation may show to have limitations in the scope of their application. Nevertheless, the aim in any discipline which may be claimed to be scientific is to attain to propositions which are generalizations derived from the observation of phenomena and which can be used to predict Phenomena. If the predicted occurrences take place in accordans.e with the inferences drawn from the propositions, this tends to confirm the generalization; if they do not, a re-examination of the generaliza- tion is clearly called for. For we must also recognize and remember that the facts of life are obstinate. They cannot be ignored indefinitely, nor can they be distorted to suit our convenience. But they can be explored. And I suggest that the facts of life with which the account- ing observer is concerned are aspects of human behavior. A balance sheet, a funds statement, a statement of variances are expressions of the results of human activity. Certainly they are expressed in words and figures, but these are garments, so to speak, which clothe the activities of people and which, one might observe in passing, can be and often are styled and cut to make specific impressions. If we wish to explore the possibilities of predictive theory in ac- counting, we shall have to be immodest enough to penetrate beneath the outer garment of reports and statements to the human behavior beneath them. I do not think this is impossible, although we have scarcely begun to do so as yet. When we do, who knows what won- ders we may uncover. At the same time, we must remember that many of the most fruitful discoveries in modern science have come from investigation into the nonconformity of observed phenomena to the predictions of their behavior. RATIONALITY AND PRIORITY This leads to the consideration of two further points. The first is that in the literature of accounting-and of some other disciplines- much seems to have been made of rational behavior. Some expression about rationality almost always appears among our postulates. The meaning of this seems to have been largely taken for granted, and so 27. D. C. Phillips, "Systems Theory-A Discredited Philosophy," Abacus 5, no. 1 (Sept. 1969): 14. 44 also has the self-evidence of its existence and, indeed, of its universality. On the first aspect-its meaning-I suggest that anybody who postu- lates rationality should make it clear in what sense he makes use of it, for it may mean different things to different people. For example, is a rational action one for which results conform to expectations held when the action was taken; or one that has been reasoned out; or one that has had a successful or pleasing outcome, whether expected or not; or one that is what a normal person would do in accordance with the mores of his society; or one that we think we ourselves would have taken in the same circumstances; or, simply, one that can be ex- plained (whatever that may mean) to somebody's (perhaps our own) satisfaction?28 The philosophy underlying rationality seems to be that a rational person is someone like you and me, and, while there may conceivably be some doubt about you, there surely cannot be about me. But a great deal of human behavior, including economic behavior, is not based on what I would call a rational attitude. Consider some of the priorities of our social life. By what standard of rationality does a football coach earn much more than a university professor? Or a movie star than the secretary of the United Nations? Or a pop group more than the group of astronauts who reached the moon? And how much of our national advertising and marketing bill is directed towards promoting impul- sive, rather than reasoned, buying? If you wish to accept these condi- tions of society as being based on rationality, you are welcome to do so, but please do not ask me to accept them without making it clear what kind of rationality embraces them. On the second aspect-that of its universality-I cannot do better than quote a passage from R. G. Collingwood: "the idea that every agent is wholly and directly responsible for everything that he does is a naive idea which takes no account of certain important regions in moral experience. On the one hand, there is no getting away from the fact that men's characters are formed by their actions and experiences: the man himself undergoes change as his activities develop. On the other hand, there is the fact that to a very great extent people do not know what they are doing until they have done it, if then. The extent to which people act with a clear idea of their ends, knowing what ef- fects they are aiming at, is easily exaggerated. Most human action is 28. For some questions that arise under each of these interpretations, see Louis Goldberg, "How Rational is Rational?" New York Certified Public Accountant (July 1964), p. 514. 45 LOUIS GOLDBERG VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY tentative, experimental, directed not by a knowledge of what it will lead to but rather by a desire to know what will come of it."29 It might be observed that, based on this criterion, much of scientific development has not been rational, in that so many scientific discov- eries have been accidental, by-products of activities directed to some end other than that resulting. Further, in the application of scientific method, the end envisaged as a result of deductive reasoning has to be tested by experiments or observations-often many of them-in which a process of trial and error, which is not very rational, is necessary. The second point concerns the place of a priori reasoning. We all use a priori reasoning at times, that is, we deduce from the general to particulars, but if we are wise, we do not act on the conclusions so reached without checking them against the actual world. Hence, while the purely deductive reasoning process has a place in accounting the- ory, its limitations should be clearly recognized. Now it seems to me that this sort of reasoning has had a very good run in the accounting literature in recent years. It is, of course, the basis of model building, and there can be nothing against this-we all do it at some time or other. Models are often such beautiful entities. But when it comes to formulating a set of axioms or postulates from which we deduce particular propositions which are intended to govern the actions of people, we must, I suggest, be very careful indeed about them. A few questions suggest themselves in relation to any basic pos- tulate, axiom, or whatever other name it may go under. 1. Is it self-evident? If so, it amounts simply to an "I believe" asser- tion-a subjective evaluation supported by the background and experi- ence of the person making the assertion and really acceptable only either to the credulous or to those with a similar background and ex- perience; in other words, to those who are willing to accept it. We must be aware that what is self-evident to me may not be self-evident to somebody else now, or to me in a year's time. If we are to be scien- tific in our approach, we must remember that in the search for Truth there is no self-evident truth. The history of human thought is full of overthrown self-evident truths. 2. Is it something which is proved by practice? If so, then the evi- dence for it must be presented, complete and convincing, before ac- ceptance should be expected. 3. Is it a conclusion arrived at in another area of study? If so, the 29. R. G. Collingwood, The Idea of History (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1946), pp. 41-42. 46 LOUIS GOLDBERG basis for it in that other area needs to be examined rigorously and the previous questions asked in the context of that other area. If it is a conclusion arrived at in a science, we must bear in mind that scientists are very much aware that all their laws and theories are tentative. 4. Is it a definition? If so, it cannot produce more than it contains within itself by implication. A definition is usually a description rather than a premise. If we seek to apply the rules of logic to a series of postulates, we must also bear in mind that a logical system is, of necessity, a closed system. As already argued, ought propositions cannot be derived logically from is propositions without the interposition of some other ought proposition. One of the virtues of using mathematics or sym- bolic logic is to discover the limitations of our postulates and our logic as well as their potentialities. As D. C. Phillips cogently put it: "the conclusion of a valid deduction cannot contain an expression that does not appear in the premises; this indeed is the core of the issue, because scientific explanations can be put in the form of deductions. It follows from this logical point that the possession of an emergent property cannot be deduced from premises that do not contain reference to this property; it is logically impossible, for example, to deduce the produc- tion of a colourless, odourless and tasteless liquid (i.e., water) from premises that refer only to the properties of the gaseous substances hydrogen and oxygen."30 Many writers, at least since Francis Bacon, have warned against the dangers of over-reliance on a priori reasoning. One of the most graphic commentaries was made by John Tyndall in 1874, and, al- though it is of ancient vintage and refers to an even more ancient scientist-philosopher, it seems worth citing in part, if only for the felicity of its language: "As a physicist, Aristotle displayed what we should consider some of the worst attributes of a modern physical investigator-indistinct- ness of ideas, confusion of mind, and a confident use of language, which led to the delusive notion that he had really mastered his sub- ject, while he had as yet failed to grasp even the elements of it. He put words in the place of things, subject in the place of object. He preached Induction without practising it, inverting the true order of inquiry by passing from the general to the particular, instead of from the particular to the general. He made of the universe a closed sphere, in the centre of which he fixed the earth, proving from general prin- 30. Phillips, p. 14. 47 VARIETIES OF ACCOUNTING THEORY ciples, to his own satisfaction and to that of the world for near 2,000 years, that no other universe was possible. .. He affirmed that a vacuum could not exist, and proved that if it did exist motion in it would be impossible. He determined a priori how many species of ani- mals must exist, and showed on general principles why animals must have such and such parts.... Aristotle's errors of detail... were grave and numerous. He affirmed that only in man we had the beating of the heart, that the left side of the body was colder than the right, that men have more teeth than women, and that there is an empty space at the base of every man's head."31 CONCLUSION Accounting, in the sense of the sort of work accountants do, may, if you wish, be regarded as an art. If it is so regarded, it is an art of selection, analysis, interpretation, design, and presentation. In this re- spect, it is proper to formulate standards of performance. At the same time, the processes involved in this so-called art can be examined dispassionately and scientifically, and, it is to be hoped, some valid generalizations, that is, statements of tendency, may be formulated. Perhaps the confusion (as I see it) arises from the fact that the sub- ject matter in both cases is the same, namely, human behavior. But in the one case-the search for standards of performance-the search is for an ethic. In the other-the quest for relationships between phenom- ena-the search is for (tentative) truth. Both are needed, but they are different things and should not be mixed up in our minds. I am very conscious of many limitations in this paper. In particular, it oversimplifies the position and deals very broadly with problems which need to be examined in much greater detail than has been pos- sible in the present context. This is a need whose complete satisfaction will require the efforts of many people for a considerable period. Nevertheless, I have tried to state the essence of the problem of ac- counting theory as I see it and to disentangle some of the knots in thinking that we seem to have made for ourselves. At the same time, I recognize that some valuable and exciting empir- ical research work has recently been carried out and is currently being carried out, particularly by some of the younger people in our ranks. This is an encouraging development, and we should try to foster the 31. John Tyndall, Address Delivered Before the British Association Assembled at Belfast, 1874 (London: Longmans Green & Co.), p. 14. 48 LOUIS GOLDBERG 49 work of such investigators, for, in my view, it is on them that the hope for the future of our profession rests. One point I should like to emphasize, in conclusion, is that, so far as I am concerned, the examination of what is does not imply that what is, is right. It simply means that what is, is there-to be examined and explored and explained and understood. And all this by whatever means of enquiry are appropriate and productive. Finally, I end as I began, with a short sentence from William James: "Theories thus become instruments, not answers to enigmas, in which we can rest."32 32. James, p. 53. Comments on "Varieties of Accounting Theory" Stephen A. Zeff SAMUELSON WRITES, "Methodological discussion, like calisthen- ics and spinach, is good for us." It was not until the 1950s (with a few earlier exceptions) that ac- counting writers evinced an interest in the content and structure of theory. Shortly after the transoceanic exchange of pointed criticisms between Chambers and Littleton, a special committee of the AICPA thrust the word "postulates" into the center of accounting contro- versy. The emphasis of the institute's new research program on deduc- tive reasoning1 seemed to be precipitated by mounting frustration with the "pragmatic-prescriptive" approach of the Committee on Ac- counting Procedure. Under the new plan, postulates were the lock and research was the key that would open the way toward resolving the alleged internal inconsistencies and blurred focus of accounting practice. With few exceptions, accounting researchers in the 1960s placed the 1. I accept Moonitz' statement that both deductive and inductive processes will be found "in any inquiry other than the most abstruse speculations of meta- physics." Maurice Moonitz, "Why Do We Need 'Postulates' and 'Principles'?" The Journal of Accountancy (Dec. 1963), p. 45. When the terms "deductive" and "inductive" are used in this paper, it should be understood that the word "pre- dominantly" stands in a shadow as a modifier. 50 STEPHEN A. ZEFF deductive approach in a normative frame. Storey probably spoke for many of his brethren when he wrote: "A ... proposition that should be laid to rest is that the purpose of accounting principles is to justify accounting practice.... A rationalizing effort is not properly termed 'research' for its intent is to defend existing conditions, whether good or bad, and is the antithesis of a search for the truth."2 Yet the new research movement brought its own brand of frustra- tion. A number of deductive studies have appeared in the last ten years. They describe themselves as problem-oriented, postulational, axio- matic, or conceptual. Differences in terminology (which has never been a strong point in accounting practice or research), methodology, and rigor have made comparison and evaluation difficult. After assess- ing a recent deductive study, Caplan was moved to remark: "Recent experience... suggests that global theoretical formulations which are broad enough to receive widespread support are too broad to serve as workable guides to action. On the other hand, by the time that these formulations have been narrowed to the point where they might pro- vide such guides, so many value judgments and unsupported assertions have been introduced that it is no longer possible to obtain agreement on the validity of the theory. Thus, in our opinion, if research in basic accounting theory is to be truly productive, it is necessary to concen- trate efforts elsewhere."3 As we emerge from our first cycle of attempts at normative- deductive research, the voice of Louis Goldberg, a persistent spokes- man for the apparently small school of empiricists among us, is begin- ning to attract attention. I have traced Goldberg's Baconian leanings to his 1939 book A Phi- losophy of Accounting (which was revised in 1957 under the title An 2. Reed K. Storey, The Search for Accounting Principles (New York: AICPA, 1963), pp. 64-65. If Storey purports to imply that research may not play the role 4f;ibserving the behavior of accountants and the behavior of those whose actions are reflected in accounting measurements, all with a view toward producing gen- eralizations about the present state of the accounting function, I would charge that he defines research much too narrowly. It would appear, however, that Storey is complaining about the addition of value judgments to such generaliza- tions in order to rationalize the perpetuation of observed accounting practices. Naturally, these value judgments are the product of an implicit normative- deductive analysis. 3. Edwin H. Caplan, "Relevance-A 'Will-o'-the-Wisp,'" Abacus (Sept. 1969), p. 53. Sterling, however, after reviewing the same study, concluded, "I agree with the new methodology and world-view." Robert R. Sterling, "A Statement of Basic Accounting Theory: A Review Article," Journal of Accounting Research (Spring 1967), p. 111. 51 Outline of Accounting). In a 1963 article Goldberg the skeptic is not impressed with the work being done in accounting theory.4 In 1965 the AAA published his monograph An Inquiry into the Nature of Ac- counting, the first part of which is a statement of his methodological posture. It is there that he distinguishes between theory and doctrine, the latter being prescription by an authority "whose pronouncements are either respected or feared."5 "Some writers," Goldberg writes, a bit pointedly, "think that deduction alone is the most powerful in- strument in the advancement of knowledge."6 Goldberg accepts de- ductively derived propositions that find referents in the world of experience, or fact. Failing such a test, a deductive proposition "must, for all purposes of practical and practicable application, remain barren, no matter how convincing the process of logical expression may be."7 S In his paper presented at this conference Goldberg begins by dem- onstrating that the term "theory" means different things to different researchers. Even Hatfield, an eclectic who excelled at detecting i1- "logic and incongruity in the accounting literature, would have liked Goldberg's low-profile conclusion: "viewed collectively, we do seem to have a little difficulty in making our meaning [of theory] pellu- cid." Goldberg's survey deftly reveals the conscious and unconscious methodological division among accounting researchers. Few writers other than Chambers, Deinzer, Devine, Littleton,8 and Goldberg have probed the apparently bottomless depths of methodology as applied to accounting-if, indeed, accounting differs in this respect from other fields of study. In the central part of his paper Goldberg classifies so-called theory into two senses. Theory Sense 1, which he still prefers to call doctrine, embraces the normative-deductive approach, including the ethical ap- proach, which is separately classified by Moonitz, Hendriksen, and 4. Louis Goldberg, "The Present State of Accounting Theory," The Account- ing Review (July 1963), pp. 457-69. 5. Louis Goldberg, An Inquiry into the Nature of Accounting (Iowa City: AAA, 1965), p. 35. 6. An Inquiry into the Nature of Accounting, p. 74. 7. An Inquiry into the Nature of Accounting, p. 76. 8. See the recent collection of Chambers' papers: R. J. Chambers, Accounting, Finance and Management (Chicago: Arthur Andersen & Co., 1969), esp. pp. 347- 471; Harvey T. Deinzer, Development of Accounting Thought (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1965); Carl Thomas Devine, "Research Method- ology and Accounting Theory Formation," The Accounting Review (July 1960), pp. 387-99; and A. C. Littleton, Structure of Accounting Theory (Urbana, Ill.: AAA, 1953). See also the syntheses by Hendriksen and Salmonson, cited in foot- note 9, infra. 52 DISCUSSION SalmonsonY. Theory Sense 2 refers to inductive or generalizing the- ory, and, if I may interpolate from his Nature of Accounting Theory, it would seem to admit deductive reasoning, in the positivist rather than normativist sense, the conclusion of which could be verified by empirical test. The A and B subdivisions of Theory Sense 2 distinguish between the explanative and predictive capacities of positive theory. The latter is an innovation in Goldberg's writing. The issue is whether new knowledge in accounting should be sup- plied by normative or positive investigation: "what ought to be" ver- sus "what is." This does not parallel the centuries-old debate among philosophers of science on rationalism versus empiricism. Nor will one find a direct parallel with the methodological dispute in economics, in- volving, among others, Friedman, Machlup, and Samuelson.x1 Their differences lie entirely within positivist theory, though some benefit can be derived from their discussions on whether the adequacy of (positivist) theory may be judged by the realism of its assumptions or by the predictive quality of the derived propositions or hypotheses. Goldberg's empiricism is not identical to Littleton's special interpre- tation of inductivism. To his observations of experience, Littleton adds value judgments about the content of good and bad practice.1" Nor can Goldberg's empiricism be seen in Grady's Inventory.12 Grady found real-world support for his basic concepts, objectives, and principles by drawing on sEc Accounting Series Releases, official pro- nouncements of policy-making committees of the AICPA, and the eighth edition of a widely known auditing book. As far as I can dis- cern, Grady did not observe what accountants actually do. His sources of information are the quintessence of Goldberg's authority figure for propagating doctrine. Grady's inductive-like synthesis consists of a 9. Maurice Moonitz, The Basic Postulates of Accounting (New York: AICPA, 1961), pp. 3-4; Eldon S. Hendriksen, Accounting Theory (Homewood, Ill.: Richard D. Irwin, 1965), pp. 8-10; and R. F. Salmonson, Basic Financial Account- ing Theory (Belmont, Calif.: Wadsworth Publishing Co., 1969), pp. 10-12. 10. See Milton Friedman, Essays in Positive Economics (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1953), pp. 3-34; and the several papers found in Papers and Proceedings of the Seventy-fifth Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association (Dec. 27-29, 1962); American Economic Review (May 1963), pp. 204-36; and the comments in The American Economic Review (Dec. 1965), pp. 1151-72. 11. For corroborating assessments, see Deinzer, pp. 56-57 and 145-46; and Chambers, esp. p. 366; and R. J. Chambers, "Some Observations on 'Structure of Accounting Theory,' The Accounting Review (Oct. 1956), pp. 584-92. 12. Paul Grady, Inventory of Generally Accepted Principles for Business En- terprises (New York: AICPA, 1965). 4aw- STEPHEN A. ZEFF 53 number of generalizations derived from various levels of doctrine. That the recommendations of his authoritative sources are generally followed in accounting practice is a hypothesis that may be put to em- pirical test. But it is not empiricism to look only at the dictates of authority. Nor is the Goldberg brand of empiricism to be found in Sterling's recent analytical survey of the nature and meaning of the term "going concern."13 His field work is confined to the nonempirical accounting literature. The study does not observe what accountants actually do. On the surface it would seem that the 1938 monograph A Statement of Accounting Principles, by Sanders, Hatfield, and Moore, approxi- mates the Goldberg vision of empiricism. The authors report that inquiries were made of competent persons by means of "personal in- terviews, supplemented by correspondence."14 Yet they also looked at the literature and were strongly influenced, in some sections, by evolving corporate law. Moreover, the accounting principles were ex- pressed as imperatives, suggesting the intervention of value judgments. Gilman's Accounting Concepts of Profit cannot qualify as empiri- cism, for it also draws on a largely nonempirical literature. \ This brief review does not denigrate the usefulness of any of the research studies mentioned. It serves only to point out that much of oiir inductive research has not involved the observation of the account- Sant at work. There are instances, especially in doctoral research, of questionnaire surveys made of practicing accountants.l" Though ob- servation need not be personal observation, the probitive potential of studies limited to questionnaire surveys is often severely limited. With Devine, I readily admit that research of the empirical mold is difficult to carry out and necessarily entails a great deal of subjectivity in design and execution.16 In discussing Goldberg's Theory Sense 1, I think we must distin- guish, at least at the level of conception, between two types of normative-deductive research found in the accounting literature. On the one hand, we have suffered argument by authority, argument by 13. Robert R. Sterling, "The Going Concern: An Examination," The Account- ing Review (July 1968), pp. 481-502. 14. Thomas Henry Sanders, Henry Rand Hatfield, and Underhill Moore, A Statement of Accounting Principles (New York: American Institute of Account- ants, 1938), p. xv. 15. A recent and noteworthy example is Abraham J. Briloff, The Effectiveness of Accounting Communication (New York: Frederick A. Praeger, 1967). 16. Devine, pp. 393-94. 54 DISCUSSION STEPHEN A. ZEFF tradition and usage ("it is good because it is done"), and, most impor- tant, argument by deduction with unstated assumptions. "The actual state of accounting," writes Chambers, "is not that it has no theories, but that it has an almost inexhaustible quantity of implicit, partial, and contradictory theories."17 This implicitness makes it impossible to monitor the validity of argument. It is more religion than theology. The second type of normative-deductive research is that which makes explicit the antecedent propositions, attempts to demonstrate their concordance with environmental reality, and adheres to accept- able rules of logical inference.s8 The logical outcome of this normative deduction would not necessarily correspond with the reality of extant accounting practice, yet the proposed accounting practices might be demonstrated to achieve the objectives implicit in the assumptions of the model.19 Here we encounter a fundamental difference between Goldberg and many normative deductivists. Goldberg's search for the truth in ac- counting would not be confined to what accountants do and what they say about what they do. Both Goldberg and the deductivists place em- phasis on the impact of accounting on the behavior of persons who are not accountants. They may be investors, managers, creditors, or gov- ernment officials, among others. While Goldberg's principal concern with the impact of accounting on the behavior of nonaccountants is in the predictive sphere-an important and worthy concern in itself-the normative deductivists are more directly concerned with the shape of accounting in the light of the needs it should satisfy. Accounting, being a service activity, must endeavor to discover and serve the needs of the community. In mediating the competing claims of different groups for his services, the accountant cannot escape making ethical judgments. Yet Goldberg believes that accountants are not able to make such decisions and, further, that ethical judgments are beyond the domain of science. Churchman, on the other hand, gives hope that science may yet cope with the ethical oughts. He writes: 17. Raymond J. Chambers, Accounting, Evaluation, and Economic Behavior (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1966), p. 371. 18. The most complete example of this type of study is the aforementioned Accounting, Evaluation, and Economic Behavior. 19. This type of proof is very difficult to attain in accounting. Writes Cham- bers: "since accounting is practised in a social matrix, the elements of which (habits, laws, regulations) cannot either be altered or held constant for the pur- pose of testing a new idea, the conclusions from any attempt to experiment with accounting ideas are likely to be vitiated by the numerous concurrent extraneous influences." Chambers, Accounting, Finance and Management, p. 381. 55 ethical judgments are really judgments made for the sake of fu- ture generations .. The vague scientific interpretation of "X ought to do A on ethical grounds" is "A is what future man will want X to have done." Some of the vagueness of this translation has been removed by giving a tentative interpretation of "Y wants X to do A," where Y is a social group. If Y is the social group which includes future man, as the argument seems to de- mand, then the difficulties of explaining the idea of social ap- proval become very great.... In a sense, the attempt to view morality through the eyes of science is more fantastic than factual, more visionary than pre- cise. Science still knows so little about what present-day man wants that it is fantastic to talk about what future man will want, and to suggest the possibility of forecasting such wants by scien- tific method. Nevertheless, it is hard not to talk in this vein even though in so doing one drastically violates the ideals of rigor and clarity. It is difficult not to because science has a stake in moral- ity, that is, in the future wants of humanity. Philosophers of sci- ence must ask themselves whether the problems of future men- admittedly relevant to current science-are forever beyond the understanding of current science. It therefore seems clear that we must consider the feasibility of a scientific discipline which predicts the future interests of men by means of a theory of the development of interests. Such a the- ory is much like discussions of the origin and ultimate fate of our universe-terribly important but not rigorously defensible at the present time.20 I believe that accountants must be interested in discovering the soci- etal needs for their services. Present accounting practice, being no less need-oriented than some prospective and untried accounting prac- tices, has supposedly evolved in response to demands and counterde- mands, some expressed through formal law and its application, some communicated through less formal media. Through the prism of Goldberg's empiricism, and perhaps with the aid of a historical tracing of the point and counterpoint between accounting and its environ- ment, we might discover the needs which present accounting practice strives to satisfy. Today, because of the dearth of historical and Goldberg-type empirical research in accounting, we can only specu- late on the present condition. 20. C. West Churchman, Prediction and Optimal Decision (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1961), pp. 22 and 23-24. 56 DISCUSSION STEPHEN A. ZEFF Whatever the mix of societal needs that present-day accounting practice purports to satisfy, it should not be concluded without fur- ther study, first, that this group of needs is the best selection from the set of all possible needs and, second, that present accounting practice is adequate to satisfy the needs thus selected. Though I have attempted to argue that normative deductivism de- serves an important place in accounting research, I hasten to Gold- berg's side as a fellow positivist. I fear that the pressures upon ac- counting researchers to invent better information systems to feed the insatiable appetite of sophisticated decision models have almost eclipsed the concern for accumulating knowledge, qua knowledge, about our field of study. In our rush to convert accounting into an omnipotent information system to serve mankind's decision models, we should not ignore man's experience with accounting and the lessons that may be learned from such experience. The practice of accounting has a history and a present, and we as scholars know precious little about each. Historical investigations have been sparse, and some of these have been used as foils to prove the authors' preconceived notions. For accountants, we keep poor records; the records we have are seldom studied. I therefore join Goldberg in the quest for what is, and I add for what has been. But I cannot desist without submitting to a Machiavellian urge: Goldberg's empirical approach can conceivably play a strategic role in conditioning the practicing profession to the rigor of accounting research. Goldberg says that 'Theory Sense 1' is the area that practitioners are most interested in." Contrariwise, I would argue that the practi- tioners' growing frustration with the prescriptive literature, both au- thoritative and nonauthoritative, was what prompted the leaders of the profession to propose the AICPA's new research program twelve years ago. Notwithstanding the use of the term "postulate" and the clear pref- erence for the normative-deductive approach in the report of the in- stitute's Special Committee on Research Program, I seriously doubt that the practicing profession at this time is intellectually or emotion- ally prepared to endeavor to understand and appreciate rigorously de- ductive studies of the normative type. At the present time there is a craving, I think, for general statements (they might be called princi- ples by some) of what is. I would offer as evidence the popularity of 57 the Grady Inventory in comparison with the reception accorded the normative Moonitz and Sprouse/Moonitz studies.21 A profession that has lived by authoritative prescription and reli- gious dogmatism for many years cannot suddenly adapt to the enlight- enment of normative scholarship-especially at a time when auditors' liability is one of the most unsettled areas in the law. In some circles, the word "theoretical" is the death blow to attempts to reform ac- counting. Theory is seen as a threat, and I suspect that the empiricism espoused by Goldberg, in addition to the obvious benefits its applica- tion would bring to the body of accounting knowledge, would at the present time command the greatest respect from practitioners. At the same time as it escapes the charges of promoting impractical and un- tried practices, it will, it is to be hoped, foster confidence among prac- titioners in the methodology of scientific investigation. Whether this degree of confidence will ever rise to the point where the profession would openly and dispassionately evaluate normative models is not presently known. 21. See the "Statement of the Accounting Principles Board (APB)," dated April 13, 1962, plus the comments of Barr, Blough, Grady, and Werntz in the Sprouse / Moonitz study. For the Grady study, see Anthony's book review, The Accounting Review (Jan. 1966), pp. 194-96; and Weldon Powell (who was the first chairman of the APB), "Inventory of Generally Accepted Accounting Prin- ciples," The Journal of Accountancy (Mar. 1965), pp. 29-35. See also Weldon Powell, "The Development of Accounting Principles," The Journal of Account- ancy (Sept. 1964), pp. 37-43. 58 DISCUSSION The Commercial Foundations of Accounting Theory R. J. Chambers THE LAST DECADE has seen the adequacy of existing methods of accounting, and their products, brought sharply into question. Around the world, commercial events, business failures, and the merger move- ment have obliged regulatory bodies to give more attention to the financial publicity provisions of the company codes than in any other decade. In the same decade there have been many symposia on ac- counting theory. Ten years ago we might have hoped that there would have emerged by now some clear and positive line of thought, some conclusions which would warrant the advancement with confidence of improvements in technique. There has been no such result. Had it been a matter of only ten years, we could perhaps excuse ourselves. But the criticisms of Canning, Sweeney, and Macneal of some thirty to forty years ago have not been met, either in the general body of theory or in practice. I believe this failure to be explicable in terms of the modes of inquiry and exposition which have prevailed and seem to still prevail in accounting. For, first, there is a noticeable reluc- tance to assign quite definite and limited functions to accounting. At- tempts to limit the field of discourse and the function of accounting proper are treated almost with scorn by teachers as well as practi- tioners. Yet, it was only when naturalists gave up mixing metaphysics 59 60 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY with physics, and concentrated on a limited range of phenomena and ideas, that they laid the foundation of modern scientific knowledge. When one has mastered one's own speciality, it is profitable to con- sider what greater power, knowledge, or service it may in future put within one's grasp. But it is futile to adopt the role of visionary unless one knows how first to get rid of the follies of present doctrine and practice. Second, almost everyone seems to think he is entitled to an opinion on the subject matter and the nature of accounting theory-an opinion, what is more, which others will respect. This belief may have been fostered by the prominence given to opinion and judgment in state- ments on practices. However, there can be no more mischievous idea than that the choice of the magnitudes recorded and reported and the choice of rules of processing are matters of opinion. There can be no greater source of disruption and confusion. For if these things are mat- ters of opinion, there can be no solid core of principles, no ascertain- able function, no systematic knowledge. It should be well known that it is profitless to debate matters of opinion. But to a considerable ex- tent the literature consists of free-wheeling debate rather than the sys- tematic, intensive, and consciously controlled analysis of present and proposed schemes of accounting. Reluctance to assign precise and limited functions to accounting and an easy attitude toward the merit of mere opinion have doubtless con- tributed to the present methodological chaos. There has been rela- tively little accumulation of factual evidence, or recourse to available factual evidence, in the derivation of basic ideas. There has been much talk of the use of deduction,1 but there is little evidence of its use. Some have attempted to align thinking about accounting with think- ing about "economic matters" in the wider sense of the term. The phe- nomena under consideration have been described in such general terms that no clear accounting rules can be deduced.2 Some have felt it im- possible to proceed to clear conclusions, protesting ignorance of how people behave in commercial situations.3 Some, while restricting at- 1. E.g., Carl Thomas Devine, "Research Methodology and Accounting The- ory Formation," The Accounting Review (July 1960); Maurice Moonitz, The Basic Postulates of Accounting (New York, 1961), p. 6; Eldon S. Hendriksen, Accounting Theory (Homewood, Ill., 1965), chap. 1. 2. The use of such portmanteau terms as communication, measurement, re- source, entity, information, environment, without any description or analysis of what is meant, is so common that it needs no documentation. 3. E.g., AAA, A Statement of Basic Accounting Theory (Evanston, Ill., 1966), p. 69. Perhaps the statement reflects the views of only some of its authors; see R. J. CHAMBERS tention to the actions of individuals and firms, have found it impossible to avoid mixing commercial, political, and psychic elements of choice and behavior.4 And hardly anywhere is there presented evidence, from commercial and financial affairs, of the necessity of the information it is proposed that accounting should produce. In all, the linkage of theory with practical affairs, both at the initial postulational stage and at the final testing stage, is at best tenuous, and at worst missing altogether. I have chosen to use the words "commercial foundations" in the title of this paper, first, because in my view accounting is concerned strictly with commercial experiences, events, and considerations; sec- ond, because to concentrate on specific particulars enables us to follow exactly the same course as others have followed in the pursuit of cer- tain, or highly probable, generalized knowledge. I could as well have used the words "economic foundations" or "empirical foundations." I rejected them, because I wished to leave in no doubt my concern with specific particulars, the consideration of which, alone, can yield grounds for belief and tests of belief in one kind of accounting or another. EVENTS AND RECORDS Much of the discussion of accounting deals in a general way with commercial affairs, buying, selling, borrowing, lending, and so on. But by far the greater part of it deals with the records of commercial af- fairs. Commercial affairs and the records of commercial affairs are not the same thing. A record is a construction, an artefact. The way it is constructed depends on how we see or understand the matters re- corded and on how the matters recorded are subsequently to be seen or understood. A purchase, a sale, simply occurs. It can be recorded in many ways, from the long descriptive paragraphs of the early book- keepers to the abbreviated symbols of mechanical devices. If it is an isolated event, it is sufficient to describe it as it occurred. But if it is part of an on-going mixed sequence of events, the consequences of which affect later choices and commercial dealing, it must be so em- Norton M. Bedford, "The Nature of Future Accounting Theory," The Account- ing Review (Jan. 1967); and George H. Sorter, "An 'Events' Approach to Basic Accounting Theory," The Accounting Review (Jan. 1969). 4. As witness, the rising occurrence in the literature of references to organiza- tional and individual goals and social ends and values, in wider senses than the commercial or financial sense. 61 62 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY bedded in the record of those events that subsequently the effects of the mixture and the sequence can be seen and understood. That a record is a construction is emphasized. If I keep a cash book, the balance it shows of cash on hand at any time is not necessarily the amount of cash I have. I and everyone else can make errors and lose money accidentally. The amount of money I have, not the amount in the cash book (unless the amounts are the same), determines what I can buy, and the usefulness to me of any reckoning I make before buy- ing. If I keep a more complex record of cash movements and other movements in the things I buy, use, and sell for my own purposes, I am at liberty to do as I please-on the record. But, as in the case of the cash book, that record will only be indicative of what has happened and what I can now do if it is constructed with that object, and if in fact I have taken care to see that it records all the events which have affected my present capacity, and knowledge of which may affect my present judgment in respect of my commercial affairs. I hope everyone would assent to the propriety of the two condi- tions mentioned. Whatever my likes and dislikes may be about the manner of keeping records, they cannot be allowed to affect the sub- stance of the record if the product of the record is to help me in the two ways specified. If I choose to disregard any event or class of events which has had a bearing on my present capacity for buying, selling, borrowing, lending, paying debts, and so on, the statement of capacity which I deduce from the record will be inconsistent with my actual capacity. Similarly, if I choose to incorporate in the record any expected event or class of events which may in the future affect my ca- pacity for commercial action, the deduced statement of capacity at any time will not be consistent with my actual capacity at that time. In both cases, my present judgments about the past and the possibili- ties of the present and the future will be mistaken if I base them on the statement deduced from the record. I hope everyone would assent to these two propositions. I mention them because both the exclusion of things that have happened and the inclusion of things that are expected to happen seem to be counte- nanced by many extant and proposed practices. It is not denied that men may wish to classify past events the better to make judgments about the future. But classifying past events does not mean disregard- ing the effects of some of them. Nor is it denied that men may wish to speculate about future events, the better to choose which will serve them best. But speculation about the future does not warrant the in- R. J. CHAMBERS production, into any statement of present capacity, of the substance of those speculations or of any one of them. It seems highly probable that the confusion of past, present, and future in present and proposed practices has arisen because, in per- sonal affairs, we very seldom have to think very closely about the dis- tinction. We are familiar with our past experiences-at least we think we are. We are familiar with our present state; as individuals we have a rough idea at any time of the commercial worth of what we own. The thing that looms largest in our minds is thinking about what we might do next; how much will it cost us to have that vacation, furnish that room, run that additional car, and so on. In business affairs, however, the things done are so numerous that only a small proportion of them comes under the notice of managers, and the experience of only that proportion is known to them. And none of them is known to investors and other outsiders. The effects of those and all other things must be brought together in some way which represents the whole experience of the firm. Similarly, the assets and obligations are generally so numerous that an account of them all must be prepared deliberately, if managers and investors are to be familiar with the present state of the firm. Certainly what the firm might do in the future is of consequence, as in the case of individuals thinking of their own affairs. But the discovery of what has occurred and of the resulting present position provides the major factual premises, of a fi- nancial kind, for speculation about the future. It cannot be brushed aside as readily as we might brush it aside in our personal affairs be- cause of our own familiarity with those personal affairs. We hold this process of discovery to be the prime function of accounting. If it is not done as well as is possible, judgments about past and future lack that contact with the factual present which alone provides a trust- worthy foundation for choice and action. COMMERCIALLY NECESSARY INFORMATION There can be little doubt that the present states of business firms from time to time are of immediate concern to managers, at least in some obvious respects. Knowledge of cash flows, for example, is widely said to be of consequence. Anyone familiar with the care and attention given to cash positions, arrangements with bankers, short- term borrowing and lending, and such matters, by company treas- urers and boards of directors, will know that in this respect what the literature says is matched by what is done in commercial practice. 63 64 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY Balances of receivables and payables are closely linked to cash bal- ances. It would be futile to attempt to project cash movements from any point of time without firm knowledge of the cash balances and receivables and payables balances at that point of time. It would be equally futile to attempt to explain the past drift in net monetary bal- ances without firm knowledge of those balances at the moment of the attempt. For cash resources, firms are not limited to the amounts they can generate by way of revenues. They may pledge assets, singly or in total, as security for cash advances. The immediate security for lenders is the market selling price of the assets pledged. It is often said that the significant value of an asset to a firm is its calculated net present value in its present use. But no lender on the security of the firm's assets is concerned with the value of those assets to the firm in this sense. He is concerned with the value of those assets as generators of cash for him- self in the event that he must enforce his claim against the borrower by sale of the charged asset. Furthermore, a borrower in this position will want to know the market prices of his assets in order to be free to make his own choice of arrangements to meet his creditors, so that he is not entirely at their mercy if he is unable to meet his obligations from ready cash. For confirmation of this view, one may have recourse to bond in- dentures and similar instruments. Wherever a charge over particular assets or groups of assets is given as security for borrowings, there will be found some provision restricting other borrowing by reference to the amount of the assets of the borrower. Now the term "the amount of the assets" in such an indenture can have only one kind of meaning. The object of the provision is to cover the amount borrowed. This cover is given, not by the book values of assets, however determined, but by the market values of assets. It would be unwarranted to regard "the amount of the assets" as a term of art, having a meaning derived solely from accounting rules, whatever they might be. As we have said, a record is a construction. Unless what it yields is consistent with the real state of affairs, creditors' interests, in financial information for their protection, cannot be served. Nor indeed can the interests of borrowers be served. There is ample evidence in the history of commerce of the correct- ness of the point we are making. A very simple and almost everyday instance is the buying of stock on margin. It must be widely known that if the market price of a stock bought on margin falls, the buyer R. J. CHAMBERS must pay up, put up further security, or be sold out. On a more exten- sive level, there are many cases in which book values, which seemed to provide adequate cover for secured loans, have been found to be en- tirely misleading, to the very great cost of creditors. It may be contended that lenders are accustomed to lend only a cer- tain proportion of the amount of any pledged assets. But the safety margin can only be known to be safe if at any time the market value of pledged assets is known. Further, few firms have only one creditor. If a firm has only one creditor, and that creditor is sufficiently impor- tant to the firm to oblige it to disclose the market value of its assets, perhaps it would not matter (at least for the creditor's protection) that its balance sheet did not disclose the market values of its assets. But the typical situation is that a firm has many creditors, some se- cured, some unsecured. And all are entitled to know whether they may reasonably expect their claims to be met. Private disclosure of market values of assets to a few privileged creditors would not cover this case. Nor would it be possible for stockholders to judge whether or not a firm is approaching the limits of its borrowing power if they are in ignorance of the market prices of assets; yet, for any informed opinion on the prospects of changes in leverage and asset backing, this infor- mation is necessary. Consider now the stockholders of a company. It would be generally agreed that the relative worths of two ventures determine which is to be preferred. Every classroom exercise and every real-life exercise in choosing between alternative investments has somewhere in it a pres- ent amount of cash or cash substitutes or cash equivalents. In addition, every such exercise contains particulars of two or more alternative courses of action and their expected financial outcomes. Whatever method of appraisal is used, it is expected that a conclusion will be reached of the kind "Course X is preferable (or preferred) to Course Y" or, in other words, "Course X is worth more than Course Y." Now suppose that a firm has $10,000 in cash and has two courses of action open to it, X of which the net present value is $12,000, and Y of which the net present value is $11,000. We would not, at the date in question, say that the firm had a greater cash balance than $10,000. Suppose next that the firm has not $10,000 in cash but an asset A which has a resale price of $10,000. And suppose that course X is to sell the asset A and use the proceeds otherwise, and course Y is to continue to use the asset. And suppose the net present values of X and Y are as be- fore. As in the previous case, course X is worth more than course Y. 65 66 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY But it would be just as useless in this case to show the asset A in an amount different from $10,000 as it would be to show the cash in the previous case in an amount different from $10,000. But suppose the book value of the present asset A is $8000 and that that is the only information known. If this were taken to be the limit of the financial capacity of the venture, course X could not even be considered. But if it were possible to borrow another $2000 and the borrowing of this was taken into account in assessing course X, the net present value of course X would be loaded with an additional $2000 initial outlay plus the interest charges-all quite improperly, since the (undisclosed) resale price is sufficient to make course X possible. The example shows several things. First, we need to know the cash we have, or the cash equivalent of the cash and other things we have, if we are to do any calculating in respect of future alternatives. If we do not know this, our choices between alternatives will be mistaken; indeed, some feasible alternatives we may not even consider. And, as every judgment of relative worth is based on present facts and ex- pected financial outcomes given the present facts, the only presently verifiable element in the calculations and the only uniformly used component of the calculations is the cash equivalent (or sum of the resale prices) of the assets. The stockholders and the managers of companies are both faced with problems of the above kind: managers with choices between projects, stockholders with choices between companies (or, more gen- erally still, between companies and other forms of investment). Now stockholders can discover day by day the cash equivalents of their present holdings and alternative stocks. What they need is something to inform their expectations of the financial outcomes of alternative in- vestments on their part. As in the earlier example, it is impossible to form expectations of the performance of companies unless one knows how they are presently placed financially, that is to say, what they own and in what proportions the equities in those assets run to differ- ent classes of equity holder. But stockholders cannot be expected to form any idea of the inflows and outflows from the specific operations of the many firms in which they may invest. They can, however, be informed of the effectiveness of the whole of the past operations of companies and their managements; they are so informed by the rates at which the equities of residual equity holders have been increased. These, the achieved rates of return of companies, may be modified by actual or prospective investors when forming their expectations, in the light of their views on the expected impact of general or specific trade conditions. The process is exactly analogous to the formation of man- agerial expectations, even though the calculations are of a less specific kind. But none of these calculations or expectations can be serviceable unless it is based on financial statements expressing positions and re- sults in contemporary, and therefore comparable, terms.5 There are, of course, some who hold that, when a set of assets and equities is put together, we have something greater than the sum of the parts. It is implied that the aggregation of the cash equivalents of assets represents, if anything, less than the whole firm. Of course this is true. The whole firm in its concrete manifestation, however, is not what balance sheets represent. They represent in some sense the amount of the investment in assets and the apportionment of that amount among the classes of equity holders. It is true that any given collection of assets may be put together in different ways by different managers of them. But the effect of putting them together and to work in a given way is the net income yielded, year by year. When we know the amounts and composition of the assets and equities of any firm and what it pro- duces (in financial terms) from time to time, we have all that is neces- sary to describe it and with what effect it has been managed. We can compare these characteristics with like characteristics of any other company, and with any more general form of investment; on the basis of knowledge of the past and present and of general expectations of the future, we may formulate specific expectations in respect of future possibilities for as many alternatives as we choose to consider. In much of the literature the kinds of comparison we have been mentioning seem to be regarded as occasional or unusual. For exam- ple, the arguments against uniformity in accounting and the arguments for diversity with specification of the methods used give scant regard to the conditions under which comparison is possible. They are, in this respect, quite at odds with the reflective exercises which are part of judging and choosing. We cannot judge anything without some other past or present thing in mind. We do not choose unless we have at least two possible things in mind. Far from being unusual, comparison is of the essence in judging and choosing. And judging and choosing are potentially everyday exercises. But we cannot judge, choose, or com- pare commercial propositions in terms of all their specific differences by reference only to financial statements. We use financial statements 5. The argument is presented in more elaborate form in "Measures and Values," The Accounting Review (Apr. 1968). 67 R. J. CHAMBERS 68 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY to inform us only of financial elements of judgments and choices. However, in respect to theircommercial outcomes, whatever specific nonfinancial elements we may want to consider, we cannot judge or choose unless we can reduce all the financial facts to common order- equally up-to-date and equally inclusive of the effects of past decisions and of the impact of past events of the nondecided kind. It is vain to pretend that the prices of things have not risen when in fact they have. It is vain to contend that these changes are immaterial and that their consequences should be omitted from accounts. It is vain to pretend that the purchasing power of money has not risen or fallen when in fact it has. It is vain to expect managers or outsiders to be able to take cognizance, in their reflections, of the specific effects of these changes on particular firms and their results. For it is quite pos- sible that, for any common class of assets, the prices of the holdings of one company may move at a different rate from, and even in opposite direction to, the prices of the holdings of another company. And it is quite possible that the different asset compositions of two companies will expose them quite differently to the effects of changes in the pur- chasing power of money. It is also vain to attempt to exclude or separately to identify the ef- fects of these different kinds of change. It is widely said that some of these effects are controllable, or at least are subject to managerial choice, while others are not. In simple thought experiments it is pos- sible to isolate all kinds of possible variation. But in the complex of commercial operations of any firm, any kind of variation is intimately associated with other kinds. And few are strictly controllable. If the C company sold $1 million worth of goods in one year and planned to sell the same in the next year, and yet only half of its customers placed orders in the next year, it cannot be said that sales were, in any worth- while sense, controllable by its managers. The risks of business are that fashions will change, wants will change, techniques will change, per- sonnel will change, prices will change, the purchasing power of money will change. It is unrealistic to suppose that managers can cope with, make provision against, or respond to some of these changes and not others. And there are so many ways in which they can respond that the only safe way to treat the effects of these changes is to capture them all as well as is possible.6 6. Arguments against the separate identification of elements of the increment in residual equity are given at several points in Accounting, Evaluation, and Eco- nomic Behavior, pp. 118-19, 226-27, 236-37. It seems unnecessary to illustrate further the particular ways in which present knowledge bears on judgments of the past and expecta- tions of the future. The present is the link between past and future. Present financial position is the link between past events and future events. If it is not known, we cannot knowledgeably review the past or plan for the future. The past and present are in principle knowable and unalterable; the future is not knowable, but we can guess, calcu- late, and plan its shape if we know what the past has yielded and how we stand presently. These distinctions between past, present, and fu- ture have been the basis of much of my own work. I can readily admit the necessity of future calculations; but I cannot see how those calcu- lations can be made or, if made, can be worthwhile without the fullest possible knowledge of the present financial state of a firm and the fullest possible account of its past. SOME CONTRASTS The method of analysis we have illustrated proceeds from particular kinds of problem situations to which any person or firm may be ex- posed. It may well be asked in what way this method differs from the methods of others who have advanced proposals different from our own. The difference lies in the particularity with which we examined the situations we described and with which we could have examined other such problem situations. Lest it be supposed that this is not a material difference in method, it will be instructive to look at the meth- ods used in developing some other proposed bodies of principles. It will be found that, in general, the authors of these proposals do not go back to the specific commercial settings in which financial information is used; their method is to expound or to reformulate ideas which are held or debated among accountants. It is as if the proof of the pudding were in the mixing, not in the eating. Moonitz' study The Basic Postulates of Accounting, as indeed other studies to be mentioned, has a specific professional and temporal setting. It will be recalled that the work of the reconstituted Research Division of the AICPA was viewed as a potential corrective of the piece- meal examination of professional problems over the previous two dec- ades. The antecedent research bulletins addressed themselves to ac- counting technicalities, however, not to the utility of the resulting information. The connections between information and its use were never established. Had they been established, it would perhaps have been sufficient, in the postulates study, to deal with the users and uses 69 R. J. CHAMBERS 70 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY of accounting information in summary fashion and to pass on to the terms of art, which are at least one stage removed from commercial calculation and dealing. The Moonitz study concerns itself principally with these terms of art-the particular constructs and language forms common in debates among accountants. There will not be found in the study any illustration of the precise way in which accounting in- formation enters into the processes of choice or judgment, although examples of certain kinds of decision are named (e.g., pp. 28-29) and decision-making is elsewhere referred to in less specific terms (e.g., p. 27). We are not here concerned with the merits of the discussion in the study of such terms of art as "assets," "entities," "accounting periods," "going concerns," and so on. We are simply pointing out that, in the absence of proven connections between choices and certain anteced- ent financial information, the discussion of higher-level abstractions is premature. We choose only one example of the effect of the absence of explicit and admitted connection. We are told that, "without state- ments of position we have no starting point, no end, no check points to verify our measures of change" (p. 16). Then later: "For the most part, accounting data rely on past prices, but not entirely. Pressures have been building up in recent years for more use of future, and hence estimated, events and prices in order to make accounting re- ports 'more useful' "; it is suggested that nothing "stands in the way of such a development" (p. 29). The two stated views are, of course, inconsistent. Analysis of the particular elements of any financial or quasi-financial problem would have suggested that complete informa- tion on past events and present position and future estimates based on present position are both essential in choosing and that the mixing of past and future, of events and expectations, in reports of one kind (as the second quoted passage suggests), cannot serve to inform choices. The Illinois study, A Statement of Basic Accounting Postulates and Principles, makes no direct reference to specific uses or users of ac- counting information. There are, of course, references to stewardship (pp. 2, 3), to "maximization of the benefits of resource utilization" (pp. 2, 3), to "decisions to be made by the various interests in an enter- prise" (p. 3), and to serving "the needs of a variety of interests .. whose needs vary" (p. 15). Notice that the components of all these phrases are abstractions, or constructs. None refers to such specific details as concern any person or persons engaged in trade or persons having to consider the merits of alternative courses of action. The R. J. CHAMBERS whole discourse is lifted away from the context of the marketplace. We do not claim that discourse in general terms or by recourse to con- structs is improper. We do claim, however, that in the absence of examples of the particular uses of the information generated by any process we are given no ground for supposing that one kind of ac- counting is any better than any other; what is more to the point, we have no ground for supposing that any particular kind of accounting is of any use at all. True, the statement has a section on transactions. But nowhere are we given the anatomy or mechanics of the reflective process which precedes transactions, nor of the parts played by various kinds of fi- nancial magnitude and calculation in that process. True, we are told that "accounting fulfils a social need by reporting data which provide a basis for evaluating the success with which enterprise management has utilized the scarce resources entrusted to it" (p. 32). But nowhere are we given a single illustration of an evaluative device used by so- ciety or by individuals. The AAA statement, ASOBAT, is much more specific in dealing with the actual or potential users of accounting information than the Moon- itz study and the Illinois statement. There are statements of the kinds of decision which are made by named classes of parties-investors, sup- pliers, creditors, employees, and others (p. 21). But nowhere is there a suggestion of the ways in which particular pieces of financial infor- mation enter into those decisions and choices. We are told specifically that information on earnings, financial position, and liquidity is neces- sary (pp. 23-25). But we are treated to no discussion of the variant meanings of these terms and no particular definition or analysis of any one of them. Indeed, most of the discussion is devoted to the pre- diction of future earnings, positions, and cash-flows without any os- tensible connection between specific present knowledge and specific estimations or predictions. There are occasional pieces of evidence or occasional dicta which may be taken as indicating the futility of some kinds of accounting. Thus historical cost accounting is said to lead to undervaluation of assets and overstatement of earnings following inflation (p. 28). It is alleged that accounting on the basis of "current values (however defined) fails to satisfy a number of [unspecified] uses" (p. 30). But there is no illustration of the ways in which the alleged defects would distort judgments or estimates in any specified commercial circumstance. 71 72 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY Perhaps our request for definition and specific illustration will be considered pedantic. But we may very well believe that to define and illustrate would be much too uncomfortable a task when the authors were committed to the parallel reporting of positions and results on two bases. Their conclusion inevitably means that earnings, working capital, net assets, owners' equity, rate of return, leverage ratio, and other such aggregates and relations can have two different magnitudes at the same time. But analysis of the particular uses which can be made of these magnitudes in commercial reckoning would show that their components could ideally be of one kind only. As in other cases, the discussion is removed entirely from contact with the commercial choices which, because there is no other source of information of the same kind, accounting might be expected to in- form. The greater part of the statement employs terms and phrases which relate to debates among accountants and notions peculiar to ac- countants. It does not come down to the level of the city's haggling, choosing, and economizing. Its propositions are not, therefore, based on explicit inferences from observables, and its conclusions are not submitted to the test of usefulness in identified problem-contexts. Time and space prevent us from dealing here with other recent the- oretical works and the textbooks which purport to deal with account- ing as an aid to decision-making. Generally, their style is the same as the examples noticed above. Allusions to particular situations in which factual and hypothetical financial magnitudes and relationships are used are missing. There is no discussion of the commercial significance of asset-backing, achieved ratio of return, debt to equity ratios, indi- cators of liquidity-which among them embrace all the figures which appear in periodical financial statements. The reader is left to suppose that these things are of no account (a conclusion flatly contradicted by the literature and practice of security analysis); that, if they are of importance, the necessary figures must be obtained otherwise than from accounting statements (yet no indication is given in the litera- ture of any systematic alternative source); or that the specific magni- tudes of these indicators may be used without regard for the effects of the different accounting rules used by any firm, or as between firms, on the component elements of the indicators (which is patently false). In the absence of this analysis, there is no foundation for conclusions by way of deductive inference. The occasional allusions to deduction, as a method of reaching conclusions, are generally pointless, for sel- dom are they followed by explicit application of the deductive process R. J. CHAMBERS to any set of premises for the reaching of any stated conclusion; where a line of deductive argument is begun, it is dropped in mid-course, and attention is switched to more palatable assertions.7 Finally, there is no attempt to indicate how the magnitudes derivable by any proposed accounting process would eliminate specified defects of alternative processes or would positively advance the capacity for informed judgment of users of accounting statements. Seldom are there references to reported failures, misdemeanors, or disputes as evi- dence of the propriety or impropriety of any process or conception. The world of commerce is just disregarded, instead of being regarded as the laboratory in which proposals and theories are refined and put under test. It seems unlikely that progress will be made as long as ac- countants are content to find shelter under the idea that magnitudes and methods are matters of opinion and are content to disregard the confusion which stems from the coexistence of materially different conceptions of what matters in daily commercial experience. AN ANALOGY The kinds of exercise we have described in the previous section arise from the belief that what accountants do provides the empirical foundation of principles and theories.8 Given this belief, it is easy to understand the consequential belief that to proceed from observable practices to principles is to follow the same steps as other sciences fol- low. We hold that this is a mistaken view. We may use an analogy from, say, chemistry. If we watch closely the things which a chemist does in a laboratory, we can report every step he takes. We can collect descriptions of what many chemists do- put measured quantities of solids and fluids of certain kinds into test tubes and retorts; observe their interaction in atmospheric air or under exposure to heat, and so on; and weigh or otherwise measure the prod- ucts. None of these observations, however, would provide any knowl- edge at all of the laws, principles, or theories of chemistry. We could say it is generally accepted practice among chemists always to use clean instruments or containers, always to weigh or measure inputs 7. Examples are the switch in treatment between the first half and the second half of Canning's The Economics of Accountancy; the switch from exit prices, after making a strong case for their use, by Edwards and Bell (The Theory and Measurement of Business Income); and the switch from dual values to a single value in Ijiri's The Foundations of Accounting Measurement. 8. This belief is at least implicit in all attempts to provide a rationalization for existing practices. 73 74 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY and outputs in particular ways, and always to write down or other- wise record what they have done. But all this describes only the overt and superficial elements of what chemists do. Chemical knowledge subsists in statements of the ways in which chemical substances can be related to one another or mixed with one another, and with what ef- fects. The routines of chemists are intended to insure that they do not draw false inferences from the reactions and other events they bring about and observe. But they are not the empirical foundations of chemical knowledge. It is exactly the same in accounting. Knowledge of financial calcu- lation subsists in statements of the ways in which specific kinds of fi- nancial magnitudes can be related to one another or mixed with one another, and with what effects. If we know the effects we wish to bring about-magnitudes which will inform others of what has hap- pened, of how firms stand in financial relation to the rest of the com- munity, of the present capacity for varied but unspecified actions at any time-we can devise routines which will bring about just those effects. The empirical foundations of accounting knowledge lie in the kinds of financial magnitudes which men find it necessary and reason- able to relate, add, subtract, and compare if certain kinds of judgments are to be made or certain kinds of conclusions are to be drawn in re- spect of commercial or financial matters. They do not lie in the kinds of practices accountants have become accustomed to following. There seem to be grounds for supposing that the widely held dic- tum, that different kinds of information are necessary for different kinds of decision, also has its roots in the variant practices of account- ants rather than in close examination of reflective processes. We may use another analogy. The properties of common salt are numerous. Its components are sodium and chlorine in a fixed proportion; its specific gravity is given by a fixed number; its molecular weight is a fixed num- ber; its solubility is known; and the ways in which it combines with other chemicals are known. Any given user of sodium chloride in a chemical process may make use of knowledge of these properties in any combination, depending on what process he is concerned with and what he intends to produce. But it would be futile to expect to pro- duce what he intends if specific gravity, molecular weight, solubility, and so on did not have unequivocal values. It is exactly the same in the case of the financial properties of firms. If we know (1) the financial position of a firm at a given time, (2) the composition of its assets and equities, (3) the net income it has recently R. J. CHAMBERS earned, we can put these pieces of information together in any way which is relevant to the kind of choice or judgment we may wish to make. If we happen to be investors, we can relate these magnitudes or any pertinent combination of them to their counterparts for other firms and other forms of investment and to the prices of other secu- rities and investments, which we can discover independently of finan- cial statements. But only if they are unequivocal magnitudes. If we happen to be managers, we can relate these magnitudes or any perti- nent combination of them to the counterparts mentioned and to the prices of any other potential assets which we can discover, at any time, independently of the accounting process. What is necessary for different kinds of decision is not, therefore, different kinds of information, but different combinations of the com- ponents of a body of information of the same kind. Investors as a class are not solely concerned with the magnitude of a year's income; some are concerned with the magnitude of net assets, some with the rela- tionship between assets and equities. As the composition of some will change in the light of the firm's performance and external commercial events, it is necessary to provide the kind of information which is us- able by all. Similarly creditors and financiers as a class are not con- cerned solely with asset coverage; some, at times, are concerned with net income and its components-but not a different net income or one calculated on different principles from the net income which is of in- terest to stockholders. Managers as a class are not solely concerned with any particular financial property of a firm, but with them all- and with such quantified expressions of those properties as will serve them in as many possible problem contexts as possible. As we have said, we will not find the empirical foundations of accounting in the variant practices and conceptions of accountants. They will be found only from the widest survey of the potential uses of financial information in commercial reckoning and from the at- tempt to find just that kind of information which is commonly usable by all parties to commercial and financial dealings. CONCLUSION To devise and subsequently to test theories by reference to the phe- nomena they deal with is the normal and accepted course of all empir- ical science. We have aimed to illustrate the same processes in this paper. The phenomena in question are statements about the effects of 75 76 COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS OF ACCOUNTING THEORY particular transactions and other events which bear on the financial positions and results of firms. The questions at issue are: "What kinds of particular and aggregate statements are usable and necessary in the specific contexts of specific problem situations?" and "Of those kinds, which are worthwhile continuously recording and periodically re- porting because they are parts of the ongoing history of the financial affairs of firms?" We considered a number of typical problem situations which indi- cate that contemporary resale prices are pertinent to judgments of past results and choices based on present potentials at any time. We found no use or need for book-values which are inconsistent with market prices. We concluded that representations of the effects on a given firm of all its transactions, and of all changes in the prices of its assets, and of changes in the purchasing power of money, are necessary if those without immediate knowledge of acquaintance are not to be misinformed. The types of transaction and event we discussed are factual in char- acter, and the modes of reckoning and dealing considered we hold to be typical and verifiable. These constitute the core of factual premises for our conclusions. They are the real stuff of commerce. They must somehow be embraced by any theory of the generation of pertinent financial information. Every theory makes use of some generalized terms, idealizations, or constructs. These are inventions. But if they are to be serviceable they must have demonstrable empirical correlates. It may be said that any theorist is entitled, is free, to choose his own constructs. But with that freedom runs the obligation to show how the constructs are related to observed and experienced events and to show how the products his theory entails engage with the reflections and actions of men in active commerce. There can be no useful construct in a theory of accounting which is not firmly tied, directly or indirectly, to some choice or ac- tion of a commercial kind. We noticed however that the literature generally fails to deal with observable events in their temporal and cir- cumstantial settings and fails to consider the specific connections of the products of the theories propounded with the known criteria of choice in commercial matters. I have not in this paper attempted to illustrate all the commercial sit- uations in which statements of financial position based on resale prices, and statements of results embracing the effects of changes in prices and the purchasing power of money, are relevant. The general ideas of continuously contemporary accounting,9 as I have expounded them elsewhere, have arisen from consideration of such situations. They have been supported by observation of commercial events, disputes, frauds, and failures, as well as by analysis of the notorious conflicts in the present body of doctrine. The theory of continuously contemporary accounting takes cogni- zance of all the factors which have given rise to suggestions for dif- ferent forms of accounting. It is more fully historical than historical cost accounting. It embraces the effects which price-level-adjusted accounting attempts to cope with. It embraces the effects which re- placement-price accounting attempts to cope with. It is geared to the calculation of expected outcomes of future possibilities. Its products are capable of being related to any other financial magnitudes at a given time. Each of the types of accounting just mentioned has the recognition of some element of commercial reality as its justification. But each ignores some other aspects of that reality, and in that sense each falls short of the ideal system which would cope with all of the elements of commercial experience. My object has been to suggest that the methods of empirical science have scarcely been tried in accounting. The common observables and experiences of commercial reckoning and dealing are generally disre- garded; yet they are the only legitimate foundation for a viable theory and serviceable practices. In place of their analysis, we have discus- sions of higher-level abstractions, discussions which drift away from or point only vaguely in the direction of the very points of choice and judgment at which accounting information is used. Whatever confidence I have in my own inference from these ex- periences and observables may be shaken by demonstration of their falsity. But I do not believe that any worthwhile theory of accounting or any worthwhile practice can emerge otherwise than from examina- tion of the exigencies of men engaged in the calculating, choosing, and dealing characteristic of the marketplace. 9. I allude here to the main ideas mentioned in the previous sentence. Some of the suggestions made in Accounting, Evaluation, and Economic Behavior I would now modify, but only through stronger belief in the propriety of the main ideas. A paper on these modifications is forthcoming. 77 R. J. CHAMBERS Are There Commercial Foundations of Accounting Theory? Kermit D. Larson THE TITLE of Professor Chambers' paper "The Commercial Foundations of Accounting Theory" suggests an attempt to explicate those commercial events, things, or characteristics which are believed to provide important premises in the development of accounting the- ory. Given Professor Chambers' stated opinion that "accounting is concerned strictly with commercial experiences, events, and consid- erations," the commercial foundations of accounting theory are seen to provide the empirical events which, if examined, dictate the com- mercially necessary information that should be generated by account- ing. More particularly, the commercial foundations of accounting theory are "the common observables and experiences of commercial reckoning and dealing . ."-"the exigencies of men engaged in the calculating, choosing, and dealing characteristic of the marketplace." The main thrust of Chambers' paper involves a two-sided argument. On the one side, he argues that the general modes of inquiry and expo- sition in accounting fail to adequately comprehend the empirical foun- dations of accounting, which are the common observables and experi- ences of commercial reckoning and dealing. He states, "the literature generally fails to deal with observable events in their temporal and circumstantial settings and fails to consider the specific connections of 78 KERMIT D. LARSON the products of the theories propounded with the known criteria of choice in commercial matters." On the other side of the argument, it is asserted that the "current cash equivalent" theory of accounting is firmly grounded in these commercial foundations; the products of cur- rent cash equivalent accounting are deduced from the specific com- mercial settings in which financial information is used. ESTABLISHING THE RELEVANCE OF ACCOUNTING TO DECISIONS Perhaps the most critical issue raised in Chambers' paper is the gen- eral inability of accountants to clearly justify the data outputs of accounting by showing the significance of the data to specific decision- making processes. In my opinion, this problem is likely the most criti- cal impediment to the improvement of accounting theory and prac- tices. I generally agree with Professor Chambers that the recognition of this problem implies a criticism of the typical modes of inquiry found in accounting literature. All too often the analyses of alternative accounting procedures have included little or no consideration of the specific ways in which the resulting information might bear upon de- cision processes. Contrary to Chambers, however, I reject the argu- ment that this deficiency is essentially a consequence of inadequate modes of inquiry and exposition. The whole process of assessing the relevance relationship between data and decision is a highly complex and problematical affair. To deny our general state of "ignorance of how people behave in commercial situations" and to assert that there are known criteria of choice in commercial matters constitutes, in my view, a simplistic perception of human decision. Indeed, the recent surge of interest in behavioral accounting research might be explained, in large part, as a direct response to the problem that the criteria of choice in commercial matters are not known. Several problems in the analysis of human decision may impinge upon the process of determining what information is or is not relevant to a decision. Suppose, for example, a decision-maker develops an idealistic decision model, that is, a model which correctly incorporates all of the important factors such that employment of the model will maximize his objectives. Further, suppose that some of the important variables in the decision-maker's model are unknowable (perhaps be- cause they will be determinant only in the future). A possible course of action is for the decision-maker to seek information regarding those variables which are knowable, make subjective estimations of those which are not, and continue to use the basic (idealized) model that is 79 consistent with his overall objectives. A second course of action is equally possible, however. The entire model may be cast aside (due perhaps to the frustration which results from repeated answering of questions to which there are no answers). In its place there may be substituted a surrogate model, all or most of the variables of which are knowable. The analytical processes of the surrogate model may not even resemble those that were characteristic of the more idealistic model. This surrogate decision model is utilized because it is easy to employ, and the decision-maker reasonably presumes that the results of the model more or less crudely conform to those that would have been obtained using the idealistic model under idealistic conditions. If the process of decision-making proceeds along the lines that I have outlined-and Chambers' analysis provides no evidence to con- tradict the employment of surrogate decision models-the accounting theorist is faced with special difficulties in establishing the relevance of accounting data to the decision. There is no clear understanding on the part of the decision-maker, or on the part of anyone else, as to the closeness of fit between the idealistic decision model and the surrogate decision model that the decision-maker actually uses. Further, the sur- rogate model, like any surrogate, is not deductible from the decision- maker's general objectives or from the form of the idealized model, even if these were knowable. Accountants may and should engage in expansive research regarding the decision-making function, one result of which might be to discover the extent to which surrogate decision models are actually used by decision-makers. Perhaps then accountants can determine the form of those models and can provide the necessary informational inputs. However, even this is not entirely satisfactory, for we must rest completely upon the decision-maker's ability to pick good surrogate models. It is not the purpose of this discussion to provide an exhaustive list of the deficiencies in our knowledge of human decision-making. One further example may, however, enforce the argument that the criteria of choice in commercial matters are not in the least established by one man's opinions as to the ways in which decisions are actually made. Some choice situations are such that all of the important criteria can be determined with reasonable accuracy. In such cases, the act of choice is not so much a matter of decision as it is mechanical calcula- tion. In many other choice situations, some of the critical criteria are not capable of verifiable measurement. In the latter event, the decision- maker may not even be able to perceive an idealized model-a model 80 DISCUSSION KERMIT D. LARSON that would be applicable if the important criteria were susceptible to verifiable measurement. This state might result from a highly ambigu- ous set of fact conditions in which the parameters of each alternative are poorly structured and subject to great uncertainty. In simpler terms, the decision-maker recognizes that a choice must be made and knows little more than that he is faced with a very vague and poorly structured problem. Under these conditions, even the isolation of a surrogate decision model may be of questionable validity. Ex ante, the decision-maker simply decides to "sleep on it" and then chooses. Ex post, the decision model uncovered by a researcher or the decision- maker is likely to reflect much more a rationalization of the actual choice than it is to reflect the criteria that played a significant role in the decision. To whatever extent accounting assists in reaching decisions of this sort, the relevance of accounting data can only be presumed. I do not argue that these limitations of accounting represent insurmountable barriers to the future development of accounting. I do argue, how- ever, that, given our present state of ignorance regarding the criteria of choice in commercial situations, the present relevance of account- ing data under current cash equivalent accounting, or any other form, must ultimately be presumed. THE ROLE OF OPINION The previous comments and what will follow consist in large part of my personal opinions on the subject matter and nature of account- ing theory. Correspondingly, it is appropriate that we consider Pro- fessor Chambers' beliefs regarding the role of opinion. In proposing to explicate the failure to develop any clear lines of thought on account- ing theory during the last decade, Chambers argues that two particu- lar aspects of the modes of inquiry and exposition in accounting have been causal. First is the noticeable reluctance to assign definite and limited functions to accounting. Second, "Almost everyone seems to think that he is entitled to an opinion on the subject matter and the nature of accounting theory-an opinion, what is more, which others will respect . However, there can be no more mischievous idea than that the choice of the magnitudes recorded and reported and the choice of rules of processing are matters of opinion. There can be no greater source of disruption and confusion. For if these things are mat- ters of opinion, there can be no solid core of principles, no ascertain- 81 able function, no systematic knowledge. It should be well known that it is profitless to debate matters of opinion." Perhaps the entire argument against opinion is an attempt to refute the long-established method of, what I would call, reasoning by au- thority. This procedure is clearly evident in some of the widely read classics of accounting, in which the conclusions are supported not so much by an appeal to logic as by the authoritative style of presenting the author's opinions. Nevertheless, the pitfalls of this tradition can certainly be renounced without adopting the naive approach of purg- ing opinion from the process of determining accounting procedures. It is not profitless to debate matters of opinion; to argue otherwise is to refute the possibility that opinions take cognizance of experience or facts. It is to deny that opinions may provide partial strains of reason- ing where no complete logical patterns exist. Finally, it fails to accept the existing state of affairs in accounting, wherein decisions as to the magnitudes recorded and reported and the choice of rules of process- ing must be made today and wherein countless alternatives exist be- tween which choice is necessarily a matter of opinion. I have previously noted Chambers' criticism of the "noticeable re- luctance to assign definite and limited functions to accounting." Obvi- ously, the assigned functions of accounting have a direct impact on the choice of the magnitudes to be recorded and the rules of processing. I might point out that the functions which Chambers assigns to account- ing are supported by nothing more than his opinion. And this is as it should be, for the normative theorist's assignment of functions is nec- essarily a matter of opinion. THE SIGNIFICANCE AND MEANING OF PRESENT POSITION The argument of Chambers' paper, consistent with his previous work, makes a sharp distinction between past, present, and future and places a special importance upon the definition and measurement of present position. It is in large part this special emphasis on the present vis-a-vis the future that distinguishes Chambers' work from that of many other contemporary writers. He states: "Present financial posi- tion is the link between past events and future events. If it is not known, we cannot knowledgeably review the past or plan for the future. The past and present are in principle knowable and unalter- able; the future is not knowable.... We hold this process of discovery [of what has occurred and of the resulting present position] to be the prime function of accounting. If it is not done as well as is possible, 82 DISCUSSION KERMIT D. LARSON judgments about past and future lack that contact with the factual present which alone provides a trustworthy foundation for choice and action." There are at least three reasons cited in support of the relative em- phasis placed upon calculations which relate to the present. Each of these three arguments which underlie the attributed significance of present position in accounting is worthy of further consideration. THE CAPACITY TO ACT-AN ATTRIBUTE OF THE PRESENT The first reason for the relative significance of the present is that the process of choosing between alternative courses of action necessarily depends upon the capacity to engage in future action. If the decision is to be made in the present or the near future, the capacity of impor- tance is present capacity. Thus, the attribute of the present which is of special importance to choice in commercial affairs, and therefore of importance to accounting, is the capacity to engage in commercial action. Clearly, the capacity to act is an important factor in the selection and evaluation of alternative courses of action. Unless one considers and evaluates alternatives in light of his capacity to act, feasible al- ternatives may be inappropriately excluded from consideration, and nonfeasible alternatives may be inappropriately included in the eval- uation.' Narrowing the analysis to accounting statements of financial posi- tion, Chambers points out that the present capacity of stockholders is, of course, discoverable by reference to the marketplace rather than to the firm's statement of financial position. We may note that this point should be generalized to include the capacities of all external parties. The present capacities of external parties to take market action obvi- ously are not portrayed by a firm's statement of financial position. This is true regardless of the class of external party one may wish to consider, e.g., investors, suppliers, customers. Thus, to the extent that information regarding the present is used to determine present capac- ity of the actor, which usage is distinguished from the possible signifi- cance of present information as a basis for predicting the future, the statement of financial position must be relevant only to decisions made on behalf of the entity. Other critics have addressed themselves to the problem of determin- 1. It must be emphasized that the analysis of this section is not concerned with the possible significance of present capacity as a basis for estimating future re- sults of a course of action. That point will be covered subsequently. 83 ing the particular managerial decision situations in which a statement of financial position, prepared to reflect exit prices, would be relevant and those situations in which it may not be relevant. I wish to raise the far more general problem of the great presumptive gap that exists between a statement of financial position-that is, a report which is de- fined in terms of the accounting procedures that are employed in the statement's construction-and a concept of financial position-which purports to specify the informational significance of the concept. In other words, it is one thing to define the term "financial position" as the present capacity of a firm to engage in future market action. It is quite a different thing to define financial position as a classified array of a firm's assets and equities, measured in terms of their current cash equivalents (or any other type of measurement for that matter). These two approaches to the definition of financial position result in a match- ing pair of concepts, the correspondence of which can only be pre- sumed, given our present state of analytical refinement. Does Chambers' statement of financial position adequately portray the capacity of a firm to engage in future market actions? However this question is answered, the answer will incorporate to a significant extent the personal opinions of the respondent. An affirmative answer will be less discomforting if one is willing to exclude from considera- tion the elements of present financial capacity which are executory, such as the capacity to issue additional stock. Similarly, one's confi- dence in the descriptive validity of this statement of financial position will be buoyed if the present capacity to engage in future market ac- tions is somehow perceived as being separate and distinct from the current cash equivalents associated with packaging the firm's assets in various alternative combinations. At the least, these factors would seem to cast serious doubt on the informational significance of Cham- bers' statement of financial position. There is another general problem that creates great uneasiness in my mind regarding the informational significance of the statement of fi- nancial position. We all recognize that the present state of a firm is multidimensional in character. If I abstract from the present state of the firm those characteristics which pertain to its capacity to engage in future financial activities, I am still left with a large multidimensional set of characteristics. Such factors as the existing state of managerial talent and the degree of flexibility and skill evidenced by the firm's labor force would seem to be important elements of consideration in assessing the firm's present capacity to engage in future financial activ- 84 DISCUSSION KERMIT D. LARSON cities. But these characteristics are not described in the statement of financial position. Giving adequate recognition to the awesome com- plexity of a large corporation's present position, the representation of present capacity is, perhaps, entirely too lofty an objective to hold for the balance sheet. FINANCIAL POSITION-A BASIS FOR ESTIMATING THE FUTURE A second reason for the special significance attributed to the present is that knowledge of the present position, and of the past, is viewed as providing the major factual premises for speculation about the fu- ture. Chambers states: "it is impossible to form expectations of the performance of the companies unless one knows how they are pres- ently placed, financially.... I can readily admit the necessity of future calculations; but I cannot see how those calculations can be made, or if made can be worthwhile, without the fullest possible knowledge of the present financial state of a firm and the fullest possible account of its past." In the previous section the statement of financial position was dis- cussed in terms of its purported representation of the capacity to act. Financial position in that sense was noted to be of significance only to parties acting on behalf of the firm. To the contrary, when financial position is analyzed as the factual basis which underlies estimations of the future, the statement of financial position is seen to have potential informational significance to all parties (internal and external). All parties considering future actions related to a firm will be interested in information that is serviceable in predicting or estimating what the future holds for the firm. It should be re-emphasized that retrospective and contemporary calculations in accounting are of no significance to external parties unless they aid in the process of making predictions. Unfortunately, except for a few rather strongly worded statements to the effect that future expectations must be based upon present and past financial information, scant attention is given to the specific ways in which contemporary and historical financial information is serv- iceable in predicting the future. This would seem to be a natural result of the view that the future is in principle unknowable, and that "all the results and inferences from [future calculations] are individual and subjective."2 The problems of future estimation that are faced by stockholders 2. Raymond J. Chambers, Accounting, Evaluation, and Economic Behavior (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1966), p. 84. 85 were treated only by an analogy. The supposedly analogous example was of a firm which owned one asset and had two investment alterna- tives. However, in that example the net present value of each alter- native was given as part of the facts of the example. Thus, the example had nothing to do with the problems of estimating the future with regard to each alternative. Correspondingly, it is essentially irrelevant to the stockholder's problem. It certainly does not show the specific ways in which financial statement information should be used to pre- dict the future consequences that will result from an investment in stock. It is indisputable that predictions of the future are dependent upon our knowledge of past events and present conditions. But the events and characteristics of the past and the present are generally complex, frequently multidimensional, and always unbounded in number. Some process of selecting certain events and characteristics for analysis, and omitting others, is obviously necessary. Chambers' belief that future calculations cannot be made in a worthwhile manner "without the fullest possible knowledge of the present financial state of a firm and the fullest possible account of its past" begs the question and obscures the basic problems of deciding which events and characteristics should be included in the descriptive scheme of accounting and which should be excluded. There are many approaches to estimating what the fu- ture holds for a firm, and I would venture that a significant proportion of them involve minimal consideration of balance-sheet information, whether or not exit prices are used as the basis of preparation. I know of no way to specify the relevance of retrospective and contemporary calculations to prediction other than to carefully examine the predic- tive process and to show precisely how and under what caveats certain kinds of historical data can be incorporated into a specified predictive model. THE NEED FOR VERIFICATION A third reason supporting the pre-eminent position of the present in accounting is that, contrary to anticipatory calculations of the future, the present (and the past) is, in principle, knowable. Thus, if account- ing is constrained by the objective of providing information which is factual-which is susceptible to present verification-it must be con- strained to exclude anticipatory calculations. In appreciation of the inherent risk associated with making predic- tions, many accountants may accept, on practical grounds, the exclu- 86 DISCUSSION KERMIT D. LARSON sion of anticipatory calculations from the domain of accounting. As a theoretical matter, however, the relative emphasis on the present and the past and the corresponding exclusion of anticipatory calculations from the domain of accounting are suspect. The descriptive or explan- atory objectives of accounting are, in my view, wholly analogous to the objectives of other empirical sciences in which predictive capac- ity is a widely recognized objective. The inability to presently verify predictions of the future need not be considered an insurmountable hurdle. The theoretical utility of independent corroboration relates to the verification of the predictive process, not to the specific instance of prediction. These arguments are supported by the interface between the pre- dictive models of operations research and accounting. A more compre- hensive view of the information-generating process in business firms -which would encompass both of these areas-would recognize an- ticipatory calculations as an integral part of that process. COMMERCIAL FOUNDATIONS-THE PROBLEM OF EVIDENCE Professor Chambers argues that a viable theory of accounting for business firms must be grounded in the realities of commercial experi- ence. More particularly, this involves explicating the specific ways in which the products of a theory are important elements in the evalua- tive and calculative processes underlying commercial decisions. In support of his theory, Chambers provides illustrations which pur- port to state the important elements of consideration in certain com- mercial situations. I previously criticized one of those illustrations. It will be beneficial to consider the other illustration, for the purpose of supporting my argument that hypothetical examples are not evidence. Examples may provide a convenient mode of expressing one's opinion, but they do not provide evidence to substantiate the claim that the current cash equivalent theory of accounting is well grounded in the specific commercial settings in which financial information is used. Chambers states: "[Firms] may pledge assets, singly or in total, as security for cash advances. The immediate security for lenders is the market selling price of the assets pledged. It is often said that the sig- nificant value of an asset to a firm is its calculated net present value in its present use. But no lender on the security of the firm's assets is con- cerned with the value of those assets to the firm in this sense. He is concerned with the value of those assets as generators of cash for him- self in the event that he must enforce his claim against the borrower by 87 sale of the charged asset." Consider an alternative view. Regarding the preponderance of debt financing in a highly industrialized economy, the market selling price of the assets pledged is, at best, of secondary significance to the lender. To the contrary, the primary element of significance is the firm's expected ability to service the debt, which is a function of the expected cash flows from the firm's operations and the degree of risk that corresponds to these expectations. Regarding those large firms which provide the vast majority of economic pro- duction in the United States and which engage in the vast majority of debt financing, liquidation is an extremely rare occurrence even in the case in which the firm is in financial distress. Further, few loan officers would grant credit if default were deemed a significant possibility. Chambers continues the illustration: "Wherever a charge over par- ticular assets or groups of assets is given as security for borrowings, there will be found some provision restricting other borrowing by ref- erence to the amount of the assets of the borrower. Now the term 'the amount of the assets' in such an indenture can have only one kind of meaning. The object of the provision is to cover the amount bor- rowed. This cover is given, not by the book values of assets, however determined, but by the market values of assets." Consider an alterna- tive view. When a lender requires that restrictions be placed upon other borrowing, the primary intent is to protect the ability of the firm to service the debt. If the restriction is stated by reference to an "amount of assets," that term is essentially a convenient and conven- tional surrogate for debt service capacity. Thus, the market values of the assets are generally of nominal significance in the sense of serving as a basis for predicting the results of liquidation. I do not offer these alternative views as evidence of identified cri- teria of choice in commercial situations, albeit I submit they comprise a reasonable interpretation. I offer them only as an arguable point of view, for the purpose of rejecting such illustrations as adequate evi- dence to substantiate the commercial foundations of any accounting theory. Whatever lack of confidence I have in Chambers' inferences from his experiences and observations may be shaken by a demonstra- tion of their empirical validity. A CONCLUDING NOTE Are there commercial foundations of accounting theory? An af- firmative answer follows directly from the perception that a primary function of accounting is to provide relevant information to persons 88 DISCUSSION |
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| MILLISECOND | CLASS.METHOD | MESSAGE |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | sobekcm_page_globals.constructor | |
| 0 | sobekcm_page_globals.constructor | Application State validated or built |
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| 0 | sobekcm_database.verify_item_lookup_object | |
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| 0 | cached_data_manager.retrieve_item_aggregation | |
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| 0 | system.web.ui.page.page_load (ufdc.page_load) | |
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