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| Part I: Political capacity | |
| Part II: Economic potential | |
| Part III: Social patterns | |
| Part IV: Cultural influences | |
| Part V: International position | |
| Part VI: Bibliography and... |
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Page i Page ii Title Page Page iii Page iv Contributors Page v Page vi Foreword Page vii Page viii Table of Contents Page ix Page x Introduction Page xi Page xii Page xiii Page xiv Page xv Page xvi Page xvii Page xviii Page xix Page xx Page xxi Page xxii Part I: Political capacity Page 1 Page 2 Page 3 Page 4 Page 5 Page 6 Page 7 Page 8 Page 9 Page 10 Page 11 Page 12 Page 13 Page 14 Page 15 Page 16 Page 17 Page 18 Page 19 Page 20 Page 21 Page 22 Page 23 Page 24 Page 25 Page 26 Page 27 Page 28 Page 29 Page 30 Page 31 Page 32 Page 33 Page 34 Page 35 Page 36 Page 37 Page 38 Page 39 Page 40 Part II: Economic potential Page 41 Page 42 Page 43 Page 44 Page 45 Page 46 Page 47 Page 48 Page 49 Page 50 Page 51 Page 52 Page 53 Page 54 Page 55 Page 56 Page 57 Page 58 Page 59 Page 60 Page 61 Page 62 Page 63 Page 64 Page 65 Page 66 Page 67 Page 68 Page 69 Page 70 Page 71 Page 72 Page 73 Page 74 Page 75 Page 76 Page 77 Page 78 Page 79 Page 80 Part III: Social patterns Page 81 Page 82 Page 83 Page 84 Page 85 Page 86 Page 87 Page 88 Page 89 Page 90 Page 91 Page 92 Page 93 Page 94 Page 95 Page 96 Page 97 Page 98 Page 99 Page 100 Page 101 Page 102 Page 103 Page 104 Page 105 Page 106 Page 107 Page 108 Page 109 Page 110 Page 111 Page 112 Page 113 Page 114 Page 115 Page 116 Page 117 Page 118 Page 119 Page 120 Page 121 Page 122 Page 123 Page 124 Part IV: Cultural influences Page 125 Page 126 Page 127 Page 128 Page 129 Page 130 Page 131 Page 132 Page 133 Page 134 Page 135 Page 136 Page 137 Page 138 Page 139 Page 140 Page 141 Page 142 Page 143 Page 144 Page 145 Page 146 Page 147 Page 148 Page 149 Page 150 Page 151 Page 152 Part V: International position Page 153 Page 154 Page 155 Page 156 Page 157 Page 158 Page 159 Page 160 Page 161 Page 162 Page 163 Page 164 Page 165 Page 166 Page 167 Page 168 Page 169 Page 170 Page 171 Page 172 Page 173 Page 174 Page 175 Page 176 Page 177 Page 178 Page 179 Page 180 Page 181 Page 182 Page 183 Page 184 Page 185 Page 186 Page 187 Page 188 Page 189 Page 190 Part VI: Bibliography and references Page 191 Page 192 Page 193 Page 194 Page 195 Page 196 Page 197 Page 198 Page 199 Page 200 Page 201 Page 202 |
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The CARIBBEAN: ITS HEMISPHERIC ROLE SERIES ONE VOLUME XVII A publication of the CENTER FOR LATIN AMERICAN STUDIES which contains the papers delivered at the seventeenth conference on the Caribbean held at the University of Florida, December 1, 2, and 3, 1966 I s 1 00 40 0 1 00 I s. so 7 70 65 0 0GA CAI IB A ; IS I ". "0 4 -. ns # 5 v The CARIBBEAN: ITS HEMISPHERIC ROLE edited by A. Curtis Wilgus 1967 UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA PRESS Gainesville UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA LIBRARIES A University of Florida Press Book COPYRIGHT 1967 BY THE BOARD OF COMMISSIONERS OF STATE INSTITUTIONS OF FLORIDA ALL RIGHTS RESERVED LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CATALOG CARD No. 51-12532 PRINTED BY STORTER PRINTING COMPANY, INC. GAINESVILLE, FLORIDA Contributors GERMAN ARCINIEGAS, Professor, Instituto Caro y Cuervo, Bogota, Colombia MARGOT BOULTON DE BOTTOME, former Venezuelan Delegate to U.N. Assembly, Caracas DAVID D. BURKS, Associate Professor of History, Indiana University, Bloomington JACOB CANTER, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Educational and Cultural Affairs, U.S. Department of State, Washington, D.C. JOHN EDWIN FAGG, Chairman, Department of History, Washington Square College, New York University ROLAND H. DEL MAR, Major General, U.S. Army (Ret.) former Director, Inter-American Defense College, Washington, D.C. FREDERICK E. KIDDER, Director of the Department of Social Sciences, Mayagiiez Campus, University of Puerto Rico MARGARITA MACAYA, Chairman, Inter-American Commission of Women, San Jose, Costa Rica THOMAS MATHEWS, Director of the Institute of Caribbean Studies and Professor, Social Science Faculty, University of Puerto Rico OFELIA MENDOZA, Field Director, International Planned Parenthood Federation, Western Hemisphere Region, Washington, D.C. JosE A. MORA, Secretary-General, Organization of American States, Washington, D.C. MATIO MORY, Executive-Director, Banco Inmobiliario, S.A., Guate- mala IRVING E. MUSKAT, Chairman, Interama, Miami, Florida ALFONSO OCAMPO-LONDONO, Rector, Universidad del Valle, Cali, Colombia JOHN N. PLANK, Director, Political Development Studies, The Brook- ings Institution, Washington, D.C. JOSEPH W. REIDY, Consultant on Latin America, Washington, D.C. J. WAYNE REITZ, President, University of Florida, Gainesville JUAN D. SANCHEZ, Senior Vice President in charge of Supervision of Caribbean Area, First National City Bank, New York City vi The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role CARLOS SANZ DE SANTAMARIA, Chairman, Inter-American Committee on the Alliance for Progress, Washington, D.C. A. CURTIS WILGUS, Director, Caribbean Conferences, University of Florida, Gainesville ROBERT WOOL, President, Inter-American Foundation for the Arts, New York City RAFAEL A. ZUNRIGA, Chief of Area III, Loan Division-North, Inter- American Development Bank, Washington, D.C. Foreword BEGINNING in 1950, the University of Florida has sponsored a series of conferences on the Caribbean area generally with the cooperation of business organizations, and with a gathering of ex- perts from the Hemisphere and overseas, including scholars, busi- nessmen, and government officials. This volume is an account of the seventeenth and final conference held in the series. The suc- cess and significance of these conferences can be attributed in large measure to the capable leadership of Professor A. Curtis Wilgus, who for thirteen years served as Director of the University of Florida's School of Inter-American Studies. The selection of a wide variety of topics for discussion and the invitations to speak- ers have been under his supervision and direction. Beginning with the first meeting, the Caribbean area has been considered to include Mexico, Central America, Colombia, Vene- zuela, and the independent islands. This definition has made possible the wide description and comparison of the many factors influencing the region. Indeed, the Caribbean was originally selected as a conference topic because most problems found else- where in Latin America may also be found in this area, and since Florida is virtually a part of the Caribbean geographically, it seemed logical to select this portion of the Hemisphere as our province for consideration. This series of conferences has reflected the interest of the Uni- versity of Florida in Latin America and the University's leader- ship in examining the problems of the Caribbean area. Each year a volume of proceedings, containing the papers delivered at the meetings, has been published in an attractive format by the Uni- versity of Florida Press and advertised all over the world. The University of Florida feels proud that it has been able to play a prominent part by means of these conferences in promoting a better understanding of the countries to the South while at the same time developing a superb faculty with extensive course offerings in the field of Latin American affairs. J. WAYNE REITZ, President University of Florida vii The Caribbean Conference Series Volume I (1951): The Caribbean at Mid-Century Volume II (1952): The Caribbean: Peoples, Problems, and Prospects Volume III (1953): The Caribbean: Contemporary Trends Volume IV (1954): The Caribbean: Its Economy Volume V (1955): The Caribbean: Its Culture Volume VI (1956): The Caribbean: Its Political Problems Volume VII (1957): The Caribbean: Contemporary International Relations Volume VIII (1958): The Caribbean: British, Dutch, French, United States Volume IX (1959): The Caribbean: Natural Resources Volume X (1960): The Caribbean: Contemporary Education Volume XI (1961): The Caribbean: The Central American Area Volume XII (1962): The Caribbean: Contemporary Colombia Volume XIII (1963): The Caribbean: Venezuelan Development, A Case History Volume XIV (1964): The Caribbean: Mexico Today Volume XV (1965): The Caribbean: Its Health Problems Volume XVI (1966): The Caribbean: Current United States Relations Volume XVII (1967): The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Contents Map of Caribbean Area . . .. ... Frontispiece List of Contributors................ v Foreword-J. WAYNE REITZ .. . . .... .vii Introduction: THE CARIBBEAN TODAY AND TOMORROW- A. CURTIS WILGUS ..............Xi Part I-POLITICAL CAPACITY 1. John Edwin Fagg: HANDICAPS AND LIABILITIES OF THE CARIBBEAN . . . . . . . . 3 2. Joseph W. Reidy: GROWTH AND POSSIBLE CHANGE IN CARIBBEAN AMERICA'S POLITICAL CAPACITY . .. 13 3. Thomas Mathews: PROBLEMS AND LEADERS IN THE CARIBBEAN . . . . . . . 28 Part II-ECONOMIC POTENTIAL 4. Juan D. Sanchez: RESOURCES OF THE CARIBBEAN .... 43 5. Carlos Sanz de Santamaria: OPPORTUNITIES FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE CARIBBEAN .. . ..... 54 6. Matio Mory: EDUCATION AND DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN THE CARIBBEAN .............. 59 7. Rafael A. Zuifiiga: INTEGRATION, THE INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK, AND THE CARIBBEAN .. ... 70 Part III-SOCIAL PATTERNS 8. David D. Burks: STRATEGIES OF SOCIAL CHANGE IN THE CARIBBEAN . . . . . . . 83 9. Ofelia Mendoza: CHANGING FORCES IN THE CARIBBEAN .94 10. Margarita Macaya: WOMEN-THEIR ROLE, PRESENT AND POTENTIAL, IN THE CARIBBEAN .. . ..... 103 11. Margot Boulton de Bottome: VENEZUELA AND THE CARIBBEAN . . . . . . . 114 Part IV-CULTURAL INFLUENCES 12. Alfonso Ocampo-Londofio: EDUCATION-A LOOK AHEAD IN THE CARIBBEAN .. . . . ...... .127 13. Jose A. Mora: THE YOUNG CARIBBEAN MEETS A NEW CHALLENGE . . . . . . . .138 14. Robert Wool: NOTES ON THE CULTURAL UNDERGROUND IN THE CARIBBEAN TODAY . .. . . ..145 ix x The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Part V-INTERNATIONAL POSITION 15. Roland H. del Mar: STRATEGIC CHARACTERISTICS OF THE CARIBBEAN .. . . ........ 155 16. John N. Plank: NEIGHBORLY RELATIONS IN THE CARIBBEAN 161 17. Jacob Canter: AN INTER-AMERICAN EDUCATION: CARIBBEAN AND LATIN AMERICAN OBJECTIVES . .171 18. Irving E. Muskat: INTERAMA AND OUR CARIBBEAN AND LATIN AMERICAN NEIGHBORS .. . ...... .181 19. German Arciniegas: THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE OF THE CARIBBEAN . . . . .... 187 Part VI-BIBLIOGRAPHY AND REFERENCES 20. Frederick E. Kidder: HEMISPHERIC ROLE OF THE CARIBBEAN POLITICAL LEADERS: A BIBLIOGRAPHY OF CURRENT BIOGRAPHY .. . . ..... .193 Introduction THE CARIBBEAN TODAY AND TOMORROW IN THIS SERIES of conferences during the past seventeen years, an attempt has been made to examine carefully and fully the many details and aspects of the culture, life, and history of the Carib- bean area. Experts from the Americas and elsewhere have brought their special knowledge to bear on many aspects of Caribbean affairs. Virtually no phase of knowledge relating to this area has been omitted. In consequence, the volume of proceedings result- ing from each conference has made a contribution to the better understanding of the region. Not all of the papers have been of equal value or significance, but each in itself has presented a point of view of the author which has served a variety of pur- poses for the reader. Although the volumes have never been intended as textbooks, several of them have been used in classes. Others have been assigned as up-to-date references, which no teacher of the Caribbean area should omit from his list of readings. The University of Florida owes a debt of gratitude to the more than 360 different speakers in these seventeen conferences who helped make this Institution an outstanding academic leader in Caribbean interests. This appreciation is here recognized by the many persons connected with the conferences over the years, and as Director and organizer of these meetings, I wish personally to record my feelings of satisfaction and gratification. In planning this final conference in the series, I thought it wise to select a topic which would evaluate the various facets and factors in Caribbean life today in order to catch a glimpse of the immediate future and, without predicting what may happen, to consider possible trends. This attempt seems all the more reason- xi The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role able now because the first conference in 1950 tried to summarize the various factors and conditions in the Caribbean at mid-century, when in some respects the area was on the threshold of a great leap forward. For the purposes of these conferences, we have considered the Caribbean in its broadest sense to include Mexico, Central Amer- ica, Venezuela, Colombia and the islands; but we cannot and should not make any generalized conclusions regarding the area as a whole. This region has a vast storehouse of historical infor- mation which extends back several thousand years. But like facts in other areas of history, possibly nine-tenths of these have disap- peared. Unlike research in certain scientific fields, we cannot press any computer buttons in the Caribbean to retrieve this lost knowl- edge. A student of this area therefore works with what informa- tion he has, with what knowledge he can find, and with what conclusions he can reach. Before 1800 the area presented a great many similarities, and its history was more uniform than in later years. But the nine- teenth century saw upheavals, some a backwash from Europe, which brought independence to many of the countries and in- numerable attendant disorders. If the colonial period was one of childhood, the nineteenth century was one of adolescence and was marked by growing pains of every type: political, economic, so- cial, cultural, and environmental. The twentieth century brought new responsibilities and consequent disorders. The two world wars permanently affected life in all of its ramifications in the Carib- bean area. But not all of these countries have proceeded along the path of progress with equal rapidity. Indeed, some like Haiti have taken backward steps, while new forward-looking govern- ments have been born in the former colonies of Great Britain. I National advancement in many countries has been limited and determined by what is appropriately called nationalism. This in- cludes the development of a national personality for each coun- try in political, economic, social, cultural, and other areas. In many instances, nationalism has prevented international cooper- ation and has cut across lines of contact with the United States. On the other hand, for example, nationalism has not prevented the development of the Central American Common Market. Whenever boundary disputes have arisen, and boundary problems still remain, nationalism again expresses itself, quite often in bel- xii ligerent attitudes. But no one will criticize nationalism for its many weaknesses since the practice of nationalism has been the key to and the cause of wide and progressive development in most of the countries of the Caribbean. Viewing the Caribbean area as a whole, we see that it contains a collection of civilizations and cultures similar to one another in many ways but differing radically in others. For example, there are a number of different political philosophies found in the sev- eral governments which result in political constitutions reflecting local history, philosophies, prejudices, and aspirations. Despite the inroads and influences of foreign political ideologies, the con- cept of the nation-state in the Caribbean has been steadily grow- ing. Yet in all political development, theory and practice have usually been poles apart. In each of the countries, political factions have first tended to multiply and then to coalesce and combine, only to fracture once again. The franchise in the Caribbean has been broadening dur- ing the last three decades. Women now enjoy political rights in all of the countries except Haiti. Frequently the widening of the franchise has given rise to pressure groups, and in every country, with the possible exception of Costa Rica, the army and other branches of the military may at any time constitute a powerful pres- sure group. Military coups d'etat are of frequent occurrence, for the armed services constitute a continuous threat to every govern- ment in the Caribbean. On the other hand, various non-violent methods of changing the government are now practiced in the area. Dictators have existed in all of the countries, and constitutions are frequently refurbished or replaced by new political instru- ments which sometimes are more literary than politically prac- tical. In all countries, the use and abuse of executive power has occurred. The caudillo psychosis is still present in many of the countries, and while personal ambitions are often denied, the ac- tions taken by egocentric politicians to win power are anything but modest. In some countries, conflicts of interest between the central gov- ernment and local governments result not only from constitutional provisions, or the lack of them, but also from the selfish ambitions of military or church leaders or of local politicians with national and international ambitions. Unfortunately, both local and na- tional governments are subject to the machinations of dishonest officials, and corruption in everyday political life is observable in many localities. EDITOR'S INTRODUCTION xiii The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role No one would be so bold as to predict the political future of any country in the Caribbean. The problems facing democratic institutions in all of them are innumerable and appear in some instances to be insoluble. This condition is aggregated frequently because of the political control of the press which can be both a benefit and a threat to the party in power. Perhaps the most general and persistent criticism leveled at the governments of Latin America has come from the Inter-American Press Associa- tion, which each year evaluates the degree of press freedom or control in each Latin American country. Theoretically, such criti- cism is beneficial, but it often leads to unhappy results, especially for editors and newspapers. In looking at the political prospects of these countries, one may conclude that, until detrimental traditions and conditions have been overcome and logical practical politics can be adopted, per- manent political improvement in many of these Caribbean coun- tries is still on the far horizon. II Political factors and characteristics are so related to environ- ment that national advancement cannot be considered without full reference to economic factors. In early days the colonies in the Caribbean were widely separated by water, but in the past half century these countries have been closely connected by water. Likewise, rivers, once effective barriers, are now convenient means of transportation, as are railroads, highways, and air routes. Internally, moreover, each country has had a problem of water supply. Some areas, Mexico for example, are arid and need water obtained through irrigation. In other regions, especially along the Pacific coast of Central America, rainfall is much too abundant and constitutes a handicap to economic development. In several countries the building of dams has helped to solve related prob- lems of economic life, while in some of the Lesser Antilles rain- water must be stored for drinking. Many of the countries are without first-class natural harbors, although some have been arti- ficially improved. Even though the countries have had a Catho- lic background, the fishing industries have not been developed in a number of them to the ultimate potential. At any time the warm waters of the Caribbean may breed storms of a dangerous nature, and several of the countries have suffered from time to time economic disaster from these "acts of God." All of the countries of the Caribbean area have depended in large part upon agriculture. But when this has not been developed xiv to its fullest extent, numerous products have had to be imported, especially those which are consumed by a majority of the people such as corn and rice. On the other hand, there are surpluses of certain products, for example sugar, coffee, and bananas, and while these have had to compete in the international market, the United States, being nearby, has absorbed many of these exports. Another important factor affecting agriculture is soil, and various specialized studies are being conducted, such as those supervised by the University of Florida, in selected Central American areas. Mineral resources are also of great importance, especially in Venezuela and Mexico. Petroleum and natural gas have provided large revenues for further national development. Mexico and Vene- zuela also produce an abundance and variety of minerals in use in the world markets as well as in the United States. Industrialization has developed unevenly in various countries, and assistance from the United States and elsewhere has been needed. In recent years, the Inter-American Bank, the Interna- tional Bank, and the Alliance for Progress have stimulated eco- nomic development in all of the countries of the Caribbean. Un- fortunately, many of these area governments cannot contribute their share to this mutual undertaking, nor can they, as in the case of Puerto Rico, pull themselves up by their economic boot- straps. But economic progress is encouraging in most of these Carib- bean countries, and even though Cuba is outside of the economic sphere of the Alliance for Progress, it has attempted with assist- ance from other sources to solve a number of critical economic problems. The economic future of the Caribbean is still somewhat clouded, but if the United States can continue to render assistance through financial gifts, loans, and technical cooperation, the whole area should become a region of increasing economic prosperity. In this connection, however, one must always keep in mind the possibility of national expropriation of land and industries and of various other economic tinkering by national governments in their prac- tice of nationalism. Besides, one must remember also that the labor factor, like that in.the United States, often becomes a dis- rupting influence in local industries and in various sensitive oc- cupations. II In some respects, the Achilles' heel crippling national develop- ment in the Caribbean is found in the realm of education. Illiter- acy has been a key factor in all of the countries although Costa EDITOR S INTRODUCTION XV The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Rica, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and Cuba have the lowest percentages. One of the most illiterate countries in the world is Haiti, but no one has suggested an effective cure for this condition. All coun- tries recognize the problems connected with illiteracy because they affect everyday aspects of life. In several of the countries nearly a half or more of the population is of school age, yet there are not enough schools for them to attend and not enough teachers to supply the schools that exist. Adequate financing in education is a problem in each Caribbean country. About the best that can be done in most of them is to afford as many people as possible an elementary education, sometimes through the sixth grade or even the eighth grade. In several instances, private in- struction supported by funds from the Catholic Church or from Protestant missionary organizations has helped develop schools and courses far ahead of those in the public state-supported schools. In some countries, non-denominational schools are avail- able for students but these are used chiefly by children of foreign parents or by upper-class nationals. Technical vocational schools are needed everywhere in addition to schools for the training of teachers. At the college and university level, many current educational methods and procedures are antiquated, and some date back to colonial days. Even the educational reform movement which began in C6rdoba, Argentina in 1918, and reached Mexico in 1921, has failed to bring about serious improvement in many of the national educational systems. Generally, students in Latin American uni- versities take a greater interest in politics than do those in the United States-at least until recently. Student influence in Latin American universities, especially in administration and manage- ment, has always been greater than in the United States. Because of student and faculty participation in political activities, many universities in Latin America have frequently been closed by the governments for long periods of time. This disruption of the edu- cation of college students has been a nationwide problem in the Caribbean countries. For a century and a half, young men and more recently some women, have sought training in law and other professions includ- ing medicine, dentistry, engineering, and architecture. In some countries large numbers of students educated in the professions have gone first to Europe and more recently to the United States for further training in their specialties. The Catholic Church for almost a century and a half has attracted large numbers of men and women seeking careers in its activities. Currently, however, xvi fewer and fewer have been attracted to the church by its minis- terial and propaganda branches. Since the Second World War an increasing number of students from Latin America have come to the United States, while stu- dents from the United States have gone to Latin America, although in fewer numbers. Many young men and women from these countries have come as exchange students to particular univer- sities in the United States. Under the Fulbright-Hays Act a grow- ing number of teachers and students have benefited professionally from such educational travel. At the present time, many univer- sities in the United States have "adopted" universities in the Caribbean area. Sometimes this results in the financing of special activities in the Latin American institutions, but in most cases it includes the exchange of students and teachers for special pro- fessional purposes. All signs point to the future growth of this important activity in the improvement of inter-American under- standing. IV Closely connected with educational problems are those relating to health. Here again the environment is all important, with me- teorological factors often being crucial and critical in various re- gions of individual countries. Everyone who has gone to the Caribbean has experienced adverse effects from food and water, despite the fact that many natives seem to have become immune to both. Pollution of water is much worse than pollution of air in the Caribbean countries. The problem of sewage disposal is im- portant in every country of the Caribbean, including Puerto Rico, although it is possible to drink water out of any spigot in any locality without serious effects. In all of the Caribbean countries, diseases are related to the environment. Some of these are endemic and some are epidemic. Diseases causing high mortality in the Caribbean are gastritis, enteritis, and related infections. Malaria, yellow fever, smallpox, tuberculosis, and diarrheal diseases are endemic in some areas. The death rate varies in different countries in the Caribbean, but Guatemala, for example, has 233.2 deaths per 100,000 as com- pared with the death rate of the United States of 4.4 per 100,000. Life expectancy varies from 42 years in Haiti and 43.6 years in Guatemala to 65.8 years in Venezuala and 66 in Mexico, with 70.2 the figure for the United States. Everywhere in the Caribbean the current population explosion appears to be continuing. EDITOR S INTRODUCTION XVi1 The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role An increasing proportion of government income must be de- voted to solving health problems in the different republics than is now available. Fortunately, these countries have assistance from the Pan American Health Organization which is a subdivision for the Western Hemisphere of the World Health Organization. In many instances, health problems have been difficult to solve be- cause of a lack of health experts and administrators within each government. In all countries hospitals are not numerous enough, and doctors and nurses, tending to go to urban areas, have left vast regions in the rural communities unstaffed. Moreover, good medical schools are not available to adequately provide instruc- tion of a specialized nature for persons wishing to become physi- cians and surgeons. In recent years some of the governments have been complaining of the "brain drain" in which their most prom- ising young men go to regions outside the area for further training and practice. The United States has attracted many of these, and since Castro took over Cuba, large numbers of physicians and surgeons from that island have come to the United States where they eventually engage in medical practice. There appears to be no reason why these trends should not continue, at least for a few years. V No discussion of present and future conditions in the Caribbean is complete without looking at the many varieties of culture which exist there, including the culture of poverty and the culture of frustration. Culture provides the backbone for Caribbean society even though the social order is progressively plagued by political practices, the frequent disruption of economic life, and the rapid rise of an ambitious middle class. Religion as an aspect of culture plays a vital part in the lives of the people of the Caribbean. At one time most persons were considered Catholic, having been born into the church or baptized by it. But the Caribbean area is one of immigration, and religions were brought in from Asia, Africa, and other parts of the world; some remained and grew and some lost their influence. Religion everywhere, even atheism, has affected the thoughts and actions of the people of the Caribbean and consequently has had im- mense repercussions on Caribbean culture. Many aspects of art, for example, have been influenced by religious ideas and practices. Even superstition has had a wide influence, especially on painting in Haiti. From earliest days, painting and sculpture have been xviii handmaidens of the church in the Caribbean area. But the exer- cise of artistic individualism and the example set by foreign art- ists have also been influential in the development of distinctive paintings and sculpture, especially in Mexico. Throughout the Caribbean, various schools of painting have been founded, while many individual artists have gone off on individual tangents, fre- quently producing remarkable and surprising results. Sculpture in the Caribbean has never developed to the extent that painting has, although busts and statues of heroes abound in all of the countries. In music and the drama, religion and especially the Catholic Church has played an important part. However, because of for- eign influence, music has gotten out of hand, so to speak, and all of the modern characteristics of the United States dances and popular themes have been adopted and sometimes modified in the countries of the Caribbean. Because of Negro and Asiatic in- fluences, music in several of the countries has assumed special erotic characteristics. In the Indian countries of Mexico and Cen- tral America, the themes and characteristics of the music are largely native. However, the Spanish influence has found its way into all parts of the Caribbean and can easily be recognized wherever it is heard. Drama has often been connected with church activities. But, in recent years Latin American dramatists have branched out into individual fields of experimentation, resulting in forms sometimes entirely dissimilar from those found in other parts of the world. In literature, the essay has long been of importance in Latin America, treating themes of every type. Especially since the Second World War, novelists in all Latin American countries have been writing feverishly, each trying to outdo the other in modern- type literature. The new freedom in morals and sex attitudes has spread throughout Latin America as it has in other parts of the world. This has given rise to a new literature not only in novels but in candid biographies and autobiographies. Poetry also has been affected by this erotic tendency and along with novels and essays has been increasingly translated into English and other languages. In connection with these types of literature, the writing of history and special scholarly studies is being pursued more frequently in the Caribbean area. Technical works and scientific treatises are also growing in importance, and a number of these have been translated into other languages. Perhaps through its culture the Caribbean area will exercise its greatest influence on the future of Latin America. Its art and its EDITOR'S INTRODUCTION xix The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role literature are being exported in all directions. Art exhibits, musi- cal concerts, and translated literature are spreading over the hemisphere. It is conceivable that in the near future this cultural influence may also have an observable effect on the culture of the United States, and as more and more of these artists and musicians are invited to world university centers, frequently to teach courses, their individual and collective influence may have far-reaching results. One of these results undoubtedly will be that more people from the United States will visit the Caribbean as tourists or as re- search scholars or simply as observers. Increasing numbers are attending schools as students or visiting universities as temporary lecturers. Men, women, and children of the United States are finally getting to know better the peoples and cultures' of the Caribbean and the future of tourism is brighter than in the past. VI In the international field, the Caribbean area is playing a more important part than ever before. It was once said in the United States that the Caribbean was at our back door. Now we say that it is on our front doorstep. The Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico constitute, indeed, an "American Mediterranean," a great hemis- phere lake. The whole region, once looking exclusively toward Europe, is now oriented toward the United States. Hence, our relations with the Caribbean are crucial and paramount. The United States' concern over Cuba has given rise in some areas of the Caribbean to suspicions regarding our national mo- tives both political and economic. Our Alliance for Progress has been called by some in the Carribean the new "Dollar Diplo- macy." But fortunately, a majority of these governments do not feel this way about the United States. They all, however, seem to have decided that they will not remain exclusively under the thumb of their big neighbor but will widen their world horizons politically, economically, and diplomatically. They are aided in this objective because international communications have brought all of these countries closer to other parts of the world with the result that these areas are more interested now in the Caribbean than ever before. The diplomatic relations of the Caribbean area have been re- markably varied. In the last few years, communism as a doctrine and as a political force has been introduced into the region. Rus- sian communism, and more recently Chinese communism, have XX been factors to be reckoned with in several of the Caribbean countries. Cuba has tried to promote its own brand of communism in several of the Latin American countries but with little success. Foreign ideologies undoubtedly have affected the practices of diplomacy throughout the Caribbean. Generally, the relations of these countries with each other have become closer and more friendly, and with their rising aspirations (a better term than rising expectations) have been drawn closer into the sphere of United States influence. The British, French, and Dutch have modified to a varying extent their relationships with their territories and former colonies in the Caribbean. Changing relations between Britain and her former colonies have brought about some interesting results and no doubt will present some critical problems in the future. Gen- erally the Dutch and the French have liberalized their associations with their Caribbean possessions, and these peoples will probably be drawn more and more into the orbit of the United States, es- pecially through the Alliance for Progress and other economic projects; their needs are becoming more American than European in the broader sense. Now that the Caribbean Organization, for- merly called the Caribbean Commission, has ceased to exist, these governments have increasing incentives to join the American sys- tem, or at least to be associated with it. Diplomatic relations between the United States and the Carib- bean area have come a long way in the past century. Manifest Destiny, which dominated our relationships from 1846 to about 1870, and the practice of Dollar Diplomacy and the Big Stick policy under Theodore Roosevelt gave way to a friendly Pan Americanism and finally to the Good Neighbor Policy. Because the United States has not always appeared sincere and honest in its dealings with the Caribbean countries, suspicions still remain in some areas today. But two world wars and the need for each other through mutual hemispheric assistance have brought us all closer together. Although many of the people of the Caribbean have never heard of the Alliance for Progress, or even of some of the other policies which the United States has practiced in the past, the general suspicion toward the United States which long existed seems to be gradually subsiding. Government leaders, through enlightened and friendly policies, have taken it upon themselves to promote closer inter-American cooperation in the broad sense. And by cooperating more closely with each other, they feel that they are taking the edge off some of the detrimental influences which the United EDITOR S INTRODUCTION xxi xxii The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role States has exercised in the past. By practicing more self-assurance, by putting their political-economic houses in order, and by main- taining friendly cooperation with the United States, the Caribbean people should move into the future with greater confidence and self-respect, swept along on the wave of history. A. CURTIS WILGUS, Director Caribbean Conferences Note: No specific references have been used in preparing the above obser- vations, but the reader is referred to particular chapters in the previous volumes of proceedings of the Caribbean Conferences for the elaboration of all the topics so briefly mentioned here. Part I POLITICAL CAPACITY 1 John Edwin Fagg: HANDICAPS AND LIABILITIES OF THE CARIBBEAN IN OPENING the first of these Caribbean Conferences in 1950, Professor A. Curtis Wilgus observed that "in no other portion of the globe are there at present more numerous or more interesting problems than in this area."' His statement is as valid today as it was sixteen years ago. Probably nothing has done more to produce information and penetrating analysis of these problems than these annual Caribbean Conferences. Since most of us are committed to the belief out of knowledge come progress and hope, we can only hail the previous participants in these gatherings and those who sponsored them. I A historian who treats the subject of handicaps and liabilities that bear upon the political capacity of the Caribbean people to play a worthy role in this hemisphere can find a significant theme going all the way back to Columbus: the often unfortunate and tragic effect of the activities of outsiders on this beautiful part of the world that might support a paradise. Of course, many of these influences have also been constructive and benevolent. For nearly half a millennium, however, intrusion by foreigners has been ran- dom and exploitative, so much so that much of this area offers a shocking contrast between nature's bounty and the "wickedness of society," of the splendor of landscapes and the destitution of human beings.2 "Notes to this chapter begin on p. 11 3 4 The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Columbus himself initiated this theme, when he seized inter- preters during his first voyage and carried them away, when he clashed with Caribs on the second expedition, and in his pathetic efforts in Hispaniola to adapt the natives to Spain's purposes through the tribute and encomienda. The conquest of Puerto Rico by Ponce de Le6n, of Jamaica by Esquivel, and of Cuba by Velazquez, together with the activities of assorted slave-catchers and such enterprisers as Ojeda and Nicuesa on the mainland brought ruin to the primitive societies of the Caribbean. Montejo in Yucatan, Pedrarias, Cortes, and Alvarado in Central America, and the numerous Spanish and even German conquistadors who overran present-day Colombia and Venezuela continued the work of disorganization that European expansion signified. What the military conquest and forced labor did not accomplish in the way of depopulation, germs brought by the Europeans did. Within a generation after the Discovery, the Indian element had been re- duced in most localities to demographic insignificance. Sadly enough, this devastation did not clear the way for a wholesome reconstruction of any kind of society for ages. The more energetic Spaniards moved on into Mexico and Peru, or into the present-day United States and lower South America. The path of empire passed quickly through the Caribbean, accom- plishing little but destruction. It was at least a century before any of the Spanish colonies in the Caribbean enjoyed an orderly and civilized pace of life. And the function of some Caribbean settle- ments as forts and sites for fairs implanted a tradition of vice, crime, and brutality that has long degraded Havana and other cities. The deep roots of Caribbean corruption that Ronald Hilton once noted also trace to the intrusion of Spain's rivals.3 Except for John Hawkins in his first voyages, the foreign adventurers who came into the area, however much they have been glamorized by their respective nationals in Europe, were likely to be thieves, murderers, kidnappers, and swindlers. The Caribbean's role as a center for piracy intensified an already powerful tendency toward violence and inhumanity. Occasional efforts at European settle- ment introduced fewer sturdy builders than lawless characters unwanted at home. Furthermore, the vast forcible importation of Africans brought the curse of slavery to nearly every section, as well as disoriented, embittered individuals. In times when plain outlawry gave way to the more dignified practice of declared international wars, the Caribbean was the scene of battles, sieges, occupations, and almost continuous fear. By 1700 Spain had acknowledged the loss of Jamaica, Haiti, POLITICAL CAPACITY Cura9ao, and most of the Lesser Antilles. Her own Caribbean provinces, conditioned for two centuries by disorders and cruelty, endured a political system that later generations would regard as handicapping them for modern progress. These liabilities would include autocracy, with a minimum of participation of the ruled in the processes of law-making and government; a rigid caste system based largely on race; a dilapidated commercial establish- ment that encouraged corruption, extortion, and hypocrisy; priv- ilege and intolerance. To be sure, conditions were scarcely better in the eighteenth-century colonies of Britain, France, the Nether- lands, and Denmark, even if they were usually administered more efficiently, for slavery and the degradation that goes with it were more deeply rooted. And the frequent wars among European powers caused terror and destruction in most of the Caribbean area. Not even the Age of Revolution brought unmixed benefits to Caribbean society. Haiti, the first to become free, expelled or killed the Europeans, only to wallow in poverty for long periods, and to drag Santo Domingo down with her. Yucatan probably endured more depression and oppression in the nineteenth-cen- tury Mexican nation than it had under Spain. The Central Ameri- can nations gyrated wildly between tyranny and anarchy. These were also buffeted by self-seeking foreigners and repeatedly failed through "adolescent political attitudes" and exaggerated nationalism to federate,4 setting a discouraging example of man's inability to get along with his fellows.5 In Colombia true issues and men of admirable idealism at times appeared, but the protracted civil wars prevented the growth of a viable republic for most of the nineteenth century. Venezuela's early promise was spoiled by the destructive wars of liberation and the long periods of strife and dictatorship that came afterward. The remaining European colo- nies sank into stagnation as the Caribbean sugar industry lost ground in the world economy. Not even the liberation of the slaves compensated for the dreadful social, economic, and intel- lectual degradation that prevailed. And the mother countries either took comparatively little interest in improving them, or achieved much when they undertook uplifting projects on occasion. The massive intrusion of the United States into the Caribbean in 1898 and after has certainly resulted in fewer political benefits than optimists predicted. True, the Panama Canal and the mighty increase of American investment, as well as trade in sugar, oil, and fruit, energized economic life, but their long-range effects have been uneven and sometimes harmful. Puerto Rico felt compara- 6 The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role tively few political benefits until World War II when spectacular progress began. The transformation of Cuba within sixty years from a United States protectorate, supposedly grateful and fa- vored, into an outright enemy is a development too well known to need sketching. American interventions in Hispaniola and Cen- tral America may well have retarded the development of whole- some political attitudes and sound government practices. In these and in other lands, the overwhelming might of the United States, even when wielded with the best of intentions or not brandished at all, has somehow inspired only frail emulation of the political institutions of the big neighbor, and has often served as an excuse for failure. Meanwhile, the colonies of the European powers were largely neglected until the Second World War and did little on their own to prepare themselves for nationhood. II These burdens of history have lightened somewhat during the last generation. Handicaps and liabilities imposed by past events have not prevented a remarkable movement toward political ma- turity by Puerto Rico, honest elections at crucial times in Venezuela and recently in the Dominican Republic, and some improvement in democratic practices in Colombia and parts of Central America. The Netherlands and France have in recent years extended to the Caribbean many of the liberties they enjoy, and while the failure of the British West Indies to federate may be disappoint- ing, the experiment was not altogether a loss, even if they appar- ently have to postpone the idea until the present generation of leaders has gone.6 Yet the legacy of the past still hangs heavy. It has left the Caribbean nations with no true models. The national experience of the United States seems to have little relevance to most of these countries in finding their own political style. Nor does that of the former European colonial powers, though some admirable practices have been implanted. It would appear presently that Cuba is not flourishing or even showing promise as a Communist state. The recent return to militarism by Brazil and Argentina re- moves what might have been two important models for orderly, representative government. Apparently some Mexican intellec- tuals think that Mexico has not offered sufficient guidance and has even lost the initiative even though her modern political evolution usually is admired.7 Perhaps models are not what the Caribbean lands need. It may well be that Latin America has POLITICAL CAPACITY lived too long already under alien institutions.8 Maybe western- style democracy, or even communism, cannot and should not be imported.9 These countries should find their own identities and develop systems that accord with their methods and needs. Most of them have not done so. Nearly everywhere we note a lack of strong consensus and an absence of true patriotism-not nationalistic bombast but the sober citizenship that produces sound planning, persistence, and cooperative effort. So often we discern that there is no institutional way to transform basic aspirations into realistic action, and that victims of evils cannot channel their demands effectively. So frequently we see defeatism and timidity on the part of governments. As Harry Bernstein observed, the obsession with the hero-caudillo obstructs the growth of construc- tive nationalism and idealism,10 as does the tendency to swing between caudillos and pensadores, as Russell Fitzgibbon put it.11 In a previous conference of this series Jose Figueres bluntly asserted that those of Spanish descent have not been very successful in handling their own affairs and that they are not adept at self- government.12 Yet the United States, which has not effectively promoted democratic governments for long, is often made the scapegoat for the shortcomings of other peoples. This has not, as J. Fred Rippy stated, kept the Caribbean lands from expecting too much from the United States,13 nor of remaining unaware of the serious problems, including poverty, with which Americans must contend. The persistence of conservatism has often been identified as a force in the way of development,14 even though in most cases conservatives now have to be covert and disguise their purposes by infiltrating supposedly liberal groups.15 Seldom do we find a solid and long-lived middle way in Caribbean politics. Radicals are often inclined to make demands that are beyond realistic attainment and to deceive themselves with words. The immatu- rity and incapacity of so many leaders of the left, as well as their intolerance, demagoguery, and fractiousness, frequently shred their own organizations and lead to self-defeat. The Church, as Jerome Fischman has demonstrated in the case of Puerto Rico,16 has lost much of its power to constrain radicalism. But it cannot be counted inevitably as a force for conservatism. Much has been done to improve public education. Everyone knows how frightening the rate of illiteracy in most of the Carib- bean is and that it embraces perhaps half the total population. Such education as there is, as S. S. Steinberg,17 Ronald Hilton,18 and Gordon Lewis19 have brought out in a previous conference, 8 The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role tends to be too theoretical or classical and to inflate raw students with the notion that they are intellectuals simply because they are enrolled in schools. While the cult of youth flourishes nearly everywhere, the very youthfulness of a high proportion of the Caribbean populations poses dangers.20 Young people are a great reservoir of idealism and energy if conditions are stable, but even in the United States the youthful character of the citizenry is seen as productive of violence and agitation and must be so to a much greater degree in the Caribbean. Here, as elsewhere in Latin America, as Daniel Cosio Villegas has stated in despondent accents, one finds true insularity and isolation.21 People of one community are detached from the others, and, if they are not indifferent to each other, see one another as a threat.22 A lack of human fellowship impedes advance toward political stability. And this stability-or merely good government, any workable system-is and has long been the fundamental need of the Caribbean area. More than a year ago, before the recent elections, Selden Rodman said: "In the longest history of any country in this hemisphere, the history of the Dominican Republic, a history stretching back almost five hundred years, there has never been a single government, competent, efficient, honest, ideal- istic, that represented the Dominican people."23 His statement cannot be applied to the entire Caribbean region and may well be too inclusive for the Dominican Republic, but its fundamental implication must be acknowledged as sound. III The reasons for the absence of political stability lie partly in the historical experiences and psychological attitudes we have touched upon. Yet every serious student knows that economic and social conditions have decisively retarded the thrust of these lands toward effective government. Participants in earlier con- ferences have explored these factors in abundant detail. First of all one confronts the population explosion. Those who predict a world-wide famine by 1985 may not be altogether hysterical alarm- ists. Certainly, the problem of runaway human reproduction in the Caribbean is acute and threatening to an extreme degree. It is sad to note that poor health, malnutrition, and short life spans go side by side with this outburst of procreation. Poor sanitation prevails widely, almost everywhere. "Horror housing" and unstable family life have easily understood political effects.24 The legacy of slavery and of monoculture in so much of the Caribbean spells POLITICAL CAPACITY 9 long periods of idleness for many workers, and this idleness is seldom utilized for constructive purposes.25 Most workers toil for others often apathetically and inefficiently and certainly for small wages. Low production has long characterized the Caribbean econ- omy.26 There is little for the lands of this area to exchange with each other. Even if there were, transportation is notoriously awk- ward and expensive. The Industrial Revolution, which caught Lat- in America by surprise in any event,27 has ameliorated economic conditions sporadically in the Caribbean but too often has re- sulted in artificial, rigged enterprises existing at the mercy of shocks from the outside and stimulating premature efforts at dis- tribution. Technical backwardness on the part of the general population is matched by managerial ineptitude or indifference on the part of native elite groups. Hence we have the prominent role of the outsider. The out- sider, however, is not necessarily determined to risk his effort and capital even when he is encouraged by local authorities. Political conditions such as those that led to expropriation in Cuba brought fresh American investment in Latin America al- most to zero in a few months during 1962.28 The brutal fact may well be, as Peter Nehemkis stated here, that "United States invest- ment capital does not need Latin America."29 It can do better elsewhere. Thus production lags, and when it flourishes in some localities, the benefits often fail to reach the masses. The Carib- bean area, along with Latin America in general, falls farther and farther behind the rest of the world, or most of it, in technology, commerce, and economic growth.30 IV What a dreary picture we have of misery and discouragement! How could one expect peoples so burdened with handicaps to exhibit political capacity? Are most of the Caribbean lands doomed to eternal punishment because of the past? Is there no way to develop good government so that these appalling problems can be dealt with, or that conditions can improve so that good govern- ment will be possible? Certainly no formula can be offered with confidence. There is hope, however, because there is life. Further, as Wendell Gor- don has written, "The world now possesses the technical knowl- edge necessary to provide every man, woman, and child with enough food, clothing, and shelter so that all may live in decent comfort."31 A distinguished Argentine recently said, "Countries The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role which are economically and socially underdeveloped could bridge the gap that separates them from the advanced countries within a surprisingly short time if they made use of the potentialities of modern science and technology."32 Sudden and almost miraculous development has occurred in the course of history. One thinks of as badly endowed a land as Denmark where poor grain farmers transformed themselves into prosperous and cultured producers of butter, bacon, and eggs.33 The Netherlands offers another ex- ample. In our own time we have witnessed the spectacular rise of Japan, the Philippines, and Germany literally from the ashes. Israel's recent career may be the most encouraging example of all. Undoubtedly, striking increases in agricultural production and industrialization have sometimes occurred in Latin America, in- cluding the Caribbean.34 We have seen the Caribbean Commission during World War II and after kindle hope and ferment.35 It is clear that the recent record of Britain, France, and the Nether- lands in the Caribbean has been honorable, more so than it has usually been credited.36 Puerto Rico has experienced not only an economic improvement that has amazed the world but has also exhibited a remarkable growth of political capacity.37 It seems that statesmanship in Central America is producing economic union and with it, betterment. There are many signs of vigor in Colombia and Venezuela, political as well as economic. The human race is not so helpless that it must accept perpetual frustration in the Caribbean. Populations can be stabilized through birth control, and they probably will be when the need is faced squarely. Even emigration, so often regarded as a mere palliative, could redistribute Caribbean peoples and lead to stabilization.38 Ancient problems of water and soil are not hopeless.39 Health can be improved. The lumber40 and fishing41 industries could be greatly expanded. Transportation, with the development of pas- senger missiles and hydrofoils, may well link the Caribbean in a way impossible for present-day ships and airplanes. Above all, tourism beckons as the possibility with the most immediate and lucrative rewards. If significant economic amelioration occurred, why should we remain defeatist about ancient problems of land tenure and monoculture or of inadequate political systems? The barriers to betterment are essentially human factors.42 Man can change his environment if he wants to badly enough.43 In this area, technology, managerial proficiency, and favorable attitudes- a "can do" philosophy-are needed more than capital.44 However, capital is likely to be forthcoming if there is any reason to suppose that it will help. Pride in craftmanship and manual labor can be 10 inculcated.45 Books and other communication even more vivid than the printed word have in some cases brought about a spectacular upgrading of civilization; this surely could be the case here. Educators are perhaps the most receptive of all groups to new methods and ideals, and they could exert the most influence in changing the psychological climate.46 The problem is ultimately one of will and of spirit. One may dwell interminably on the liabilities and handicaps of the Caribbean peoples. The burdens of history can be chroni- cled and lamented to the point of despair, yet a humanist must address himself to what could be done to inspire potential Carib- bean leaders to conquer their problems. They will surely have help if they try. NOTES 1. The Caribbean at Mid-Century (Gainesville, Fla., 1951), p. xiv. This and all the other volumes in the series are edited by A. Curtis Wilgus. 2. Daniel Guerin, The West Indies and Their Future (London, 1961), p. 19. 3. The Caribbean: Contemporary Education (1960), p. 37, citing Luis Alberto Sanchez. 4. Carl C. Moses in American Political Science Review (June, 1962), pp. 480-81. 5. Thomas L. Karnes, The Failure of Union: Central America, 1824-1960 (Chapel Hill, 1961), p. 3. 6. Thomas Mathews, "The West Indies After the Federation," Current His- tory (January, 1966), p. 52. 7. Daniel Cosio Villegas, Change in Latin America: The Mexican and Cuban Revolutions (Lincoln, Neb., 1961), p. 42. 8. Wendell C. Gordon, The Political Economy of Latin America (New York, 1965), p. 2. 9. Harry Hoetink, "Cuba and the New Experts," Caribbean Studies (July, 1961), p. 18. 10. The Caribbean: Its Political Problems (1956), p. 3. 11. Ibid., p. 33. 12. The Caribbean: The Central American Area (1961), p. 313. 13. The Caribbean: Natural Resources (19N9), pp. 287-88. 14. Claudio Veliz, Obstacles to Change in Latin America (London, New York, Toronto, 1965), Introduction; W. Arthur Lewis, in Inflation and Growth in Latin America, edited by Werner Baer and Isaac Kerstenetzky (Harewood, Ill., 1964), p. 25. 15. Morley Ayearst, The British West Indies: The Search for Self-Govern- ment (London, 1960), p. 54. 16. "The Church in Politics: The 1960 Election in Puerto Rico," The Western Political Quarterly (Dec., 1965), p. 839. 17. The Caribbean: Its Culture (1955), p. 143. 18. The Caribbean: Contemporary Education, p. 45. 19. The Caribbean: Natural Resources, p. 220. 20. Arturo Uslar Pietri in The Caribbean: Venezuelan Development, A Case History (1963), p. 31. 21. Cosio Villegas, p. 20. 11 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role 22. J. J. Ochse, in The Caribbean: British, Dutch, French, United States (1958), p. 93. 23. "The Reason Why," The Caribbean in Crisis: Report of the IV Institute, Caribbean Institute and Study Center for Latin America, p. 14. 24. Guerin, p. 22; Charles Wagley in The Caribbean: Natural Resources, p. 203. 25. Lowry Nelson in The Caribbean at Mid-Century, p. 145. 26. James G. Maddox in The Caribbean: Peoples, Problems, and Prospects (1952), p. 29; Gilberto Loyo and Rail Ortiz Mena in The Caribbean: Contem- porary Trends, p. 34; Raymond E. Crist in The Caribbean at Mid-Century, pp. 42-50. 27. Cosio Villegas, p. 18. 28. Peter Nehemkis in The Caribbean: Venezuelan Development, A Case History, p. 133. 29. Ibid., p. 141. 30. Ibid., p. 145; Lewis, pp. 27-28. 31. Gordon, p. 386. 32. Rolando V. Garcia, "Organizing Scientific Research," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (Sept., 1966), p. 12. 33. Ralph H. Allee in The Caribbean: Natural Resources, p. 5. 34. Erich O. Kraemer, ibid., pp. 47-49. 35. Frances McReynolds Smith in The Caribbean: British, Dutch, French, United States, pp. 290-91; see also the Caribbean Commission Reports for 1942 through 1948, published in Washington. 36. Sir Harold Mitchell, Europe in the Caribbean (London, 1963), p. 176. 37. Petroamerica Pagan de Col6n in The Caribbean: British, Dutch, French, United States, p. 186. 38. Carl S. Lokke, ibid., p. 132. 39. E. A. Norton in The Caribbean: Contemporary Trends, p. 5. 40. Monroe Bush in The Caribbean: Natural Resources, p. 64. 41. William Saenz, ibid., pp. 187-88. 42. Charles Wagley, ibid., p. 193. 43. Ross E. Moore in The Caribbean: Peoples, Problems, and Prospects, pp. 44-45. 44. Maynard Phelps in The Caribbean at Mid-Century, p. 61. 45. Richard M. Morse in The Caribbean: Contemporary Education, pp. 172-73. 46. A. Curtis Wilgus in The Caribbean: Its Culture, p. xvi. 12 2 Joseph W. Reidy: GROWTH AND POSSIBLE CHANGE IN CARIBBEAN AMERICA'S POLITICAL CAPACITY THE POLITICAL DYNAMICS of Caribbean America is both a challenging and an important subject. It is challenging because of the human environmental diversity of the region, and it is impor- tant because the future peace and security of the Americas will in- evitably be affected by the course of political developments within this vital area. Consider for a moment the vast spatial extension of Caribbean America. A line passing from the city of Tijuana in northwestern Mexico to Cayenne in French Guiana bisects the region, con- nects its most distant points, and covers a distance of 5,000 miles. The physical environment of Caribbean America is marked by sharp contrasts. The human mosaic of the area is characterized by diverse ethnic and cultural groups with varied traditions, atti- tudes, values, and institutions. The diversity of the region sug- gests that some introductory caveats are clearly in order. While there are threads of unity in the political development of Caribbean America, generalizations are difficult and predictions of future trends are hazardous. Many of the comments which follow could not be qualified as much or as often-due to limita- tions of space-as would seem prudent in view of the diversity of the region. Furthermore, while it may suit our convenience to discuss the political, economic, social, and cultural components of Caribbean America's development separately, it is well to recog- nize that in so doing we are considering pieces of an integrated whole. 13 The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role With these caveats in mind, the commentary which follows attempts to follow the main currents rather than the minor eddies of political change and growth in Caribbean America. The objec- tive is one of presenting an overview in which the ambiente of political development is stressed rather than the details concern- ing leading personalities, individual political parties, or specific issues. There is an effort to glance backward briefly into the past since the region's history lends weight to the old adage that asserts "what is past is prologue." Subsequent comments are pri- marily concerned, however, with projecting into the future basic political trends which can now be identified. Growth and possible change in the political capacity of Carib- bean America can perhaps best be judged by assessing progress made in achieving three basic political tasks: (1) the building of nations; (2) the development of democratic institutions; and (3) the formulation of national policy regarding Caribbean integra- tion and international alignment. It is to these three topics that we now turn. I. The Building of Nations The history of Caribbean America, just as that of other world areas, demonstrates that the building of nations is often an ar- duous and prolonged process. Today, no less than in the past, the winning of independence is but a prelude to the challenging task of forging more closely integrated societies. Even the establish- ment of peace and order-a prerequisite to national integration- has been a difficult task for much of Caribbean America. A divisive physical environment often combines with the ethno- cultural diversity of the Caribbean to impede the formulation of national 'consciousness. The cultural mosaic of Caribbean peoples is reflected in their varied-and at times conflicting-goals, values, traditions, and institutions. The weak social fabric of many Carib- bean peoples does not lend itself to formation of a closely knit national community. The predominant Iberian stamp of the region has contributed as much to fragmentation as it has to unity of the area. Exaggerated Spanish pride and individualism, combined with Iberian resistance to change and mutual accommodation, lend support to Salvador de Madariaga's observation that anarchy is the natural state of the Spanish mind.*1 In short, Iberian cultural values have exerted a centrifugal effect. Lack of administrative talent and political experience in self- rule is a legacy of Spanish colonial rule. In all the Spanish colonies *Notes and appendix to this chapter are on pp. 26-27. 14 of America, only four of 170 appointed viceroys were American- born.2 The development of able leadership remains a major task in the pursuit of national unity. The barriers to national integration are not confined to areas heavily influenced by a Spanish heritage. As a case in point, witness the present state of flux within the newly created "na- tions" that formerly comprised the British Caribbean. Guyana is racked by racial tension and has yet to prove that it is a viable nation. The West Indies, a confederation of widely dispersed islands given their independence by Great Britain in 1958, has since disintegrated. A number of British dependencies within the Windward and Leeward chain are soon to become "associated states" and eligible for independence; they may unite in a con- federation with other areas of the British Caribbean or go their separate ways. There is a lingering sense that common interests favor the creation of an Anglo-Antillean "nation," but the eventual outcome of the current flux through which former British depend- encies are passing is most uncertain. To cite another non-Iberian case, the heavy Amerindian influence in certain areas of Carib- bean America can hardly be said to contribute to the building of integrated nations. In Guatemala, for example, one estimate indi- cates that only 125,000 of this country's three million people can be counted as "effective actors in reaching political decisions at a national level."3 It is not surprising that the consolidation of national power in many areas of the Caribbean has been achieved more often by force than by consent. Military intervention and rise of the caudi- Ilo could in many instances be traced to civic irresponsibility and administrative chaos. In more recent times, insurrectionary efforts inspired by Communist Cuba's open support of "wars of national liberation" have posed still another threat to national integration in certain countries. Castro's disruptive efforts have been effective- ly blunted to date. Rural insurgency and urban terrorism in Venezuela are now under effective control, and la violencia suf- fered by Colombia through many years appears to have been con- tained. Insurrectionary efforts by the radical left in the Dominican Republic and Guatemala have also been stymied. Consequently, the role of force in maintaining internal security and strengthen- ing the control of the central government has diminished. Several military establishments have fortunately turned to more construc- tive tasks of "civic action" and "nation-building." A number of changes are in process which are overcoming past obstacles to national integration within individual Caribbean states. 15 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Technology exerts a unifying influence. Expanding air and high- way links combine with astounding advances in the field of elec- tronic communications to facilitate the consolidation of central government control and administration. An increasingly complex economic structure and growing industrialization provide still oth- er integrative influences. Social changes accompanying the mod- ernization process have increased the number of politically aware and their participation in national affairs. The growth and im- provement of educational institutions have expanded the horizons of millions and served as vehicles for introducing the dynamic values of the modern West. Nationalism provides an emotional bond to overcome parochial political allegiance. Except for newly emerging nations whose boundaries are in dispute, and the con- tinuing state of flux in the British Caribbean with regard to na- tional amalgamation, the nation-state structure of Caribbean Amer- ica has become relatively firmly established. Looking toward the future, the prospects of individual Carib- bean countries becoming more closely integrated political units are decidedly favorable. Unifying trends of modernization are well established. Separatist tendencies of the past seem to have lost appeal. To the degree that the present and emerging nation- state structure of Caribbean America is altered, it is most likely to change in favor of confederate movements which join existing political units in a broader association. But of more immediate concern is Caribbean America's progress in creating democratic institutions which, in themselves, serve an integrative function in the process of building nations. It is to this subject which we now turn. II. Development of Democratic Institutions Authoritarian past.-A Latin American writer once commented that independence from Spain was achieved on "the last day of despotism and the first day of the same thing."4 Power was trans- ferred to new hands but an authoritarian heritage hampered for many decades the development of democratic institutions. While there is something essentially democratic in Spanish individualism, it produced men who were more inclined to govern than to be governed. The attitude of personalismo has been well expressed by the Ecuadorian writer, Alfredo Perez Guerrero who described it as "an exaltation of the I, which does not perceive itself as a unit in the group, but as the whole group itself. Pride and dignidad are exaggerated, and the group serves as a pedestal for the self."5 Other Iberian attitudes and traditions combined with 16 environmental obstacles and ethnocultural diversity to complicate the transplanting of democratic institutions to Spanish America. Sim6n Bolivar, with great insight and realism, was reported to have said that the "new states of America, once Spanish, need kings with the title of President."6 Despite the unfavorable soil for democratic institutions, Creole political leaders borrowed heavily from the political theory of the French philosophes and from the constitutional pattern adopted by the United States. As might have been expected, political theory and constitutional law gave way to governments of men. It could hardly have been otherwise. Strong rulers were needed to bring peace and order. The political history of Caribbean America has been marked by numerous golpes and caudillos. Democratic rule has more often been the ideal than the practice. Constitu- tional forms ill-suited to the realities of Caribbean politics have more often served as useful statements of democratic intent rather than rigid strictures governing political conduct in the here and now. Over 200 constitutions have been adopted throughout Span- ish America's history-many of them having their origin in Carib- bean America. For example, Venezuela, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti have had at least 24, 22, and 18 constitutions respec- tively.7 Chronic political instability in many areas of Caribbean America has given rise to doubts as to the region's political capac- ity, and to pessimism concerning the future of democratic in- stitutions in the region. Before passing judgment on the future of democracy in Caribbean America, it would be well to muster as much empathy as possible and view political realities within the region as they are rather than as one might wish them to be. The current reality.-Strong Latin American rulers who bring peace, prosperity, and efficient administration to their country will receive general support-as long as they do not deny unduly basic human freedoms. While the tyrant is despised, the firm and effi- cient political leader is admired even if he operates with fewer executive restraints than the North American concept of "checks and balances" would permit. Latin American presidents must rule if they are to be effective administrators and avoid devoting most of their time to a struggle simply to remain in power. Even the strong executive must answer ultimately to the people. Democracy cannot be equated with exercise of the ballot. Military golpes, with the passage of time, have been less power-motivated and more designed to end the abuse of power or other instances of misrule. Moreover, even popularly elected presidents have been ousted frequently for good reasons and with public approval. In 17 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role increasingly complex societies in which power is ever more widely distributed among a growing number of interest groups, the days of the old-style caudillo are over. It would be rash, however, to predict the early end of dictatorships in Caribbean America. Nev- ertheless, it seems certain they will be fewer and shorter in dura- tion. The modernization of the region-through education, im- provements in transportation and communications, the impact of new ideas from abroad, political and economic pressures from within the Organization of American States (oAs)-favors an evo- lutionary trend toward greater democracy. In one way or another, Latin Americans have been exposed in increasing numbers for over two centuries to the ideals and merits of democracy. They do not require further lectures on the subject, and they have accepted democratic institutions as their goal. What is required is patient cultivation of the soil in which democracy can grow. This will take time. Revolutionary changes-in the sense of fundamental changes, whether political or otherwise-have been rare in Latin America. Democracy, involving as it does ac- ceptance of social values foreign to most of Caribbean America, cannot be imposed; a product of human development, it can only come about slowly. Advocates of "instant democracy" would do well to be content in the knowledge that the pace of change is quickening through Latin America, and popular participation in political decisions-whether by exercise of the rights of suffrage or otherwise-has grown at a rapid rate. Quest for indigenous solutions.-One of the criticisms most often levied against Latin American democracy is that foreign models have been copied too slavishly, with few indigenous contributions to political philosophy and few creative solutions to problems peculiar to the local ambiente. The criticism is sound, but it ap- plies more to the past than to the present. Unfortunately, Latin American political innovations have not been recognized as such because they have been regarded as "distortions" of North Ameri- can or European "models." Foreign critics cannot expect to have it both ways. They should examine what they have labelled as "distortions" to see if they are not, in fact, practical adaptations suited to Latin America's environment and intended to provide creative solutions to real problems which the foreign critic has neither experienced nor adequately understood. For example, these are Latin American constitutional provisions which fre- quently draw criticism: (1) suspension of individual guarantees during times of national emergency; (2) exceptional federal pow- ers to intervene in state affairs; (3) rights of presidential initia- 18 tive and decree-making power (which, it is asserted, grant the executive quasi-legislative functions), usually providing for sub- sequent congressional ratification; (4) assigning the military a role of "guaranteeing constitutional powers" (which, say the critics, invites military intervention in political matters).8 There is little question that provisions such as these can lead to "constitutional dictatorships" within the terms, if not the spirit, of the constitution. Examined with more empathy, however, there is also little question that they provide the Latin American execu- tive with powers needed to deal with separatism, insurrection, or chaos caused by irresponsible political opponents. How to grant the president the powers he requires, yet prevent his abuse of provisions intended for true emergencies? There are, of course, many ways of measuring public opinion other than submitting issues to one or another form of popular vote. Therein lies the basis for the assertion made previously that even the strong execu- tive must answer ultimately to the people. Professor William S. Stokes has posed a key question: "Is it possible that Latin Ameri- can political culture has developed procedures for measuring and representing opinion different from but as valid as the techniques of election, initiative, referendum, and plebiscite of the Anglo- American and Western European states?"9 This question suggests others. How can the Latin American executive who has assumed emergency powers demonstrate convincingly that his actions en- joy popular consent? Times of crisis do not normally permit the exercise of popular suffrage. Can the absence of public resistance and a return to "normalcy" be interpreted as "popular consent"? Can new techniques-perhaps a combination of modern communi- cations, scientific polling methods, and automated tabulation-pro- vide still other evidence of popular consent without the formality of voting? These questions suggest a new area in which innova- tions might be devised so as to demonstrate that Latin Americans can develop not only the substance of democratic government but also unique procedures well-suited to their environment for measuring popular will. A challenging field for research is clearly open for the student of Latin American political dynamics. Area contrasts.-As might be expected in an area of great diver- sity, the progress of democracy has been, and is likely to remain, very uneven. To bring general commentary down to concrete cases, a brief look at individual situations is in order. Respect for parliamentary government has taken root in those countries (or countries-to-be) which compose what was formerly the British Caribbean. But it is difficult to predict how firmly the 19 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role roots have been planted. Independence has been a brief experi- ence and within former British areas the prospects of democratic government differ greatly. Jamaica would appear to have a better chance for internal stability and gaining experience with the functions of a loyal opposition than, for example, would Guyana. Troubled as it is by racial strife which takes on political lines, Guyana must give priority to the task of achieving national sur- vival in an environment which may curtail full exercise of demo- cratic freedoms. French and Dutch areas of the Caribbean have achieved greater autonomy but not independence. French Guiana is without a doubt the most dependent of European-administered areas in the Caribbean. Established as a department in 1947, it is legally a part of metropolitan France. Its prospects for the future are dim on all counts-especially with respect to developing self-reliance and indigenous democratic institutions. French-administered is- lands of the Antilles, principally Martinique and Guadeloupe, have the same legal status as French Guiana but a better prospect of exercising real autonomy and developing democratic institu- tions. The Netherlands Antilles and Surinam present a brighter picture than French-administered areas since they possess good physical and human resources and a populace fast becoming equipped for self-government and eventual independence, should this eventually be their wish. The Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, a Latin American com- munity of United States citizens, enjoys complete local autonomy and has had ample experience with democratic institutions and processes. While it favors its present association with the United States over complete independence, Puerto Rico appears well equipped to govern itself democratically in the future, whether as a commonwealth or a sovereign state. Haiti is the land of the classic tyrant-gripped by terror and handicapped by poverty, ignorance, and political apathy. There is no political dialogue in Haiti and little likelihood that one will soon develop. Opposition elements in exile are divided and, in the event they were to come to power, do not offer much promise of developing democratic institutions. Spanish Caribbean states occupy positions throughout the spec- trum of democratic development. Efforts at a systematic ranking of nations according to their democratic progress inevitably pro- duce highly perishable listings subject to much debate. Nonethe- less, in a separate appendix, the eleven countries of the Spanish Caribbean have been placed in one or another of six categories 20 with the principal objective of conveying graphically varying rates of democratic progress and different institutional patterns. The essential observation which emerges from this categorization is that the governments of the Spanish Caribbean range from es- tablished democracies to outright dictatorships with intermediate types which can be described as "functioning democracies," gov- ernments with "fragile democratic institutions," "guided demo- cracies" featuring one-party rule, and "limited democracies," which present essentially a single option to the popular electorate. Once again, to repeat a familiar theme, the diversity of Spanish America is apparent. The conclusions to be drawn are: Future rates of progress in achieving advanced norms of political democracy are certain to be unequal; and, the institutions established to carry out the functions of democratic government will differ consider- ably from country to country in their effectiveness as well as their form. Current trends.-Discernible trends in the development of politi- cal parties in Caribbean America can only be generalized. Few political parties of Caribbean America possess either the ideologi- cal drive or the broad popular base to exercise an integrative function although many have gained in strength and maturity. The function of a loyal opposition is better understood and increasingly adopted. Broader popular participation has definitely restrained the force of personalismo in party affairs. Traditional conservative parties are fighting a rear-guard and losing action. Centrist parties are growing most rapidly of all, including in their ranks many who have recently become active participants in the political process. Leftist groups have had ups and downs and now stand essentially at dead center despite their dramatic take-over in Cuba. Ideological drive has appeared only in the Partido Revolu- cionario Institucional (PRI) of Mexico (where it is more of an historic than a living force), the Christian Democratic groups of Venezuela and Central America (where it is a developing and important phenomenon), and among the Communists of Cuba (where it has been the source of truly revolutionary change and catastrophic errors). Political leadership will be drawn increasingly from an emerg- ing group which may be called Caribbean America's "new elite." The Church, military, intellectual and student groups, labor union- ists, businessmen, and/or miscellaneous professionals have all failed-considering each individually as a special interest group- to provide effective national leadership. But among their mem- bers are found intelligent men of vision who are willing to work 21 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role for constructive change to speed Caribbean America's moderni- zation. They are prepared to place national interests above nar- row group concerns. Unfortunately, the "new elite" remains dif- fused and has not yet created a sufficient number of associations capable of exercising effective leadership. This lack defines the principal task of democratic political action in Caribbean America. It is useful to distinguish between the substance of democratic government and the procedures by which popular will can be expressed. Substantive democracy as a concept has long taken root in Caribbean America. With some obvious exceptions, basic human rights are generally upheld. The will of the majority pre- vails in the long run. Rights of the opposing minority are by and large protected. Procedural democracy in Caribbean America would be found wanting if judged by the standards of demo- cratic systems of the modern West. Judged within the ambiente of Caribbean America, however, procedural "shortcomings" in the practice of democracy appear more as realistic adaptations than perverse distortions of democratic ways as they are generally understood in the United States and most of Western Europe. In summary, Latin America is wedded to democratic ideals but is still in pursuit of workable procedures which can reconcile the need for a strong executive with the goal of subjecting such political leadership to a test of popular will. Measured by Anglo- American and most Western European standards, Latin American democracy has fallen short and faces an up-hill struggle. Meas- ured against the physical and human obstacles to democracy which Latin Americans confront, however, progress has been encouraging. In balance, it is safe to say that in the decades ahead democracy in Caribbean America will flourish in a few countries, continue to evolve slowly in most, and languish in some backward and un- stable areas. The hard truth is that the road to democracy for all peoples throughout history has been a long and a difficult one, and it is unlikely that Latin Americans will find shortcuts. III. The Formulation of National Policy Regarding Caribbean Integration and International Alignment The building of integrated nations and democratic institutions has posed enormous challenges to the people of Caribbean Amer- ica. Confronted by such tasks, they-not surprisingly-have de- voted little thought and less action to more ambitious goals such as that of creating a Pan Caribbean Federation. The idea of a region-wide political union has never been taken seriously by 22 practical politicians. Homo caribiensis remains an abstraction. Di- versity defeats idyllic notions of Caribbean unity. Technological breakthroughs which vault physical obstacles have much less im- pact on overcoming human differences, the emotional appeal of nationalism, trade competition, and other sources of conflict. While the region-wide political integration of Caribbean Ameri- ca is generally regarded as impractical, sub-regional political inte- gration may in a few cases prove feasible. The three most frequent- ly discussed sub-regional groupings are, in a decreasing order of probability: (1) A federation comprising some of the currently fragmented segments of what was formerly the British Caribbean; (2) A Central American Confederation composed of Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Costa Rica; (3) A resur- rection of Gran Colombia (Venezuela, Colombia, Ecuador, and Panama), or at least integration of some portion of that historic grouping. With the guidance and encouragement of the British, the West Indies, a federation of former Caribbean dependencies, was es- tablished in January, 1958. (Guyana and British Honduras were not incorporated.) The experiment was unsuccessful and the fed- eration disbanded a few years later. However, the federate idea persists. Economic self-interest may discourage Jamaica's re-entry but favor Guyana's adhesion to a new effort at federation. British Honduras, when it becomes the independent state of Belize, is likely to go it alone for geographic and other reasons. In short, some form of federation centered in the Antilles (possibly in Trinidad) may evolve if for no other reasons than common lan- guage (English), the logic of economic union, common experience with parliamentary government, and realization that separate ex- istence offers no attraction except the dubious one of absorption by aggressive neighbors or extra-Caribbean powers. Straws in the wind are Guyanan President Burnham's advocacy of his country's federation with Trinidad-Tobago and Barbados, and his success in forming the Caribbean Free Trade Association (CARIFA) now linking Guyana with Antigua and Barbados. A confederation of Central American states is favored by geo- graphic propinquity, common language, a history of past union, and progress in the formation of a Central American Common Market (CACM) with its demonstrated economic advantages. The Organization of Central American States (ODECA), founded in 1952, provides an existing nucleus around which closer political union may be developed. But many obstacles remain. Despite unifying factors, Central American states differ in many respects. 23 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Divergent political traditions (contrast democratic Costa Rica, for example, with some of its neighbors who have had little experi- ence with democratic institutions) pose a barrier to effective political union. This is one among several reasons why political unification has been greeted with differing degrees of enthusiasm among the countries of Central America. On the other hand, the unifying effect of improved communications and transportation may well reduce existing obstacles to confederation, especially if such a union not only preserves but also increases material bene- fits such as those already realized through the CACM. Turning to the prospect of a resurrected Gran Colombia, analy- sis quickly gives way to speculation. The rationale favoring some form of political union (i.e., the evident advantages of greater leverage in regional affairs and closer economic integration) is well known. But the disparate segments that were once united only briefly under the genius of Bolivar have developed with the passage of time great differences in their mode and rate of de- velopment. Moreover, geography still tends to fragment and to counter the unifying influences of modern technology. Closer pol- icy coordination among the nations of the former Gran Colombia is a much more likely outcome than political integration per se. If the prospect for region-wide integration is dim, and the like- lihood of sub-regional political unions limited and heavily condi- tioned, what extra-regional alignments are the countries of Carib- bean America likely to choose in the decades ahead? There are at least six alternative extra-regional alignments open to Carib- bean America-some of them admittedly highly theoretical options. First, the quest for broader political and economic integration of Latin American states is a major contemporary current. A lingering desire for regional unity has been described as a feeling of "emotional commonwealth" or "continental nationalism" and is sometimes expressed by Latin Americans in terms of patria grande and latinamericanismo. Environmental differences and disparate rates of progress, however, have combined over the course of time to magnify differences between individual Latin American coun- tries. Certainly if Caribbean political unity confronts enormous obstacles, the far more ambitious goal of unifying all of Latin America becomes little more than a nebulous political ideal and sentimental goal-at least for this the twentieth century. Second, gravitation toward the United States is a less-discussed but nevertheless possible alternative-particularly for some areas which formerly composed the British Caribbean. The advantages of a commonwealth association with the United States similar to 24 that of Puerto Rico may have appeal over the longer run, es- pecially for fragmented remnants of the Caribbean which fail either to form individual national entities or a broader association with their neighbors. Within the Caribbean psychological bar- riers to closer association with the United States, combined with reluctance of the United States to assume added responsibilities in the area, may stymie the growth of commonwealth relation- ships.10 However, considerations of defense, trade, and investments are countervailing influences which favor closer ties between the United States and the more amorphous geographic fragments within the Caribbean. Third, Pan Americanism will probably continue to be the pre- vailing international alignment of Caribbean America, for it will accommodate (even if under strain) either of the foregoing two alternatives and is the logical status quo to the extent that neither of these alternatives proves to be feasible or attractive. With the creation of new nations in Caribbean America, membership in the OAS family may be expanded considerably. One obstacle to the admission of some prospective applicants is the Act of Washington (1964) which bars states having border disputes with current OAS members. This proviso would deny OAS membership to Guy- ana and the future Belize. Moreover, Venezuela may oppose Jamaica's admission because of the latter's advocacy of an English- speaking commonwealth bloc within the OAS.11 Despite these prob- lems and other weaknesses of the OAS system, Pan Americanism appears assured of continued life-particularly in the absence of feasible alternatives. Fourth, continued and closer ties between Caribbean America and Western European states with the traditional interest in the area (Great Britain, France, and the Netherlands) is still another option. This orientation may continue to be the preference of Dutch and French administered areas. The likelihood of increased ties between Caribbean America and European nations in other than the political field appears favorable and inevitably carries a political connotation, since such links may be motivated, in at least some instances, by a desire to offset the overwhelming power of the United States. Fifth, an orientation toward the Soviet Union-following the course of Castro's Cuba-is an alternative that may appeal to revo- lutionaries of the radical left should they succeed in toppling a Western-oriented nation of Caribbean America. But United States opposition to such an alignment would have to be reckoned with, and Cuba's experience under Castro has lessened the appeal of 25 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role "wars of national liberation" and the illusory benefits of member- ship in the socialist camp. The Soviet Union itself may be reluc- tant to encourage such a development for it would almost cer- tainly lead to still another confrontation with the United States in an area far removed from the base of Soviet power. Sixth, a highly theoretical alternative is that of alignment of Caribbean America (along with the remainder of Latin America) with Afro-Asian nations in a third-world bloc. This option has proven to be more of an empty notion than a practical alternative -even in the economic field not to mention the more tenuous political ties that link such diverse (and frequently competitive) world regions. Of the six alternatives, only the first three-all of which are hemispheric orientations-appear to be realistic over the next few decades. Narrowing the field still further, it is the third option- Pan Americanism-which seems to "fit" Caribbean America most closely. In geopolitical terms, Caribbean America forms a "crush zone" where many political interests meet. A major challenge confronting Caribbean leaders is that of exercising wisely the options available to them so as to chart an international course which best serves the hopes and aspirations of their people. NOTES 1. Sax Bradford, Spain in the World (Princeton, N. J.: D. Van Nostrand Co., Inc., 1962), p. 56. 2. Hubert Herring, A History of Latin America (New York: Harper and Brothers, 1961), p. 83. 3. Kalman H. Silvert, "A Proposed Framework for Latin American Politics," in John D. Martz (ed.), The Dynamics of Change in Latin American Politics (Englewood Cliffs, N. J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1965), p. 9. 4. Pio Jaramillo Alvarado, El regimen totalitario en America (Guayaquil: Editor Noticia, 1940), pp. 24, 71. 5. Alfredo Perez Guerrero, Ecuador (Quito: Casa de la Cultura Ecuatoriana, 1948), p. 74. 6. Rosendo A. G6mez, "Latin American Executives: Essence and Variations," in Martz, p. 47. 7. J. Lloyd Mecham, "Latin American Constitutions: Nominal and Real," in Martz, p. 35. The author's essay was originally published in May, 1959. The figures have not been up-dated since the essential point is clear, and-in any case- there is a great deal of disagreement concerning the number of Latin American constitutions, since many revised constitutions were promulgated as new instruments. 8. Ibid., pp. 36-39. 9. William S. Stokes, "Violence as a Power Factor in Latin American Poli- tics," in Martz, p. 149. 10. As an alternative, former British dependencies in the Caribbean may attempt to forge a closer political link with Canada. 11. Latin American opposition to admission into the OAs of former British areas may spur the latter to develop a special relationship with Canada (see fn. 10). Alternatively, admission of former British Caribbean areas into the 26 POLITICAL CAPACITY 27 OAS would tend to encourage Canada to join the Pan American family-a move long considered by Ottawa. APPENDIX DEMOCRATIC PROGRESS IN THE SPANISH CARIBBEAN Established Democracies-Costa Rica. This country-well-integrated, highly literate, dedicated to democratic processes and possessing a non-political civil service-clearly stands in a category all its own. Yet recent tension between the administration of President Trejos and his political opponents who control the legislature points up the fact that no country of Caribbean America is im- mune to political upheaval. Functioning Democracies-Venezuela, Colombia, and Panama. Venezuela, despite its authoritarian past, has made rapid progress toward becoming an established democracy. Colombia, a two-party state with each party alternating in power, is attempting to break out of a period of political stagnation. Colom- bian President Lleras Restrepo is seeking congressional authorization to rule by decree on issues involving economic development and administrative reorgani- zation, but his motive is one of pushing reforms rather than seeking authoritar- ian power. Panama's volatile political atmosphere is such that it could, with a serious outbreak of violence, drop from the ranks of functioning democracies. Fragile Democratic Institutions-Dominican Republic and Guatemala. The Dominican Republic has experienced four coups and seven governments since Trujillo's assassination in 1961. Democratically elected President Belaguer must steer a course between a military establishment on the right and opposition parties on the left. This is a delicate task in a country which has exhibited little tolerance for debate and has had practically no experience with demo- cratic processes. Guatemalan President Mendez Montenegro is confined by tacit understanding to a centrist position which avoids radical changes but simultaneously advocates reforms. Mendez Montenegro's assumption of office in July, 1966, was in itself an advance for democracy since the military did not favor him. His basic problem is clearly one of survival. Guided Democracy: One-Party Rule-Mexico. Mexico's PRi since 1929 has always been assured of victory in a system of "guided democracy" in which presidential elections are a formality. Political opposition is nominal. The Presi- dent, with concurrence of the pRI-controlled Senate, can replace any elected official. Hand-picked party favorites are frequently appointed to high govern- ment posts without benefit of popular election. PRI deliberations are essentially democratic, however, and the President is expected to follow party policies. More designed for carrying out the Revolution-which ended over two decades ago-than for reconciling the divergent interests evident in the increasing com- plex society of a rapidly modernizing Mexico, PRI is showing serious strains. Limited Democracies-El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Honduras. In El Salva- dor it is widely accepted that the PCN nominee chosen by contesting military factions will be elected in March, 1967. There is even less doubt that Anastasio Somoza Debayle will be elected Nicaragua's President in February, 1967. Honduras is ruled by General L6pez Arellano whose successful golpe in Oc- tober, 1963, was followed by his election to a six-year term as President by a constituent assembly in the spring of 1965. Outright Dictatorship-Cuba. Cuba is still passing through the throes of a revolution headed by el maximo lider, Fidel Castro. During the course of 1966, the revolution experienced many setbacks: defection of long-time revolutionaries, purges of party officials considered untrustworthy or ineffective, arrest of labor leaders, student demonstrations, and continued economic woes. Such difficulties will be countered by Castro's authoritarian hand. Predictions of Castro's fall appear born more of wishful thinking than hard fact. At the moment, at least, the hope for democracy in Cuba is a forlorn one. 3 Thomas Mathews: PROBLEMS AND LEADERS IN THE CARIBBEAN FOR THE PURPOSE of this paper the Caribbean that we will be concerned with is that composed of the Antilles, both greater and lesser, and the three Guianas on the northeast coast of South America. Limited time and the lack of direct knowledge of the problems and leaders of the greater Caribbean, which includes Central America, Panama, Colombia, and Venezuela, have forced me to exclude these areas from my observations. Economic problems which plague the Caribbean have been passed over in order to give more attention to the political ones. Of course, these problems cannot be completely ignored since there is a relationship between politics and such phenomena as a growing percentage of unemployed as in Trinidad and Jamaica, the problems besetting the production of sugar as in Jamaica and Guyana, the problems brought about by an abnormal influx of foreign capital for industrial development and tourist programs as in Puerto Rico, and the adverse balance of payments which is putting strains on newly independent nations such as Trinidad. Finally, since this is primarily a political analysis, it would be wise to state in the beginning that although I am not so blindly committed to the principles of a democratic political system that I do not comprehend the dangers which this system entails and the sometimes impressive advantages of alternative political systems, I am nevertheless willing to make my position clear as backing these principles (free speech, the right to organize politically, free elections, respect for the rights of the minority, and so forth), 28 and my analysis will presume their acceptance, a presumption which may not be shared by the leaders in every country in the Caribbean. I After the Second World War, the break-up of the colonial em- pires has nowhere been carried out with such a peaceful transition as in the Caribbean. The decade of the fifties saw complete or nearly complete political autonomy, but not independence, given to the Netherlands Antilles, Surinam, the French Antilles, and Puerto Rico. In the sixties the former British colonies of Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, British Guiana, and Barbados achieved com- plete independence as members of the British Commonwealth of Nations. Finally, if we add the freedom found by the Dominican Republic after thirty years of terror and that new style of inde- pendence produced in Cuba by the Castro revolution, then the emerging peoples of the Caribbean present an attractive labora- tory for political scientists concerned with the problems of nation building.*1 Assuming-with the reservation indicated-that democracy is the goal of these newly independent people, what then are the politi- cal problems faced by their leaders and how are they going about solving them?2 The Caribbean, although freed from the legalistic bondage of imperial powers, has yet to free itself psychologically from the colonial past which hangs heavily over the political patterns now developing in the new countries. In some cases such as Martinique, Guadeloupe, and French Guiana, theoretically enjoying complete political freedom as integral parts of France, the control of the European power is all too real. The French Antilleans, beguiled for a few passing years by the deceiving doctrine of assimilation into the French political system, are now waking up to the fact that their status as overseas departments of France is only a euphemistic disguise which perpetuates the colonial control of previous centuries. The sentiment for autonomy (a status quite incompatible with the existing highly centralized French political system) is growing within the two islands which together have a population of over a half a million. Aimee Cesaire, now serving his eighth term as the mayor of Fort-de-France, since his famous break from the French Communist Party in 1956, has defended the autonomist point of view and has more recently been joined by Dr. Henri Bangou, newly elected mayor of Pointe-a-Pitre, *Notes to this chapter begin on p. 39. 29 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Guadeloupe, in opposition to the existing political relationship with France.3 In spite of the fact that these two political leaders com- mand the support of the majority of the citizens in the two largest cities of the French West Indies, the power and attraction of General deGaulle combined with the pride of being French is too strong to allow any overwhelming rejection of assimilation. The post-deGaulle period will undoubtedly produce a change in the political relationship between the Antilles and France, but prob- ably not in French Guyana where the population is so small that economic and administrative aid from France will be necessary for several decades to come. While the French areas may present an exceptional case, else- where the heritage of colonialism tends to warp the political development in a manner all out of proportion to the real or more meaningful problems being faced by the newly autonomous peo- ple. In Surinam, which is one of the three members of the tripartite Kingdom of the Netherlands (the other two being the Netherlands Antilles and Holland), Prime Minister Pengle would prefer to hide his government's inefficiency and corruption by an appeal for a revision of the Charter of the Kingdom to allow Surinam to apply to other nations for financial support for her development program.4 Holland, which has underwritten the impressive eco- nomic development of this small country, has been increasingly reluctant to close her eyes to the extravagance and waste which has come to characterize the government in power. By raising the comparatively irrelevant issue of colonialism, Pengle smothers the cries for reform and carries on a nationalistic political cam- paign which will undoubtedly see him returned to office as the outspoken defender of Surinamese interests. Thus disguised by means of a political subterfuge, the economic situation in Surinam will continue to deteriorate while the blame is erroneously placed on nonexistent interference from Holland. Unfortunately the only opposition party which could serve to clarify the issue is so strong- ly committed to independence that it is reluctant to emphasize its agreement with charges made by the Dutch government. Although less autonomous than Surinam, Puerto Rico's political picture is beclouded by the same problem. In spite of the success of the Popular Democratic Party in almost all phases of public life in Puerto Rico, except perhaps that particular way of life studied by Oscar Lewis,5 the political debate on the island has never been weaned away from the seemingly unending discus- sion of status. Certainly for the nationalistic elements of the political spectrum, Puerto Rico's limited autonomy leaves much to 30 be desired. Puerto Ricans are dying in Viet Nam in a war which even if it were subjected to a vote in Congress could not be voted on by representatives of the Puerto Rican people.6 Other sources of irritation include the inability to vote for the president,7 the restrictive shipping laws which hamper a freer participation in Caribbean trade by Puerto Rican producers, and the lack of rep- resentation in international organizations even though some of its smaller and less fortunate neighbors are full fledged members of the Organization of American States and the United Nations. These are only a few of the more frequently mentioned areas of possible change in the relationship with the United States. The question of status looms large in the political drama of the island. All issues from education to social welfare to industrial development are seen not in the light of their relationship to the welfare of the Puerto Rican but rather how they will further this or that particular status. Luis Mufioz Marin, the founder of the Popular Democratic Party and the architect of the present com- monwealth status, has achieved great success in devising a political relationship which allows a maximum degree of local political autonomy combined with a permanent and integrated economic relationship with the United States. He has failed, however, to lay to rest the ghost of colonialism, but more damaging is the fact that he has failed to secure any significant ardent defenders among the population for the Estado Libre Asociado. Too often it is looked upon as a half-way station which allows the island to prosper without the need for any final decision as to independence or statehood. As such it does not alienate either group and even the majority party itself is split into two recognizable factions each backing the commonwealth status but each reserving its final preference, be it independence or statehood. The coming year (1967) will see a plebiscite in Puerto Rico in which well over 50 per cent of the participants will vote for the commonwealth status. The remaining votes will be divided between independence and statehood, whose advocates have af- firmed their intentions of boycotting the plebiscite. This plebi- scite, far from settling the issue of status, will only serve to add fuel to the already hot fire of debate which keeps the island's political pot boiling. In these two cases, Surinam and Puerto Rico, the minor ties to greater powers are real but are exaggerated beyond the actual significance of their political importance. One final example of the heritage of colonialism might be drawn from one of the newly independent countries such as Trinidad or Guyana where the 31 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role political dialogue has yet to develop into the post-colonial stage. The issue of independence is still being debated in the legislature, or the party in power is being accused in the press of selling out to this or that foreign interest. The hard task of day-to-day governing, the solving of insatiable demand for employment, the raising of capital for the exploitation of natural resources, all of these responsibilities are somewhat less satisfying than the exciting and rewarding activity of teasing the imperial lion. Criticism tends to be personal rather than policy based, destructive rather than positive or constructive, chauvinistic or narrowly nationalistic rather than statesmanlike. For example, Guyana's free trade ar- rangement with Barbados and Antigua is more an anti-Trinidad maneuver than a positive effort for Caribbean cooperation. Trini- dad in turn flirts with the Windward Islands more to irritate Barbados or Guyana than to seek ways of mutual support and closer cooperation.8 The pangs of birth of a new nation evolving out of a colonial past are still being felt in some of the Caribbean countries and this has determined the tone and direction of the political debate to an abnormal degree thus delaying the identification of pressing issues around which normal political discussion would revolve. II The most potentially explosive problem which three of the new nations of the Caribbean face is the racial problem. The com- parative racial homogeneity of the Antilles contrasts markedly with the multi-racial heterogeneity of Trinidad and the Guianas, particularly Surinam and Guyana. The East Indians are in the majority in Guyana, which has been torn by racial violence in previous years, but in Trinidad the Negro has a tenuous hold on the majority position. In Surinam a third group, the Javanese, holds an enviable position of balance between the plurality of the Negro and a rapidly increasing East Indian minority. In the three countries the major political parties are divided along racial lines. This has not always been so. In Surinam, for example, there existed both a Catholic and a conservative party which were able to appeal for support from all racial blocs, al- though the Hindus and Moslems were naturally reluctant to vote for leaders of another religion. These two parties still exist and, although it is highly unlikely, could possibly recover their former positions of power. One small party, which has been referred to above as being in favor of immediate independence, does make 32 an intense effort to appeal to all racial groups in the name of Surinam nationalism. The radical posture of its founder and leader, the brilliant lawyer Edward Bruma, unfortunately prevents any considerable support from the more conservative East Indians and Javanese, but he does receive some votes from the Bush Negroes, the more sophisticated Creoles, and the young East Indian intel- lectuals who refuse to follow the dictates of their pandits. Racially divided Guyana would probably prefer to return to the early years of the decade of the fifties when its two outstand- ing political leaders, Mr. Forbes Burnham and Dr. Cheddi Jagan, were working together in a rather uneasy harmony. Too much vio- lence and racial hatred has been experienced by the people of Guyana to allow this to come about even if the leaders were willing to sacrifice their own ambitions. After about ten years of chaos under Dr. Cheddi Jagan, who was prevented from ruling by racial disturbances mostly stimulated by outside influences,9 by resulting intervention by British authorities, and by the lack of financial support necessary to carry out the most elementary re- sponsibilities, the opposition coalition formed by Forbes Burnham and the reactionary Peter d'Aguiar came into power. Racial dis- turbances have ceased, Great Britain has granted independence, and the United States which had allowed a mere $6 million dol- lars in loans over a ten-year period has now flooded the country with $225 million in authorized grants and loans in scarcely two and a half years.10 With all of this, Forbes Burnham has failed to crack the East Indian solidarity behind Dr. Cheddi Jagan. Dr. Jagan and his East Indian followers know that time is on their side. The East Indian majority, if free elections are to be held in 1967 or 1968, cannot be blocked from taking over the govern- ment no matter how much manipulation there is of the so-called proportional representation voting system implanted by the Brit- ish before their withdrawal. In an effort to bolster his dwindling support Burnham has decreed that all Guyanese, whether resi- dents or not, are eligible to vote in elections. Also the next two years will see efforts to secure immigrants spilling out of the over- populated islands of Barbados, St. Lucia, St. Vincent, and perhaps even Jamaica. There are those pessimists who argue that even these methods are not enough and the only thing which will prevent Dr. Jagan from taking over will be the suspension of the constitutional guarantees and the indefinite postponement of elec- tions. Trinidad's East Indians, who expect to be in the majority by 1970, have failed to produce a leader who could compete success- 33 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role fully with the erudite and dynamic Dr. Eric Williams. As the results of the recent elections clearly show," Dr. Williams and his People's National Movement have failed to win the support of the East Indian of the rural areas. As in Guyana the two races are gravitating into two political blocs. Splinter parties or small politi- cal groups formed around the personality of an important com- munity leader all fared badly in the election, leaving the reins of government in the hands of the Negro majority and the opposition in the hands of the leaders of the dominant East Indian party. Time and the natural increase of the East Indian over the Negro will eventually reverse the existing power structure. As yet Trini- dad has not seen the violence of Guyana but the slums of Port of Spain, while not as bad as West Kingston in Jamaica, are worse than any slum area in Guyana and will produce serious problems for a racially divided nation. The problem of a racially divided society can be aggravated by pressures caused by a growing population inadequately absorbed by slow economic growth. The solution to the problem lies in the creation of a feeling of nationhood which transcends racial or re- ligious loyalties or at least which manipulates such loyalties for the benefit of the country as a whole. When the Surinamese thinks of himself as a Surinamese and not Javanese, then these young nations will have solved one of their most pressing problems. Unfortunately, the politicians at this point seem to be more con- cerned with building up a racial base for their political power than with creating a united nation. III The problem of the passing of political power from one gener- ation to the next is being faced in Jamaica and Puerto Rico. The old leaders who battled the colonial system, whether British or American, in the decade of the thirties are being hard pressed by an impatient and younger group of politicians anxious to take over the party and government leadership. The Prime Minister of Jamaica, Sir Alexander Bustamante, is over 83 years of age, par- tially blind, and disabled by a stroke about two years ago. Mr. Norman Manley is a decade younger but still well beyond the normal retirement age. A number of able cabinet members of the present government in Jamaica are willing to take over the leadership of the Bustamante political machine, but as yet the struggle for power has not occurred because the "old man," as he is affectionately called, refuses to retire and because the opposi- 34 tion would strive to take advantage of any potential split in the Jamaica Labour Party. As yet there is no clear-cut heir to the power of Bustamante who undoubtedly will endeavor to select his own successor. The People's National Party is in a much worse position because it does not have the number of able second lieutenants in positions of responsibility gaining experience for the eventual day when the reins of government will be available to them.12 In Puerto Rico Luis Mufioz Marin has picked his successor, who has been governing the island with considerable ability since 1964. Roberto Sanchez Vilella is not a politician although he has tried very hard to secure popular support. The lesser leaders in the Popular Democratic Party have rallied behind another leader, Senator Luis Negr6n L6pez, whose experience of many years in elected office in the legislature is in contrast to the experience of Governor Sanchez in appointed positions of the executive branch of the government. The recent split (September, 1966) became so public and open that only the direct intervention of former governor, now Senator, Luis Mufioz Marin prevented the Popular Democratic Party from having a public row. The division is very real and will break out in 1968 when Governor Sanchez is ex- pected to seek reelection. As long as Luis Mufioz Marin continues to be active in the Puerto Rican political arena the party will not divide, but this form of forced unification between the conserva- tive and liberal factions of the party is temporary.13 The division indicates that the party has still to develop its program and prin- ciples beyond the dictates and influence of its founder. Until this is done, to talk of the Popular Democratic Party as an institutional party which will survive the passing of power from one generation of leaders to another is quite misleading. The same problem is faced by the opposition party, the State- hood Republican Party, whose leaders have been active in the party since the late 1920's. In this party such a suffocating hold has been exercised over the decision-making power that there are no leaders on hand to take over from the passing generation. Those able figures who are sympathetic to the party have been forced into the background or out of the party altogether by the arbitrary action of the autocratic leader, Senator Miguel Angel Garcia Mendez. Only the independence movement gives evidence of strong young leaders who unfortunately show no ability to accept party discipline. In fact the aspect of an independent Puerto Rico under the guidance of the current wave of leaders in the inde- 35 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role pendence movement is almost alarming and dismal. Just recently one leader of the minor independence groups, the Nationalist Party, challenged the leader of the Pro-Independence Movement to a duel in order to settle personal and party differences. The importance of the position of Fidel Castro in Cuba would seem to be another example of the same type of political prob- lem. The Cuban Revolution has been defined and carried out al- most single-handedly by the powerful charismatic personality of Castro.14 Still young and very much in control, only an unexpected and unfortunate event could remove Castro from his position of leadership; thus the problem of transmission of the position of power is not an urgent one in Cuba today. The Cuban revolution and all that it stands for to the thousands of enthusiastic support- ers would falter and fail should the centralizing figure of the leader disappear. If Castro can outwit his adversaries for another decade or two, then the revolution will have had time to implant solidly its principles and purpose on a whole generation who may be able to carry on its effectiveness beyond the limitation of the lives of its founders and current leaders. The Mexicans were able to do precisely this, but that revolution did not have the dubious bene- fit of one outstanding and all-powerful leader and did have the massive support which rarely needed the intellectual orientation provided by the doctrinaire dialecticians who currently seem to be in vogue in Cuba. Of all of the political leaders of the Caribbean the ones who are faced with the most impossible situations live on the island of Santo Domingo. Since the Haitian problem seems devoid of a possible15 solution, I will limit my observation to the Dominican Republic where President Joaquin Balaguer until recently had a degree of support for his highly untenable position in the nature of a democratically oriented and loyal opposition led by Juan Bosch. Now this is gone and Balaguer, a lonely man by choice and nature, faces an incredible set of circumstances, any one of which would be enough to defeat the most dedicated democrat. The heritage of Trujillo which can hardly be summed up in a page or paragraph16-the military machine which has no under- standing of, let alone interest in, political democracy; the utter absence of any technological or bureaucratic administrative staff;17 the chaotic influence of anarchistic elements pouring out of the misery of urban and rural slums; the corruption of a whole gener- ation of public officials; the bankruptcy of a deplorable educa- tion and public health program; the suffocating burden of almost a whole nation accustomed to living off of the benevolent hand- 36 outs of a paternalistic government-these are just some of the reasons why the task of governing the Dominican Republic would be next to impossible for a man dedicated to the democratic process. Rather than pick up each of these areas for further study, one particular point upon which there seems to be general agreement by most observers of the Dominican Republic is sufficient to sum- marize the impossible task before Joaquin Balaguer. Robert Crass- weller has expressed it in this fashion in his dramatic biography of Trujillo. In the Dominican Republic there is "the tendency to react more understandingly and tolerantly . to the very firm exercise of political power. During the Era of Trujillo many able men of the highest character believed simultaneously both that the regime was in many respects barbarous and that only with a strong hand could the country be governed."18 This basic lack of faith in democracy is prevalent in the minds of the most dedi- cated servants of the Dominican people. It may go a long way to explain why Juan Bosch felt that his continued presence in the country could only aggravate and complicate unnecessarily the task of the president, who perhaps for the good of the country should be free to act with force and decision. There are those who would applaud this as applied to the case of Balaguer in the Dominican Republic but would deplore its application to the ex- ample of Fidel Castro in Cuba which in reality is very much the same except that it is political power being exercised by the left instead of the right. To pursue this further would lead us to a more expansive topic which has been explored by more able minds elsewhere. I refer to the questions of the heritage of Hispanic culture and the role of the military in political life of the Latin American countries.19 IV Before terminating this brief account of problems and leaders in the Caribbean, I would mention one final problem: foreign inter- vention. Intervention can take many different forms, the most obvious being the direct military intervention in the Dominican Republic by the United States armed forces. Similarly interven- tion would also be the term to be applied to the missiles supplied to the Cubans by the Soviet Union, since it could hardly be conceived that this hardware would be under complete Cuban control. Also one would be inclined to look with a questioning eye at the immodest display of United States capital in the last 37 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role year in Guyana. Concern is being expressed by non-Jaganite Guy- anese20 over the willingness of the Burnham government to pros- titute itself and its principles for the American dollar. Not all foreign influence is from the colossus to the North. In Surinam Edward Bruma strongly feels that Dutch capital has deprived the Surinamese of complete exercise of their supposed autonomy. The weak cry of the opposition in Trinidad through the voice of C. L. R. James is against the tendency to allow the public debt to skyrocket while loans are secured-particularly in this case and that of Jamaica-from Canada. These are scattered examples, but to sharpen the problem at- tention should be focused on two cases: Cuba and Guyana. Both countries are plagued by the fact that they are used as pawns in the game of cold war power politics. In each case Jagan and Castro invite this problem by their understandable refusal to re- linquish their independence by getting caught up in the suffocat- ing embrace of the American market. Certainly Guyana under Jagan and Cuba under the current economic blockade have suf- fered severely for their posture of defiance. Neutrality within the Caribbean is apparently not a position al- lowed by the masterminds of our State and Military Departments. We seem to be unable to understand the lessons to be learned from our relations in this century with Mexico. We take the child- ish attitude that if you are not with us then you are obviously against us. Normal relations should be renewed with Cuba and Castro's problem would then become a much more difficult one of trying to outbid the pervading influence of American capitalism. As matters stand now we are contributing to an easing of the position of Castro, which is extremely difficult in an island unac- customed to austerity, by providing a scapegoat and explanation for the hardships the Cuban people are experiencing. In the case of Guyana we are even blinder still since our policy has failed up to this point to take advantage of the friendly elements within the East Indian racial groups. By punishing them for having chosen as their spokesman the charming and affable Dr. Jagan because he is an East Indian and not because he is a Marxist-Leninist, we have cut off our contact from a group whose eventual takeover of the government is inevitable. Again we have provided a political leader with a facile and for the most part false explanation for his inability to solve pressing administrative problems. The result is a confused picture which can be clarified only when foreign intervention ceases to be used as a political tool 38 both by the power intervening and the leader who has invited the intervention, even though such intervention may be of a nega- tive nature as in the case of Cuba and Guyana. V In summary, I have tried to pinpoint some of the more pressing political, as contrasted to economic, problems which are facing the current leaders of the island nations of the Caribbean. I have tried to use as my guideline those problems which must be solved in order to create a climate of political freedom and responsi- bility which will allow the development of a stable democratic political progress and tradition. The leader who successfully solves these problems will become a builder of nations. Many decades ago a young man admiringly wrote an apprecia- tion of the political genius of his father.21 He likened him to a sculptor who exercised his God-given power to mold the shapeless clay into a work of art. The leader was Luis Mufioz Rivera, one of the outstanding Puerto Rican patriots, who brought his people a long way toward nationhood. Leaders of today, including Luis Mufioz Marin, are in the process of creating new nations in the Caribbean out of personality-less colonial entities. The quality of their work of art will be judged by future generations. NOTES 1. Fred R. Van der Mehden, Politics of the Developing Nations (Englewood Cliffs, N. J.: Prentice Hall, 1964). 2. Lucien W. Pye, Politics, Personality and Nation Building: Burma's Search for Identity (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1962). Particularly helpful were Chapters 1-3. 3. T. Mathews et al., Politics and Economics in the Caribbean, Institute of Caribbean Studies, 1966. See the section on the politics of the French Antilles by Gerard Latortue. 4. Ibid., section on Surinam. 5. La Vida (New York: Macmillan Company, 1966). 6. San Juan Star of October 27, 1966, carried an article by an editorial staff writer protesting this injustice. 7. El Dia, October 26, 1966. See the statement of Luis Ferre, one of the two leaders of the Statehood Republican Party. 8. Sir Arthur Lewis, "The Agony of the Eight," The Advocate (Barbados: Commercial Printing, n.d. but probably 1965), pp. 36-38. 9. Peter Simms, Trouble in British Guiana (London: George Allen & Unwin, Ltd., 1966). 10. T. Mathews, "The Three Guianas," Current History (December, 1966). 11. See report on the November elections in the Caribbean Monthly Bulletin (December, 1966). 39 POLITICAL CAPACITY The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role 12. Spotlight, Vol. 27, No. 4 (April, 1966), 11. See the report of Sir Arthur Lewis' speech at the University of the West Indies on the occasion of the granting of honorary degrees to Dr. Eric Williams and Sir Alexander Busta- mante. 13. T. Mathews, "La Pr6xima Decada en la Politica Puertorriquefia," Re- vista de Ciencias Sociales, Vol. IX, No. 3 (September, 1965). This complete number is dedicated to an analysis of Puerto Rico's political picture. 14. Hugh Thomas, "Paradoxes of Castro's Cuba," New Statesman, LXXII, (August 26, 1966), 283-85. 15. Gerard Latortue, "Haiti, Its Problems and Future Prospects," Current History (December, 1966). 16. Franklin J. Franco, Republica Dominicana, Classes, Crisis y Com- mandos (Habana: Casa de Americas, 1966). 17. There are some notable exceptions to this broad statement. See the work being done by the Santiago-based Associaci6n para el Desarrollo: for example, Bernardo Vega, La Republica Dominicana ante el process de integraci6n eco- n6mica en Latinoamerica (Santo Domingo: Banco Central de la Republica Dominicana, 1966). 18. Trujillo: The Life and Times of a Caribbean Dictator (New York: Mac- millan Company, 1966), p. 350. 19. Lyle McAlister, "Recent Research and Writings on the Role of the Mili- tary in Latin America," Latin American Research Review, Vol. II, No. 1. 20. New World, No. 47 (Georgetown, Guyana, September 5, 1966), p. 6. 21. Luis Mufioz Marin, "Luis Mufioz Rivera-como artista" La Democracia (Noviembre 15, 1918), cited in Thomas Mathews, Luis Mufioz Marin, a Con- cise Biography (New York: American R. D. M. Corporation, 1967). 40 Part II ECONOMIC POTENTIAL 4 * Juan D. Sanchez: RESOURCES OF THE CARIBBEAN THE CARIBBEAN AREA for the purposes of this paper has been defined to include Mexico, Venezuela, and Colombia as well as Central America, Guyana, Surinam, French Guiana, and the Caribbean islands. Few generalizations can be made about so diverse a group of countries which includes Mexico and Puerto Rico, both of which are advancing rapidly into modern industrial economies, as well as tropical palm-sprinkled island paradises with natural air-conditioning provided by the trade winds. I shall confine this paper chiefly to the Spanish-speaking countries and Jamaica, Trinidad, and Guyana. I All the countries in the Caribbean area have certain basic re- sources. Perhaps the most important is manpower and youth. As we all know, this area has one of the highest birth rates in the world, and in much of the region some 60-70 per cent of the population is under 20 years of age. The Caribbean region is one of the world's great melting pots. Dutch and English, Spanish and Portuguese, Africans and Asians have all left their stamp on the native Indian way of life. The overall result is a pleasing political and cultural mixture. Experience has shown that, given the tools and the training, workers in these countries are quick to acquire the mechanical skills needed to run modern agricultural or industrial machinery. 43 The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role The experience of Mexico, for example, offers more than adequate evidence of this. In addition, as these countries approach economic maturity, the growing middle class is providing increasing num- bers of management and entrepreneurial personnel. In all of these countries, United States firms have gradually and successfully been replacing United States nationals with local personnel in managerial positions. The most recent available figures indicate that literacy rates in this area range from some 20 per cent in Haiti to about 85 per cent in Costa Rica, Guyana, and Puerto Rico. A major target of the Alliance for Progress is the improvement and expansion of educational facilities, and many of the countries with which we are concerned here today are making noteworthy strides in raising literacy rates. Vocational and professional schools are serving more and more people. In Venezuela alone, in 1957-58, there were only 608,000 students enrolled in public primary schools, 30,000 in public sec- ondary schools, and 17,000 in public technical schools. By 1965, these totals had increased to 1.2 million, 118,000, and 75,000 re- spectively. These countries lie in an area between the equator and 280 north-roughly comparable to the situation of African countries north of the Congo, or of southeast Asia. Middle America is a meeting ground of mountains and men. The rugged spines of the South American Andes and the North American Rockies make large sections uninhabitable. Except for Honduras and Cuba, many of these nations suffer from lack of cultivable plains. The mainland mountains lift the cities above the steamy coastal lowlands. Thus there is, for example, a year- round springlike temperature in Mexico City and San Jose. Volcanic eruptions like those in El Salvador have enriched the soil, which is ideal for growing crops of bananas, sugar cane, and so forth. Corn, now a universal staple, was originally cultivated in this area by the Indians; lima beans, peppers, and many other familiar food plants also had their beginnings here. This area is also rich in natural resources. Mexico alone, with less than 1.5 per cent of the world's population, produces 7.5 per cent of the world's antimony, over a quarter of world arsenic output, almost 15 per cent of the bismuth production, some 4.5 per cent of cotton and cottonseed, over 90 per cent of henequen, more than 15 per cent of silver, and 11 per cent of the world's sulphur output. Jamaica, Guyana, and Surinam produce each year over 40 per 44 cent of the world's bauxite; Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela account for almost 15 per cent of world petroleum output; the Caribbean region accounts for over a fifth of world coffee produc- tion. In addition, it is generally agreed that untold wealth in as yet undiscovered resources lies waiting to be discovered and de- veloped in the hinterlands of several of these countries, notably in Colombia, Venezuela, Mexico, and Central America. It was only in recent years that the mineral-rich Guyana region of Venezuela was opened up; it is now believed that the iron ore reserves there are sufficient to meet Venezuela's requirements for the next century. All of these resources are not only useful in the domestic econo- mies of the countries in which they are located, but they also offer to each of them the means with which to trade for other commodities not available locally-in particular for the machinery and equipment needed for building industrial economies and for modernizing agriculture production techniques. The fact that the Caribbean region contains all of these natural resources-and to those already mentioned must be added many other agricultural products, lumber, and fish-enables the countries in this area to trade needed raw materials with the United States and other industrial countries in exchange for the capital equip- ment required to build local industry and for many manufactures not yet produced locally. In 1965 Mexico alone supplied a third of United States imports of graphite, three-quarters of imports of fluorspar, a quarter of imports of barium, and two-thirds of imports of sulphur. The Caribbean region as a whole supplied half of United States sodi- um chloride imports, 22 per cent of iron ore and concentrates, practically all bauxite imports, 27 per cent of zinc ores, 38 per cent of crude petroleum, 77 per cent of naphtha, all jet-fuel im- ports, 85 per cent of other fuel-oil imports, and 42 per cent of coffee imports. This is a very impressive list. In return for these and other products from this area valued at $3.0 billion, the United States shipped some $2.9 billion worth of goods, chiefly machinery, transport equipment, and other manu- factured products. In addition to labor and raw materials, the third major need of any economy, whatever its stage of development, is capital. While it is generally agreed that large infusions of foreign capital have been and will be needed to accelerate the development of many of these countries, it is often forgotten that local capital is playing an increasing and in most countries a dominant role in the process. 45 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Of total investment in Mexico, for example, at least 90 per cent has come from domestic sources. While the percentage may not be that high in some of the other countries with which we are con- cerned, it is clear that considerably larger amounts of domestic resources are now going into capital formation than was the case even a half decade ago. In some countries these funds are being channeled, according to plan, into the segments of the economy where they are most needed through local development banks. In all of Central America, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and Venezuela, domestic investment has far exceeded the inflow of funds from foreign private and institutional sources in recent years; indeed, while there has been a consistent, though diminishing, net out- flow of foreign funds from Venezuela in the sixties owing to special circumstances, annual gross capital formation in that country has risen from $1.3 billion in 1960 to almost $1.5 billion at present. The figures appear to indicate that even in such relatively under- developed countries as Nicaragua, political and economic stability offer strong inducements to local as well as foreign investors. The attached tables give some indication of the funds that have been committed to the Caribbean area by some of the larger international institutions and by the United States Govern- ment. These funds constitute yet another resource upon which the various countries of the region can draw for education, hous- ing, improving agricultural techniques, road building, feasibility studies, industrial projects, and so forth. From the end of the war through June, 1965, all the countries in the area received some $1,730 million in the form of loans and grants from international organizations. An additional $3.4 billion has been made available by the United States through various aid programs, the Export- Import Bank, and so on. Of this, over $1.1 billion consisted of outright grants. II To develop their resources with maximum benefit to themselves, many of these countries whose local markets are too small to gain the advantages that come with large-scale industrial production are joining in larger groups. Thus Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela have joined with seven South American countries in the Latin American Free Trade As- sociation (LAFTA), and five Central American countries have banded together in a common market. Antigua, Barbados, and Guyana signed an agreement in December, 1965 looking toward 46 a Caribbean free trade area, and there has been talk of a larger trading association including many of the smaller Caribbean islands and Puerto Rico. Of these existing and projected arrangements, the Central American Common Market (CACM) has thus far been the most successful. Its members have removed tariffs on some 95 per cent of the items they trade among themselves. Indeed, although the remaining twenty-seven items include cotton, coffee, sugar, and tobacco on which it will be hardest to drop restrictions since they provide substantial revenues to the governments concerned, the substantial achievement of this group of nations is well worth noting. Intra-regional trade has increased more than fourfold since 1960. Other organs, of which the Central American Bank for Economic Integration is perhaps the most outstanding, have been established and are in business. The success of this region's inte- gration has been largely responsible for bringing in increasing amounts of foreign investment and expediting the development of an efficient industrial base in the area. Mexico, a member of LAFTA, has expressed more than passing interest in CACM and may some day provide the bridge to unifying that group with LAFTA in an overall Latin American regional association. In summary, the Caribbean Area has the human and economic resources for continued progress and should become increasingly important to the entire Western Hemisphere. 47 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL TABLE 1 GENERAL ECONOMIC STATISTICS (At constant prices) 1965 Arable Gross National Product Per cap. Literacy Population Area Land & Pasture 1965 % increases* GNP Rate (thousands) (thous. sq. mi.) (% of total) (mil. $) 1960-1965 (dollars) (%) Bahamas 136 4 1 Barbados 245 0.2 70 92 375 Bermuda 48 10 Honduras 106 9 26 250 Colombia 17,787 455 17 5,440 4.4 306 62 Costa Rica 1,433 23 20 593 3.9 414 85 Cuba 7,631 44 52 150e Dominican Republic 3,619 19 26 700 200 65 El Salvador 2,929 8 58 860 7.7 295 50 French Guiana 36 35 320e 75 Guadeloupe 316 1 40 450e Guatemala 4,438 42 19 1,410 6.2 315 30 Guyana 647 83 10 190 259 85 Haiti 4,660 11 31 73* 20 Honduras 2,284 44 38 504 4.8 220 50 Jamaica 1,773 4 45 873 3.8 490 80 Martinique 321 0.4 47 Mexico 42,689 758 48 19,416 5.9 455 72 Neth. Antilles 208e 0.4 6 900e Nicaragua 1,655 57 12 576 8.3 330 50 Panama 1,240 29 18 615 8.1 495 75 Puerto Rico 2,633 3 68 2,800 1,060 85 Surinam 330e 55 340* Trin. & Tob. 975 2 35 5.3 632* 80 Venezuela 8,722 352 21 5.2 833* 65 TOTAL 106,867 2,039.0 e-estimated *-1964 TABLE 2 PRODUCTION % of World Year Commodity World Caribbean Region Production 1965 Antimony m. t. 67,000 Mexico 5,000 7.5 1964 Arsenic m. t. 58,000 Mexico 15,000 26.0 1965 Bauxite mil. m. t. 35.75 Jamaica 8.4, Guyana 3, Surinam 4 43.1 1965 Bismuth mil. m. t. 3.5 Mexico 0.5 14.3 1965 Coffee mil. bags 63.4 Colombia 6.8, El Salvador 2.0, Mexico 1.9, Guatemala 1.8, Costa Rica 0.9, Venezuela 0.3 21.6 1965 Cotton mil. bales 52.2 Mexico 2.4 4.6 1965 Cottonseed mil. s. tons 25.2 Mexico 1.1 4.4 1964 Gold mil. fine oz. 46.1 Colombia 0.4, Nicaragua 0.2, Mexico 0.2 1.7 1965 Henequen mil. lbs. 362 Mexico 331, El Salvador 6 93.1 1965 Petroleum bil. barrels 11.0 Venezuela 1.3, Mexico 0.1, Colombia .07 14.0 1964 Silver mil. fine oz. 249.5 Mexico 41.94, Honduras 3.22 18.0 1965 Sulphur mil. n. t. 15 Mexico 1.7 11.3 TABLE 3 TOTAL TRADE, EXCLUDING CUBA (Millions of dollars) Exports (fob) 1962 1963 1964 1965 29 41 35 37 Barbados 463 446 548 539 Colombia 93 95 113 112 Costa Rica 172 174 179 123 Domin. Repub. 136 154 178 189 El Salvador 35 38 35 38 Guadeloupe 118 154 158 187 Guatemala 99 102 95 97 Guyana 42 41 40 36 Haiti 81 83 95 129 Honduras 182 202 218 213 Jamaica 34 36 29 40 Martinique 930 985 1,054 1,146 Mexico 688 658 630 603 Neth. Antilles 82 100 118 144 Nicaragua 48 59 71 78 Panama 810 855 936 Puerto Rico 42 46 48 57 Surinam 345 374 405 404 Trin. & Tobago 2,594 2,629 2,742 2,784 Venezuela 115 140 140 140e Others 7,138 7,412 7,867 Total Imports (cif) 1962 1963 1964 1965 52 58 64 67 540 506 586 454 113 124 139 178 148 184 221 106 125 152 191 201 57 69 79 85 136 171 202 229 74 69 87 104 46 39 41 36 80 95 102 122 223 226 282 295 57 74 79 92 1,143 1,240 1,493 1,560 872 841 784 746 97 111 137 161 171 192 195 219 1,124 1,202 1,477 55 58 81 96 353 377 426 472 1,096 950 1,269 1,289 340 350 380 370e 6,902 7,088 8,315 Source: International Monetary Fund, U. S. Department of Commerce. TABLE 4 UNITED STATES IMPORTS OF SELECTED ITEMS, 1965 (Millions of dollars) Commodity Total Caribbean Area % of Total Graphite 2.4 Mexico 0.8 33 Sodium chloride 4.0 Mexico 0.7, Bahamas 1.3 50 Fluorspar 20.0 Mexico 14.7 74 Barium 5.7 Mexico 1.5 26 Iron ore & cone. 444.0 Mexico 0.04, Colombia 0.1, Venezuela 97.9, Surinam 0.3 22 Bauxite 149.0 Jamaica 94, Surinam 29, others 25.5 99 Zinc ores 54.4 Mexico 11.6, others 2.9 27 Coffee, green 1,058.0 Mexico 64, Guatemala 50, El Salvador 40, Colombia 199, others 88 42 Crude oil 892.0 Venezuela 299, Colombia 36, Neth. Antilles 6 88 Naphtha 62.0 Trinidad 13, Neth. Antilles 17, Venezuela 18 77 Jet fuel 95.0 Trinidad 19, Neth. Antilles 47, Venezuela 28 100 Sulphur 27.0 Mexico 18 67 TABLE 5 GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (Millions of dollars) 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 Colombia 758 714 576 799 Costa Rica 72 62 69 75 Dominican Republic 67 57 71 64 80 El Salvador 73 63 64 74 Guatemala 103 109 108 140 Honduras 48 44 56 64 63 Mexico 1,856 1,928 1,984 2,240 2,928 3,048 Nicaragua 47 51 60 78 94 93 Panama 71 87 96 108 102 TOTAL OF ABOVE 3,095 3,052 3,084 3,642 Puerto Rico* 352 376 445 480 576 714 Venezuela 1,346 1,028 1,146 1,233 1,433 Jamaica 138 135 130 127 153 Trinidad 156 150 171 168 Source: Statistical Bulletin Monetary Fund. for Latin America, Vol. III, No. 1, International *Gross fixed domestic investment; fiscal years ending June 30. TABLE 6 UNITED STATES LOANS AND GRANTS IN THE CARIBBEAN AREA, EXCLUDING CUBA 1946-June 30, 1965 (Millions of dollars) AID and predecessor agencies $1,077 Social Progress Trust Fund 254 Food for Peace 356 Export-Import Bank 1-t loans 1,220 Other U. S. economic programs 286 TOTAL ECONOMIC 3,193 Military 231 TOTAL ECONOMIC & MILITARY 3,424 of which: Loans 2,316 Grants 1,108 TABLE 7 INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT LOANS AND CREDITS MADE AVAILABLE TO THE CARIBBEAN AREA May 1, 1947-June 30, 1966 (Millions of dollars) Loans Credits Colombia $ 430.6 $19.5 Costa Rica 47.7 5.5 El Salvador 50.3 8.0 Guatemala 18.2 Guyana 0.9 Haiti 2.6 0.3 Honduras 25.9 12.5 Jamaica 27.5 Mexico 625.3 - Nicaragua 35.7 3.0 Panama 18.0 Trin. & Tob. 23.5 Venezuela 232.3 Total $1,538.5 $48.8 Source: IBRD Annual Report 1965-66 TABLE 8 INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT EFFECTIVE LOANS TO THE CARIBBEAN AREA AS OF JUNE 30, 1966 (Millions of dollars) Colombia Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Haiti Honduras Jamaica Mexico Nicaragua Panama Venezuela $ 309.0 38.5 31.4 7.1 1.2 19.4 5.2 503.0 20.0 9.9 220.1 TOTAL $1,164.8 In addition, the following loans had been signed but were not yet effective: Colombia Jamaica Mexico TOTAL 41.7 22.0 19.0 $82.7 Source: BRD Annual Report, 1965-66 Effective loans are total commitments made available through mIRD less those which have matured, been can- celed, repaid, or sold off to other participants. TABLE 9 ASSISTANCE FROM SELECTED INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS TO THE CARIBBEAN AREA, EXCLUDING CUBA 1946-JUNE 30, 1965 (Millions of dollars) World Bank $1,265 International Finance Corporation 32 International Development Association 49 Inter-American Development Bank 278 U. N. Technical Assistance Programs 39 U. N. Special Fund 51 Eur. Devel. Fund of EEC 14* Total 1,728 *To Surinam. TABLE 10 NON-MONETARY SECTOR FOREIGN CAPITAL MOVEMENTS (Millions of dollars) 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 Colombia 26.1 -6.5 34.4 89.0 126.5 59.4 Costa Rica 5.4 3.8 24.9 31.4 16.3 70.8 Domin. Repub. -15.9 -26.4 18.9 49.6 22.9 9.6 El Salvador 8.1 11.6 10.4 20.1 30.6 28.5 Guatemala 22.8 9.2 12.3 32.8 36.9 Honduras -5.6 -7.2 5.3 15.9 10.7 9.9 Mexico 120.0 243.0 253.0 287.0 552.0 156.0. Nicaragua 4.0 -2.1 18.6 15.3 15.6 2.5 Panama 22.8 31.6 28.4 31.0 7.8 7.2 TOTAL OF ABOVE 187.7 257.0 406.2 556.2 819.3 Puerto Rico* 173.7 191.1 269.0 283.4 292.5 371.7 Venezuela -149.5 -424.9 -541.1 -353.1 -24.7 -48.0 Note: Includes private direct investment and other long-term capital (in- cluding loans to private sector from international institutions and U. S. Govern- ment agencies); private short-term capital; local and central government bonds issued and retired; loans received by local and central governments, and sub- scriptions to IBRD, IDA, and IABD. *Fiscal years end June 30. 5 * Carlos Sanz de Santamarfa: OPPORTUNITIES FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE CARIBBEAN BEFORE GOING into the specifics of "Opportunities for De- velopment," I should briefly summarize the purpose of the Alliance for Progress and of the Inter-American Committee on the Alliance for Progress (CIAP), its central coordinating mechanism.* I The Alliance was proposed by the late President Kennedy and was launched by the Inter-American Economic and Social Coun- cil (IA-ECOSOC) at Punta del Este, Uruguay, in August, 1961. The twenty nations who signed the Charter of Punta del Este com- mitted themselves to carry out a broad range of first priority tasks in the fields of economic and social development. I will not list them all in detail, but merely point out that the Charter calls for the expansion and diversification of agricultural and industrial production; sustained economic growth along with better distri- bution of income; reforms in outmoded tax, social security, land tenure, and other systems; action to prevent or eliminate inflation; action to expand and diversify exports in order to earn foreign exchange needed for the importation of development goods; ac- tion to improve health, housing, and education; and action to speed up regional economic integration. The essential point to remember is that the commitments of Punta del Este were com- mitments by governments to their own peoples as well as com- mitments between governments. *This paper was read by Paul Harrison, Inter-American Committee on the Alliance for Progress, Washington, D.C. 54 The Alliance was begun as a ten-year effort, estimated to re- quire an investment in economic and human development of about $100 billion, of which at least $80 billion would have to come from Latin America itself. The remainder was to come from official and private outside sources-international agencies such as the Inter- American Development Bank and the World Bank; agencies of the United States government such as the Agency for International Development (AID); government institutions of other industrially advanced countries; and the private investors of the industrialized capital-exporting nations. II The Punta del Este conference did not attempt to provide an executive body for the Alliance, and it soon became apparent that such a body was badly needed. The United States found itself in the position of principal decision-maker and the program took on the character of a United States aid program for Latin America when, in fact, it was meant to be a Latin American self-help effort with external aid as an important and catalytic, but still a minority element. Recognizing this problem, the IA-ECOSOC, holding its annual re- view of the Alliance in Sao Paulo, Brazil in 1963, voted to create CIAP as central executive body for hemispheric development. The Committee, which came into being in 1964, is made up of a full- time chairman who is always a Latin American and seven part- time members, one of whom is from the United States. The Committee's principal functions are to study the develop- ment efforts of the countries, to make estimates of their needs for external financing, and to recommend the allocation of the exter- nal financial resources available. Accordingly, in a manner some- what similar to the approach used by the European countries dur- ing the Marshall Plan, CIAP established the mechanism of an an- nual review of each country's development. In these reviews-we are now nearing the end of the third cycle-the international financing agencies and the chief United States government finan- cing agencies are present as active participants and representatives of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries as observers. This approach has enabled CIAP to bring to bear on Latin American development problems a wealth of talent in the fields of economic and social development. The first review was based on necessarily incomplete data-the countries were simply not able to compile up-to-date and compre- 55 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role hensive data of the kind required for searching analysis. But the second cycle was much improved over the first and third much improved over the second. So, always bearing in mind that econom- ic and social development is still far from being an exact science (even as an art it is still primitive in many aspects), CIAP reviews are beginning to give the individual countries and the external agencies a clearer panorama of opportunities for development. III Viewing the panorama we see that the creation of a multilateral coordinating body has helped development-so much so that in the recently approved Foreign Assistance Act the United States Congress decided that United States development loans under the Alliance should be in keeping with the findings and recommen- dations of CIAP in its country reviews. The Act also recognizes the value of channeling funds through multilateral financing agencies. Under the new Foreign Aid Appropriations Act, up to 10 per cent of the funds for development loans under the Alliance may be channeled through the Inter-American Development Bank or the World Bank. But multilateralizing action from the outside is not the only desirable thing we notice as we scan this panorama of develop- ment opportunities. One thing in particular has become clear: The most challenging and promising opportunity for development lies in strengthening and speeding up regional economic integration- multilateralizing on the inside. Individual Latin American coun- tries have made progress under the Alliance as a result of na- tional efforts in many fields-development planning, tax reform, infrastructural investment to name only a few-but they should be able to make more and speedier progress if, together, they take bolder action toward the creation of a common market. IV We already have rather impressive evidence in support of this thesis in the achievements of the Central American integration movement. But the opportunities for future development are at least as exciting as the achievements of the past few years. The OAS Panel of Experts recently completed an evaluation of the development plans of the Central American countries and made a synthesis of the individual evaluations in a single volume, which is available from the OAS secretariat in Washington. The 56 document, in Spanish, is entitled, "Informe sobre los Planes Nacio- nales de Desarrollo y el Progeso de Integraci6n Econ6mica en Centroamerica." I will not attempt in this brief exposition to summarize the development opportunities that can be inferred from this report. Let me merely say that there are some that depend to a certain extent on speeding the course of integration in the next few years and others that seem to offer good possibili- ties with the present stage of integration arrangements. Of the first type-those that depend on further steps toward integration-there are the opportunities in infrastructural develop- ment, especially in construction of the regional network of pri- mary highways which is bound to lead to further development of a secondary network. There are also the plans for industrial de- velopment on a regional scale. The implementation of these plans still requires political decisions, however. Of the second type-those that offer good possibilities not so dependent on further steps in integration-there are promising opportunities for production and processing of livestock, poultry, and certain types of fruits and vegetables, both for internal con- sumption and for export. Looking at the Central American region as a whole, the Panel of Experts said that the individual national plans seem to underestimate the potential for export of livestock, fruits, and vegetables and concluded that the production and export of meat could well be the objective of a special program either on a regional basis or on a national basis in Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Tourism is another industry that has a potential, not only in Central America and mainland areas bordering on the Caribbean, but also in some of the islands of the Caribbean that have limited land and natural resources for major agricultural and industrial development. Although CIAP is responsible only for studies of countries that are signatories to the Alliance Charter, we note the attainment of independence by Barbados and salute the people of this new nation. We also note with interest the decision of the United States, Canada, and Great Britain to establish a Regional Develop- ment Committee for the Eastern Caribbean. V The basic trend in the Inter-American System is toward regional economic integration, although there are some OAS members- for example, the Dominican Republic in the Caribbean area-who 57 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role have not yet joined either the Central American Common Market or the Latin American Free Trade Association. However, CIAP is already working to establish links between the regional entities and the non-member countries. And I believe that countries not now members of the Inter-American System, such as Jamaica and Trinidad-Tobago, may find it possible to cooperate more closely, if they wish, with the integration movements, whether or not they are members of the OAS. For example, Canada, while not a member of the OAS, is participating in the Alliance for Progress through the Inter-American Development Bank. The other countries of the Caribbean-Venezuela, Colombia, and Mexico-are large countries with great development efforts already under way and still greater development opportunities before them. From CIAP'S studies of Venezuela, it appears that this country has an opportunity to do what few developing coun- tries can do, that is, adopt an industrial development strategy that bypasses the conventional import substitution phase and goes di- rectly to the development of internationally competitive, capital intensive enterprises in such fields as petrochemicals, metallurgy, machinery, and metalworking. Mexico has already developed a wide range of products for the export market and is intensifying its export efforts. Wherever you look in the Caribbean there are opportunities for development. The question is, which are the most needed from the point of view of the peoples of these countries? What opportunities can best serve human freedom and welfare? For let us not forget, the Alliance for Progress is for man. Its aim is not just development but democratic development and the build- ing of freer and greater civilizations. 58 6 * Matio Mory: EDUCATION AND DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN THE CARIBBEAN A FEW YEARS AGO, when the Central American Common Market was starting to show very promising results, the Com- mittee for Economic Development (CED) decided to sponsor a study of the region's economic potential. For this purpose mem- bers of the staff made an extensive survey and collected infor- mation dealing primarily with industrial and financial problems of Central America.* The findings were included in a basic docu- ment with some tentative proposals intended to accelerate the economic development of the area. To consider these recom- mendations, several meetings were held over a period of two years with the participation of high-ranking United States busi- nessmen and their Central American counterparts-an assemblage of practical men, with one group genuinely interested in develop- ing new investment opportunities and the other eager to attract foreign capital to bolster the incipient development of their coun- tries. High hopes soon gave way to frustration as the participants seemed unable to come up with satisfactory solutions. Finally they realized that the area's inadequate supply of entrepreneurs, competent managers, and skilled workmen would defeat any at- tempt toward accelerated development. As a consequence, the problem of education which originally had been neglected became a pervasive subject throughout the concluding stages of the dis- cussion. *For additional information regarding references, see p. 69. 59 The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role I. The Role of Education in Development When the final statement was published late in 1964, education was given first billing, and the basic recommendation urged "edu- cational improvements that will promote growth and enable more people to participate in the growth process." John Kenneth Galbraith, who has been deeply involved with development economics, had reached a similar conclusion and ably expounded it in a series of lectures that were later compiled in book form under the title Economic Development. Here, and also in an article published in Foreign Affairs, he again makes the point that education abetted by orderly government is the basic element in economic development, and hence must be given priority over railways, dams, machine tools, or other tangible goods. Another example of the greater importance that is being award- ed to education may be found in the Charter of Punta del Este. In this document, which represents the consensus of Latin Amer- ican economic and political leaders, development of human re- sources is given a conspicuous place among the goals of the Alliance for Progress. This increasing regard for education grew out of the European economic recovery postwar experience. When hostilities ended in 1945 it seemed that rebuilding Europe to its prewar capacity would be a matter of many decades. To everyone's amazement an industrial Phoenix literally rose from its ashes, proving beyond a doubt that tangible goods constitute just the trappings, while skills and know-how are the very sinews of a country's economic framework. Without this extraordinary opportunity to study de- velopment in a veritable economic laboratory, we might still be groping for an answer to the development riddle. Now all the pieces seem to have fallen into place. For instance, the outstanding growth of a country such as the United States can be traced back to an early fulfillment of the educational requirements. The bulk of its population is directly descendent from Europeans who crossed the Atlantic in search of new oppor- tunities and a better way of life. Those immigrants generally had a high regard for education as well as liberty and were invariably possessed with the spirit of adventure and the will to conquer the unknown. In escaping from a wretched existence in a semifeudal environment, they always risked a perilous passage, an uncertain future, or both. Every new settler coming into the coun- try was a proven entrepreneur, which accounts for the highly selective makeup of today's American society. 60 There is one prominent case in economic history where the educational requirements were satisfied not by a sequence of for- tuitous events but rather as a result of deliberate action. This is precisely how Japan, a nation without any natural resources to speak of, in less than 50 years moved spectacularly from a poor and backward condition into an enviable place among the great industrial powers of the world. Here again the postwar experience has shown that once people are in possession of skills and know- how, full industrial power may be attained in a relatively short period of time. As the evidence is re-examined in the light of new experiences, the trend in the literature is to favor education as the basic tool of development. In practice, however, this holds true to a lesser degree. There is an understandable tendency among economic planners to favor programs concerned with the accumulation of tangible goods because these are more easily subject to measure- ment and may be neatly fitted into complicated mathematical formulas. Harassed government officials also lean heavily on the tangible-goods approach as an expedient to quell the clamor for government leadership in development. Even when governments are honest enough to resist this kind of political pressure and approach the problem of allocating funds from a viewpoint other than personal aggrandizement, one ques- tion still looms formidably: What kind of educational programs should be chosen from the myriad alternatives available to a national planning board? II. Education as a Factor of Production In a broad sense, education is the acquisition of knowledge not only by formal means but also through experience. When the effort of transmitting knowledge is unsuccessful because the re- cipient is incapable or unwilling to absorb new concepts, the process could hardly be called education; in fact, under these cir- cumstances, the net result will be a waste of resources. Therefore, the amount of funds spent under the label of education is not necessarily a measure of the changes that are taking place in the cultural level of a given nation. These efforts must be effective and produce the desired results-acquisition and retention of knowledge-in order to qualify as an educational process. When viewed from a strictly economic standpoint, education is regarded either as a capital investment, a consumer. service, or a combination of both. It is considered a capital investment when 61 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role it develops skills and know-how, thereby contributing as a factor of production; conversely, it takes on the nature of a consumer service when the purpose is mere enjoyment or cultural refine- ment. Knowledge itself is not subject to this classification because its final usefulness is not dictated by content alone but in con- junction with the circumstances under which it is absorbed. While the study of history may help a highly placed government official to guide the destinies of his country, time spent on the same subject by a punch press operator will not have any bearing what- soever on his productive occupation. The relationship of content and circumstance in regard to the end purpose of education is perhaps the crux of the economic development question. There is no disputing the advantages of a liberal education insofar as it develops reason and judgment. Indeed, diffusion of general knowledge provides an ideal climate for freedom and democracy. However, as long as the great majority of the popu- lation lives in abject poverty and is unable to perceive abstract concepts, the choice must be narrowed down to education as a factor of production. This was the consensus among the parti- cipants of the Fourth International Manpower Seminar held in 1964 who felt that "in developing countries, education should be regarded more as an element of production than as a product for consumption." If public funds earmarked for education are used effectively with a view to increasing the national wealth of useful skills and know-how, the productive capacity of a country will automatically increase, and self-sustaining growth will be reached sooner than if a different criterion were to be applied. A primary education in itself is worthless to the typical child in the rural area of a developing country. The knowledge at his disposal will be forgotten a few years after leaving school, either by the action or inaction of his environment; yet the records will show that the funds spent on such programs have gone for educa- tion. At the other end of the spectrum there is, for example, the building of a modest country road that will bring small villages in contact with civilization. The extension agent, the fertilizer sales- man, the public health worker and the political candidate-all very enterprising or dedicated people-will balk at the prospect of an eight-hour horseback ride. But with reasonable communications their useful messages will not miss reaching the isolated villages allowing the peasants an insight into a new way of life. In other words, a project which is not generally thought of as related to education may significantly enrich the country's aggregate wealth 62 of knowledge and thus contribute to raising its national economic potential. Unhappily, governments are prone to evaluate programs purely from a tangible-goods standpoint, completely disregarding the hu- man element involved. For instance, the effectiveness of a new highway will be established in terms of the estimated marketable production as computed from the area of the heretofore inacces- sible region. Roads into arid, heavily populated but forgotten areas are left unbuilt in favor of imposing highways leading into potentially rich, unexploited territory. But as a result of fear and ignorance, people will not migrate as expected from the poor congested lands into the new havens. More often than not, when choosing from several alternatives, the educational content of a program is not taken into account as a criterion for selection. All government programs, in greater or lesser degree, have an inherent educational content. Legislation designed to protect in- fant industry or subsidy programs promoting crop diversification are obvious examples. Though sometimes criticized for stimulating the inefficient use of capital, the fact is that these programs with built-in incentives promote new economic activity by infusing the meek and timid with daring entrepreneurial spirit, thus creating new opportunities for development of skills and know-how. This type of knowledge, as the European economic recovery has shown, is priceless. And how else are people in the emerging countries to acquire these skills and know-how unless they learn by doing? People must be confronted with service and production problems if they are ever to master the new technology. If this means stim- ulating and protecting what may initially appear as inefficient enterprises, the price must be paid. It should be remembered that the most important element in development is the acquisition of useful knowledge: in possession of this tool, tangible goods are expendable. Funds spent in education-oriented programs are to be consid- ered investments not in a metaphorical sense but rather on an equivalent plane with tangible capital goods. Skills and know-how constitute wealth that may be resorted to, as with machinery, in order to produce goods and services more efficiently. Naturally, to justify the label of education-oriented, programs must meet the requirement that knowledge is not only acquired but also retained and available for repeated use. An educational program is not a good investment when the knowledge that is transmitted becomes lost through disuse. Indeed, one does not install an expensive lathe without regard to its ultimate purpose; yet this is often the 63 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role case with poorly designed educational programs. Utopian visions of a cultured society where everyone has the opportunity to enjoy a liberal education have induced leaders in underdeveloped coun- tries to devise wholly ineffective curricula in detriment of a more practical utilization of traditionally scarce resources. Instead of approaching the ideal society, this policy only contributes to re- tarding its evolvement. III. Toward Education-oriented Planning Because education taken in the sense of a production factor constitutes a veritable investment, programs that effectively pro- mote it must be studied and selected accordingly. The same criteria used by planners in passing judgement on the intrinsic value of tangible goods must be applied to the educational con- tent of a given program. Planning is a tool used by business as well as government in trying to maximize the return on capital investment. In business the theoretical optimum is determined by comparing the present value of future profits expected from alternative expenditures, while in government the maximization attempt is focused on the expected increase in national income. Previous discussion has shown that national income is directly proportional to the aggre- gate wealth of useful skills and know-how possessed by the bulk of the population; hence the criteria that planners must use in selecting from the available alternatives should be based princi- pally on the educational content of every program under consider- ation. In other words, the long-term objective of government planning should be to maximize the growth of useful knowledge at the disposal of the population in order to obtain a concomitant increase of economic potential. To be education-conscious in planning does not mean that all efforts should be directed towards building schools and training teachers. Many programs seemingly unrelated to education con- tribute more to this end than attempts to give backward people a liberal education. In this light, planning provides an exciting op- portunity to match mutually supporting programs that properly coordinated will bring about the maximum educational yield pos- sible for a given investment. When an industrial plant is to be erected, the investor must make sure that raw materials are either available in the vicinity or may be brought in at reasonable cost; that managers and laborers are found willing to work on the site; that the cost of 64 shipping finished products to the marketplace leaves margin for a competitive selling price; and that working capital is available to provide interim financing for the production process. When these four basic conditions are satisfied, other minor obstacles are usual- ly surmounted and in all probability such an investment will pro- duce reasonable returns. But when any one of these conditions is partially unfulfilled, the yield on the investment will surely be less than optimal. Moreover, if one of the conditions is sufficiently unsatisfied, the plant will grind to a halt and the result of the investment will be a net loss. Similarly, when any one of the necessary supporting elements in a development plan is missing, the investment represented by the programs that are put into effect will not be fully effective. Consider, for instance, a government program designed to pro- vide credit for the small farmer in the hope of thus helping to increase his production and therefore his income. Left unsup- ported such a program will founder, and the funds used in the process will not only fail to produce the desired increase in na- tional income, but in all probability will be totally lost. Instead of increasing the assets of a country the net result, then, will be a negative entry in the national accounts. To succeed, a credit program for the small farmer must be accompanied, in the first place, by an adequate extension service meant to improve the skills and know-how at his disposal. Second, communications and storage facilities must be improved-and subsidies provided when deemed necessary-so that crops may be marketed advantageously. Further, to insure against breakdown of these basic investments, additional programs must be implemented covering adult literacy and health. It should become self-evident that as each comple- mentary program is added, the value of the other programs is more and more enhanced, and their collective chances for success increasingly assured. Interestingly enough, under such circumstances a development plan will also indirectly boost the value of strictly educational programs, since children in the area will be able to retain a greater portion of primary education than is usual. They now return to an environment charged with motivation where their newly ac- quired knowledge is bound to be of some use. The total educational content of an integral development plan is always greater than the aggregate educational value of the in- dividual programs composing it. As the environment is changed by inducement and design providing added opportunities for the profitable use of knowledge, the retention process will be more 65 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role pronounced and the wealth of skills and know-how will be shown to have increased accordingly. IV. Advantages of Regional Development Plans Regrettably, emerging countries lack the necessary resources to promote development integrally in one great effort. A widespread plan of integrated programs would require more financing than the borrowing capacity of a country in these circumstances will permit; and even if foreign resources were unlimitedly available, there would not be enough qualified government officials to im- plement such a plan satisfactorily. Surprisingly enough, as a rule, governments attempt precisely such an impossible objective caus- ing public funds to be spread thinly and ineffectively across the country. A farmer who has a large plot and only a small amount of seed will be able to produce more efficiently if he concentrates all his planting to one single patch of land-where the soil is richest -than by scattering his limited resources all about the property. By taking advantage of the most logical alternative he will be able to maximize his production and improve his chances of increasing the cultivated area in subsequent seasons. This simple, basic technique is the underlying principle in regional develop- ment. Development plans, to be helpful, should be circumscribed to a limited area that will allow execution of adequately integrated programs comfortably within the bounds of the nation's financial capacity. Such a course is not always an easy one to follow. Governments have political commitments to uphold and feel compelled to dis- tribute expenditures piecemeal as pressure from different areas is felt. Consequently, programs are forever being launched but sel- dom carried through successfully for lack of sustained financing or adequate supporting programs. Credit to the small farmer is given in one area; literacy is intensified in another; communications are improved in still another; and thus the favorable, complementary action of mutually supporting programs is pitifully lost. Regional development takes its lead from the currently accepted economic development theory, with the difference that take-off is viewed from the standpoint of a circumscribed region instead of the country as a whole. Concentrating a great portion of the public expenditure in the selected area provides a good substitute for one of the important pre-conditions in take-off-namely, a sud- 66 den surge in available resources historically derived from the dis- covery of minerals, the increase in the price of an important ex- port commodity, or as in more recent cases, by the intelligent promotion of tourism. The area subject to this concentrated governmental investment is bound to prosper and eventually achieve self-sustained growth. When this objective is reached, the plan should be shifted to a new region until, by repeated use of the process, the whole population has crossed the threshold of prosperity and is able to enjoy an era of gradual but ever increasing improvement. Undoubtedly this is a painstaking process that requires time, patience, and perseverance. But this should not be a deterrent. The last few decades have shown that there is no shortcut leading to development; rather, dramatic schemes that are periodically brought forth with the purpose of achieving instant, widespread development have only resulted in the chronic loss of scarce in- vestment capital. It seems more sensible to draw up a ten-year regional plan that practically insures development in a fraction of the territory, than to try unrealistically to achieve widespread improvement by means of a broad development plan. At least this would be the case with the rural primary educa- tion program in Guatemala. Schools have been built sparsely throughout the country, all being subject to control by the Minis- try of Education through zonal supervisors. By means of this net- work the Guatemalan children are expected to learn how to read and write, but, lamentably, this is not the case. Take the example of a small village located on an all-weather road only two hours away from Guatemala City: the teacher of a one-classroom school makes an appearance only two or three days a week and some- times is absent for a month at a time; supervision by the Ministry has been rare and ineffectual; consequently, in the eight years since the school has been operating not one single child has learned how to read or write, in spite of the fact that the villagers are truly desirous for their children to acquire a basic education. Unquestionably the Guatemalan government will be able to com- bat ignorance more effectively by regrouping its efforts and cir- cumscribing the attack to a more limited area. Special care must be exercised in choosing the region that will benefit from this concentrated investment. The less backward areas should be given preference simply because they will be able to attain sustained growth sooner than the more backward regions. However crude it may sound, the more undeveloped a region, the less likely it is to regress upon being forsaken. On the con- 67 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role trary, as the economic and cultural levels rise in the selected regions, the outlying areas will benefit from spillover effects. Ob- viously the process will be less strenuous if managed in this fashion rather than by attempting to develop first the more back- ward areas. In other words, when applying the regional development tech- nique, the selected area receiving the benefit of concentrated in- vestment will necessarily represent a relatively small part of the nation. Since this is unavoidable, the other regions in the country will simply have to wait their turn. However, the damage inflicted is insignificant since the programs to be de-emphasized in these forsaken regions are usually unsupported and therefore worthless for all practical purposes. There is very little difference between a weak development plan and no plan at all. On the other hand, the regions subjected to intensive investment will thrive and become, in time, stepping-stones in the development of the remaining territory. The vicious cycle of poverty and ignorance cannot be broken by half measures. Instead, vigorous action is required in attempting to establish a self-sustained development process. Only when a suffi- ciently large amount of resources is coordinatedly channeled into a circumscribed region will economic activity be stimulated enough to provide opportunities for private investment, thereby creating a propitious climate for the development of skills and know-how. V. Conclusions Education is being recognized more and more as the crucial factor in the economic development of emerging nations. To avoid paying lip service alone to this concept, the educational contents of all government programs must serve as criteria in assigning priorities in the process of preparing a national development plan. This educational content must be measured against the amount of useful knowledge that may be acquired and retained by the population for repeated use in the efficient production of goods and services. When mutually complementing programs are simultaneously put into effect, their educational contents are considerably boosted. The collective benefits obtained in this manner far exceed the results that could be derived from an equivalent investment through isolated, unsupported programs. However, an integral de- velopment plan can only be applied on a modest scale within a 68 given region because, for lack of resources, a developing nation is unable to use such a technique throughout the country. By discriminating in favor of the selected region, little or no damage is inflicted upon other areas since unsupported, haphaz- ard programs thinly spread across the country have little or no educational value from a long-run point of view. On the other hand, the concentrated effort in a given region is bound to bring about, within a reasonable time, self-sustained development; when this occurs, resources will be released for application in subsequent regions until this priming effect is achieved throughout the country. REFERENCES Committee for Economic Development. Economic Development of Central America. A statement on national policy by the Research and Policy Com- mittee of the CED. November, 1964, p. 32. Galbraith, J. K. Economic Development. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1964. "A Positive Approach to Economic Aid," Foreign Afairs, April, 1961, p. 444. Lockwood, W. W. The Economic Development of Japan. Princeton, N. J.: Princeton University Press, 1964, pp. 510-12. Agency for International Development. Proceedings of Fourth International Manpower Seminar, 1964, VIII, 56-58. 69 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL 7 Rafael A. Ziifiiga: INTEGRATION, THE INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK, AND THE CARIBBEAN THE CONCEPT of integration is not new, although in recent years it has taken on economic connotations which it formerly lacked. As feudalism collapsed, the formation of the European states on the basis of geographic, ethnic, or religious criteria (Spain, Germany, England, France) was the result of integration move- ments. The ideals of Bolivar in South America and the establish- ment of the Union in North America were also manifestations of integration. Perhaps the first attempt to find a multilateral solution to development problems could be traced to the first Economic Conference of the Rio de la Plata countries in 1941 and to the Charter of Quito of 1948 which aimed at the integration of the former members of Greater Colombia (Colombia, Ecuador, Pan- ama, and Venezuela) into a customs union. I. Integration and the Inter-American Development Bank In a recent speech the President of the Inter-American Develop- ment Bank (DB), Dr. Felipe Herrera, said, "It is well to keep in mind that the United States was the first integrated geo-economic area in the world." The tremendous strength of the United States at the present time is undoubtedly attributable in part to the country's unity, which is simply integration. In the Caribbean area, Central America is a special case. After attaining its inde- pendence as a united Country (the Central American Federation), it was unable at first to resist the tendencies toward separation 70 and was divided into five small republics, as proud of their in- dividuality as they were poor in their economy and weak in de- velopment. Fortunately, now that this narrowly nationalistic phase has been left behind, Central America offers a model of integra- tion for the Americas and perhaps for the entire world. Integration, increasingly based on economic criteria transcend- ing mere geographic considerations, is a dynamic process which assumes diverse forms and proceeds through different stages. Be- ginning with bilateral or multilateral agreements to lower and eventually eliminate customs barriers, it proceeds to the establish- ment of free trade associations or customs unions within the Caribbean area. Central America has completed this stage by creating a common market, and is advancing rapidly toward an economic union and the final goal of complete economic integra- tion. In doing so, it progresses from the purely economic fields of activity to those of a political nature. The Americas witnessed a far-reaching development when four of the most outstanding leaders of the Pan American System pro- posed the establishment of a "Latin American Common Market," defined by the authors of the proposal as "a form of association in which a group of countries join together to take concerted ac- tion toward common objectives of economic development and social welfare." This common objective implies unanimously ac- cepted lines of action in matters of commercial policy, orienta- tion of investment policy, coordination of monetary, fiscal and social policies, and in the fields of transportation and agriculture. II. Regional Integration Associations The Latin American Free Trade Association.-In 1961, with the signing of the Treaty of Montevideo, the Latin American Free Trade Association (LAFTA) was brought into being. The goal of LAFTA is to gradually eliminate, beginning on June 1, 1961 and over a period of not more than 12 years, the duties and restrictions on the importation of products from the member countries, even- tually achieving an area of completely free trade. LAFTA has ten member countries at the present time: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Paraguay, Peru, Uru- guay, and Venezuela which became the most recent member in September, 1966. Bolivia, which has yet to join any system, can probably be expected to become a member of LAFTA eventually. The Treaty of Montevideo does not make specific provision for the establishment of a common external tariff, but neither does it 71 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role prohibit such action. It establishes a Secretariat and a Permanent Committee, but it provides no regional financial organization. LAFTA'S ten member countries account for 88 per cent of Latin America's population and over 90 per cent of its gross product. Intra-zonal trade has made substantial progress, having increased almost two-fold in absolute terms in five years. From 7 per cent of the total external trade of the region in 1961, it rose to more than 11 per cent in 1965 (over $1.4 billion, United States). Actions taken by the Conference of Foreign Ministers of the mem- ber countries at the end of 1965 warrant the expectation of sub- stantial policy commitments and new institutional arrangements in the near future. The Central American Common Market.-As mentioned before, Central America, which emerged as a federation of five states upon achieving its independence from Spain in 1821, turned to political individualism fifteen years later; the passage of approxi- mately 115 years was required for the area to awake from its separatist lethargy and recognize the benefits of integration. After a long history of efforts it was not until 1950 that Central Ameri- can integration began to take shape. The Central American School of Public Administration (ESA- PAC) established in Costa Rica in 1954, the Central American Institute of Industrial Research and Technology (ICAITI) founded in Guatemala in 1955, and the Central American University Council (CsUCA) inaugurated in 1948, were practical steps toward regional integration in special fields and helped to spread the doctrine of integration throughout the Isthmus. While the decisions establishing these institutions were highly important, they lacked the general scope that was finally achieved in the multilateral Treaty of Free Trade signed in 1958, and the General Treaty of Economic Integration signed in 1960, with Costa Rica adhering two years later. Under the latter treaty, the signatory countries agreed to establish a free trade area and, within five years at most, a common external tariff. The members of the Central American Common Market are the five republics that formed the original federation: Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Costa Rica. Panama has not joined the Common Market, but there are indications that it may do so in the near future. In June of this year, Panama became a member of several subsidiary agencies of the Organization of Cen- tral American States. One of the paragraphs in the preamble to the Membership Protocol establishes that "for geographic, historical and political reasons, the Republic of Panama should be part of 72 the Central American community." The Central American inte- gration treaties provide for a common external tariff and for various institutions to carry out their provisions, including the Central American Economic Council and the Permanent Secre- tariat of the Treaty of Integration (SIECA). There has been remark- able progress in freeing intra-regional trade for nearly 98 per cent of the items listed in the Central American Uniform Customs Nomenclature and in adopting a common external tariff, which also covers 98 per cent of these items. Extraordinary progress has been made in the industrial field. Five instruments have been created: (1) the system of integrated industries; (2) the Central American agreement on fiscal in- centives to industrial development; (3) the protocol on assembly industries; (4) the special system for the promotion of productive activities; and (5) the Central American Bank for Economic Integration (CABEI). This Bank, created in 1961, has done com- mendable work, and with the establishment last year of the Cen- tral American Fund for Economic Integration under its admin- istration, is now able to make a further contribution toward build- ing the necessary infrastructure to accelerate the integration of the five countries. As a result of efforts to coordinate public investment, there are now a regional road plan, a program for telecommunications, and several electrical interconnection projects under consideration. III. The Inter-American Development Bank The Inter-American Development Bank was established in 1959 and began its operations in February, 1961. This was the cul- mination of a long-felt Pan American aspiration. Under its charter agreement, the principal function of the Bank is to provide tech- nical and financial assistance to its member countries in their efforts to achieve economic and social development. The Inter- American Development Bank emerged to foster the individual and collective growth of the independent Latin American coun- tries and became the chief multilateral instrument for channeling financial and technical resources for this purpose. The Alliance for Progress, whose basic principles were set forth in the Charter of Punta del Este, defined the multilateral responsibility of national and regional development on the hemispheric level, emphasizing the need for accelerated social change. The Charter of Alta Gracia defined the bases on which Latin America was willing to cooperate in the achievement of a more harmonious world trade system. 73 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role Development is a lengthy process involving interdependent re- lationships between the participating countries, which makes it es- sential to organize those relations in such a way as to obtain the greatest benefits for all concerned. This process leads inexorably to integration, and thus it was that the Inter-American Develop- ment Bank inevitably became the "Bank for Integration." Within the general context of promoting development, the Bank has en- couraged those projects which favor integration, providing tech- nical and financial assistance to institutions that study this move- ment and devoting special interest to projects with integrational characteristics. In this connection, special mention should be made of the assistance furnished to the Central American Bank for Economic Integration, the establishment of the Institute for Latin American Integration, and the Fund for Latin American Inte- gration. As of October 31 of this year the Bank has granted 368 loans totaling $1,753,398,000 to its Latin American member coun- tries, of which the Caribbean area, as conceived by this confer- ence, had received 164 loans for a total of $888 thousand millions United States, representing more than one half of the total. Table 1 shows the breakdown of the loans according to fields of activity financed. The percentage of total operations granted by the Bank to the Caribbean Area evidences the importance of this region within the hemisphere. TABLE 1 (In thousands of dollars) Total Caribbean Area No. Amount No. Amount Agriculture 74 387,682 38 189,214 Industry and Mining 86 384,309 33 112,439 Electric Power 20 153,981 7 28,633 Transportation 14 151,120 8 96,380 Water and Sewerage 58 301,354 28 112,346 Housing 37 261,878 20 127,750 Education 32 54,890 11 16,925 Financing of Exports 6 15,770 2 6,202 Preinvestment 41 42,414 16 18,490 Total 368 1,753,398 164 888,379 IV. Aspects of Integration Despite the fact that integration is a single movement, in its practical application it involves a number of specific activities with distinctive characteristics. 74 In the financial aspect, it was precisely in a Caribbean country, Jamaica, that a highly important event occurred in April of this year: the governors of the Latin American central banks signed the Declaration of Jamaica, which refers to a reform of the inter- national monetary system. Far-reaching in scope, and symbolic because of the place where it was signed, the Declaration of Jamaica is a new and important instrument for monetary under- standing among the people of the Americas. The process of finan- cial integration must be parallel with integration in other fields, seeking an adequate balance among its many manifestations. In this meeting, to the great satisfaction of the central banks, a study was begun to analyze the international monetary system. Progress was made in the aspects of international liquidity, and recommen- dations were approved for better coordination between the Inter- national Monetary Fund and the agencies responsible for financing regional integration and cooperation. Specific resolutions were taken to establish a practical system for the exchange of IDB bonds among the central banks when- ever it is necessary to reduce their investments, and for the es- tablishment of a common fund to provide greater liquidity in international payments "as one more step in the program of suc- cessive advances toward the system of Latin American financial integration" approved at the previous meeting in Mexico. The Declaration of Jamaica, with its implications for the future, can be regarded as a forerunner to the establishment of a Latin American monetary unit, which would be an essential part of general integration. With regard to an integration policy for Latin America, two meetings of special significance were held this year in July and August, in San Andres and in Bogota. The first recommended the adoption of viable and dynamic formulas for integration and com- plementary economic development in the hemisphere. For the Caribbean area it was agreed to establish a study group to seek ways and means of increasing trade, technical, and financial cooperation. The Bogota meeting approved the Declaration of BogotA which contains, in addition to important statements on a common international economic policy, several recommendations on Latin American economic integration, such as those to improve the institutional machinery of LAFTA, increase relations between LAFTA and the Central American Common Market, and move to- ward a unification of the two systems. 75 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role V. Instruments of Integration Institute for Latin American Integration.-Aware of its historic mission and convinced that the integration of the Americas is primarily an educational process, the Inter-American Develop- ment Bank showed great foresight in establishing the Institute for Latin American Integration (INTAL). Late in 1964 the Bank authorized the creation of the Institute with the following pur- poses: 1. To increase the technical knowledge of officials and special- ists in the public and private sectors of the member countries of the Bank with respect to problems of Latin American integration by means of training courses, seminars, and round-table discus- sions; 2. To conduct the theoretical studies necessary for the process of Latin American integration in the institutional, juridical, social, and economic fields; 3. To advise the Bank in matters of integration; 4. To collect information on integration movements in other parts of the world and to analyze these experiences in terms of their value for Latin American integration; 5. To render advisory services to the member countries of the DB in the conduct of courses or seminars on the process of Latin American integration; 6. To disseminate studies on integration in its various aspects and to publish the results of research in the Institute; 7. To serve as a clearing house for documents and technical studies on Latin American integration; 8. To conduct periodic seminars for Latin American leaders, for the purpose of analyzing the problems relating to Latin Amer- ican integration; and 9. To cooperate in matters of economic integration with inter- national organizations, world-wide or regional, governmental or non-governmental, with national universities and with other teach- ing and research institutions, in order to determine the assistance and cooperation needed for the fulfillment of the purposes of the Institute and to avoid duplication of effort. Central America's position of leadership in the integration move- ment, as well as the interest repeatedly shown by outstanding representatives of the Central American area, have led the Bank to study the possibility of establishing a regional office of INTAL in one of the Central American countries. The Institute itself has declared "that the progress of the integration movement in Cen- 76 tral America can offer valuable experience for the rest of Latin America" and that "the Central American Common Market can be used as an integration laboratory where formulas could be developed for later application throughout Latin America." It should be noted that in the documents referring to the es- tablishment of INTAL, it is provided that "special attention will be given to studies aimed at relating the Central American countries to the rest of Latin America. . These studies would also ,be aimed at evaluating the integration experience of Central America in terms of possible application to the rest of Latin America." The approval of this program would represent a new milestone in the development of integration institutions. Preinvestment Fund.-Considering favorable comments in many international meetings, including its own Annual Meetings, the Inter-American Development Bank, in July of this year, estab- lished the Preinvestment Fund for Latin American Integration. As an initial allotment, $15 million (United States) were assigned from the Bank's Fund for Special Operations to the newly estab- lished Fund. For its part, the United States Government agreed to allocate the equivalent of $1.5 million United States from the $525 million United States Social Progress Trust Fund which the Bank administers for the United States within the framework of the Alliance for Progress. The resources of the new Fund will be used to finance studies in the following fields: 1. Multinational infrastructure works including highways, air, ocean and river transportation, regional communications systems, and related services; 2. The integrated development of geo-economic regions em- bracing areas in two or more countries, such as international river basins, including their power resources, inland navigation, irriga- tion, rural colonization, and forest resources; 3. Basic industries of regional scope operating within a market embracing several countries; and 4. Other integration activities, including studies and programs for joint exploitation of natural resources or any others that will strengthen the principle or execution of American integration. The Bank's loans and technical assistance operations, reimburs- able and non-reimbursable, financed with the resources of the Fund, as well as the studies it makes with its own resources, will be negotiated with governments and their agencies, development corporations, multinational organizations, institutions responsible for integration activities, and private companies. In order to coordinate this activity, the Bank will prepare 77 ECONOMIC POTENTIAL The Caribbean: Its Hemispheric Role annual working programs for regional preinvestment, taking into consideration the proposed studies that the Latin American Free Trade Association (LAFTA) and the Secretariat for Central Ameri- can Economic Integration (SIECA) may have under consideration. These programs will be prepared in consultation with the Inter- American Committee on the Alliance for Progress (CIAP), which will evaluate them with the assistance of LAFTA and SIECA. In a study made by the Bank prior to the establishment of the Fund, it was pointed out that the principal role to be assigned by the DB to the Fund would be to ensure a rapid and appropriate preinvestment study of all programs and projects for regional investment that go beyond the initial planning stage. VI. Integration in the Caribbean, a Region of Contrasts More than any other part of the Americas, the Caribbean is a region of contrasts where cultures have come together, races have blended, and varying ideologies have resulted in bloody conflicts. In the period of discovery and conquest, the European powers made the Caribbean their battlefield and even the victim of picturesque but highly unjust acts of piracy. They left behind them the seeds of profound discord which even today bear fruit in absurd antagonisms between neighboring countries, such as those sharing the island of Hispaniola, and in the existence of characteristic political systems still linked to the Old World which are not to be found in other regions of the Americas. In the Caribbean area, the Anglo-Saxon, Latin, and African cultures were thrown together with the force of a tropical storm. In the Isthmus of Central America, the Caribbean area has witnessed substantial strides in the field of integration, creating an example for the rest of the continent. However, the same Caribbean area, particularly the islands, is the site of isolated countries which would seem to suggest that their nature as an archipelago had prevailed over other historical and social consid- erations of greater validity and importance. The Caribbean is- lands, which were the gateway through which European civili- zation first entered Hispanic America, are today, paradoxically, in the rear guard of the most promising movement in the continent. Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic, as well as Panama on the mainland, have yet to join any of the systems of integration previously mentioned. Cuba, for well-known reasons, is temporarily outside the inter-American system. Panama, while showing an inclination to join the Central American Common Market as a 78 |
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