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CABBAN "-w C VIEW Vol. XI, No. 2 Three Dollars Caribbean Strategies, Critiques of Left & Right, Christian & Social Democrats V- ..- ,- 1 . .- . i-_ . : : . .. . .- - - .aiba taeis .-"iue .:,. Rgt hrsin& oilDe ort Certificate In Latin American- Caribbean Studies * Over 55 Latin American and Caribbean related courses in the University. * Certificate requirements include: successful completion of five Latin American and/or Caribbean related courses and one independent study/research project, from at least three departments; demonstration of related language proficiency in Spanish, Portuguese, or French. * Certificate program is open to both degree and non-degree seeking students. * Expanded University support as a Title VI Undergraduate Language and Area Center. * Expanded Library holdings in Latin American-Caribbean materials. * Special seminar series offered by distinguished visiting scholars in Latin American and Caribbean Studies. For further information contact: Latin American-Caribbean Center Florida International University Iamiami Trail Miami, Florida 33199 Latin American-Caribbean Studies Faculty Irma Alonso, Economics Ewart Archer, International Relations Ken I. Boodhoo, International Relations Manuel Carvajal, Economics John Corbett, Public Administration Grenville Draper, Physical Sciences Luis Escovar, Psychology Robert Farrell, Education Gordon Finley, Psychology John Jensen, Modem Languages David Jeuda, Modern Languages Charles Lacombe, Anthropology Barry B. Levine, Sociology Anthony P Maingot, Sociology James A. Mau, Sociology Floretin Maurrasse, Physical Sciences Ramon Mendoza, Modem Languages Raul Moncarz, Economics Marta Ortiz, Marketing Mark B. Rosenberg, Political Science Reinaldo Sanchez, Modern Languages Luis P Salas, Criminal Justice Jorge Salazar, Economics Alex Stepick, Anthropology Mark D. Szuchman, History William T. Vickers, Anthropology Maida Watson Breslin, Modem Languages Miami Speaker's Bureau On Latin America and the Caribbean The Latin American and Caribbean Center of Florida International University hosts a Speaker's Bureau for scholars traveling through Miami. The Bureau serves as a means for area specialists to share their experiences and research during colloquia. A modest honorarium and per diem expenses will be provided. Scholars anticipating travel through Miami and interested in participating in the colloquia should contact Mark B. Rosenberg, Director, Latin American and Caribbean Center, FIU, Miami, FL 33199 at least 30 days prior to the anticipated departure from their home cities. Occasional Papers The Center also publishes both an Occasional Papers Series as well as a series of Dialogues given by guest speakers on the campus of FIU. Please write for details. CA lBBEANr|| SPRING 1982 Vol. XI, No. 2 Three Dollars Editor Barry B. Levine Associate Editors Anthony R Maingot William T Osborne Mark R. Rosenberg Contributing Editors Carlos M. Alvarez Ricardo Arias Ken L Boodhoo Jerry Brown Herbert L Hiller Antonio Jorge Gordon K. Lewis James A. Mau Raul Moncarz Luis R Salas Mark D. Szuchman William T. Vickers Gregory B. Wolfe Assistant Editor Brenda Hart Art Director Danine Carey Design Consultant Juan C. Urquiola Contributing Artist Eleanor Bonner Bibliographer Marian Goslinga Cartographer Linda M. Marston Circulation Manager James E Droste Marketing and Sales Manager Robert A. Geary Production Assistant Stephanie Schneiderman Editorial Managers Christina Bruce Beatriz Parga de Bay6n Caribbean Review, a quarterlyjoumal dedicated to the Caribbean, Latin America, and their emigrant groups, is published by Carib- bean Review, Inc., a corporation not for profit organized under the laws of the State of Florida (Barry B. Levine, President; Andrew R. Banks, Vice President; Kenneth M. Bloom, Secretary). Caribbean Review receives supporting funds from the Office of Academic Affairs of Florida Intemational University (Steven Altman, Vice President for Academic Affairs) and the State of Florida and cooperates with the Latin America and Caribbean Center of FI (Mark B. Rosenberg, Director). This public document was prom- ulgated at a quarterly cost of $6,659 or $1.21 per copyto promote international education with a primary emphasis on creating greater mutual understanding among the Americas, by articulat- ing the culture and ideals of the Caribbean and Latin America, and emigrating groups originating therefrom. Editorial policy: Caribbean Review does not accept responsibility for any of the views expressed in its pages. Rather, we accept responsibility for giving such views the opportunity to be ex- pressed herein. Our articles do not represent a consensus of opinion-some articles are in open disagreement with others and no reader should be able to agree with all of them. Mailing address: Caribbean Review, Florida International Univer- sity. Tamiami Itail, Miami, Florida 33199. Telephone (305) 554-2246. Unsolicited manuscripts (articles, essays, reprints, excerpts, translations, book reviews, poetry, etc.) are welcome, but should be accompanied by a self-addressed stamped envelope. Copyright: Contents Copyright 1982 by Caribbean Review, Inc. The reproduction of any artwork editorial or other material is expressly prohibited without written permission from the publisher. Photocopying: Permission to photocopy for internal or personal use or the internal or personal use of specific clients is granted by Caribbean Review, Inc. for libraries and other users registered with the Copyright Clearance Center (CCC), provided that the stated fee of 1.00 per copy is paid directly to CCC, 21 Congress Street, Salem, MA 01970. Special requests should be addressed to Caribbean Review, Inc. Syndication: Caribbean Review articles have appeared in other media in English, Spanish, Portuguese and German. Editors, please write for details. Index: Articles appearing in this journal are annotated and in- dexed in Development and Welfare Index; Hispanic American Periodicals Index; Historical Abstracts; America: History and Life; United States Political Science Documents; and Universal Refer- ence System. An indextothe first six volumes appeared in Vol. VII, No. 2 of CR; an indexto volumes seven and eight, in Vol IX No. 2. Subscription rates: See coupon in this issue for rates. Subscrip- tions to the Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and other foreign destinations will automatically be shipped by AO-Air Mall. In- voicing Charge: $3.00. Subscription agencies, please take 15%. Back Issues: Back numbers still in print are purchasable at $5.00 each. A list of those still available appears elsewhere in this issue. Microfilm and microfiche copies of Caribbean Review are avail- able from University Microfilms. A Xerox Company, 300 North Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48106. Intemational Standard Serial Number: ISSN 0008-6525; Library of Congress Classification Number AP6, C27; Library of Con- gress Card Number: 71-16267; Dewey Decimal Number: 079.7295. In this issue page 14 page 25 page 46 On the cover: Detail from "Retazos del Mapamundi de un Hombre Universal," a portrait of R6mulo Betancourt, by Puerto Rican artist Francisco Rod6n. The original oil (2.40 m. x 1.84 m.), finished in 1979, hangs in Pacairigua, the Betancourt family residence in Venezuela. Thoughts On A Democratic Consortium The World Is Small to Stay By Gregory B. Wolfe The US and the Caribbean Issues of Economics and Security By Vaughan A. Lewis A Comprehensive Strategy for the Caribbean Basin The US and her Neighbors By Ambassador Thomas O. Enders The Reagan Administration and Latin America An Uneasy Beginning By William D. Rogers and Jeffrey A. Meyers The Real Clear and Present Danger A Critique From the Left By Richard R. Fagen Reagan Policy: Global Chess or Local Crap Shooting A Critique From the Right By L. Francis Bouchey The End of the Good Neighbor Policy Changing Patterns of US Influence By Bryce Wood The Tradition of Democracy in the Caribbean Betancourt, Figueres, Mufioz and the Democratic Left By Charles D. Ameringer Hegemonic Tolerance International Competition in the Area By Martin C. Needler The Christian Democrats in Latin America The Fight for Democracy By Ricardo Arias Calder6n The Socialist International and Latin America Progress and Problems By Karl-Ludolf Hibener The Mediation of the Socialist International Inconsistency, Prejudice and Ignorance By Carlos Alberto Montaner The French Connection Two Views of Their Latin American Policy Interviews by Barry B. Levine Recent Books An Informative Listing on the Caribbean, Latin America and Their Emigrant Groups By Marian Goslinga REDIG IN CAIBAN HISOR AN ECNMIS AnItoL3 01 oth elo A S S Caribbean Studies, Volume 1 Edited by Roberta Marx Delson Rutgers University, New Jersey, U.S.A. This study examines contemporary political and social movements in the Caribbean Islands. These modern day developments are put into the perspective of Caribbean history from the time of the Spanish conquest in the 16th century, to the first awakenings of nationalism leading to independent status. The focus is on the entire Caribbean and covers a wide spectrum of topics making it the first such comprehensive study of this area. CONTENTS IN BRIEF: The Caribbean Under Spanish Control: 16th Century Patterns; The Magnetism of the Caribbean: The Arrival of Competitive European Powers; Slavery and Plantation Systems: Theory and Reality; Slave Emancipation and Changing Economic Patterns of the British West Indies: The Emergence of the Peasantry; Political and Economic Upheavels of the Non-British Carib- bean: Restructuring the Economy; Caribbean Reactions: The Awakening of Consciousness and the Beginning of Nationalism; New Solutions to Old Problems: The Caribbean Since 1945; The Caribbean Future: Hope and Dour Ap- praisals; Epilogue. Publication Date: 1981 Price: $59.50 ISBN: 0 677 05280 4 366 pp. ISSN: 0275-5793 SOON TO BE PUBLISHED: Volume 2 of Caribbean Studies: PATTERNS IN CARIBBEAN DEVELOPMENT ISBN: 0 677 0600 9 by Jay R. Mandle Temple University, Pennsylvania, U.S.A. Books in this series can be.ordered on a continuation order basis; please contact publisher for details. Text editions available in North America only. Please contact publisher for details. ONE PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK, NEW YORK 10016 Gordon and Breach 2/CAI?BBEAN reVIew Avances en psicologia contemporanea Gordon E. Finley Gerardo Marin Las mas significativas y recientes aportaciones al pensamiento psicol6gico del continent americano, expuestas por sus propios autores, se han logrado conjuntar en este valioso texto que permitira tanto a profesionales como a estudiantes de psicologia actualizar sus conocimientos. B.F. Skinner, Edwin I. Megargee, Rogelio Diaz-Guerrero, Ruben Ardila y otros reconocidos psicologos desarrollan en esta obra diversos temas cuyo studio result imprescindible, por igual, para aquellos que se desemperian en el ambito de la ciencia de la conduct, y para quienes se aprestan a hacerlo. Editorial Trillas, S.A. Av. 5 de Mayo 43-105, Mexico 1, D.E 1979 moneda y banca en america central Raul Moncarz El libro esta escrito en un lenguaje claro y comprensible teniendo en consideracion que el mercado potential para el cual esta proyectado esta representado por una amplia variedad de posibles lectores. El material esta dividido en tres areas. La primera explore concepts basicos del dinero y la banca, tales como el lugar del dinero en la economic, la importancia de la banca y otros intermediaries financiers. La segunda parte hace un analysis detallado de la banca en Centroamerica, la expansion y contracci6n monetaria y los aspects economicos del sistema bancario centroamericano en los ultimos cinco aflos, y finalmente, se estudia con detalle la banca central en Centroamerica y sus principles funciones. La tercera parte trata en una forma general y especifica la teoria y la political monetaria incluyendo aspects internacionales del dinero y la banca de Centroamerica. Escuela Bancaria Superior Centroamericana Tegucigalpa, D.C., Honduras, C.A. 1978 Mobility and Integration in Urban Argentina CORDOBA IN THE LIBERAL ERA By Mark D. Szuchman Between the 1870s, when the great influx of European immigrants began, and the start of World War I, Argentina underwent a radical alteration of its social composition and patterns of economic productivity. Mark Szuchman, in this groundbreaking study, examines the occupational, resi- dential, educational, and economic patterns of mobility of some four thousand men, women, and children who resided in Cordoba, Argentina's most important interior city, during this changeful era. The use of record linkage as the essential research method makes this work the first book on Argentina to follow this very successful research methodology employed by modern historians. 290 pages, $19.95 University of Texas Press 083 POST OFFICE BOX 7819 AUSTIN, TEXAS 78712 Please send copies of Mobility and Integration in Urban Argentina at $19.95 ea. Texas residents add 5% sales tax. [ Check Enclosed E VISA E MasterCharge Credit card no. Exp. date Signature Name (print) Address City/State Zip code Barry B. Levine shatters the myth of the victimized immigrant. BENJY LOPEZ A Picaresque Tale of Emigration and Return Using the first-person technique pioneered by Oscar Lewis, noted sociologist Barry B. Levine records and analyzes the life story of a Puerto Rican emigrant, "one of the most col- orful characters to make an appearance in sociological literature:..Barry Levine has that increasingly rare gift, the sociological ear. In this book, we have the result of his listening."- Peter Berger "A labor of love for Puerto Rico and its plight, and a fine piece of scholarship." Ed Vega, Nuestro "Levine has rescued Third World man from indignity...I believe that few works will better demonstrate the circum- stances of the Puerto Rican in New York than this one." Miguel Barnet, Caribbean Re- view "Highly recommended" Joanna Walsh, Library Journal "Excellent..." -Frank Fernandez, Revista Interamericana "Valu- able research, excellent writing" Raymond E. Crist, Latin America in Books "Estu- pendo..." Carlos Alberto Montaner, Span- ish International Network "A rare work about the Puerto Rican diaspora..."- Gerald Guin- ness, Americas "Interesting and refresh- ing..." -Aaron Segal, Times of the Americas "Opens the readers eyes to the problems and challenges, the pain and frustration of life as a Puerto Rican in the big metropolis." -Joseph P Fitzpatrick, S.J., Contemporary Sociology "A good read...but above and beyond its liter- ary attributes, it stands on its own as a well- conceived, thoroughly researched, and solid study....A significant contribution to the scien- tific analysis of the causes and consequences of Puerto Rican emigration and return." -An- gel Calderon Cruz, Caribbean Studies "A stupendous book that only a sociologist/ anthropologist willing and unafraid to let a little humanism and common sense creep into his study could write. A very human document about a very human being." Gary Brana- Shute, The New West Indies Guide. $12.95 at bookstores, or direct from the publisher BASIC BOOKS, INC 10 East 53rd Street, New York 10022 CAIRBBEAN PVIEW/3 atin American affairs have historically been assigned low priority by the United States. In general, US attention focuses on Europe, the Middle East, and on those countries that border the Soviet Union. It is only when there is a crisis or a natural disaster that Latin American issues do receive a high priority from Washington. While there have beert no earthquakes or floods since the Reagan administration has come to office, there has been a tidal wave of Latin American and Caribbean crises which have occasioned an unusual amount of policy work in the State Department and the White House. This edition of Caribbean Review on the new geopolitics contrasts various perspectives about a number of these crises. For the most part, US response to Latin American events is reactive rather than pro- active. High level North American efforts to find solutions to the problems of the hemi- sphere, even to long-standing problems like poverty and development, are custom- arily the result of improvisation, often hastily organized, rather than of deliberate study and preparation. Large policies that encom- pass long-term commitments to strategies and programs have been rare. In the last 50 years, only the Alliance for Progress and the Good Neighbor Policy have been such examples. Latin American governments, generally, have acquiesced in the low priority status assigned them in Washington. While some have done so without much complaint, some even with relief, others worry that US policy bureaus have not adequately under- stood the changes that are occurring in their republics. Washington persists in ask- ing old questions, traditional and unrelated to new realities: How safe are the investment and political climates of Latin American countries for North Americans? How re- strictive are the policies respecting raw ma- terials access and export? What are the Gregory B. Wolfe, president of Florida Interna- tional University, has occupied US govern- ment posts in the White House and the Department of State. 4/CAI?BBEAN Jv IEw market conditions for US exports? Are tar- iffs too high? What is the situation regarding local manufacture and assembly operations? To Latin Americans these North Ameri- can queries appear to ignore or obscure the political and social changes that have been developing over the past 25 years in Latin America and the Caribbean. To take just one political matter, it is not clear that US policy makers are adequately aware of the new relations that have developed between Latin America and France, West Germany, and Japan. Or to take a social matter, it is not clear that US policy makers have come to terms with the fact that Latin America has a larger and denser urban coastal frontier than does the United States. (Between now and the year 2000, the population of Latin America will increase from over 350 million to over 600 million persons!) Paying the Bills The overriding preoccupation of Latin American leaders today, whether eating, sleeping or working, has to be with how to pay the bills. A companion to that preoc- cupation is, of course, how to find the money necessary to run urban economies and render those services necessary to keep the lid on a boiling social pot. Inter- nally, the supply side shows no likelihood whatsoever of being able to equal the de- mand side. And if the demand side is not supported, demand will erupt into an un- conditional demand that could destroy what fragile social fabric still exists. World prices for needed import goods are at all- time highs. Energy costs alone have deci- mated currency reserves. Inflation has blunted efforts to plan, much less carry out, major expenditures. US Agency for Interna- tional Development grants necessarily have been modified to accommodate new US domestic priorities. The US explains these cut-backs as necessary to reduce the ex- cess of former US administrations. Blanketing the whole economic and po- litical landscape is the rising level of Latin America's external debt. Overall, it is esti- mated to be $230 billion. A large part of any working day for government leaders in Latin America has to be spent considering how to reschedule debts that cannot be paid and how to negotiate yet additional loans for current needs. The pressures of over-extension that result from over-bor- rowing are staggering the capacities of most of the public managers. Increasingly, these pressures also test the patience and forbearance of the leaders. Meanwhile, the game goes on, modified in pace by the efforts of the International Monetary Fund to impose rigid economic regimens intended to reduce spending and tighten credit. Attempts to conform to these terms only tighten the economic Catch-22. All this is hard on the psyches of the de- veloping world. And yet, the whole eco- nomic climate of the world seems to be driving the developing countries, the smaller ones especially, into the old mold of having to rely on selling raw materials and agriproducts at low market prices while try- ing to get hold of traditional necessities, as well as of newly-perceived ones, on terms that are more burdensome than ever. Against this background, some US policy makers have been attempting to develop responses to calls for help, particularly in the Caribbean and Central American re- gion. To date, the principal experiment, yet to be tested in action, is President Ronald Reagan's Caribbean Basin Initiative. Its au- thor hails the Initiative as a free enterprise panacea for dealing with underdevelop- ment. It stresses a heightened role for pri- vate investment as the spur to restore confidence in flattened, flagging economic systems, and to create jobs in places that are radically overpopulated and critically underemployed. The Initiative calls for the establishment of a common market be- tween the United States and participating countries, for one-way free trade and an array of tax breaks for investors willing to join the crusade to make capitalism work in the troubled region. Some critical questions must be an- swered before we can know whether or not, and if so, how, this new Initiative will work? Will the US Congress buy it? The answer to this question will be determined largely on domestic rather than on foreign policy con- siderations. Will the private investment community rise to the incentive claimed for the Initiative? Or will it react to the oft-re- peated position of the White House and the State Department that communism is be- hind most, if not all, of the insurgent move- ments in the area and therefore withhold its participation? As long as the instability in- dices require costly gifts of hardware and resident US military advisors to keep the peace of the area, why should US business not act on clear competitive advantage and go elsewhere? For many investors and in- vesting corporations, that would seem still to mean Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore, Sri Lanka, and even the People's Republic of China. Washington sources say that the plan- ners of the Caribbean Basin Initiative held discussions with representatives of Mexico and Venezuela. However, there is no clear indication that the program will have a mul- tilateral and multinational character. If the experience of international business and in- temational organization of the past 30 years has had any instructive product, it is that we now know that development speeds up and profits rise significantly when capital and knowhow are combined in ways that cross frontiers and narrowly-conceived old-fash- ioned corporate structures. If then the real- ities of international interdependence are genuine, and if the monetary crisis is truly global, and the future of the democratic world is somehow linked to economic and political pluralism, the time may be upon us to recognize that the world is small to stay. This would allow us to make bold with the Caribbean Initiative. It might become the key to that New International Economic Order which has been eluding its advocates and confounding its critics. A Democratic Consortium With Germany, Japan, France, and Great Britain included, the Initiative could pool resources of nations in which economic systems which are mixed but free are com- bined with political systems essentially committed to democratic forms. The first basic commitment of such a consortium would be to solving the problems of under- development: pitifully inadequate health care, inadequate clean water supplies, the need to develop transportation and energy sources, etc. But in such a team effort, con- sideration could now be given to demil- itarizing the whole Caribbean and Central American region. Pledges of investment by the richer nations could be exchanged for pledges of gradual elimination of costly mil- itary establishments from the poorer ones. Such an exchange would be based in devel- oping a continuing commitment to civilian control from the concerned democratic governments. The alternative to such a consortium is merely to accept the ineffec- tive process of country by country "coup- crisis" management efforts by the United States. Such efforts are by their very nature self-limited by the domestic economic pol- icies now advocated by the Reagan admin- istration, as well as by the clear rejection of unilateral US influence by many Latin American political leaders on the right and left. Thus the first step toward a new policy for US-Latin American relations may be to transcend them by establishing a consor- tium of democratic powers. The purpose of the consortium would be to internationalize the process of effecting political change and economic development simul- taneously. It would thereby become the means to avoid the costly repetition of be- ginnings that are made and then lost among givers and receivers of political ad- vice and material goods. Countries which claim a democratic tradition and pledge its progressive refinement should welcome an opportunity to accelerate the rate of their development on all fronts. The consortium could lay down conditions for substantial aid availability to recipient Latin American countries: among them a commitment to observe elections, to respect human rights, to limit or eliminate military expenditures to practice parliamentary politics. Only a broadly-based multinationally-or- ganized set of political and economic re- sources will help us deliver a more secure future for the peoples of Latin America as well as meet the priorities of the United States. This then would make any initiative not only a series of bilateral economic rela- tionships but multinational political ones as well. E CAI?BBEAN PEVIEW/5 The US and the Caribbean Issues of Economics and Security By Vaughan A. Lewis The independence of the larger British Caribbean states Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica, took place at a time (August 1962) of intense American con- cern and activity in the Caribbean, domi- nated by the United States' difficulties with the new revolutionary regime of Cuba. The government of the United States sought to isolate Cuba from the other countries of Latin America and the Caribbean; and to ensure that those states would not be af- fected by any spread of communism and Soviet influence. This was the rationale for the American intervention in the Domin- ican Republic in 1965. The United States expected, and her ex- pectation was largely met, that the new Car- ibbean states that achieved full sovereignty during this period, would follow the guide- lines about inhibition of communist influ- ence laid down by herself in and for the Inter-American system. And from the point of view of these Caribbean states, the active demonstration of this requirement was the determined exercise of American influence in the resolution of the racial/political dis- pute in Guyana (then British Guiana) during the first half of the 1960s. The United States government was at that time concerned to ensure that any regime taking the country into independence would give allegiance to the US Inter-American system position. The eventual mode of resolution of the Guyana issue, indicates an important fact of Caribbean domestic politics: the element of voluntary cooperation and subordination in relations with the United States, bome in part of the socialization of most of the politi- cal elite of the period into pre- and post-war ideologies of anti-communism and anti- Stalinism. But it indicated also, at the level of the external relations the changing nature of hegemonic relationships in the Carib- bean: the de facto cession by the British, of responsibility for the maintenance of order and regional security for what had been up to then their segment of the Western Hemi- Vaughan A. Lewis is Director General of the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States. This article is based on his presidential ad- dress before the Sixth Annual Conference of the Caribbean Studies Association, St. Thomas, USVI. 6/CAlrBBCAN PCVIEW sphere. This cession to the United States paralleled the British decision to reorganize the international economic relationships (and by implication political relationships) of the United Kingdom, through her ap- plication for entry into the European Eco- nomic Community (EEC). This decision was in turn perceived by the new Caribbean states as having the potential for threaten- ing their own economic viability; for it would in effect remove the economic underpin- ning of the old imperial hegemonicc) relationship. For the Caribbean, these processes in fact reflected the gradual domination by North America of the Caribbean economic staples (export commodities producing for- eign exchange)-bauxite, tourism. (We might note too, the American purchase of the small British petroleum facilities in Trin- idad.) The expansion of tourism particularly in Jamaica, was itself partly a consequence of the United States' difficulties with Cuba and the virtual ending of the US-Cuba trade and communication. We might note also that the United States opposed the initial United Kingdom/EEC proposals for a set of reciprocal relationships in trade and in- vestment--the so-called reverse prefer- ences-between the Caribbean and the Community. But this was done not so much with the possible volumes of Caribbean trade and investment in mind, but with the view that it would set a negative example for global trading arrangements; the United States being concerned to ensure that there was no increase in trade discrimination against herself. This is, however, an early example of the American tendency to safe- guard her Caribbean and Latin American interests, and to treat them as exemplary in the context of the patterns of global ar- rangements which she wished to see exist. Nonetheless, into the first half of the 1970s, a general stabilization of these new Caribbean states' relationships appeared to have been arrived at, satisfactory to all. The states (with the exception of Guyana for special reasons) joined and accepted the obligations of the Inter-American system- the OAS; their traditional international eco- nomic relationships were regularized in the Lome Convention within which were in- cluded new arrangements for economic and technical aid. And within the sub-region itself, some stability was apparently given to country-to-country relations, and to the possible trends in their foreign policies, through the attempt to institutionalize the harmonization of foreign policy decision- making within the Caribbean Community (CARICOM). In general, the Caribbean countries, and in particular Jamaica and Guyana were deemed to have benefitted from the isola- tion of Cuba. North American investment in tourism and bauxite in Jamaica secured continuously high rates of economic growth. Jamaica in turn had accepted all the American institutional terms for foreign investment: the Hickenlooper amendment, Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) and International Centre for Settle- ment of Investment Disputes (ICSID) (within the World Bank system). The new regime in Guyana under Forbes Burnham set out to reap the financial rewards of fealty to the United States hemispheric line after its independence, and quickly dismantled previous economic arrangements with Cuba established by the government of Cheddi Jagan. Many of these independent Caribbean states now came to be consid- ered "middle income countries" with re- spect to the international aid institutions; thereby disqualifying themselves from re- ceipt of "soft" loans. In this overall appearance of stabilization in the late 1960s and early 1970s, there were one or two dark clouds-intimations of the potential for disorder. Domestic eco- nomic difficulties after 1965 culminated in a youth-cum-military rebellion in Trinidad in 1970. Trinidad's oil production had en- tered a period of persistent decline, the gov- ernment had begun to experience foreign exchange difficulties, and difficulties in rais- ing loans on extemal markets on reason- able conditions; the government was increasingly incapable of satisfying the de- mands for employment of a youth popula- tion which had been the recipient of a substantially expanded educational pro- gram; and in the face of all this the govem- ment's own sense of self-confidence began to decline. In Jamaica too, the pace of eco- JAMAICAI C 1% & '!) _ CARIBBEAN BASIN INDEPENDENT GOVERNMENT ORIGINS .& ~EXPLANATION m ELECTION COUP S' REVOLUTION SUCCESSION 20 I MPUERTO RICO ,. VIRGIN ISLANDS .,ST. KITTS SANTIGUA iGUADELOUPE DOMINICA z MARTINIQUE SST. LUCIA SEA ST. VINCENT 9 BARBADOS & GRENADA d A NIDTOBAGO o* CO -lor 0 100 200 300 400 Miles 0 200 400 600 Kilometers 80* Copyright Linda M. Marston 1982. nomic growth, however impressive, was not capable of satisfying the requirements of those placing themselves on the job mar- ket. Increasing social discontent found ex- pression in the brief spell of rioting in 1968 (the Rodney riots). This the government was able to subdue, but it thenceforth in- creasingly displayed a degree of nervous- ness towards its own population. The quick muting of these uprisings in the two leading countries of the sub-region, was accompanied by a tendency on the part of the governments to increase their em- phasis and dependence on instruments of security. The political directorate was in- clined to attribute the disturbances not to the development of broad social discontent in their communities, but to small fringes of the intelligentsia and others attracted to Marxism and other radical ideologies. Con- spiratorial explanations were evident in, for example, the Report of the commission of inquiry established in Trinidad during the 1960s; and in the speeches and activities of members of the Jamaican government. American diplomacy also, was not un- affected, as is evident from the report pre- pared by Ambassador Milton Barrall for the United States Department In general, how- ever, the governments felt themselves capa- ble of maintaining local stability. Finally, as far as the rest of the colonial Caribbean was conceded, the dominant American problem of securing proper ar- rangements for regional order and security was ensured by linking the territories in these areas (defense and foreign relations) to the metropolitan centers. For the territo- ries in the British Caribbean the institution of Associated Statehood was devised. Such arrangements allowed for swift intervention in the event of local disorder. This appearance of general stability seems dramatically changed today. In the American view, a major crisis appears to exist in the archipelago Caribbean (the West Indies). There is a perception of Cuban "ex- pansionism," and the making of diplomatic "gains" bythat country in boththe large and the small states. There is a perception of danger implicit in the development of com- munication and relationships between the hitherto institutionally separated sub-re- gions of the West Indies and Central Amer- ica, suggested in relationships between Grenada, Cuba, Jamaica (before the recent general election) and Nicaragua. The re- cent election in Jamaica has been inter- preted as a victory against "Marxism" and "radicalism." For America policy-makers and corporate interests, the central concern has been the effect of the assumed radical- ization of Caribbean internal and external policy on American interests, in which are included American security interests, in the area. United States Interests: A Summary The United States considers the area in general as an important security zone, along with Central America; and considers instability there as threatening to her own security, where such instability is likely to serve as a magnet for non-hemispheric (that is, Communist) intervention or inter- ference. While it is the case that other areas of the globe are perhaps given a greater day-to-day significance in strategic terms, this zone represents the fundamental un- derpinning, as part of the geographically proximate hemisphere, of the American system of security arrangements. Hence the term "America's backyard," frequently is used to describe it. Since the revolutionary regime of Cuba is seen as a local proxy for the global socialist system, a Cuban pres- ence in any country is now automatically perceived as "outside intervention." In American perceptions, some administra- tions and congressional leaders distinguish between a Cuban military presence (as did Kissinger in 1976) which is considered un- acceptable, and a Cuban technical as- sistance and diplomatic presence. Others however hold that there is no a prior dif- ference between the two kinds of pres- ences, and that the security implications of each need to be examined on a case by CARIBBEAN EVIEW/7 ELIZE I I case basis. The Caribbean Sea, linking the West In- dies and Central America is seen as the American Mediterranean whose security constitutes a part of the general area of American hemisperic security. The Carib- bean Sea remains an important transit route for trade to and from the United States, petroleum, for example, being an especially important economic and strate- gic commodity transported therein. The Caribbean thus becomes linked with the Panama Canal which still retains important economic and strategic interest for the United States and her allies. For an impor- tant American hemispheric economic and security partner, Venezuela, the passages through the Caribbean islands constitute her gateway to the North Atlantic. The United States is conceded in this era, to ensure the uninterrupted continua- tion of trade in Caribbean mineral re- sources, in particular bauxite. This require- ment becomes linked to the questions of local policy on the terms of foreign invest- ment, and policy relating to the diversifica- tion of Caribbean mineral exports. It is today increasingly concerned with the effects within the US itself, of the movement-both legal and illegal-of Caribbean peoples to America as well as with the illegal move- ment of drugs from and through the Carib- bean states. These last two areas of interest induce in turn a concern with the economic and institutional weaknesses in the struc- ture of Caribbean political and social systems. The American interests in these varieties of areas give rise, given the over-riding US concem with security, to what appears to be an American perception of a general inca- pacity on the part of the regimes of the islands, either because of smallness and/or weakness, to hold autonomous positions in relationships deemed actually or potentially hostile to the United States. In that context, the American response is to react negatively and preemptively-to act "in anticipation" so to speak, of the development of any such relationships. Her perception of the recent experience of Jamaica (seen as nearly hav- ing slipped away into the communist camp) reinforces this orientation. In the Caribbean the United States perceives, then, a potential vacuum, in the traditional international relations sense. But what the United States policy makers suddenly see as a crisis of regional se- curity-specifically of Cuban communist expansion into a weak area-in the short time perspective of American decision- making, can more usefully be seen (and many in the Caribbean prefer to see) as a slowly developing crisis of economic and social (dis)organization implicit in the eco- nomic and social development strategies of the 1960s, and maturing at the present time; a crisis not susceptible to mili- 8/CAIBBEAN P VIEW tary/security solutions, or solutions de- signed essentially to inhibit the normaliza- tion of relations between the Caribbean states and Cuba. Of course, the mere fact that the United States arrives at the situation of defining a period as one of crisis in security terms, or a geographical area as a crisis zone, be- comes, or ought to become a factor and an input in the structure of Caribbean deci- sion-making. It was perhaps one of the er- rors of the Manley administration in Jamaica that it failed to assess in time, and to attribute sufficient significance to, the American definition of its policy as having Democratic socialism was given a programmatic content, asserted as the alternative solution for the country's socio-economic problems. the potential of creating a security crisis for the United States, however invalid such a definition might have been. Social Crisis and Political Orientation Jamaica experienced fairly rapid economic growth in the 1960s, fuelled by substantial foreign investment in the bauxite and tour- ism industries, and by investment in man- ufacturing partly for the country's domestic market, on the basis of incentives to both local and foreign investors, provided by the government. As a result, there was also an expansion of the commercial and services sectors, and an expansion of the range of indigenous skills appropriate to the degree of economic expansion. On the other hand, during the period, the country's range of agricultural exports, relatively diversified (bananas, sugar, citrus, tobacco, coffee) be- gan to experience for the most part, fairly persistent declines. In spite of the existence of strong trade unions, wages in the agri- cultural sector lagged (as is not uncom- mon) behind those in the new industrial and service sectors. Fairly rapid population growth, com- bined with improvements in health and wel- fare, when added to these phenomena, resulted in a situation of large resources of labor which the industrial sector was inca- pable of absorbing, in spite of the rapid rates of growth. Large pockets of unem- ployed, in particular unemployed youth, be- came visible; a visibility exacerbated by the fact of substantial shifts of population from rural areas to the urban centers experienc- ing economic growth. Toward the end of the 1960s the political elites were becoming uncomfortably aware that these large pockets of unemployed, many functionally illiterate, and perhaps unemployable indi- viduals, could provide dangerous political fodder. The Caribbean political elite is particu- larly sensitive to the question of large scale unemployment and its possible political ef- fects, since for the most part that elite de- rives from the trade union movementwhich entered political office when the British con- ceded universal adult suffrage. This political elite gained office on the specific promise to the working class that they could and would provide this class with the economic inheri- tance from which it had previously been deprived by colonialism and the local landed oligarchy which dominated the eco- nomic systems of the Caribbean territories. With the maturing of the investment prQ- cess in bauxite and tourism in Jamaica by the beginning of the 1970s, the political directorate of that country now had to seek other, or additional, means for coping with the surge in unemployment, to meet the expectations of the working class. The relatively minor riots in Jamaica in 1968 (the Rodney riots), induced the gov- ernment to increase its emphasis on se- curity measures, as it sought to maintain the degree of social and political stability deemed necessary for the attraction of new foreign investment But this had the domes- tic consequence of an increasing sense of social crisis for which new solutions had to be sought This was the context of the entry into office of the People's National Party government of Michael Manley in 1972, the party having run its campaign in the two- party competitive system of Jamaica, on the basis of a promise of modernization of the economic system in such a manner as to maintain economic growth while ensur- ing the unemployed masses their legiti- mate economic and social rights. The rhetoric of the party and the new government suggested a platform of popu- lism, not uncommon in systems of this kind when they have reached social crisis. But populism does not constitute a program or policy, and this the new government even- tually found by taking recourse to its historic doctrine, recently however muted, of social- ism. Democratic socialism was now given a programmatic content, and asserted as the alternative solution for the country's socio- economic problems. This populist re- sponse (though not the specific content of socialism) was not unlike the political re- sponse of the government of Trinidad and Tobago after the uprising in that country of 1970. This complement of populism and socialism took the form of acceptance of the policy of non-alignment as the central feature of the government's political foreign policy, and along with that, acceptance of the thesis of national liberation. This thesis suggested that Caribbean regimes them- selves should define the parameters of their external relations activities; that the Ameri- can hemispheric security system and its assumptions should not necessarily take precedence as the determining framework of their international relations. Later the di- versification of their external relations with countries to which the United States was not necessarily sympathetic was to be legiti- mated by the doctrine of "ideological plu- ralism," originally formulated by Venezuela. This then, was the kind of domestic so- cio-political context in which some of the Caribbean regimes undertook the regional normalization of relations with Cuba, and began to explore the possibilities of rela- tions with the socialist bloc-perhaps the most extreme of these explorations being the Guyana application for membership in the Council for Mutual Economic As- sistance (COMECON). Those countries, for example Guyana but to some extent Ja- maica, which sought particularly close rela- tions with the communist bloc, while pursuing alternative domestic solutions, now sought also to restructure their domes- tic economic and political institutions in ways mae appropriate to the effective con- duct of tetions with the socialist countries. This was in part, the rationale for the deci- sions to move somewhat away from the orthodox Westminster institutional system which they had inherited from the British. But these various innovations in internal and external policy began to disturb Ameri- can perceptions of the Caribbean countries' acceptance of the rules relating to hemi- spheric security; and even more impor- tantly, of the rules relating to foreign investment and the political attitudes and forms that should accompany those rules. The Jamaican refusal of international ar- bitration after its implementation of its bauxite levy, provided a particularly impor- tant instance of the developing American sense of unease. It should be said also that these various innovations began to disturb the local dominant socio-economic sec- tors, a factor which marked the beginning of a certain coincidence of interest between these local sectors and segments of the American economic and political systems. In Jamaica, by 1975, this unease indicated the end.of the government's attempt to con- duct policy on the basis of broad national ("all-class") unity. (In Guyana this was al- ready the case much earlier on.) Thus by the end of the Nixon-Kissinger- Ford regimes, the relationships between some of these countries (Jamaica, Guyana) and the American government and com- panies had become strained. This strain was characterized by a slowing down of economic assistance, of investment, and by Caribbean claims and American denials of "destabilization." In effect, the national liber- ation orientation was beginning to come up against the known facts of the small, depen- dent, character of Caribbean economies, and their vulnerability to external politi- cal/economic pressure. The decline of the Jamaican and Guyanese economies by 1976 indicated the problem. The pressures which were now initiated against these gov- emments were intended to reverse the na- tional liberation orientation. (We are not, of course, here saying that external pressures were solely responsible for the decline of the economies.) The Nixon-Kissinger-Ford approach of subtle, persistent, more often than not cov- ert, pressure, was one response to the changes in Caribbean foreign policy. It was These various innovations in internal and external policy began to disturb American perceptions of the Caribbean countries' acceptance of the rules relating to hemispheric security. being undertaken at a time when American policy was in general being subordinated to the internal and external effects of Water- gate and the failure of the Vietnam adven- ture; and when, also, the national liberation orientation appeared to have, still, local Car- ibbean support and popularity. The political crisis concerning the ethics of intervention by the United States was at its height (1975-76). One need only compare the de- bates in the American congress then (which resulted in the Clark Amendment), with the sense of confidence and legitimacy with which Arthur Schlesinger writes inA Thou- sand Days of the American determination of the nature of the Guyanese regime in 1964, to get a sense of the difference in political climates. The new Carter administration (Carter- Young-Vance we might say), sought at first to accept the apparent constraints on American international policy, the relatively greater presence in global relations of the Soviet Union, and that country's assertion of the necessity to continue detente and 'normalization' of international relations. In the Caribbean, it appeared to accept the view of the necessity for reorganization of domestic structures and domestic eco- nomic policies, so as to make the regimes more capable of coping with socio-eco- nomic crises. The administration accepted the view also (already partially accepted by Kissinger), that a normalization of relations should take place regionally in the Carib- bean and Central America, by beginning the process of resolution of Cuban-United States problems, and concluding resolu- tion of the Panama Canal issue. Two Views of Cuba's Relationship Two differing views about approaches to Cuba, characterized American and Latin American attitudes towards that country: The first was the view indicating the neces- sity for isolation of Cuba, either (a) to cause maximum domestic difficulties for, and therefore dissatisfaction with, the regime at home; or (b) on a medical analogy of Cuba as a virus, to inhibit the infection of other regional countries. The second view, which began to gain adherents in the late 1960s, was that the first approach had definitively. failed, and that the best approach was to attempt to draw Cuba into a network of economic and other arrangements in the region/hemisphere that would induce on her part continuing cooperation with vari- ous important countries; and at worst, entail recognizable sanctions for initiating disor- der. This process of "opening" to Cuba can be seen in the shift by Argentina in the early 1970s to extensive trade and financial credit relations with her; and in discussions about the possibilities for a triangular Venezuela- Cuba-USSR arrangement on petroleum supplies for Cuba. It is generally accepted that the Cuban military assistance to the Popular Move- ment for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) in Angola, and then to the revolutionary re- gime in Ethiopia, were the occasion for a new disintegration of the gradually develop- ing bipartisan approach to Cuba in the United States. We should, on the other hand, note that Cuba's assistance to Angola was supported by two Caribbean govem- ments, and tacitly assisted by a third. But these Cuban activities also mark a break in the developing process of harmonizing of approaches to Cuba among Anglophone Caribbean governments; Trinidad taking the view that for small countries, non-inter- vention on such issues is the appropriate diplomatic approach. A certain diplomatic cohesion within CARICOM as an institution also began to loosen, leading the Trinidad Prime Minister to question in 1979 whether there might any longer be a basis for coordi- nated diplomacy within the grouping. The Prime Minister of Trinidad, in making these observations, alluded also to the fact that domestic economic difficulties in major Caribbean states were contributing to the distortion of the attempt to undertake coor- dinated external activities. This developing diversity of external relations, especially as it related to the world socialist bloc and to the more radical section of the non-aligned movement, began to take on, for the Carter administration also, the aura of hostility to the United States. The administration's re- sponse was, in brief, to begin a process of Continued on page 50 CAr?BBEAN PFVIeW/9 A Comprehensive Strategy for the Caribbean Basin The US and her Neighbors By Ambassador Thomas O. Enders, Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs The countries of the Caribbean Basin are in trouble. To help them overcome their troubles, President Reagan on March 17 submitted to the Congress an urgent request that it approve a precedent- breaking US contribution to a cooperative undertaking with Canada, Colombia, Mex- ico and Venezuela. The centerpiece of the president's program is free trade for all Car- ibbean exports to the United States except textiles for 12 years. Tax incentives and emergency economic assistance are also key elements of this package, which is de- signed to strike at the root causes of the human misery that underlies many of the region's problems, from migration to vul- nerability to Cuba. Why, some have asked, mustwe increase aid to the Caribbean Basin now, at a mo- ment when our own economy is in reces- sion and we are asking our own people to tighten their belts? The president's answer to this question was direct. "Make no mis- take," he said on February 24, "the well- being and security of our neighbors in this region are in our own vital interest" Be- cause the peoples of the Caribbean Basin are our neighbors, we can not turn our back on their plight Their troubles are inevitably our troubles. Our history as neighbors goes back a long way-to Indian cultures even before the Spanish began their Empire in the New World from a Caribbean center. Later, Haiti and Louisiana were French, and the West Indies were British like the 13 American colonies. George Washington had business interests in Barbados. Alexander Hamilton grew to manhood and learned his financial acumen in Nevis. Caribbean leaders like Marcus Garvey and Napoleon Duarte have since returned the compliment, working or studying in the United States. In short, the Caribbean is to us what the Mediterranean is to Europe. Its islands swing south from Florida to Barbados in an arc with Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Is- 10/CAIMBBEAN NrviEW lands. Its waters reach two thousand miles from the Eastern Caribbean to the Central American isthmus. There are 23 countries in the Caribbean and Central America. Each is unique, but even the most distant is closer to Washington, D.C. than is San Francisco. Together they have been called our "third border." Their Crisis is Ours At the moment, the countries of the Carib- bean Basin are experiencing an economic crisis so pervasive and so overwhelming that it is shaking even the most established democracies, consuming their money, re- sources and credit, forcing thousands to seek escape from their misery by emigrat- ing to the United States and other countries, and providing fresh openings to the en- emies of freedom, national independence and peaceful development. When times are hard for us, they are usu- ally even harder for our smaller and poorer Caribbean neighbors. When economic conditions are bad-and they are bad now-thousands of people migrate from the Caribbean to the United States. We know the human tragedy of refugee move- ments. A few months ago, some migrants lost their lives trying to reach Florida. Two years ago more than 120,000 Cubans risked their lives to come to the United States. We also know the enormous social and economic burdens these waves of refu- gees bring to the communities which re- ceive them. The Caribbean is vital to our security. In the great debate over the Panama Canal a few years ago, the one question on which there was universal agreement was that the Canal had to be kept open. Yet the Canal itself is but one short fifty-mile span in thou- sands of miles of Caribbean sea lanes. Nearly half of our crude oil imports-in fact, nearly half of all our exports and imports pass through these Caribbean sea lanes. Forty years ago in February 1942, one U- boat torpedoed two ships in Port-of-Spain harbor, Trinidad, then two more, including a Canadian passenger vessel, in Castries har- bor, St. Lucia. That May, a Mexican tanker- running full lights as was the custom for neutrals-was sunk off Miami. In June, a single submarine (U-159) sank eight ships in four days, two of them just off the en- trance to the Panama Canal. All told, hun- dreds of ships were sunk in Caribbean and Gulf waters by a handful of enemy subs. Today the peace and security of the Car- ibbean Basin are deeply threatened not by Nazi U boats but by a web of political vio- lence, economic collapse and Cuban sup- port for subversion. In the Caribbean, the smallest islands are as exposed politically as they have long been to the sudden vio- lence of tropical storms. Three years ago a small group of armed men took over the nation of Grenada; they tumed out to be Marxists, but they could have been of many political stripes or even gangsters. In Cen- tral America, acute economic troubles are unsettling rigid social compacts formed generations ago in Guatemala, widening distrust in El Salvador, and bringing Costa Ricans to worry about the sturdy demo- cratic compact that has served them well for more than 30 years. Timing the move to exploit these vul- nerabilities, Cuba has mounted a campaign to establish Marxist-Leninist dictatorships in both Central America and the Caribbean. Beginning in 1978, Fidel Castro redoubled his efforts to discredit Basin governments, ridicule democracy and glorify armed vio- lence. The Cuban government has covertly trained, supplied and directed extremists engaged in guerrilla warfare and economic sabotage. Arms delivered through Nic- aragua to guerrillas in El Salvador with Cuban and Soviet bloc help have come from as far away as Vietnam. Cuba's Air Force now has 200 or more Soviet-sup- plied MiG fighter-bombers. Should Cuba's Soviet MiG's be able to utilize airports now =~~--~=N under construction in Grenada and Nic- aragua, their range would be greatly extended. The Soviet Union knows the cost of hav- ing hundreds of thousands of its soldiers manning hostile borders. We do not. But if Soviet MiG's or submarines were to be based in the Caribbean area, we would be forced to divert American defensive strength from Europe and Asia to develop a costly military shield where today we have none. US security and humanitarian interests in the Caribbean Basin are supplemented by our economic relations. In 1981, the United States exported $6.8 billion in products to the Caribbean Basin. In almost every one of these countries we have at least 25% of their import market. As they develop and their demand grows, US business will expand its sales in this market. Our total imports from the region in 1981 were $9.9 billion and total direct US investmentwas $22.5 billion. Expenditures by US tourists in 1980 was $1.1 billion. In fact, it is partly the magic of the marketplace that we believe can help countries to revive their hopes for a better economic future, achieve the development on which their very independence depends, and eventually to eam their own way. US Objectives and Policies We seek a region at peace with itself, free from outside threats, able'to devote its en- ergy and attention to economic progress and the development of democratic politi- cal institutions. Security, democracy, and economic development are clearly linked. Progress toward democracy is best achieved when a country's economy is de- veloping well and when a nation does not have to divert precious resources to defend itself against a threat to its security. And a country is most secure when it can promise its people freedom and economic well- being. Our policy must address all of these Ambassador Thomas O. Enders. Illustration by Terry Cwikla. dimensions: political, security, and 23 states in the Caribbean Basin have dem- economic. ocratically elected governments. With the elections in Colombia on March 14, seven Support for Democracy open and honest, competitive elections First, the political dimension. Democratic have been held and honored in the last two institutions provide the best framework for years. Many of these countries found their stable economic and social development way to democracy or have reinforced their They provide channels for redress of griev- democratic traditions in circumstances of ances, the flexibility to resolve differences great stress. Jamaica in 1980 held elections through compromise before dangerous amidst embryonic civil conflict. Costa Rica pressures build up and violence results. If returned to democracy out of a civil war in governments are to be responsive to the 1948. Venezuela managed the transitibri to needs of their peoples, they must permit democracy from more than six decades of their citizens to express their will in honest, the most brutal and corrupt military dic- competitive elections. Some suggest that tatorship in the hemisphere. In 1963, in cir- elections of this kind cannot work in devel- cumstances very much like those now in El hoping countries. Meaningful elections, they Salvador, Venezuelans went to the polls and argue cannot be held in a bitterly divided ushered in twenty years of democratic pro- country or in one with no democratic tradi- gress. Similarly, the Dominican Republic tions. And elected governments, one hears, began its transition to democracy with elec- are too weak to take the drastic measures tions in 1962 after thirty years under Tru- necessary to reform unjust social orders. In jillo's repression. Just this January, Hon- short, freedom may have to be sacrificed to duras inaugurated a democratically elected some greater good, such as economic pro- president after more than a decade of mili- gress and the formation of a national iden- tary rule. tity. Their view is that democracy may work Here in the United States, we held elec- for North America, but it won't work in Cen- tions during a terrible civil war despite the tral America or the Caribbean. warnings of those who said it couldn't be I don't accept this. Nor do President Rea- done. Afterwards, Lincoln had this to say: "If gan, Secretary Haig or other American lead- the rebellion could force us to forego or ers. Nor do most Caribbean Basin nations, postpone a national election, it might fairly We believe democracy is as appropriate claim to have already conquered or ruined for the Caribbean and for Central America us. But along with its incidental and unde- as it is for the United States. In fact, 16 of the sirable strife it has done good too. It has CAXBBEAN VE -"1/11 demonstrated that a people's government can sustain a national election in the midst of a great civil war. Until now, it has not been known to the world that this was a possibility." Readers of the Caribbean Review, which devoted its March 1981 edition to the status of democracy in the Caribbean, will understand that "the Caribbean today is by and large governed by democracy-respect- ing, pragmatic regimes." This fact should not be overlooked by those who question the viability of democracy in small, under- developed countries. The test as I write is in El Salvador. We have supported the March 28 Constituent Assembly elections there as the first.step in a process to replace killing and the rule of force with politics and the rule of law. The test is difficult but neither new nor impossi- ble. There will be setbacks, and success is not assured. But we are not alone. The OAS General Assembly voted 22-3 last Decem- ber to support elections in El Salvador; the OAS Permanent Council voted 19-0 in Feb- ruary to send observers to the March elec- tions. The reasons boil down to this: the alternatives are dictatorships either of the left or of the right, equally abhorrent, equally incompetent, equally unresponsive to the needs of their peoples. We must place our support squarely be- hind those in the region who share our val- ues and principles. The evolution of democratic institutions and just relation- ships between governments and the gov- erned are central to our own traditions and vital to the future of the Inter-American Community. Enhancement of Security We intend to keep our Rio Treaty commit- ments and help our neighbors defend themselves. We are prepared to give as- sistance to countries in the region now coming under increasing threat from Cuba and Nicaragua. We have already increased our security assistance-in equipment and training--to El Salvador. This does not mean sending American fighting men to Central America. Though our assistance is vital, the countries can defend themselves without American troops. The warm support at the OAS meeting in St Lucia, for the principles of non-interven- tion and collective security in the Inter- American System should give comfort to the small and defenseless that they need not feel abandoned. The independence of sovereign nations can best be protected by reinforcing the hemispheric commitment to non-intervention. This commitment reached its full expression in the Pan Ameri- can Conference in 1936, but the pledge itself is not enough. We must all face up to the fact that it is being violated systemat- ically by Cuba with the support of the Soviet Union. By militarizing their nation and sup- 12/CArBBEAN rIvIE porting insurrection in El Salvador, Nic- aragua's sandinistas have allowed them- selves to become accomplices. Even Costa Rica feels threatened. No country in the Caribbean Basin can today feel secure from this threat. Our message to Cuba is clear. We will not accept, we do not believe the countries of the region will accept that the future of the Caribbean Basin be manipulated from Havana. It must be determined bythe coun- tries themselves. Our security assistance to the countries of the Caribbean and Central America is Because the peoples of the Caribbean Basin are our neighbors, we can not turn our back on their plight. Their troubles are inevitably our troubles. thus not an end in itself, but a means to an end. In combination with our own eco- nomic assistance and political support, our security assistance will support national efforts at building representative and re- sponsive institutions, toward strengthening pluralism and free institutions, toward nur- turing basic human freedoms. Yet as the Table makes clear, security assistance is but a fraction of the total assistance we will be providing to the Caribbean Basin. Economic Development The countries of the Caribbean Basin face very major economic difficulties and need the support of the international community. After years of growth, a financial crisis of immense proportions has enveloped the Caribbean and Central American countries. The prices of their commodity exports, like coffee, sugar and bauxite, plunged, while the costs of oil imports and foreign capital kept going up. The world recession pinches their economies hard. The results have been disastrous. Costa Rica's GDP de- clined 5% in 1981. Inflation rose to 60%. Foreign exchange reserves-in a country of two million-became negative by $400 million. The Dominican Republic, after a decade of strong growth, expects no better than zero growth this year: earnings from sugar sales, its main export, could decline 40% in 1982, a drop of $230 million, and current account deficit could approach $1 billion. In El Salvador, terrorism and eco- nomic sabotage have brought the econ- omy to the point of collapse. Output will fall another 10% this year to a total decline of more than 20% in three years. A Collective Response During the past year we have consulted closely with Mexico, Canada and Venezu- ela-all of whom already have substantial and innovative programs of their own--to encourage stronger international efforts and to coordinate our own response to the needs of the region with theirs. At a meeting in New York in mid-March, Colombia joined this core donor group. Each donor country is making a very significant contribution to the economic development of the Caribbean Basin. Our collective effort is very impressive, particu- larly since three of the donor countries are themselves still considered developing na- tions. Canada has embarked on a five-year expanded program for Central America as well as the Caribbean. Canadian assistance will reach more than one-half billion dollars. Canadian tariff treatment currently provides duty-free or preferential access for some 98% of all Caribbean Basin exports. Mexico and Venezuela are providing, among other things, an assured supply of oil and long- term concessional credits valued at over $700 million per year. And Colombia is ini- tiating a special technical assistance fund of up to $50 million, new credit lines up to $10 million a country, additional financing for balance of payments deficits and other measures to support economic develop- ment in the Basin. While Trinidad and To- bago is not a member of the core group, it has established its own oil facility which is helping its neighbors in the Caribbean re- duce the impact of high oil prices on their economies. Our contribution to this coordinated in- ternational effort was announced on Febru- ary 24 in a special message by President Reagan to the American people. Speaking to the OAS Permanent Council and an in- temational television audience, the presi- dent outlined a major and unique program designed to promote economic progress, thereby enhancing peaceful democratic evolution and the security of the region. The president's program consists of mutually reinforcing measures in the fields of trade, investment and financial assistance, in a comprehensive strategy to promote eco- nomic development The president will request from Congress authority to eliminate duties on all imports from the Basin except textiles and apparel. Sugar imports will receive duty free treat- ment but only up to certain historic limits in order to protect the US domestic sugar price support program mandated by Con- gress. A safeguard mechanism will be avail- able to any US industry seriously injured by increased Basin imports. To encourage in- vestment, rules of origin on imports to the US from Basin countries will be liberal but will require a minimum amount of local content (25%). The president will have dis- cretion to designate beneficiaries of these measures, and one important considera- tion will be a country's own efforts to carry out necessary internal economic reforms. To give countries time to take advantage of the opportunities in these proposals, the president has also asked Congress for an additional assistance appropriation this fis- cal year of $350 million to provide emer- gency assistance for several key countries whose situation is particularly critical. That will bring proposed FY 1982 economic as- sitance to $823.9 million or $403 million above FY 1981. In FY 1983, the administra- tion's request is for $664.4 million in eco- nomic assistance. This assistance, as the president said in his February address, is necessary to put Basin countries in a "start- ing position" from which they can begin to eam their own way. The centerpiece of the US program to encourage development through self-sus- taining growth is the offer of a one-way free trade arrangement. Products from Basin countries are already afforded liberal entry into the United States under the Gener- alized System of Preferences (GSP). In 1980, for example, $6.4 billion of the $10.4 billion in exports to the United States en- tered duty free. Nevertheless, some of the duties which remain in place are on prod- ucts of special interest in the Caribbean Basin. The one way free trade arrangement will allow these countries to expand into many products which they have not been able to produce for export previously. Fur- thermore, the complex structure of the GSP has proved difficult for inexperienced traders from the small Caribbean countries to master. And many of their more promis- ing opportunities have been excluded from GSP for reasons of trade relationships else- where in the world which have nothing to do with the Caribbean Basin. By extending duty free treatment for 12 years, the presi- dent is giving investors a firm long term basis for planning not present under GSP In addition to these measures which re- quire approval by both houses of Congress, President Reagan plans to take others as well. The US wil extend more favorable treatment to Caribbean Basin textile and apparel exports under bilateral and multi- lateral agreements while continuing our overall policy of seeking tighter limits on import growth from our major suppliers. The US will seek to negotiate double taxa- tion and bilateral investment treaties with interested countries. The US will work with multilateral development banks and the pri- vate sector to develop insurance facilities to supplement the Overseas Private Invest- ment Corporation's non-commercial in- vestment risk operation. Finally, the US will work with each country to develop strat- egies to coordinate and focus development efforts of local business, US firms, and pri- vate voluntary organizations. The strategies will seek to remove impediments to growth US ASSISTANCE TO THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. BY FISCAL YEAR 1981 (Actual) 419.6 167.4 143.4 Economic Development (DA) Economic Support (ESF) Food Aid (PL 480) Military Training (IMET) Sales Credits (FMS) Grants (MAP & 506) TOTAL ASSISTANCE Percent Economic Percent Military including lack of marketing skills, short- ages of trained manpower, poor regional transport, and inadequate infrastructure. A series of measures will support the efforts of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands to play a dynamic role in the Caribbean region. Their involvement will be critical to the success of private sector development strategies. The US government has con- sulted closely with Puerto Rico and the Vir- gin Islands about the Caribbean Basin Initiative. Legislation under the Initiative takes into account Puerto Rican and Virgin Island interests in many important ways. Excise taxes on all imported rum, for exam- ple, will be rebated to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Their inputs into Caribbean Basin production will be considered do- mestic inputs under the rules of origin to encourage use of products from Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Their industries will have access to the same safeguard provisions as mainland industries. This unique combination of trade, aid and investment initiatives addresses funda- mental economic problems. The measures are based on the assumption that eco- nomic progress helps enhance the security of a nation and promote peaceful demo- cratic development. As President Reagan noted last October at the Cancin Summit in Mexico, they are also based on the realiza- tion that nearly all of the countries that have succeeded in their development over the last thirtyyears have done so on the basis of market oriented policies and vigorous par- ticipation in the international economy. To promote progress over the long term, aid must be complemented by trade and investment. ($ Millions) 1982 (Budget) ( 474.6 211.3 140.0 1982 Supplemental) 350 350 3.24 1983 (Proposed) 664.4 217.6 326.0 120.9 106.23 4.93 471.11 586.74 410 89.3 10.7 101.3 770.73 86.2 13.8 How, specifically do they serve US inter- ests in the area? They advance our national interests in the Caribbean Basin in several ways: (1) by alleviating the root causes of human miserywhich have stimulated a ma- jor and sustained flow of people from the Caribbean Basin into the United States; (2) by promoting long-term self-sustaining growth, thus reducing the need for future assistance from the United States and ex- panding markets for our goods; (3) by strengthening regional cooperation and the principle of burden sharing, coordinating our contribution with those of Mexico, Can- ada, Venezuela, Colombia and with self help measures by recipient nations; (4) by en- hancing the security of and prospects for democratic political evolution in the area, thus offering a credible alternative to those who claim that economic progress can be achieved only through violent change and the impositions of Marxist governments; and (5) by protecting our strategic and eco- nomic interests by promoting stable neigh- bors friendly to the United States. Recently the Washington Post ended a long story about the Caribbean Basin by reporting that many in the United States- policy makers, Congress and even journal- ists-have onlythe barest knowledge of this area so close at hand. It remains to be seen, the paper reported, whether the United States can remain constructively engaged in this region over a long period of time. These, in fact, are the central questions which the president is addressing: Can we understand the needs of our closest neigh- bors? Can we then sustain the long-term commitment needed to support our vital interests and theirs? [ CAI?BBEAN FeVIEW/13 108.8 123.2 50.51 112.14 23.29 41.4 25.0 The Reagan Administration and Latin America An Uneasy Beginning By William D. Rogers and Jeffrey A. Meyers R onald Reagan began his mid Febru- ary news conference ready to discuss ow his administration would regain control over the economy. But reporters wanted the president to address a far differ- ent subject. Nine times the president was asked to explain how the United States intended to respond to the growing tur- bulence in the region, and nine times the president answered with studied ambigu- ity. Only if and when rebel guerrillas from El Salvador dropped a bomb on the White House was the president sure of his re- sponse. He said "he might get mad." Ronald Reagan appeared frustrated that day. He seemed generally irked that after a little more than one year in office, the atten- tions of his administration's foreign pol- icy-and those of the media-were focused much as they had been at the be- ginning of his term. They were focused on Central America. The president's unwillingness to disclose his plans for the region was also interpreted by some as a reaction to the growing con- cern of the American public and many in the Congress over the administration's in- ability to articulate a policy short of saying that there were "no plans to send American combat troops into action any place in the world." Although the president wanted to convince his audience that he would not be reckless with American lives, his inability to William D. Rogers, former Assistant Secretary of State for Latin American Affairs and Un- dersecretary of State for Economic Affairs in the Ford administration, is a senior partner at Arnold & Porter in Wash- ington. Jeffrey A. Meyers, a candi- date for a MA degree at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Stud- ies, serves as Law Assistant /L for International Affairs at o Arnold and Porter. 14/CAI?BBEAN rIvIeW state his mind in public confirmed the belief that his administration was running out of answers to the crisis in Central America. The new administration did not plan to exert its early energies on Central America. The president assumed office determined to tackle the vexing economic problems of inflation, high interest rates and unemploy- ment which some of his senior advisors warned at the outset threatened to engulf our nation in an "economic Dunkirk." Is- sues of foreign policy were to receive only episodic attention. Arms control, relations with Europe and even the intractable and threatening conflicts in the Middle East were pushed to one side. (Indeed, the only item that bore on how the United States would proceed to relate to the rest of the world that was designated for immediate action was the revitalization of our military power.) As far as our own hemisphere was concerned the administration appeared in- terested in doing little in its first few months other than providing small amounts of aid and some kind words in an attempt to snug- gle closer to the regimes scorned by the previous administration because of their human rights records. But events were not kind to the Reagan administration. For at the very moment it took office, it stumbled over some left-wing guerrillas, radical murder squads and in- dications of Cuban and Soviet involve- ment in a bloody micro-war in El Salvador. The January 1981 procla- mation by the left of a final of- fensive caught the new administra- tion at a bad time. Secretary of State- designate Haig had no experience in hemi- sphere affairs. But he was eager to assert his prerogative over the policy-making process and determined to demonstrate his anti- communist credentials to the Republican right wing. The leading figure of that right Illustration by Jorge Baiales. wing, Senator Jesse Helms, Republican from North Carolina, was to be Chairman of the Subcommittee of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee dealing with Latin America, and had given notice from the very outset that he intended to assert an influence on United States policy in the hemisphere greater than that of any senator in recent memory. The new administration compounded the difficulties of Executive Branch inex- perience and congressional aggressive- ness. It fired the chief of the State Department's Latin American Bureau within moments of Reagan's inauguration on January 20th. For two months thereaf- ter, through a critical early phase of the Sal- vador crisis, Haig and the White House were unable to decide even who to nominate to that key position. This left a gaping hole in the policymaking machinery. Even after Ambassador Thomas O. Enders was con- firmed in June, the difficulties continued, as the entire crew of deputy assistant secre- taries was shifted, and a host of new faces brought in. A Strong Posture At the very moment when the new admin- istration discovered the El Salvador crisis, Soviet armies were poised to attack Poland. Concern about Warsaw translated into an additional reason for a strong posture. Cen- tral America was seen as possibly important in itself, certainly as a place from which to send a signal to Moscow about American intentions in Eastern Europe. Perhaps then, it is not so surprising that the Reagan administration should have re- acted as it did. El Salvador became the one place where the new group, eager to articu- late a distinctive view of United States for- eign policy interests, could demonstrate its resolve, a battlefield in the superpower con- frontation-and in the process an early and important indication of the premises which might inform the Reagan response to other world problems as well. The difficulty was not so much what the new administration did in Salvador, but rather what it said. To some, it sounded like simple-minded anti- Sovietism. Yet, what Reagan did was very little more than the Carter administration had done, and what would have very likely been the choice of any American government in the same circumstances. Carter had resumed economic assistance to the Duarte regime in December, following a short suspension because of the murder of the four American churchwomen. Additional, yet modest, amounts of military aid began again in Jan- uary, before Reagan was swore in. The Reagan team did not announce any new initiative. They continued to support Duarte in El Salvador. The decision to do so, ironically enough, was probably forced on them by the blunder of the extreme right-wing Salvadoran Colonel D'Aubuis- son, who emerged briefly from under- ground in February to tell the world press that the Reagan administration was sym- pathetic to the far right; the White House had no alternative but to disassociate itself with him and in the process confirm its commitment to the Duarte government Carter's program of military support was maintained with the addition of a few more advisers and some helicopters and other equipment And Reagan went ahead with an expanded effort of economic aid, though ironically the program was shoring up the very agricultural and financial reforms which the old Salvadoran right was attack- ing so viciously. The new administration, in short, found itself supporting the same cen- trist government, the same land reformers and the same civilian-military combination as Carter. But the new Reagan team radically al- tered the rhetorical justification for the pol- icy. Reagan had said to The Wall Street Journal during the campaign that, "The Soviet Union underlies all the unrest that is going on. If they weren't engaged in this game of dominoes, there wouldn't be any hot spots in the world." In the administra- tion's early days, Secretary Haig and the new team at the White House gave every evidence that they believed this arrant nonsense. Armed with documents captured from guerrilla headquarters in the December fighting-documents that later proved less clear and convincing than the administra- tion had first claimed-the president and Secretary Haig announced that the conflict in El Salvador was in fact a test of wills between the United States and the Soviet Union. Reagan representatives-Assistant Secretary of State-designate Lawrence Ea- gleburger, and former CIA Deputy Vernon Walters-were quickly dispatched to meet with European and Latin American leaders to explain the administration's commit- ment to drawing the line in Central America against the further spread of communism. The complexities of the conflict between the various local factions in El Salvador, the long, singular history of El Salvador's politi- cal turmoil severely intensified by the land reform program in 1979, the pathological killing, and the total breakdown of law and order-all of these were obscured in Wash- ington in the first half of 1980 bythe admin- istration's concern for the rather modest flow of arms that the left was receiving from sources outside El Salvador. By emphasizing so stridently the infusion of arms to the insurgents, the administra- tion gave the impression that it believed a counterflow of US military assistance to the government could-and would-solve the problem. It thus lost the chance to demon- strate an early concern for the nonmilitary dimension of the conflict, as well as the CAIBBEAN rEVIEW/15 essentially centrist character of the Duarte regime it was trying to save. The new ad- ministration thus sacrificed domestic politi- cal support that it might have counted on had it articulated a subtler view. The result was a hardening in American public opin- ion against any further expansion of the US commitment, a growing opposition in Catholic circles against military aid of any kind, and the eventual passage by the new Republican Senate of legislation condition- ing further assistance to the Salvadoran government Strategic Implications More importantly, though, the administra- tion made three rhetorical points which had strategic implications considerably broader than El Salvador: Both Secretary Haig and the president declared that El Salvador would not be an- other Vietnam; in this case, they explained, the United States intended to not only sup- port its allies on the battlefield but to meet the problem of foreign arms "at its source." This sounded ominous. If their statements were meant to attract the attention of the Cubans and the Soviets, they did so. There were reports that Cuban forces were placed on alert, fearing an actual American inva- sion, and there is continuing high-level ap- prehension in Havana over what Wash- ington really intends. Moreover, the threat to go to "the source" injected a kind of manic quality into US policymaking. That state- ment could be taken as a warning to Moscow not to count on US rationality for the next four years. In a sense, it recalled Nixon in his less astute moments, who claimed that unpredictability should be an element in US policy toward the Soviet Union--that it is, in other words, desirable that the Soviets believe that the United States might on occasion react emotionally. In the long run, however, irrationality and policy are fundamentally antithetical. A rep- utation for unpredictability scarcely contrib- utes to the confidence of foreign policymakers in US foreign policy inten- tions, which is so essential particularly to Atlantic relations. The administration's ini- tial reaction to El Salvador raised doubts, dramatically in Europe, about its steadiness in other, future crises. Beyond this, the promise to resolve the problem "at its source" risked becoming an empty threat In the first instance, assuming that the warming was aimed at Havana, there is really not much that the United States can do, short of invasion or blockade, .which would, be a significant sanction against Cuba. Washington has maintained a trade embargo against the island for twentyyears. It could be tightened at the margin, but not in a way to hurt Cuba. The other Latins and Europe are not likely to join any new eco- nomic quarantine. The few cooperative ventures between Cuba and the United- States, such as the anti-hijacking treaty and weather information sharing, are not impor- tant to the Cubans but are in our interests. There is not much to be gained by de- nouncing them. New organs of propa- ganda may add something, though not a great deal, to what the VOA has been doing. It is inconceivable that the United States would revert to another clandestine effort against Cuba. And an outright military effort-blockade or an invasion-would deal a grave blow to US relations with Eu- rope andthe other maritime nations around the world, to say nothing of the fact that both measures would violate international law. The difficulty was not so much what the new administration did in El Salvador, but rather what it said. The administration's own evidence dem- onstrated that Cuba and Nicaragua were not the only "source" for the guerrillas' arms. The documents on which the admin- istration's case of foreign intervention rested did not establish the precise prove- nance of all the weapons, to say nothing of the routes by which they had found their way into El Salvador. What was clear is that they had come from a wide variety of. sources. In fact, the captured papers showed that even if Moscow and Havana terminated all arms shipments the guer- rillas would not be without resources. Even if the administration's policy of drying up direct shipments of communist arms from Cuba and elsewhere succeeded, the arse- nals of the leftist insurgents would not be completely diminished. The international weapons markets are too various. But the threat to go "to the source" was not the only rhetorical excess of the admin- istration. Even more important from the standpoint of global politics were the refer- ences by the president and Secretary Haig to El Salvador as being in the "front yard" of the United States. They probably meant to imply that a superpower has special rights in its immediate neighborhood-and by the same token that this special interest preempts the opposing superpower from acting there as he may elsewhere in the world. If so, the concept is important, and a dangerous contribution to contemporary foreign policy theory to boot. Many in the United States took the "front- yard" metaphor as a throwback to ancient notions of spheres of influence. Some sug- gested that the administration's formula- tion was not very far from the Brezhnev doctrine. In an awkward-and uninten- tional-way, the administration might have been interpreted as suggesting to the Sovi- ets that if the conflict in Salvador could be resolved satisfactorily the administration would recognize special Soviet interests in Afghanistan and Poland. Whatever the real intent, the "frontyard" view was clearly not the product of very careful analysis. Furthermore, the metaphor suggests pri- orities. Does El Salvador deserve a very high ranking in US foreign affairs con- cems? The answer is a ringing no. What happens there will not have much conse- quence elsewhere-nothing like, for exam- ple, the effect of the martial law crackdown in Poland or of the Iraq-Iran war. El Salvador has no raw materials; there is no significant American investment there; it occupies no strategic geography. Its weightiest claim to world attention is as a proving ground of Washington's foreign policy wisdom. The third overstatement was Secretary Haig's explanation to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that what was hap- pening in Salvador reflected a communist "fit list"-a master plan to capture Nic- aragua first, then Salvador, then Honduras and finally Guatemala. And, the secretary added, that objective had already been achieved in the first country. When the administration moved shortly thereafter to cut off the remaining as- sistance provided by the United States un- der the $75 million loan program for Nicaragua, and dispatched Ambassador- at-large Vemon Walters, as a special emis- sary to Guatemala to assure the Lucas regime, as Walters put it, that the US knew "who its friends were," it appeared to give life to its worst fears. Not only did the termi- nation of aid to Nicaragua have a discon- certing effect on those non-Marxists who are still fighting for a pluralist resolution there; more importantly, it suggested that the United States had itself given up the struggle for democracy in that country. The bolstering of the Lucas regime in Guatemala, by verbal assurances of sup- port, as well as by the provision of military spare parts, was also seen in Central Amer- ica, at least, as symbolic of a new attitude. El Salvador As far as El Salvador itself was concerned, the administration's early efforts not only betrayed a flawed analysis. They obscured the complex realities of the conflict. Most importantly, the remedies prescribed were inappropriate to the disease. What seemed to have escaped the administration's early calculations was that the Duarte govern- ment's success or failure would depend not merely on its military muscle. To survive, that regime would first have to persuade the people of El Salvador that it could slow down the killing-probably now higher per 16/CAI?BBEAN KvIEW capital than anywhere else in the world, with the possible exception of Cambodia-and to begin to move the country towards a regime of law and order. To that end, Duarte would have to bring the right-wing terrorists under control. As the year ended and 1982 began, how- ever, there was little evidence that Duarte's efforts were meeting with much success. Violence by the leftist guerrillas, by the right, and by government security forces re- mained at extraordinary levels. Sabotage by the insurgents of the country's economic infrastructure, the deterioration in the mor- ale of the Salvadoran Army, and a stepping up of the gruesome acts of the security forces and terror squads, raised doubts whether a peaceful political resolution was possible. Last January, Secretary Haig told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee what was already apparent that the civil war in El Salvador was at a "stalemate." The search for a political way out of the violence seemed stuck. The government and some elements of the opposition said they were ready to begin a dialogue. But Duarte, evi- dently under pressure from his military part- ners, refused to meet with any groups which did not lay down their weapons and sur- render the vight to armed insurgency. The opposition could not bring itself to consider anything more definitive than a cease-fire as the framework for talks. The United States was not readyto breakthe logjam, for fear of introducing new tensions into the already fragile Christian Democratic-mili- tary coalition. And France and Mexico, by publicly urging that the opposition be rec- ognized as a "representative political force," reflected both their interests in the Central American conflict and the deep division of opinion within the Atlantic Alliance and the Inter-American community on the issue. Some of the rhetorical excesses of the early days-nominating Central America as a region of supreme importance to US- Soviet and US-European relations-re- ceded when, in July, Assistant Secretary Thomas O. Enders, brought back from Brussels by Secretary Haig, declared in his first major statement on the issue that, "just as the conflict was Salvadoran in its origins, so its ultimate resolution must be Sal- vadoran." This adjustment in rhetorical em- phasis, however, was not long-lived. By the administration's first anniversary in office, official pronouncements struck a note more bellicose and as desperate as the crisis had grown. The guerrillas-their mili- tary and political strength shored-up-evi- denced greater success. They now gave every appearance of a formidable military force. Along with the steady and growing op- position to US involvement bythe Congress and the American public, the guerrillas' new successes over the past two months ulti- mately impressed the administration that its hand was slipping in El Salvador. The ad- ministration reacted quickly. Just days after our ambassador in San Salvador, Deane Hinton, publicly declared that the prospects for a non-military solution to the crisis looked bleak, Secretary Enders went before the Congress to seek $55 million more in military aid. A fortnight later, the president took the rostrum at the hall of the Organiza- tion of American States to announce what he labeled an "unprecedented" initiative of trade, aid and investment incentives that he believed would help create a "secure future" for the region. The roots of instability in El Salvador are to be found in many locations and not only in the cauldrons of Cuban and Soviet mischief. The president's Caribbean Basin Initiative does signal a positive departure from Wash- ington's traditional approach to the region. It holds out the promise of enhancing the long-term economic prospects for El Sal- vador and the region. But it is not sufficient to resolve the war that is raging today and now. Military aid applied in even lavish amounts will not convince the insurgents to cede their struggle. The president was right when he sug- gested in his OAS address that political sta- bility is linked in many ways to economic prosperity. But the calculus of the present crisis in El Salvador is more complex than that It is tied to centuries of discrimination and injustice by greedy oligarchs, a pas- sionate disrespect of civil and political rights of its citizens by the Army and a rigid bu- reaucratic system that was not capable of gradual change. In short, the roots of in- stability in El Salvador are to be found in many locations, and not, as the president and his secretary of state have implied, only in the cauldrons of Cuban and Soviet mischief. The themes of the administration's state- ments on El Salvador were once only nega- tive and unilateral-the United States, the administration argued, needed to stop ex- ternal arms shipments and defeat Central American insurgents in military combat. Today, there is more attention on the affir- mative and the regional: how to design a comprehensive development program for the Caribbean and Central American re- gion, drawing on the overlapping, though not entirely identical, interests and activities of the United States, Canada, Mexico and Venezuela. But though the emphasis has shifted from war to include economic growth, from threats and imprecations to positive talk about poverty and private investment, it is still plain that Central America and the Car- ibbean will continue to enjoy a high place on the worry list of the administration. The president conceded as much when he de- clared to the OAS that the Caribbean region "is a vital strategic and commercial artery for the United States." The reason for that priority is the continued conviction of the administration that what happens in Nic- aragua and Guatemala, as well as Jamaica, Grenada and Barbados, means something on the global balance scale. There are, of course, serious differences in the perceptions of the various policy- makers currently at post in Washington about the nature of the Soviet threat, and about ultimate Sovief intentions. But it is worthy of generalization that this admin- istration has so far tended to superimpose on the conflicts and difficulties of Central America and the Caribbean its own anx- ieties over the superpower balance. Though it is prepared to address the issue with de- velopmental as well as military instruments, it continues to see the region as a proving ground for a test of will with Moscow and Havana. Important questions emerge from this way of looking at Central America and the Caribbean as elements in the calculus of superpower politics. What if the Soviet Union agrees that Central America and the Caribbean indeed are our front yard? What if it withdraws from the competition there? (Indeed, there are those who suggest that it already has, in Central America, and that in fact there never was a real contest between the Soviet Union as such and the US; they add that this is the very reason why the administration selected the region in the first instance to demonstrate its metal.) Does that suggest that, in silent exchange, the United States might acquiesce in a simi- lar assertion of primacy by the Soviet Union in those areas which rim its national terri- tory? What if the administration declares its policy successful, the battle in the region over, and the United States victorious? Does that lead to withdrawal, a decline in concern and a diminution even of the positive devel- opment programs so nobly inaugurated? It is perhaps ironic-and it is certainly sad-that we are very unlikely to have the answers to these questions in the near fu- ture. The conflicts in Central America are too intransigent, too caught up in hate and violence. But the administration's course in the region, and its incapacity to articulate much by way of policy for the remainder of the hemisphere, make them no less weighty and legitimate. O CAIBBEAN 1eVIEW/17 The Real Clear and Present Danger A Critique from the Left By Richard R. Fagen Six weeks after Ronald Reagan was in- augurated as President of the United States, the Subcommittee on Inter- American Affairs of the House of Represen- tatives held hearings on El Salvador. One of the witnesses called was Col. Samuel T Dickens, a "Consultant for the National Se- curity and Foreign Relations Division of the American Legion." Among the opening paragraphs of Col. Dickens's prepared statement were the following: "The United States cannot afford to wear blinders, ignor- ing Cuban and Soviet efforts in the region. Ultimately our lack of courage destablizes our weaker friends and allies as they adjust their foreign policies. We must consider the serious consequences of any perception of weakness in an area acknowledged to be basic to United States security and how our European allies in NATO might question our resolve in Europe if we appear indif- ferent to the spread of communism in our own back yard. "During the past few years we have toler- ated Cuban activities in the hemisphere as though Fidel Castro were some sort of Latin American 'niio mimado,' or spoiled brat, whose efforts to spread communism could be tolerated with mild amusement and con- descension. Fidel Castro's call for an al- liance between Marxists and Christians is truly a call for an "unholy" alliance among atheists and Christians. Many deeply re- ligious followers have fallen into the trap of supporting communist guerrillas because of their mistaken belief that the lot of the poor would be improved. And so in the United States we have been readyto believe all sorts of lies about the state of El Sal- vador's economy and the rule of the so- called'fourteen families.' We were unable to differentiate between authoritarian and dic- tatorial leaders and fell prey to the commu- nist's call for a new 'wave of the future.' The 'wave of the future' turns out to be nothing but dictatorial control under communist Richard R. Fagan is Gildred Professor of Latin American Studies at Stanford University. Among his works are: Capitalism and the State in US-Latin America Relations, Latin America and the US, Politics & Privilege in a Mexican City, The Transformation of Po- litical Culture in Cubaand Cubans in Exile. 18/CAIfBBEAN IPEVEW sponsorship and leadership. "In the United States we end up having to deal with governments in our own hemi- sphere we are unable to influence, who are receiving political guidance and indoctrina- tion from Cuba and the Soviet Union, while forcing out authoritarian governments over which we had some semblance of influ- ence. What we haven't realized was that these changes, which we have helped bring about, have created reverberations throughout the hemisphere with shock waves being felt by our allies throughout the world. What we haven't been able to per- ceive is that our own security has come into jeopardy." At about the same time, tens of thou- sands of Americans received a direct mail appeal on Congressional letterhead over the signature of Representative Daniel B. Crane, a Republican from Illinois. The four page letter began as follows: "My dear friend...Ronald Reagan needs your support now more than ever. He needs your help in closing America's 'open door' to bomb- throwers, spies and revolutionaries. Castro sent his trained Communist revolutionaries into our country. They were hidden ariong the thousands of Cubans escaping Castro's bloody regime. Castro's agents have al- ready stirred up riots in relocation centers. Burning buildings. Destroying American property. Now here's what really scares me. President Reagan has no way of telling how many terrorists Castro sent. For that matter, there's no telling how many terrorists from Iran and other unfriendly countries slip through America's open door. The liberals have ripped apart our internal security sys- tems and created this 'open door policy' Liberals abolished the House Internal Se- curity Committee. And they're fighting off attempts to re-establish internal security. Now we're wide open for hate-America rev- olutionaries. That's why I'll be co-sponsor- ing the Anti-Terrorism Bill in this new session of Congress. Without it, Ronald Reagan is left virtually powerless to close the open door to terrorists. We have an obli- gation to help him. Don't you agree?" Bad grammar and substantive errors aside, what are the main ideas expressed in these two statements? They can be briefly summarized as follows: (1) Cuba (acting for the Soviet Union) is the primary cause of unrest in the region. As a first corollary, Cuba is the local staging area for "intera- tional terrorism." (2) The United States has been soft on Cuba, with grave conse- quences for US credibility and stability at home and abroad. (3) "Liberals" are re- sponsible for that softness, damaging not only US relations with friendly authoritaria- nisms, but the political process within the United States as well (capacity for self-de- fense). (4) This situation has reached the point where basic US security is en- dangered. (5) Therefore, emergency mea- sures are called for in both domestic and foreign policy. There are two additional aspects of this point-of-view worth noting: First, it is a ven- erable Cold War argument, dating at least from the early 1960s in what might be called its "Cuba-centric" form. Second, in bold outline it is identical with the basic formulations of the Reagan administration as articulated by the president, his secretary of state, and others. Jeanne Kirkpatrick may be more literate than Col. Dickens, but her widely circulated articles in Commentary differ from the American Legion analysis only in the sense that a sophisticated French pornographic movie is not a Times Square skin flick. What is also notable however-at least to date-is the failure of the Reagan admin- istration to act vigorously and coherently in ways consistent with this highly inflamma- tory and deeply ideological view of the hemisphere. Put somewhat differently, if US security is really endangered by Cuban ac- tions and revolutionary upheaval in Central America, why isn't the United States gov- ernment doing more about it? It would be comforting to believe, as many commentators and opposition politi- cians have speculated, that "the administra- tion is finally waking up" to the realities of the area, realizing for example that unrest in El Salvador is basically fed by local condi- tions and a long history of oppression rather than by Cuban and Nicaraguan agents and guns. Certainly saner voices at lower levels of the bureaucracy have been arguing this point of view for months. But to Jeane Kirkpatrick, US Ambassador to the UN. Wide World Photos. date there is no evidence that this perspec- tive has triumphed at the higher reaches of government To the contrary, it took only a few months for the administration to once again begin speaking about "going to the source" and "Cuban and Nicaraguan re- sponsibilities" after being forced into tem- porary quiescence in the face of the unanticipated barrage of international and domestic criticism, counter-evidence, and ridicule that greeted the El Salvador White Paper. Thus, the cyclical nature of the bellicose outbursts does not reflect a changing of beliefs, but rather a basic dilemma. The administration has not ceased thinking like Col. Dickens and Congressman Crane, but on the other hand it cannot find. ways to overcome the maze of obstacles that im- pedes acting on those beliefs. The periodic outbursts and threats thus carry multiple messages: At one level they mean just what they say. They are a reaffirmation of the administration's world view and a warming that consequential actions are being con- sidered. At another level they are cries of frustration, the ventings of an angry giant who can only throw words and an occa- sional adviser at the pigmies when what he really wants to do is unleash the thunderbolt. Finally, and most seriously, each new cy- cle ratchets up the stakes, making the threats seem more hollow and the need to act more acute. "In the Caribbean," as friend of the administration William Safire has written, "we have been foolishly whip- ping out our gun and putting it back in the holster." The critical question is thus under what circumstances is the gun likely to be fired instead of reholstered, and who is most likely to be the victim? The search for an- swers must begin with a closer look at the geography of frustration. The Geography of Frustration In what follows we deal almost exclusively with the geography of frustration as it de- rives from Caribbean and Central American realities. A more detailed analysis would, of course, have to examine additional domes- tic and international constraints on admin- istration policy. In particular, what is not now clear (and by its very nature can never be entirely clear before-the-fact) is the extent and depth of anti-interventionist opinion in the United States. What did become clear very early in the Reagan presidency, how- ever, was the fact that important sectors of Congress, the media, and religious and civic groups in the United States were not buying the administration line on the re- gion. Similar skepticism has also charac- terized most European allies as well as many important sectors of opinion in Latin America. Despite these constraints, the ad- ministration nevertheless continues to work vigorously to militarize US policy in the region. In political as well as cartographic terms the geography radiates out from Cuba. It makes sense, therefore, to begin with the alleged "source." The key tactical question given the belief system of the administra- tion is, "how vulnerable is Cuba?" The an- swer is, "not very." Even the most optimistic of Castro's Washington enemies by now must have abandoned the fantasy that the revolutionary government is about to crum- ble, that there is some diplomatic or eco- nomic straw that will break Fidel's back Despite invasion, subversion, exodus, isola- tion, mismanagement, adventurism, and a catalogue of other misfortunes (some ex- ternal, some self-inflicted) of Jobian pro- portions, the Cuban Revolution continues. Additional threats from the imperialist north, as US policy makers should have learned years ago, only strengthen Cuban resolve, only rally support for the government Nor is direct military action against Cuba particularly promising. Short of a massive commitment of US naval, land, and air forces, the island is impregnable. Addi- Continued on page 52 CAPBBEAN IPEevEW/19 I -i .. ,? .. , "" : :" : . , ,, ., ,, '. ' ~ ~ ~ ~ : .', ' ., ', "'."... ",,L ,-' .3. r_ ique From .t By L. Francis Bouche As thoughtful observers have realized for over a decade, Latin America and the entire Southern Hemisphere are on a global chessboard, and the United States can no longer pursue its long-stand- ing crap shooter's approach to its neigh- bors in this hemisphere. Unfortunately, there is still an overabundance of crap shooters working the Latin American scene and a severe shortage of geo-political chess players. The problems facing US Latin America policy makers and the problems which some find with new policy directions must be considered from first a compre- hensive geo-political and then from a more specialized regional perspective. The conflict in El Salvador is regional in nature but global in implication and may very well extend soon into the territorial United States. That reality can be more fully appreciated by reflecting briefly upon the geo-political contest in which the Soviet Union and the United States are engaged for control of the sources and supply routes of strategic resources, namely, petroleum and minerals. That petroleum and those minerals come from, or are transited through, our southern flank. They originate in the Middle East's Persian Gulf, in the case of petroleum, or from the South African mineral basket. The country is more than 90% dependent on foreign chrome, cobalt, manganese, and the platinum-group met- als and more than 50% dependent on an- other 13 foreign non-fuel minerals. Without secure access to these essential imported minerals, United States' industry would be unable to manufacture many electrical components, many chemical compounds, some types of glass, and some dental products. The automotive and L. Francis Bouchey is Executive Vice Presi- dent of the Council for Inter-American Security in Washington, D.C., and co-author of Guatemala: A Promise in Peril and of A New Inter-American Policy for the Eighties. 20/CAIBBEAN I IEW fuel-cell industries, stainless-steel produc- tion, aircraft, jet engine, missile and space industries would be gravely affected by er- ratic delivery of imported minerals. US technological pre-eminence could be dev- astated by interrupted mineral supply. The likelihood of shipping interdiction has in- creased markedly with the rapid destabiliza- tion of Central America. Soviet naval bases are naturals for Nicaragua and as revolu- tionary ferment spreads, Soviet naval in- stallations would be easy exchanges for economically bereft countries in the region. These vital materials on which free world industrial and military production and oper- ation depend are transported via an oceanic supply line that extends through the Persian Gulf, the Indian Ocean, and South Atlantic routes to Western Europe and to the United States. For the United States, the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico is the funnel or nozzle through which 70% of imported US petroleum products and 50% of US trade flows. The Caribbean region is not our back- yard, it is literally our front door. Throughout our history, the Caribbean has been recog- nized as an area of strategic importance for the United States. Thus as Ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick has observed, for the United States there is no place in the world more important today than Central Amer- ica. While it is argued that the United States is becoming caught up in a Central Ameri- can quagmire which will prevent it from being able to respond to more threatening prospective developments in Western Eu- rope, or elsewhere, it has to be pointed out that US power projection has always rested upon a cooperative Caribbean and a sup- portive-or truly neutral-South America. That is true whether the United States is actually or potentially engaged in conflict requiring the commitment of substantial military resources. The exclusion of Old World maritime powers from Cuba, the Car- ibbean and Latin America has helped the United States generate sufficient surplus power for balancing activities on European, Asian and African continents. Latin America, like Western Europe and Japan, is part of America's power base. Any United States power base, be it in Latin America, Western Europe or the Western Pacific, cannot be allowed to crumble if the United States is to retain adequate extra energy to be able to play a balancing role elsewhere in the world. For a balancing state like the United States, there is no pos- sibility of flexible global action if its power is immobilized or checked in any one area. Indeed, in areas vital to any nation's power potential, preservation of the status quo is not enough. If there is a loss of will with respect to the importance of improving a nation's relative power position, it will be only a matter of time until the inactive state is replaced by a competitor. The United States is being shoved aside in the Caribbean and Central America by a sophisticated, but brutal extracontinental super power manipulating client states. So- viet influence has expanded mightily since 1959. The Soviet Union is now ensconced in force in the Western Hemisphere. More- over, for the first time in well over a century, American troops may be called upon to defend its very borders and the territorial integrity of the continental United States. On the US Border An America pinned down on its Mexican border and caught up in an internal police action against terrorism would have little or no surplus power to project for the defense of overseas interests or allies. Thus, it is clearly in the interest of the Kremlin's geo- strategic chess players to exacerbate poten- tially destabilizing tensions and social con- flict that holds the promise of pinning down US forces in the Western Hemisphere or complicating their movement to other areas of the globe. A year ago a Salvadoran guerrilla com- 10 1/, T' ' or Lo ,tind? i iA ' I ~.:;i(-------~i-r- ::. .: .i :: i i ~ I; (:; " ''" i '''1'~"''' '. ~" "' .... mander called Neto told a foreign reporter. 'This is not just a Salvadoran resolution. \'e have to help all the oppressed and exploited people of Latin America. After we triumph here, we will go to Guatemala and offer our proletarian brothers the benefit of our expe- rience. Eventually we will fight in Mexico." Such expressions of intent forces attention to the less than reassuring reality of Mexico. Mexico is neither democratic nor progres- sive, and its political system is a brittle, one- party dictatorship based on institutional demagoguery. Pressure clouds of urbanization, balloon- ing population, foreign debt and in- creasingly pervasive corruption have been perceived on Mexico's horizon for at least five years, but few spoke or wrote about them because to raise the issue of the threat a destabilized Mexico would pose to the United States seemed imprudent, and likely to antagonize Mexican sensibilities. The better course seemed rather to accentuate the positive, seeking closer collaboration with official Mexico, aimed at ameliorating those pressures. The Carter administra- tion's ineptitude wasted the opportunity for this approach, one which held real promise in the early phase of the L6pez Portillo presi- dency. Now, well-to-do Mexicans are mov- ing their money, and in some cases themselves, to the United States. These people sense an explosion coming, es- pecially if Guatemala falls to Marnst-Leni- nist guerrillas. Mexico could become a new Lebanon. Upheaval in Central America is already destabilizing Mexico. There are re- ports of heightening disagreement between Mexican military officials responsible for safeguarding the oil fields and politicians who support revolutionaries. Ability to deny Mexican oil to current ma- jor importers such as Brazil and Japan, or to Europe in the event of a cut-off of Middle East suppliers, would enhance the correla- tion of forces aligned against the West globally. Even more ominous is the pros- Illustration by Danine L. Carey. pect of rampant terrorism and political po- larization as waves of desperate people, seeded with agents provocateur, fled north. A brief glimpse of what US society would have to grapple with was offered by the Mariel exodus of Cubans in 1980. Like- wise, the opposition surfacing among US Chicano spokesmen to a proposed pro- gram for national worker ID cards, aimed at discovering illegal immigrants from south of the Rio Grande, is but a hint of how readily American Chicanos might be alien- ated and polarized by efforts to police their ethnic brethren. New Policy Predicates President Reagan personally, the Re- publican platform officially, and Reagan- Bush advisors overwhelmingly recognized the necessity of establishing new policy predicates in this hemisphere. The failed Carter administration was viewed as having undermined alliances and destabilized al- lies on the altar of human rights, overlook- ing the ideological pedigree of those with whom it league in the cause of liberation and progress, and ignoring geo-political re- alities in pursuit of what its new-leftish ana- lysts called ideological pluralism. As the Committee of Santa Fe put it in A New Inter-American Policy for the Eighties (Council for Inter-American Se- curity, 1980), "The roots of the present se- curity dilemma of the United States are in the early 1960s-the Bay of Pigs fiasco in 1961, followed by the Kennedy-Krushchev Agreement ending the Cuban missile crisis of 1962, where the escalation of a threat beyond what had been previously consid- ered tolerable brought acceptance of what had been previously unacceptable. The ap- parent adoption in Washington of the posi- tion during the Vietnam War that Latin America was not strategically, politically, economically nor ideologically important further eroded the US position. And the post-Vietnam detente premises of Presi- dents Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford (that even an intransigent and disruptive Soviet Union lacked the capacity to disrupt an in- temational system now more plural in its power distribution as it involves China as a de facto US ally in the containment of the Soviet Union) became the basis for US policy. "President Jimmy Carter's Ibero-Ameri- can policies, undergirded intellectually by the reports of the Commission of United States-Latin American Relations and the In- stitute for Policy Studies (IPS), are the culmination of this accommodation pro- cess whereby Latin America is excluded from US strategic concems and indepen- dent Latin American regimes are aban- doned to extracontinental attacks by the international Communist movement. "Latin American governments were well aware that the Carter administration, upon taking office, sought to normalize relations with Cuba. The Commission and IPS re- ports called for basic changes in the US approach to Latin America in general and the Caribbean in particular. Arguing that military security need not be the overriding goal and ordering principle for US policy in Latin America; thatthe United States should CAIBBEAN IJVIeW/21 S Fidel Castro in Havana, 1961. Wide World Photos. not continue the policy of the isolation of Cuba; that 'Cuba's material support of sub- versive movements in other Latin American countries has diminished in recent years'; that the United States should end the Cuban trade embargo; and that 'an equita- ble new agreement with Panama regarding the Canal would serve US interests not only in Panama but throughout Latip America,' the Commission and IPS engineered the end of the American presence in the Carib- bean. The Institute for Policy Studies report was optimistic regarding the socialist gov- ernments of Jamaica and Guyana and used the phrase 'ideological pluralism' to en- courage a receptive US attitude toward pro- Soviet socialist models of political and eco- nomic development. "President Carter had reflected this atti- tude at his Notre Dame speech in 1977 when he declared thatthe United States had overcome an 'inordinate fear of commu- nism.' The pardon of convicted Puerto Rican terrorists, the casual attitude toward Fidel Castro's efforts to push the non- aligned movement substantially closer to the Soviet world view, and the cordial recep- tion at the White House in 1979 of three sandinista members of the Nicaraguan revolutionaryjunta, which included a mem- ber trained in Cuba, became characteristic of US-Latin American policy." The new Reagan policy was supposed to be based on a comprehensive ethical real- ism that would take into account the ele- ments of social, political and economic 22/CAIBBEAN REVIEW underdevelopment, which the totalitarian left exploits, and to apply free market mech- anisms to their alleviation. Anticipating the recently announced Caribbean Basin Initia- tive, the Committee of Santa Fe counseled that: "The United States must launch a new positive policy for the greater Caribbean, including Central America. That policy will provide multi-faceted aid for all friendly countries under attack by armed minorities receiving assistance from hostile outside forces. The program will wed the most suc- cessful elements of the Truman Doctrine and the Alliance for Progress. "Concurrently, the United States will re- affirm the core principle of the Monroe Doc- trine: namely, no hostile foreign power will be allowed bases or military and political allies in the region. A revitalized Monroe Doctrine will be made multilateral-a view long held by key Latin American republics. "The United States can no longer accept the status of Cuba as a Soviet vassal state. Cuban subversion must be clearly labeled as such and resisted. The price Havana must pay for such activities cannot be a small one. The United States can only re- store its credibility by taking immediate ac- tion. The first steps must be frankly punitive. Cuban diplomats must leave Washington. Aerial reconnaissance must be resumed. American tourist dollars must be shut off. The 1977 fishing agreement, highly advan- tageous to the Cuban fishing fleet, must be reassessed. "The United States must offer the Cubans clear alternatives. First, it must be made absolutely clear to the Cuban govern- ment that if they continue as they have, other appropriate steps will be taken. Cuba has been a problem for American policy- makers for more than two decades. The problem is no nearer solution today than it was in 1960-indeed, the problem has grown to truly dangerous proportions. Cuba is not only an effective weapon for the Soviet Union in Africa and the Middle East, it is also increasingly effective as a force for subversion of our southem flank-the Car- ibbean and Central America. "The Reagan administration must under- stand that Havana does not want normal relations except on its terms-terms which are inimical to the most basic security inter- ests of the United States and our friends in the Western Hemisphere. Cuba will not ac- cept any modus vivendi with this country that compromises its relationship with the Soviet Union. "For more than a decade, Havana's sub- ordination to Moscow's foreign policy goals has lifted both Communist powers to new heights of influence around the world. In Africa and the Middle East, the Cubans have supplied the raw military force that keeps Marxist regimes in power in Angola, Ethi- opia and South Yemen. These countries in turn supply Moscow and Havana still further opportunities in mineral rich south and central Africa and the oil rich Persian Gulf. "Meanwhile, Cuban aid to leftwing move- ments in Nicaragua, El Salvador and Guatemala have in the last two years turned Central America into an area of great in- stability. That in turn presents great oppor- tunities for both Cuba and the Soviet Union in Mexico with its oil and Panama with its canal. "Finally there remains the glaring prob- lem of the Soviet Union's growing military and intelligence presence in Cuba itself. The Carter administration did nothing about Soviet pilots flying air defense mis- sions for Cuba. It did nothing about super- sonic attack aircraft (MiG 23s) and submarines being transferred to the Cuban military. It did nothing about military base improvements in Cienfuegos and San An- tonio de los Bafios. It did nothing about Soviet intelligence facilities near Havana. "Cuba at some point must be held liable for working with the Soviets on a successful policy of subversion and destabilization in this hemisphere. At the same time, we must shore up our remaining friends in the area and carry out, for once, some preventive measures. Havana must be held to account for its policies of aggression against its sis- ter states in the Americas. Among those steps will be the establishment of a Radio Free Cuba, under open US government sponsorship, which will beam objective in- formation to the Cuban people that, among other things, details the cost of Havana's 'I unholy alliance with Moscow. If propaganda fails, a war of national liberation against Castro must be launched. "The second alternative would be to en- courage the Cubans to make a radical shift in their foreign policy. Although it is unlikely that the United States can win the Cubans away from the Soviet Union, we should make it clear that if the Cuban-Soviet al- liance is ended, the United States would be generous. The Cuban economy is in ruins-demolished by twenty years of mis- management and Soviet modeling. US as- sistance should go well beyond what even the Castro regime is demanding as an American step toward normalization of rela- tions. Thus Havana must be presented with two clear options. It is free to choose either, but the United States must carry out the threat or the promise with equal vigor." Following Through The policy parameters on the horizon when Ronald Reagan assumed office would ap- pear to be in place, at least rhetorically. The Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI) embodies rather fully the trade and aid notions con- tained in A New Inter-American Policy for the Eighties. To that package has been added strong support for the initiation of democratic processes. A policy embellish- ment that in the wake of recent successfully conducted elections in Honduras and El Salvador deserves high praise. On the other hand, critics from diverse ideological per- spectives fault the administration for exces- sively bellicose public rhetoric amid minimal evidence of actually positioning the country to follow through. An inter- agency task force for high-level coordina- tion of all aspects of the crisis in the Carib- bean Basin, political, military, and diplo- matic is still lacking, and as this is written, Congressmen report that the White House is applying little muscle on behalf of their proposed Radio Marti, that would tell Cubans the truth about Cuba and the world. More distressing has been the admin- istration's poorly presented case concern- ing the nature and extent of Nicaragua's and Cuba's connection to violence in El Salvador and elsewhere. Politically, the mo- mentum passed to opponents of US in- volvement against the revolutionaries by the fall of 1981--exactlywhat mid-level offi- cials wamed would happen months before unless the administration presented its case cogently and forcefully. With the White House's attention obsessively focused on the battle of the budget, Latin America was once again relegated to second level offi- cials, at least some of whom one knows, or suspects, were more comfortable with Car- ter than with Reagan policy. The failure lies in not moving swiftly and effectively from the conceptualization of policy to its execu- tion. That lag could very conceivably achieve exactly the reverse of what was , ,,i .',," ,,,.'1 - The prestigious scholarly journal of the INSTITUTE OF CARIBBEAN STUDIES / UNIVERSITY OF PUERTO RICO ISSN 0008-6533 Caribbean Studies is entering its third decade of uninterrupted publication. It is written and edited by and for Caribbeanists and other persons keenly interested in keeping up with the best in Caribbean scholarly research and writing from a multidisciplinary, multicultural perspective. Here is a sample of articles, essays and research reports scheduled for publication in Volume 20 (1980). Equality and Justice: Foundations of Nationalism in the Caribbean / Wendell Bell Esclavitud y Diplomacia: Los Limites de un Paradigma Hist6rico / Francisco Scarano The Trajectory of Canadian-Panamanian Relations / Graeme S. Mount Piri Thomas: Author and Persona / Eugene V. Mohr Exploration and Exploitation of Manganese Nodules in the Caribbean / Edmund Dale Bibliography of Theses and Dissertations on Venezuelan Topics / William Sullivan Trends in Caribbean English Fiction / Maria Teresa Babin Malaise Social et Criminalit6 aux Antilles Frangaises / Auguste Armet PLUS: Book Reviews Current Bibliography Documents To keep abreast of significant developments in Caribbean studies in the 1980s, subscribe now. Just fill out, clip and mail the attached subscription form. TO: Institute of Caribbean Studies, University of Puerto Rico P.O. Box BM, University Station, Rio Piedras, P.R. 00931 Please enter my subscription to Caribbean Studies as indicated below. Enclosed is my check (or money order) for US$ in payment of this subscription. Volume 19 (1979) US$ 20 instit. US$ 15 indiv. L] 20 (1980) $20 instit. $ 15 indiv. [ 21 (1981) $25 instit. $ 16 indiv. O SPECIAL OFFER (new subscribers only). Subscribe to all three volumes (19, 20 & 21) and pay only: $40 individuals (save $6); $60 institutions (save $5). NAME INSTITUTION ADDRESS intended with the United States ending up as the guarantor of a communist regime in Nicaragua after a throw of the negotiating dice that looks for a politically cheap fix. The dramatically high tumout of voters in El Salvador may buy the administration a bit more time, but a settlement with Nicaragua about anything other than when they will live up to their promises of pluralism and elections will be a setback of major propor- tions. Washington would, per the Mexican accommodationist scenario, agree to squelch anti-sandinista liberation efforts in exchange for a sandinista promise to halt the flow of arms, etc., to El Salvador. Threats and enticements must be judi- ciously blended and promises be meted out or else the line Reagan drew in the sand last year will be blown away like Jimmy Carter's quickie crisis over the Soviet brigade in Cuba. In that event the United States could confront another failed presidency and the prospects of restoration of US world leader- ship diminished. LI CAI BBEAN IVIEW/23 . .4 .. 49 / s s IL.: -, The End of the Good Neighbor Policy Changing Patterns of US Influence By Bryce Wood he history of efforts by the United States to implant democratic govern- mental systems in the Caribbean area is largely one of failure. The early interven- tions around the turn of the century, were aimed primarily at the reassertion of the Monroe Doctrine following the defeat of Spain. In order to prevent European gov- ernments from intervening to force the re- payment of debts, the United States asserted that it had the right to intervene in the Dominican Republic for example, to set up a customs receivership that gradually -repaid investors. Marines were sent into Haiti and into Nicaragua to maintain order, since foreign investments did not thrive in situations where unrest was chronic. The principal case where the United States made an all out attempt to induct a state into the democratic fold was that of Nicaragua at the end of the 1920s. The United States Marines were landed in Nic- aragua following the outbreak of civil war in 1926. Secretary of State Henry L Stimson arranged a truce, and proposed that the Marines would police the country; that elec- tions be held; and that a non-political force, the National Guard, be trained to keep the peace in the future. The Marines, however, were unable en- tirely to keep the peace, for a group led by Augusto Sandino, formed a guerrilla de- tachment that was able with help from Hon- duran,sources, to carry out raids and kill a number of North Americans as well as Nic- araguans. However, two fair elections were supervised bythe Marines, and the National Guard was trained and armed. The Marines were withdrawn shortly before the inaugu- ration of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1933, and Stimson stated that Nicaragua was well on its way to becoming a democratic country. However, Anastasio Somoza, the officer ap- pointed by the United States to head the National Guard, used his well-trained troops to overthrow the elected govern- ment, and, after arranging for the as- sassination of Sandino, Somoza estab- Political scientist Bryce Wood is the author of Peaceful Change and the Colonial Prob- lem and The Making of the Good Neighbor Policy (Columbia University Press), among other works. lished himself with such authority that he and his family ran Nicaragua as though it were their estate from 1935 to 1979, when a revolution overturned the system. This failure to instill even the rudiments of a democratic regime was preceded by the announcement of the Good Neighbor pol- icy in Roosevelt's inaugural address, and the beginnings of a policy of noninterven- tion on the part of the United States. The policy was first established by Roosevelt and Secretary of State Cordell Hull, when they refused to send troops to Cuba at the request of Ambassador Sumner Welles. Their decision in this case set the precedent for non-intervention that was not broken until the CIA-sponsored invasion of Guatemala in 1954. Not only did the United States refuse to intervene with troops, but Secretary Hull announced in 1935 that the United States would also refrain from inter- fering in the domestic political affairs of any Latin American state, on the ground that such action had been found to result in intervention. The distinction here was that intervention meant the landing of troops, or provision of military assistance to one side in a civil war; while interference referred to a whole group of activities ranging from offer- ing advice, to economic sanctions. Non- interference was vividly expressed by Willard L Beaulac, Assistant Chief, Division of Latin American Affairs, who said in 1936 to a visiting Nicaraguan politician who re- gretted that he (Beaulac) hesitated to give any advice on the situation in Nicaragua: "I said that there was no hesitation at all on my part; that I was determined not to give him advice." Thus the United States did nothing when Somoza's National Guard took over the government, nor did it do anything to prevent Rafael Leonidas Trujillo Molina or Francois Duvalier from consolidating their dictatorial controls over the Dominican Re- public and Haiti. The Good Neighbor policy was never intended to establish democratic political institutions in Latin American countries. The failure of Stimson's policy in Nicaragua was well recognized, and many are the statements in diplomatic memoirs and correspondence that assert that democracy cannot be 'imposed' upon one country by another. The Good Neighbor was, first of all, a negative policy of restraint, imposed upon itself by the great power, the United States. It was a basic first step that, to the Latin Amer- icans, meant that they could look forward to negotiation, compromise and arrange- ments, rather than to the blunt use of force against them by the single great power in the hemisphere. This meant, on their part, restraint also, in that they would not ask too much of the United States in their mutual dealings. The view was often expressed by United States diplomats, that the Good Neighbor policy was not a "one-way street" but that they expected to be met half-way or part-way along the street, when interests clashed. The United States' attitude was one that anticipated reciprocity, in return for pledges on its part not to intervene. Two Cases The classic case demonstrating these prin- ciples was offered in March 1938 when President Lazaro Cardenas of Mexico expro- priated American and British oil com- panies. Would the United States use force to help the companies regain their positions? It would not, although the argument was long and hot. The United States at first sent a note to Mexico through Ambassadot Josephus Daniels, demanding prompt and adequate compensation for the expropri- ated lands. Daniels, fearing the effects of the note, gave it to the foreign minister, but told him that he could regard it as not having been delivered. This meant, in effect, to Hull's annoyance, that the note was with- drawn. The Department of State then pro- posed arbitration of the dispute, a suggestion that Mexico refused, saying that its experience with arbitration in compara- ble cases indicated the expropriator always lost its case. Hull and Welles finally realized that the only way in which to secure a settle- ment was by political negotiation rather than through juridical procedures. A solu- tion of this type was facilitated by the desire of the United States to use Mexican airports for refueling of planes going to the Panama Canal. Thus it was, only ten days before Pearl Harbor, that a settlement was reached that left the troublesome matter of compen- sation for the oil companies to a two-man CAI?BBEAN PlVIE/25 panel-one Mexican and one North Ameri- can--to determine the issue. Their decision gave the companies about $23,000,000, less than a tenth of the $250,000,000 claimed. This settlement laid the basis for a revi- sion with the aid of the Department of State, of Venezuela's share of oil revenues from that country's production. It was also in this case that Welles made his famous remark that the companies must not be permitted, as had occurred in the Mexican case "to jeopardize our entire Good Neighbor policy through obstinacy and short-sightedness. Our national interests as a whole far out- weigh those of the petroleum companies." The latter were thus brought to agree to increasing Venezuela's share of the income from oil operations. By obtaining high marks in Latin Amer- ica from these two cases, and by its policy of military and financial assistance to Latin American governments, the United States secured the cooperation of all but Argentina in the war effort. Even in Argentina, which did not break diplomatic relations with the Axis until January 1944, and did not declare war against it until March 1945-un- becomingly late-its ranchers continued to ship their precious beef, grains, leather and other products to United Nations countries throughout the war. It is this record of gaining collaboration from Latin America during World War II that is commonly cited as indicating that the Good Neighbor policy was a successful one. Acceptance of the leadership of the United States in resisting Japan and Ger- many was the primary test of inter-Ameri- can solidarity. Such acceptance was to be expected from dictators such as Somoza, Trujillo, Duvalier and Jorge Ubico in Guatemala. They were aware of the over- whelming might of the United States, and rightly managed their foreign and domestic policies to accord with Washington's. Per- haps the critical case among dictatorial re- gimes was that of Getulio Vargas in Brazil, who had shown signs of cooperating closely with Germany in trade relations in the pre-World War II years. However, at the Rio de Janeiro Conference in January 1942, Vargas decided to join with the sup- porters of the United States. He broke rela- tions with the Axis and later declared war; gave the United States aircraft landing rights at Natal in Brazil's "bulge"; placed Brazil's navy under the command of a United States officer, Admiral Jonas In- gram; and sent a Brazilian division to fight in Italy. The United States was certainly not going to raise issues about human rights or political freedom with these governments that were cooperating so closely in the struggle for survival against the Axis. When the war had ended, however, new problems arose in Latin America and the Caribbean area in particular, along with a 26/CA ?BBEAN vPIEW new threat-that of the Soviet Union, usu- ally described as "international commu- nism." Argentina, which had been admitted into the United Nations through Herculean efforts by Secretary of State Edward Stet- tinius and Assistant Secretary Nelson Rockefeller, was not fully accepted into the family of American states until she had taken action against German individuals re- garded by Assistant Secretary Spruille Braden as sources of possible danger to Argentina and her neighbors. Only then was it possible to arrange for negotiation of the Rio Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance in the autumn of 1947, and for the institu- The Good Neighbor policy was never intended to establish democratic political institutions in Latin American countries. tionalization of the Organization of Ameri- can States (OAS) through the establish- ment of the Charter of Bogota in the spring of 1948. In the Caribbean, new forces were at work. Somoza attempted to bring down Jos6 Figueres who had come to power in Costa Rica; and the Caribbean Legion aided by a new liberal regime in Guatemala under President Juan Jose Ar6valo, tried to orga- nize raids against Trujillo. These, and other actions were countered by the OAS, just beginning to work out its arrangements for peace-keeping, with the aid of the Inter- American Peace Committee (IAPC). The IAPC was capable rapidly of sending some of its members to the scenes of hostilities to see what was going on, and to threaten violators of the non-intervention articles of the Bogota Charter with joint counter- action. The United States strongly supported the IAPC in these efforts, since the Department of State considered the use of force as an element of instability in the Caribbean, and therefore undesirable. Despite protests that it was doing nothing to foster democracy in Nicaragua or the Dominican Republic, the Department unilaterally maintained a pol- icy of non-intervention in the Caribbean countries. In the fall of 1945, Ambassador Adolf A. Berle had made a speech in Brazil urging that Vargas hold elections as prom- ised, which meant the end of Vargas' term in the presidency. This was regarded in Brazil as "intervention" in domestic affairs, but it seemed to have little effect on Vargas, who was ousted by an army coup on his ap- pointment of his brother, Benjamin as chief of police in Rio de Janeiro. The army appar- ently feared that its officers would be ar- rested if the appointment went through. In the Caribbean, however, the non-inter- vention policy of the Truman administration was just as "pure" as that which flourished under President Roosevelt. In 1946 and 1947, Somoza arranged an elaborate cha- rade in which his successor as president turned out to be less malleable than Somoza desired. Somoza thereupon turned him out with the aid of the National Guard, and made his uncle Victor Manuel Roman, president As reported from Man- agua, Roman was "an amicable, none too active old gentleman whose best days are past and whose greatest virtue in the eyes of General Somoza is his subservience to the latter." Roman was not recognized by the United States, and the Department said that Guillermo Sevilla Sacasa, the Nicaraguan ambassador in Washington, should know "that we had absolutely no intention of pick- ing the next president of Nicaragua." This policy of non-intervention and non-inter- ference was accepted as part of the Good Neighbor policy, and was maintained with absolute correctness toward Latin America by the Truman administration until it handed over the presidency to Dwight D. Eisenhower in January 1953. The Policy of Containment The Caribbean, however, could not be sep- arated from world developments, the chief of which was the expansionist effort of the Soviet Union in the troubled years following the end of World War II. When in the spring of 1947, the British government informed Washington that it could no longer support the government of Greece in its fight against Communist irregulars, the Truman administration consulted with Congress and the American people, and legislation was passed that approved massive aid to Greece and Turkey that resulted in the de- feat of the Communist forces, and pre- vented the Soviet Union from gaining control of the eastern Mediterranean, and perhaps also of Iran and its oil. This was the occasion of the application of the Truman Doctrine and the policy of containment. The enemy was visible, and the measures to be taken were obvious, and successful. The Truman Doctrine was closely followed by the Marshall Plan, offering the opportunity to Europe to provide jobs and hope to its peoples. In the Americas, communism advanced in different fashion. In Guatemala, a revolu- tion in 1944 forced Ubico to flee, and Ar6valo, the new president, entered upon a series of intemal reforms of a liberal charac- ter. He and his successor Jacobo Arbenz, who carried the reforms further, and expro- priated lands owned by the United Fruit Company, found it useful to cooperate with local Communists, who provided manage- rial skills in various fields of labor, agricul- ture and health services. There were no Communists in Arbenz' cabinet, and only four in the congress, and it is estimated that there were fewer than 4000 in the country as a whole. Nevertheless, the Communists were able to turn Guatemala's foreign policy from one that followed the lead of the United States, to one that followed the lead of the Soviet Union, notably in the United Nations. The United States government protested the United Fruit Company expro- priations, but this was an issue that probably could have been solved in much the same manner as had been found possible for the Mexican oil dispute. In the circumstances of the Cold War, it is understandable that a state of mind expressed by the executive secretary of the National Security Council, James S. Lay, Jr., became dominant in Washington in the 1950s: "It is quite clear from Soviet theory and practice that the Kremlin seeks to bring the free world under its dominion by the methods of the cold war. The preferred technique is to subvert by infiltration and intimidation." Applying this view to the situation in Guatemala, the Eisenhower administration determined on a policy of ousting the Ar- benz government, which appeared to be cooperating with Communists. In so doing it made use of a new organization in the United States, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). The CIA had proposed that it act against Arbenz during the Truman ad- ministration, but Truman and Secretary of State Dean Acheson had refused it such authority. In the Eisenhower administration, however, with John Foster Dulles as Secre- tary of State and his younger brother, Allen Welsh Dulles as Director of the CIA at a critical period in the Cold War, the president gave the CIA a go-ahead signal in the late summer of 1953. The CIA selected Col. Carlos Castillo Armas, a Guatemalan exile, to head a group of Guatemalans and others that would invade Guatemala from Hon- duras. The -invaders, who would be sup- ported by aircraft manned by pilots who were citizens of the United States, and by an elaborate radio campaign run by a North American, aimed at the ousting of Arbenz and his replacement by Castillo Armas. Secretary Dulles, at a meeting of American foreign ministers at Caracas in March 1954, succeeded in getting a resolution passed condemning the activities of international communism in the Americas, and calling for a meeting of foreign ministers to consult Democracy cannot be 'imposed' upon one country by another. on appropriate action in the light of existing treaties. The vote was 18 to 1 (Guatemala) with Argentina and Mexico abstaining. On May 18, a Swedish ship, the Alfhem unloaded some 2000 tons of arms and mu- nitions in Puerto Barrios; the arms came from the Skoda works in Czechoslovakia and were loaded at Stettin, in Poland. The Department viewed this development as one of "gravity," but the Department took no steps to arrange for a meeting of foreign ministers, nor did any other American republic. On June 17, Castillo Armas and his force of some 500 men invaded Guatemala. The Guatemalan army put up only a token re- sistance. United States planes-P-47s- dropped some small bombs on Guatemala City, and the United States radio station in Honduras exaggerated the strength of the invaders. Arbenz, on leading that his army would not fight, and not trusting his air force whose chief had recently become an exile, resigned on June 27, giving power to an army junta, and took asylum in a Latin American embassy along with some 400 of his followers. The arms shipment from the Alfhem had been sequestered by the army, so there was no armed body of civilians to support the regime. The Communists did not organize a guerrilla force, so that there was practically no fighting after Arbenz' re- linquishment of power. Putting Castillo Armas into the presi- dency required some alert maneuvering by AmbassadorJohn E. Peurifoy that included the provision of diplomatic posts in the United States for two members of a five- man junta. Arrangements were completed, however, and Castillo Armas was elected provisional president on July 7, and the United States and other governments rec- ognized his regime on July 13. The role of the CIA in financing the inva- sion was a secret, even to senior officers in the Department of State until April 1954, and the press carried no indication of the CIA's activities at the time or for several years thereafter. While expressing satisfac- tion over the success of Castillo Armas, it was the position of Eisenhower, John Fos- ter Dulles, Peurifoy and Vice President Rich- ard M. Nixon that "the Guatemalan people themselves" had risen up against Arbenz. It was not until the early 1960s that the par- ticipation of the CIA in the affair was recog- nized, and not until the late 1970s that several books were published admitting the CIA's activities, such as that of David Atlee Continued on page 54 CABBEAN IJVIEW/27 The Tradition of Democracy in the Caribbean Betancourt, Figueres, Muiioz and the Democratic Left By Charles D. Ameringer Democracy in the Caribbean? It is not a strange concept: for almost thirty years after the Second World War a remarkable trio of Caribbean leaders de- fended and promoted the democratic ideal with greater consistency than most leaders outside the region. R6mulo Betancourt of Venezuela, Jose "Don Pepe" Figueres of Costa Rica, and Luis Mufioz Marin of Puerto Rico struggled to establish representative democracy in their respective homelands and to aid in its triumph in neighboring countries as well. They endured the disap- pointments of the years following World War II, when the United States switched its concern from fighting fascism to combat- ting communism. They persevered during the dark days of the fifties, when military dictatorships dominated the region and threatened to snuff out the democratic flame completely. They suffered the cruel twist of fate of the sixties, when the Cuban Revolution seized the initiative and tried to cast them in the role of reactionaries and US lackeys. By the seventies, they had suc- ceeded through surviving and what they had accomplished, as fragile as it might be, provided a hope for the eighties. A significant factor which contributed to the success of Betancourt, Figueres, and Mufioz was the degree to which they shared a similar notion of democracy. Each main- tained that the true test of democracy was its ability to resolve basic economic and social problems. In this, they acknowledged an indebtedness to the political philosophy of the Peruvian leader,Victor Ra6l Haya de la Torre, the founder of the American Popular Revolutionary Alliance (APRA). Each Charles D. Ameringer teaches Latin American history at the Pennsylvania State University. He is the author of The Democratic Left in Exile: The Antidictatorial Struggle in the Caribbean, 1945-1959 published by The Uni- versity of Miami Press and Don Pepe: A Polit- ical Biography of Jose Figueres of Costa Ricapublished by The University of New Mex- ico Press. 28/CAIBBcAN PEVIEw adopted in some form Haya's belief that representative democracy was the most ef- fective vehicle for the attainment of equal economic opportunity and social justice. They were attracted especially to Haya's multiclass concept which abhorred the class struggle and sought instead class har- mony, working to overcome poverty and inequality within a democratic order. They embraced his idea of the responsibility of the state for social well-being and eco- nomic development through institu- tionalized reform and government plan- ning. They, as he, recognized the right of private property, but asserted the principle of government intervention in the econ- omy, particularly in order to defend basic economic activity and natural resources and to assure an equitable distribution of the fruits of production. They agreed with Haya that democracy functioned best in a just society which provided adequate edu- cation, housing, and health care. Because they recognized Haya as their intellectual precursor, they were frequently labelled "Apristas," but Betancourt argued that, while their movements had a kinship, they also had their idiosyncrasies. He preferred 'the term democratic revolutionary, whereas Figures referred to himself as a social democrat, and Mufoz adopted the name popular democrat. They were, in essence, leaders of the democratic left, a more ap- propriate term because of its general nature and the distinct experiences which shaped the three leaders. However, they all confessed to being admirers of the US New Deal. The three men developed many of their political ideas during the thirties when the United States was coping with economic hard times without sacrificing its demo- cratic traditions. In referring to the New Deal, Figueres declared, "If we had been there, we would have been New Dealers." Although their admiration for the New Deal frequently caused them to be criticized as pro-US, the attitude of the three was more a recognition of North American liberalism and the pluralism of the US political system than an uncritical view of US policies and actions. Each formed very close relation- ships with leaders of the US Democratic party, particularly New Dealers. For Muiioz, the relationship was the most natural. He rose to political prominence in Puerto Rico during the most vigorous period of the New Deal, and the Popular Democratic party, which he founded in 1938, was modeled after that of the Democratic party of Frank- lin Roosevelt. He learned much about the art of democratic politics through his asso- ciation with New Deal administrators Er- nest Gruening and Rexford Guy Tugwell. In the case of Figueres, although the circum- stances were different, he enjoyed an inti- mate friendship with Adolf Berle, another New Deal brain truster. This friendship was transformed into close US-Costa Rican ties during the administration of John F Ken- nedy, when Berle served as an adviser for Latin American affairs. Betancourt's list of North American confidants was long, but he was also an avid reader and his own writings reflected the influence of those of Robert Sherwood and Harry Hopkins, among others. He is probably best-known for his friendship with President Kennedy, but preceding it, during his exile in the fifties, he had collaborated with social dem- ocrat and professor Robert Alexander, Serafino Romualdi of the American Federa- tion of Labor, and historian Arthur Schlesinger, Jr., then prominent in the Americans for Democratic Action. It is clear that the three Caribbean leaders were influ- enced by the main currents of US demo- cratic thought of the thirties and forties, including the democratic idealism of World War II, and they converted it into political action during the next three decades. Political Parties Each of the leaders founded a political party, which eventually ranked among the strongest in the Caribbean and gave sub- Figures, Mufioz, and Betancourt, 1965. Courtesy Venezuelan Embassy. stance and permanence to his action. Mufioz founded the Popular Democratic party (PPD) in 1938. Although Puerto Rico's peculiar situation as a US territory at the time provided most democratic guaran- tees with reference to civil liberties and human rights, the matters of self-govem- ance and representation remained unset- tled. Originally in favor of independence, Mufioz came to believe that Puerto Rico's link with the United States gave it an eco- nomic advantage, which might be used to overcome the poverty of the island and fa- cilitate its development However, his con- cern for economic development was matched by his efforts to give Puerto Ricans greater control over their affairs by electing their own government and establishing rep- resentation in the US Congress. In 1948, Mufioz became the first elected govemor of Puerto Rico, a post which he held until 1964, and, by means of a compact with the Truman administration, he was instrumen- tal in the drafting of the Constitution of 1952. The Constitution of 1952, modeled after that of the United States, made Puerto Rico a self-governing democracy and, as the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, re- solved the status question for the time- being. Muiioz achieved the commonwealth status at the polls, giving the proponents of statehood or independence an equal op- portunity to express their views. Only when the Nationalists resorted to violence, did he draw the line and take stiff measures. Dur- ing the fifties, when most lands of the Carib- bean experienced dictatorial rule, Mufioz's Puerto Rico was one of the few democ- racies and it provided hope and a haven for refugees from tyranny. Mufiozs democratic rule undertook Operation Bootstrap, an economic development program which in- cluded agrarian reform and industrializa- tion and impressive advances in education and health facilities. Mufioz achieved an "economic miracle," and friends like Figures noted that the democratic process never suffered. Figures' situation in Costa Rica was similar to that of Mufioz in that he was able to build upon a democratic tradition. Costa Rica had a reputation as a model democ- racy in Latin America, although growing economic problems raised the spectre of dictatorship even in that country during the 1940s. Don Pepe Figueres restored de- mocracy to Costa Rica in the Civil War of 1948 and, as head of the Founding Junta of the Second Republic, he enabled Costa Ricans to write the Constitution of 1949. The new constitution provided the founda- tion for one of the most democratic coun- tries in the world. It severely limited the powers of the presidency (initially, a presi- dent could not succeed himself in office until after eight years had elapsed; later, as amended, a president could serve only one four-year term in a life-time). The constitu- tion enlarged the powers of the legislative branch and the Supreme Court and created a "fourth branch," the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, to monitor the electoral process independently. It extended the suffrage to women and to all citizens over eighteen years of age. The constitution created the autonomous institutions to regulate and, in many cases, to perform economic activities and provide social services, including one of the most honored educational systems and one of the most extensive social se- curity programs anywhere. In 1951, Figueres,founded the National Liberation party (PLN), which became Costa Rica's principal political party. Don Pepe served two presidencies, in 1953-1958 and 1970-1974, during which he respected the democratic process, while endeavoring to improve the well-being of all Costa Ricans, to the extent of creating a welfare state. Figures' career has been the most con- troversial of the three leaders, but there was never any doubt that he was the archfoe of the dictators of the Caribbean. Betancourt's task was the most difficult, because before his time Venezuela lacked a democratic experience; but it was also the most promising, because Venezuela pos- sessed great natural wealth. Whereas Puerto Rico and Costa Rica were poor and provided a weak base for the economic and social programs of Mufioz and Don Pepe, Venezuela's oil resources could support even ambitious projects. Betancourt recog- nized this early on and made the control of Venezuela's petroleum reserves the center- piece of his political action. Betancourt founded the Democratic Action (AD) party in 1941 and helped to shape it into one of CAIBBEAN IeVIEW/29 Latin America's premier parties. Betancourt became provisional president of Venezuela in 1945 following the overthrow of General Isaias Medina Angarita by a group of junior army officers. Betancourt was apologetic that he first came to power by force of arms. During this presidency, Betancourt oversaw the drafting of the Constitution of 1947, which provided for Venezuela's first demo- cratic government through individual guar- antees, universal suffrage, and the direct election of the president. Betancourt's ad- ministration and the constitution encoun- tered difficulties, however, because of the commitment to economic and social re- form, including efforts to improve the status of labor and measures to govern the exploi- tation of sub-surface wealth. Betancourt's most famous action was the 50-50 split of the oil profits between the government and the private oil companies (mostly foreign- owned) to enable the state to develop the rest of the economy and provide social ser- vices. Betancourt called it, "sowing the oil." Despite the fact that R6mulo Gallegos, AD's candidate for president in the 1947 elections, won Venzuela's first democratic election, democracy was too weak, particu- larly for all the changes taking place, and the military seized power again within a year. Betancourt and AD spent almost a dec- ade in exile, but they kept the democratic spirit alive through a resistance that was non-violent and heroic. A small AD under- ground within Venezuela engaged in propa- ganda and exposed the dictatorship's repression. In exile, Betancourt marshalled international public opinion against the dic- tator Marcos Perez Jimenez through collab- oration with organizations concerned with human rights, labor, and the press. When the dictatorship fell in January 1958, Betan- court returned to Venezuela and won the presidential election in December of the same year. Betancourt and AD were be- deviled by both the right and the left (Fidel Castro had come to power in Cuba at vir- tually the same time), but Betancourt per- severed and served out his full term, the first democratically-elected president to do so in the history of Venezuela. That achievement alone was enough to give democracy the momentum for the next two decades in Venezuela. The achievements of Betan- court, Figueres, and Mufoz for democracy in each of their states were important in themselves, but acting as a team they were a powerful combination. Mutual Support In fact, the success of these three leaders may well have rested upon the support they gave each other. Not only did they believe that democracy had to overcome eco- nomic and social injustice to be effective, but that it had to eliminate dictatorship.from the Caribbean to be secure. The three men 30/CAI?BBeAN I"VIE7 met for the first time in Havana in 1951, along with other democratic leaders of Latin America and the United States, where they founded the Inter-American Associa- tion for Democracy and Freedom (IADF) dedicated to the defense of democracy and a militant antidictatorial position. Figures had come to power in Costa Rica with the aid of Dominican, Nicaraguan, and Hon- duran exiles and had pledged in return to help them liberate their homelands from such tyrants as Anastasio Somoza and Rafael Trujillo. The filibustering activities of the so-called Caribbean Legion proved futile, but in 1952, when Fulgencio Batista They all confessed to being admirers of the US New Deal. seized power in Cuba, and Betancourt left his exile there and fled to Costa Rica, Betan- court and Figueres began a close collaboration. Don Pepe gave Betancourt and otherAD exiles his full support. He permitted Betan- court to set up a clandestine radio transmit- ter for communication with the AD underground in Venezuela. Recognizing the difficulty of military action against the powerful dictators, Somoza, Batista, Trujillo, and Perez Jim6nez, Figueres and Betan- court endeavored to keep alive the hope for democracy and to alleviate the hardship of the captive peoples by enlisting the support of the IADF in the area of human rights; the Inter-American Regional Organization of Labor (ORIT), with its AFL-CIO affiliates, in the field of free labor development; and the Inter-American Press Association (IAPA) in the matter of press freedoms. They hoped also that these organizations might influ- ence the policy of the United States. Betan- court and Figueres criticized US Secretary of State John Foster Dulles as being overly concerned about communism in the Carib- bean and, hence, placing a premium upon stability, which, in effect, favored the dicta- tors. They described this policy as sterile, arguing that the most effective means of opposing communism was through erad- ication of the poverty and injustice upon which it could breed. Don Pepe incurred the wrath of Dulles when he boycotted the Tenth Inter-American Conference in Car- acas in 1954. Dulles wanted to make the conference a platform for condemning the pro-Communist regime of Jacobo Arbenz in Guatemala, but Betancourthad been agi- tating for a boycott of the meeting in the hope of securing the release of political prisoners in Venezuela. Although the demo- cratic leaders of the Caribbean assiduously avoided contacts with Arbenz's Guatemala, Figures felt it was essential for someone to bear a democratic witness, and Costa Rica refused to attend. The fifties were a dangerous time for such gestures, because the dictators domi- nated the decade, and Somoza, Trujillo, and Perez Jim6nez plotted Don Pepe's over- throw. In January 1955, they sponsored an exile invasion by his enemies from Nic- aragua, but, although Costa Rica had no army, Figueres had friends in the United States. Despite the fact that the US State Department looked upon him as a "trouble- maker," Don Pepe's reputation as a demo- crat rallied such North American liberals as Berle and Senator Paul Douglas of Illinois to his side. The United States, acting through the Organization of American States, res- cued Costa Rica in this instance, but demanded that Betancourt leave Costa Rica as a condition, in order to "reduce tensions." Betancourt established his new exile in Puerto Rico, where perhaps the State De- partment believed itcould watch him better, but Mufioz was in no mood to restrict his friend. Out of respect for Mufioz's position, Betancourt was more discreet. Nonethe- less, he wrote a book, traveled frequently to Mexico City and New York to lecture and consult with sympathetic political leaders and other exiles, and established himself as the democratic conscience of the Carib- bean. Mufioz protected him from would-be assassins sent by Trujillo and P6rezJim6nez and permitted him to travel freely and re- ceive friends. The times were less conspir- atorial, but Betancourt was ready to pick up where he had left off when P6rez Jim6nez was overthrown in January 1958. The end of the fifties brought a new phase in the collaboration of the democratic tri- umvirate. The dictators were in their so- called twilight, for which Betancourt, Figures, and Mufioz could take much credit, but a new challenger from the left, Fidel Castro, threatened to be the principal beneficiary. During the difficult times of the fifties, the three friends noted that both the dictators and the Communists were orga- nized internationally, butthat the democrats lacked any such network. They undertook to remedy this situation through the estab- lishment of the Inter-American Institute of Political Education in 1959 in Costa Rica following a meeting of the leaders of the three parties (AD, PLN and PPD), along with those of other parties of the democratic left of Cuba, the Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama, and Peru, plus representatives of Norman Thomas's Institute of International Labor Research (IILR) of New York. The Institute in Costa Rica was a leadership training school for youthful members of the participating political parties, offering courses in political organization, mobilization, and tactics, plus a point of contact for the parties to analyze together the problems of Latin America and plan strategies for their solution. The In- stitute also published a bi-monthly joumal, Combate, for the exchange of views and the dissemination of the ideas of the demo- cratic left. In this endeavor the Caribbean democrats were finally joined by the United States. Even before Castro's coming to power in Cuba, the Eisenhower administration had begun to reevaluate its policy in the Carib- bean. The attack upon Vice President Rich- ard Nixon in Caracas in May 1958, in which a crowd stoned and spat upon his motor- cade, awakened many North Americans. Don Pepe himself explained the meaning of the episode to a committee of the House of Representatives. You cannot spit on a for- eign policy, he said, which is what the crowd in Caracas meant to do. From this point on, the Eisenhower administration began to disassociate itself from the Caribbean's au- thoritarian leaders and to lend support to the democratic camp. The only trouble was that, except for vague generalities, it con- cealed this change of attitude and aided the democrats covertly. It used the Central Intel- ligence Agency to channel funds to the In- stitute in Costa Rica, employing the Kaplan Fund (a private foundation) and Thomas's IILR as conduits for the covert funding. When this activity was subsequently ex- posed, it brought some discredit upon the Institute and its founders, but this so-called "triple-pass" of funds concealed the source even from the recipients. Figures, who knew about the origin of the funds, made no excuses; he pointed out that the demo- cratic leaders had tried for years to influ- ence North American policy in their favor and that if the United States, for reasons of its own, wished to conceal its role, that was its choice, as long as there were no strings attached. Figures told Betancourt that no leader of the democratic left would ever be a Castillo Armas (Colonel Carlos Castillo Armas led the CIA-sponsored invasion of Guatemala in 1954). When the CIA's activity became more militantly anti-Castro, culminating in the Bay of Pigs, the democratic leaders of the Caribbean had no part in it Although Be- tancourt, Figueres, and Mufioz had close ties with leaders of the Cuban Autentico party, such as Carlos Prio Socarras and Au- reliano Sanchez Arango, they did not con- spire in the overthrow of Castro, but rather competed with him for the liberation of the other countries of the Caribbean. In this way, the Institute was not a tool of the CIA for getting rid of Castro, but a base of support for Pedro Joaquin Chamorro of Nicaragua, Ram6n Villeda Morales of Honduras, and Juan Bosch and Angel Miolan of the Do- minican Republic. This reality became more apparent during the presidency of John F Kennedy, who adopted a more open and statesman-like policy. In many respects, Kennedy's Alliance for Progress was a vindication of the struggle of the democratic left. It recognized that the most effective means of promoting democ- racy was through significant change in eco- nomic and social conditions. When President Kennedy announced the Al- lanza, he made direct reference to the lead- ership of Betancourt, Figueres, and Mufioz. He made Venezuela a "showcase" for dem- ocratic reform, where Betancourt survived an assassination plot by Trujillo and leftist terrorism sponsored by Castro. In the OAS, the United States condemned equally the interventionism of Trujillo and Castro. De- Betancourt and AD spent almost a decade in exile, but they kept the democratic spirit alive through a resistance that was non-violent and heroic. mocracy made strides, with the election of Villeda Morales in Honduras and Juan Bosch in the Dominican Republic. Al- though Bosch proved a disappointment as a leader, his party, the Dominican Revolu- tionary party (PRD), sustained for years in exile by the Caribbean three, eventually es- tablished democracy in the post-Trujillo era. Villeda's Liberal party after his death trod an equally winding path, but has remained via- ble in Honduras's uncertain political order. The murder of President Kennedy dealt a severe blow to the Caribbean's democratic left, because none of his successors pos- sessed that quality which earned for Ken- nedy the label, simpatico. Kennedy's death tended to mark the decline in the influence of the Caribbean's three democratic states- men, although they were already sensing that it was time for them to go. Honoring the Process One of the most important contributions That Betancourt, Figueres, and Muiioz made to democracy was the manner in which they honored its process. They set an example of how democracy was supposed to work. They were deeply committed to programs of economic and social change, but they never permitted that commitment to take precedence over the decisions of the ballot box. Betancourt was the first demo- cratically-elected president of Venezuela to serve his full term and to pass his office along to an elected successor. Although that successor was Rauil Leoni, the candi- date of the AD party, five years later Leoni delivered his office to the new president, Rafael Caldera, who represented the op- position Christian Democratic (COPEI) party. Following that milestone, COPEI and AD have alternated in power. The situation has been similar in Costa Rica. Ever since its founding in 1951, on only one occasion (in 1974) has the PLN succeeded itself in the presidency. During the last thirty years, the PLN has been out of the presidential office almost as much as it has occupied it, although it has been more consistent in controlling the legislative branch. When the PLN suffered its first setback in the presi- dential election of 1958, Don Pepe ac- cepted it gracefully, affirming, "he who does not know how to lose, ought not take part in a democratic contest." At the same time, Mufioz consoled Figueres, noting that the defeat could be "a blessing in disguise." He remarked that his own party had never lost an election and suggested that it might have been better for it to have suffered a defeat early in its development, observing that defeat forces a party to rethink its ideas and helps to overcome complacency. Mufioz did not foresee that his party's suc- cesses would, in fact, diminish, because the PPD has only won the governorship twice since 1964, when Muiioz stepped down, refusing to run for a fifth term. In the same way that each of these leaders respected the democratic process, each recognized the importance for the future of democracy to know when to step aside. Betancourt, Figueres, and Mufioz were the founders and charismatic figures of their respective parties, but they were aware of the dangers of personalism in Caribbean politics. In 1964, when Betancourt trans- mitted the presidency to Leoni, he left Vene- zuela and undertook a self-imposed exile in Italy and Switzerland, in order not to cast his giant shadow upon his successor. At that time, he wrote to Figueres: "We have finished the work of governing; now our responsibility and what we have to do is put our message in writing." Betancourt did write extensively and, although he even- tually returned to Venezuela, it was in the role of elder statesman and Senator-for-life (an office which the Venezuelan constitution bestowed upon ex-presidents), never again as a candidate or maximum leader of AD. Mufioz also retired from electoral politics in 1964 after sixteen years as Governor. It would be naive to say that he did not remain influential politically, but it was not as a per- sonalist leader--his most active role was in support of continuing Puerto Rico's com- monwealth status in a referendum in 1967 against the advocates of statehood or inde- pendence. Following the decision to retain the commonwealth status, Muiioz visited Betancourt in Switzerland. Figures joined them and quipped that the Caribbean "had not exploded," even though all of them were absent. History may judge that Figueres was the Continued on page 55 CA1?BBEAN "IlE1W/31 Hegemonic Tolerance International Competition in the Caribbean and Latin America By Martin C. Needler he United States is the dominant power in the Caribbean, but US power is not absolute. Other governments, and non-government actors of other na- tionalities, have always been important there, although the character of their pres- ence has changed and is changing. The precise character of the US role as well as the way in which the US dominance makes itself effective, needs specifying. The traditional limits to the range of US hegemony in the Caribbean, in the form of the dominance of European colonial gov- ernments or the autonomy of local oligar- chies, have been in rapid decline. Yet at the same time new challenges to hegemony are developing more appropriate to an era characterized on the one hand by popular mobilization and participation, and on the other by the development of poles of eco- nomic growth outside the United States. These challenges consist of 1) the greater autonomy in national policies made possi- ble for two medium-size powers of the re- gion, Mexico and Venezuela, by their possession of vast supplies of oil "Oil acts as Mexico's guarantee," as Jose L6pez Portillo has put it; 2) the greater responsive- ness to their own populations on the part of national governments, growing out of heightened popular mobilization; 3) the greater influence of European powers other than Britain as Continental economies be- come stronger. Of course the greatest chal- lenge to US hegemony in the region has been Cuba's manipulation of superpower rivalry to place a Soviet shield over her se- cession from the sphere of US influence. But that seems a unique event, whose suc- cess has made the US doubly unwilling to tolerate movement in the same direction by another country, and therefore likely to re- sort to the most extreme measures to pre- vent its happening. Martin C. Needler teaches political science at the University of New Mexico. Among his works are Political Development in Latin America: Instability, Violence and Evolu- tionary Change (Random House, 1968), Pol- itics and Society in Mexico (University of New Mexico Press, 1971). 32/CAIBBEAN PrVIEW European Influence Leading among the European influences newly making themselves felt in Latin America is that of Germany, whose 20th century rise to world superpower status was only interrupted, not ended, by defeat in two wars, and has been moderated only slightly by postwar division. One of the more im- pressive processes of peaceful democra- tization, the liberalization of Brazil's military- dominated political system over the last 10 years, has been partly motivated by the need to obtain constitutional respectability in order to qualify for West German aid for the country's nuclear-development program. The principal German influence in the region, however, is not government to gov- ernment, but party to party. Strikingly, just as political parties in Latin America called themselves Conservative or Liberal in the era of British predominance, today the area's parties increasingly define them- selves as Social Democratic or Christian Democratic, like the two principal parties in West Germany. The region's airports wit- ness a procession of the leading lights of 'the Socialist International Mario Soares, Bruno Kreisky, Felipe Gonzalez, Olof Palme, and especially Willy Brandt. Parties that in the Kennedy era identified themselves with the "democratic left" have now redefined themselves as Social Democratic and joined the International: Acci6n Demo- cratica in Venezuela, the Partido Revolu- cionario Dominicano in the Dominican Republic, and Liberaci6n Nacional in Costa Rica. Fewer parties are being bom again as Christian Democratic today because par- ties with that label had largely already been franchised in the 1940s and '50s, under French, and sometimes Spanish or Italian, influence. The Christian Democrats already held power in the 1960s in Chile and Vene- zuela. But something of the same effect is occurring with Christian Democrats as with Social Democrats, with Joaquin Balaguer in the Dominican Republic, for example, deciding that his Partido Reformista Would be reorganized as a Christian Demo- cratic party, much to the disgust of the small Partido Revolucionario Social Cris- tiano, who consider themselves the legiti- mate representatives of Christian democ- racy in that country. The main factor in parties' identifying themselves with one or the other banner is surely ideological stylishness. But grubbier motives should not be overlooked. The German political parties are generous in financing co-religionaries abroad, usually through their respective foundations, the Socialist Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung and the Christian Democratic Konrad-Ade- nauer-Stiftung. (The Liberal Free Demo- crats have the Friedrich-Naumann- Stiftung, likewise named after a party pa- tron saint, but have fewer resources and fewer clients.) The development of these party internationals provides international support for democratic forces in Latin America independent of the United States and may play a constructive role. If a solu- tion short of genocide by stages is ever reached for El Salvador, for example, it may well be through the mediation of foreign Socialists and Christian Democrats, who have traveled frequently to the region to try to arrange a peaceful outcome to the coun- try's slow-motion civil war. Popular Participation The great demographic and psychological changes of the twentieth century have made it more difficult to operate regimes of pure exploitation. Mass mobilization and heightened political consciousness have made the lower classes increasingly assert- ive and begun to give relevance to the promises made in the constitutions written during the independence years and rewrit- ten countless times since then, of equality, liberty, and democracy. An important factor in the attitudinal changes that have taken place, particularly among peasants and ag- ricultural laborers, has been the progressive movement within the Roman Catholic Church, a movement of consciousness- raising and grass roots mobilization which has recovered some of the original mean- ings of Christianity, instead of regarding conformity to the requirements of ritual as the total obligation of the believer. Hard-line 1981, The Miami Herald. Reprinted by permission. last-ditch defenders of the status quo un- derstand this change in the Church. It is not for nothing that the paramilitary forces and hit squads of the Salvadoran Right have killed Jesuits, American nuns, and even the archbishop. In many countries of the region, rising mass demands have passed the point where they can be met, or even palliated, out of any increases in national income that have been occurring. Increasingly, there- fore, the possibility is raised of policies that will redistribute income and wealth, pol- icies, that is, which threaten the economic well-being of upper status groups. Es- pecially in Central America, governments are therefore called into being with the man- date of repressing mass participation and demands and of crushing labor organiza- tion and peasant mobilization. The United Continued on page 56 CAI?BBEAN FEVI6W/33 EM... MAKEW 1 TEC-RIB"EAN L------ The Christian Democrats in Latin America The Fight for Democracy By Ricardo Arias Calderbn / he number one problem in Latin America is called 'dictatorship' and its solution 'democracy,'" states the Manifesto of Christian Democ- racy to the Peoples of Latin America, approved at the Xth Congress of the Chris- tian Democratic Organization of America (ODCA), held in Caracas in December of last year. To understand the perspective within which the statement was made, it is necessary to consider the development of Christian Democracy as a political force in Latin America and to analyze its ideological outlook as it faces the decade of the '80s. At present, 19 parties or political move- ments are full members of the Christian Democratic Organization of America. Full members are the Christian Democratic par- ties or movements of: Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Curacao, Chile, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nic- aragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Sur- iname, Uruguay and Venezuela. Several others have taken part in its activities. The early development of Christian Democracy, as a Latin American political force, took place in the late '40s and mid-'50s, particu- larly in South America. In the late '50s and early '60s, it extended both to the Central American Isthmus and to the Spanish- speaking Caribbean. Presently, there are in- dications that parties from the English- speaking Caribbean might establish ties with ODCA At the Xth Congress, 18 full members sent delegations, and the list of special guests included representatives of approximately 16 other Latin American par- ties which, while not necessarily social- Christian in their explicit outlook, neverthe- less maintain some degree of convergence with Christian Democratic parties. This development of Christian Democ- Ricardo Arias Calderdn is president of the Christian Democratic Party of Panama, and president of the Christian Democratic Organi- zation of America (ODCA). He holds a docto- rate in philosophy from the Universitd de Paris and has taught at universities in Panama, Chile, Venezuela, and the United States. He was academic vice president at Florida Inter- national University, while obliged for political reasons to work outside his own country. 34/CAIBBEAN KIVIW racy in Latin America has involved respon- sibility for the executive branch of government in several countries. This oc- curred in Chile under President Eduardo Frei (1964-1970) and in Venezuela under President Rafael Caldera (1968-1973). It is happening again in Venezuela under Presi- dent Luis Herrera (1978-1983), in El Sal- vador under president of the Revolutionary Junta Jose Napole6n Duarte (since 1980), and in Ecuador where Vice President Os- valdo Hurtado became president (1981-1985) after the accidental death of President Jaime Rold6s. Participation of Christian Democrats in the legislative branch of government has also been quite significant. Suffice it to mention in this respect that in Argentina, Jose Antonio Allende was president of the Senate; in Suriname, Emile Wijntuin was president of Parliament; and in Costa Rica, Rafael Grillo was president of the Chamber of Deputies. An overview of political life in Latin Amer- ica today reveals, moreover, several coun- tries in which Christian Democrats play an important and even decisive role in opposi- tion. In Guatemala, the Christian Demo- cratic Party was the largest member of the Opposition Union, which supported Ale- jandro Maldonado Aguirre as the presiden- tial candidate of the democratic center in the recent elections and obtained the votes of nearly a third of the electorate. In Pan- ama, the Christian Democratic Party ob- tained 21% of the vote in the last partial legislative elections held in 1980. In Colom- bia, the Christian Democratic Party and Asamblea Nacional de Oposicidn Popu- lar have given their support to Belisario Betancur, the Conservative Party's candi- date for president. In Brazil, the Christian Democratic leader Andre Franco Montoro, who is a prominent member of the opposi- tion Brazilian Democratic Movement be- came senator from Sao Paulo with over five million votes, the largest number obtained by any legislator in the history of that coun- try, and is a very strong candidate for the governorship of his state. In Argentina, the Christian Democratic Party, once again uni- fied, has joined the Justicialista Party, the Radical Party and two other parties in the Multiparty Organization, to foster a civilian alternative to the military. In Chile, the im- portance of the Christian Democrats in the resurgence of the labor movement and the crowds which gathered for the funeral of ex- President Frei, last January, reveal the con- tinued role of that party as the principal force of the democratic opposition. Throughout Latin America, Christian Democrats have given witness to their per- sistent fight for democracy in the face of totalitarian, dictatorial or authoritarian re- gimes: often persecuted, as in Bolivia, Nic- aragua, Panama, Suriname and Uruguay; many times imprisoned, as in Cuba, Haiti and Paraguay; exiled, as in Brazil and Chile, and even killed, as in El Salvador and Guatemala. The development of Christian Democracy as a political force has required the sacrifice of the security, the freedom, the right to homeland and even the life of party members and leaders. Seldom has this fact even been recorded, much less recognized. An Instrument for Cooperation ODCA is the instrument for cooperation between full member parties and between them and other friendly parties. It was born out of a meeting held in 1947, in Mon- tevideo, between Dardo Regules of Uru- guay, Eduardo Frei of Chile, Manuel V. Ordofiez of Argentina and Alceu Amoroso Lima of Brazil. Since then, it has held ten congresses. The organization represents a commu- nity of partieswhich share a unified ideolog- ical outlook, drawn from social-Christian thought, and which cooperate with each other while maintaining their indepen- dence in analyzing their respective realities and in making their respective decisions. As it has become better structured and much more active in recent years, in response to the demands of member parties and to the growing political interdependence of Latin America, ODCA furthers cooperation in many different areas: (1) In the area of the elaboration and development of the shared ideological vision; (2) In the area of the for- mulation and promotion of strategic ten- dencies respectful of the variety of situations; (3) In the area of the preparation and implementation of events of continued Aristides Calvini, Secretary General of ODCA. political education, of general and spe- cialized scope, for top-level and mid-level leaders; (4) In the area of technical advice in organization, education, public opinion and electoral planning; (5) In the area of the exchange and discussion of information and experiences; (6) In the area of interper- sonal relations and of solidarity in cases of persecution, imprisonment, exile and vio- lent death. The Executive Committee of the Organi- zation, elected at the Xth Congress, in- cludes the following: President: Ricardo Arias Calder6n, from Panama; Vice Presi- dents: Francisco Cerro, from Argentina; Rafael Grillo, from Costa Rica; Juan Pablo Moncagata, from Ecuador; Jesuis Permuy, from Cuba. Member: Juan Resck, from Par- aguay. Secretary General: Aristides Calvani, from Venezuela. Also included, on an ad- visory basis, are two representatives from each of three complementary organiza- tions: the Christian Democratic Labor Front (FETRALDC), the Christian Democratic Youth (JUDCA) and the Christian Demo- cratic Women (MUDCA). The offices of ODCA are presently in Caracas. ODCA is one of the two regional organi- zations of the World Christian Democratic Union (UMDC), the other being the Euro- pean Christian Democratic Union (UEDC), which has 14 member parties or political movements. Full members are the Chris- tian Democratic parties or movements of: Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, France, Ger- many, Holland, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Norway, Portugal, San Marino, Spain and Switzerland. Several parties from Asia and Africa have developed direct ties with the World Christian Democratic Union. Eduardo Frei Montalva, former president of Chile. In summary, Christian Democracy repre- sents in Latin America a strong political force, present throughout nearly all of the continent and vigorous in its development, which has included both major govern- ment responsibilities and very significant roles in opposition. It is increasingly well organized, within a unified ideological out- look, for cooperation between member par- ties and with other friendly parties of the region. In a more indirect manner, it is re- lated to similar parties of Europe and, to a lesser extent, of other continents. A Humanist Manifesto The Manifesto of Christian Democracy to the Peoples of Latin America, ap- proved at the Xth Congress, begins at the level of theoretical discussion with a reaffir- mation of humanism: "As Christian Demo- crats we believe that the essential theoretical problem of our times is knowing how to define oneself between humanism and antihumanism. Those who represent contemporary bourgeois classes say that we are utopian; those who call themselves the spokesmen of the proletarian classes accuse us of proposing an abstract ideal. Both sides take positions within the limits of a narrow class conception. They insist on saying that history advances only on the impulse of force under the conditions of previous force. For this reason, the former have recourse to the economically powerful classes which retain power; the latter use violence to overturn (existing power) and to maintain, thereafter, a totalitarian state. Yet these developments are accompanied by the general crises of the contemporary ex- periences of capitalism and socialism.... "Such consequences stimulate a re- surgence of humanism. Wherever there is oppression or inequality, the objectives of the oppressed human being relate them- selves to humanist ideas. "The aspiration of the oppressed tends to find liberties, autonomies, rights, forms of community life, sentiments of solidarity and of pluralist recognition, attitudes of collab- oration, unity of the peoples in favor of inter- nal and external peace. Society comes to be regarded as the union of all men" (art. 2). The resurgence of humanism, as a re- sponse to a general crisis, leads to two basic commitments. The first is the commitment to respect human rights, when in power, and to fight for them, when in opposition. This respect is rooted in the "philosophy of person" which Christian Democracy pro- fesses, in the perspective of Jacques Mari- tain's "integral humanism" with its Judeo- Christian inspiration. This respect is to be at the foundation of all programs of reform, and democracy itself is to be conceived as the progressive realization of these rights at the political, cultural and economic levels. Moreover, the respect for human rights must serve to define political friends and adversaries. Humanism leads, furthermore, to an- other commitment: the choice in favor of the poor, for poverty cannot be accepted when it is the result of neglect or of injustice. "There must never be a concession in this field, nor in the defense of human rights, for both are indissolubly joined" (art. 4). Humanism, thus conceived, motivates a rejection of terrorist violence. The theory of rebellion against a tyrant and the juridical concepts of the state of need and of legiti- mate defense remain valid. But violence in the contemporary world has become something else, namely terrorist violence: the terrorism of the state or that against the state, which "not only use dehumanized vi- olence, but moreover seek as their objective to maintain a state of things founded on it" (art. 5). To create conditions of solidarity in order for society to understand justice and free- dom, is an alternative to dehumanized vio- lence, and when rebellion might be justified, a condition for it to be an advance towards democratic community. For this reason, Christian Democrats reject armed groups on the left and the right which believe in the permanence of violence and generate dic- tatorships of one sort or the other. From the point of view of humanism, the Manifesto addresses two reproaches to tra- ditional socialism. On the theoretical level, socialism, unlike Christian humanism, has CAl?BBEAN I IEW/35 failed to consider adequately the human person and, consequently, human rights. It does not explain "how society has priority over the individual and how, inversely, cer- tain aspects of the latter must be respected by society in order to be truly human" (art. 7). Socialist theory presents itself as hu- manist, but has not reflected on man as person. On the political level, socialism moves unconsciously from the position of anarchist individualism to that of totalitaria- nism. It really has no theory of democracy, and jumps, therefore, from denying it as something merely formal or relative, to turning it into an absolute identical with a self-defined Socialist regime. To the extent that socialism liberates itself from totalitarianism and deepens its notion of the rights of the individual vis-a-vis the state, and vice versa, Christian Democrats will not find it difficult to collaborate with socialists. But it should be clear that "the inhumanism of today will not be supplanted by another form of inhumanism with the support of Christian Democrats" (art. 7). There is no necessary incompatibility be- tween theologies of liberation or of revolu- tion and Christian Democratic views. But some of these theologies actually assume classical socialism as its basic idea. This leads them to an acceptance of historical materialism and to an identification with governments, such as that of Cuba, for ex- ample, or with armed movements or with whatever events the left happens to support at a given moment. Their mistake lies in the loss of the concept of democracy and of human rights as universal values. The Fight for Democracy At the level of political discussion, the Man- ifesto concentrates all its attention on the fight for democracy. The content of democ- racy is identified in terms of three principles: the respect for human rights; the affirma- tion that free, regular elections, while not the "whole" of democratic participation, are fundamental to it; and the public character of all governmental activity, as well as the responsibility of all governmentalagents. It is also identified with the validity of certain institutions and organizations: the revalua- tion of parties as organs of political media- tion; the independence of the legislative and the judiciary; freedom of the media, as well as free access to them by representative sectors of the community; and freedom of labor unions and of other intermediary as- sociations and groups. Fighting for democracy encompasses different situations. It includes the fight to maintain democracy where it exists, some- thing which requires distinguishing political liberties from traditional vices, and estab- lishing with clarity the limit between liberty and anti-democratic subversion and vio- lence. The very notion of human rights in- volves the recognition of society's or the 36/CAfIBBEAN PEVIEW state's needs for defense against the crime of subversion, for only in a society orga- nized with legitimate authorities and through a system of law enforced by the state can the human rights of all citizens be guaranteed. The fight for democracy is all the more dramatic when its aim is to establish de- mocracy where it does not exist. In such cases, it is important to realize that democ- ratization is a process, not a simple act. Support should be given, therefore, to steps in this direction, even under dictatorships, when these steps really represent the initial takeoff of such a process. Christian Demo- "The number one problem in Latin America is called 'dictatorship' and its solution 'democracy.'" crats consider it "a grave error against de- mocracy, for political parties to refuse to give their support to an important change simply because it does not lead immedi- ately to the whole of their program" (art. 14). Likewise, to maintain armed groups, when the dictatorship is in a situation where it must yield to the pressure of popular con- sensus, is another error against history. Democratization requires an incessant effort to build democratic consensus. This covers a wide variety of possibilities: from setting up the means to further understand- ing, negotiations and agreements on a na- tional basis, to developing relations with like-minded governments to promote inter- national initiatives in favor of democratiza- tion. Two major strategies should be kept in mind: first, "the strategy of convergence at the base, at the root of the concrete prob- lems of the population, in order to form a social front leading the people to oppose the dictatorship" (art. 14); second, where possible, the formal constitution of a "dem- ocratic political front," without commitment to positions which are contrary to democ- racy or which advocate the use of terrorism. The insistence on building democratic consensus, while not new for Christian Democrats in theoretical terms, has ac- quired a new practical urgency in the con- text of the fight for democracy. In its concluding section, while discussing tacti- cal matters, the Manifesto underlines the need to consider building consensus, in all different forms, as a service to the people, requiring unitary work which goes to the heart of the people's problems, however dif- ficult the given circumstances. At the same time, this effort cannot be devoid of demo- cratic realism, according to certain rules of political affinity. Consensus can go further, for Christian humanists, with other democ- ractic currents characterized by a strong so- cial concern, which reach neither to the extreme of individualism nor to that of col- lectivism. In other cases, consensus is lim- ited to coincidences on immediate political events, because the final perspectives, the methods or the external ties of the political currents involved make agreements and, even more, alliances very difficult. True plu- ralism "avoids apparent unions, which are vitiated or lacking in sincerity, while it as- sures the pursuit of the same objectives through convergent channels" (art. 31). Consensus must root itself in popular par- ticipation through community groups, in- stitutionalized or not, for it is from them that democracy is generated anew. Social Participation and Eco- nomic Pluralism The fight for democracy cannot be limited to its political dimension, for the general crisis to which it responds is not simply a crisis of regime, but also one of society and even of civilization. In facing this crisis, Christian Democrats propose the ideal of "a community of free men," viewing society as a whole as an as- sociation of communities and the state as the culmination of the process of solidarity by which communities grow and integrate into a society. Humanism is not indi- vidualistic, for it underlines the fundamental role of community life, but neither is it total- itarian, for it recognizes that communities are formed by free men. In this light, both the collectivist eco- nomic model, tied to the totalitarian state, and the liberal capitalist model, often sup- porting itself on militaristic states, fail to pro- vide an alternative to the principle of participation, on which human community is to be grounded. "For Christian Demo- crats the basic concept which must serve as point of departure is that of participation" (art. 19). Representative democracy, as a political regime, must perfect itself through social and economic participation, to be- come participatory democracy, if it is to re- spond to the general crisis of our times. A community-oriented economic sys- tem, the so-called "communitarian econ- omy," is nothing more and nothing less than the effort to conceive an economic model which accomplishes its production and distribution tasks effectively while fos- tering participation, rather than restricting it, as collectivism and capitalism do in their quite different ways. This model does not consist of ready-made formulas, be it the formula of state control of the means of production or the formula of private enter- prise. It consists of two fundamental guide- lines, the implementation of which is susceptible of a wide variety of concrete and progressive realizations. The first guideline is that of the primary value of labor. Since labor is the common, shared activity of all men, an economic sys- tem that does not recognize its primary value cannot fully recognize the participa- tion of the common man in the benefits and responsibilities of society. For this reason, "the communitarian economy stimulates and supports all forms of property which adapt themselves to the pattern of revaluat- ing labor" (art. 19). Moreover, in order to further participa- tion, economic pluralism is required, lead- ing gradually towards a complex system which encompasses personal property, pri- vate enterprise, cooperatives, co-manage- ment and self-management enterprises and, for reasons of national interest, state enterprises. This economic pluralism is jus- tifiable in terms of favoring participation by creating a system of varied and counterveil- ing powers within the economy. But it is also justifiable as a way to assure the con- crete possibilities of ideological pluralism, as it expresses itself politically and culturally, and of social pluralism, as it expresses itself in the vitality and significance of basic com- munities and intermediary organizations. Mutually supportive of each other, these forms of pluralism create the environment of free participation, wherein representative democracy can perfect itself and become participatory democracy. This economic model, from a functional point of view, remains a market economy, but it calls for the elaboration of a national plan for development, through a process of negotiation and free democratic discus- sion. Such a plan, by the dynamics of the market, whenever possible, and by au- thoritative decisions, whenever indispens- able, should seek to assure human rights by aiming at the satisfaction of basic needs, for human rights "are to begin with those which touch on the conditions for life, health, education, employment, housing, security and participation" (art. 21). Frei and Caldera As Latin America moves into the '80s and prepares for the turn of the century, Chris- tian Democracy constitutes one of its major political forces and one committed to fight for democracy in its fullest sense. It is not surprising, therefore, that the two foremost leaders of Christian Democracy in Latin America should have become two of the most outstanding spokesmen of demo- cratic Latin America. In 1933, at the very start of their public lives, Eduardo Frei and Rafael Caldera met in Rome at the Ibero American Congress of Catholic University Youth. In the nearly fifty years since then, they organized two of the largest and most enduring Latin American democratic parties, with broad popular sup- port, and became the first Christian Demo- cratic presidents of the continent. With many other men of their generation and of succeeding generations, they were able to make Christian Democracy into an authen- tic expression of some of the deepest traits of Latin America's personality. To this extent they came to inspire, on the basis of their ideological principles, some of the most significant contributions to the in- ternational life of Latin America. Barely 60 days after becoming president, Eduardo Frei wrote a letter to four distinguished Latin American economists, Raul Prebisch, Jose Antonio Mayobre, Felipe Herrera and Car- los Sanz de Santa Maria, asking them to elaborate a project to establish the "institu- tions capable of giving impulse to the crea- tion of a Latin American Common Market." The development of Christian Democracy as a political force has required the sacrifice of the security, the freedom, the right to homeland and even the life of party members and leaders. He thus gave an initial thrust, in our times, to the process of Latin American integration, which according to the Manifesto, in its discussion of international affairs, has be- come "a capital thesis of our parties and- must be incorporated into their govern- mental programs" (art. 28). This contribution of Frei, like all the de- velopments of Christian Democracy, was sustained by an ethical inspiration which Frei himself underscored in a book written in 1973, A New World, when referring to the task of integration: "It is not a task for an elite. It is a task for peoples animated by a new moral sense; with a spirit of solidarity; with faith in liberty; with an inflexible will for justice; convinced that it is necessary to surpass hate; but at the same time to have the courage of breaking the ties of a world in which there is no longer place for small groups organized to defend selfish interests." Even before becoming president and all during his administration, Rafael Caldera, for his part, argued that just as the notion of national community gives rise to the con- cept of social justice, to which a country's development must respond, so does the notion of the larger human community give rise to the concept of international social justice, to which must respond the relation- ships between developed and developing countries. He was thus able to give ex- pression to Latin America's role in world affairs. He did so in Christian Democratic terms, which, as the Manifesto makes clear, rejects the thesis of wars of liberation, but seeks to gain, through the various orga- nizations of developing countries, such as the Group of 77 and OPEC, for example, and through negotiations with developed countries, "the acquisition of power for the poor countries" (art. 28). This contribution of Caldera, as ex- plained in 1964 in his book Christian De- mocracy and Development, maintains and prolongs the underlying Christian Democratic conviction regarding the rela- tionship between politics and economics: "To reach development requires a conjunc- tion of numerous factors, unified by clear ideas and by a firm will. Our generation must face it through a profound change in structures. The political structures of formal democracy will bear the impact; yetwe can- not reach it through tyranny, which in any form and in any time degrades the sub- stance of man, but rather through liberty. We must demonstrate the viability of a sin- cere, robust and strong liberty, to open the way more clearly towards social justice and towards the redemption of peoples." Such then is the reality, as a political force, and the vision, as an ideological current, of Christian Democracy in Latin America. From this reality and with this vision, it deliv- ers a message, at the same time simple and forceful, which is its own program for ac- tion: "The number one problem in Latin America is called 'dictatorship' and its solu- tion 'democracy.'" E CAlBBCAN FeVIEW is available in microform. University Microfilms International Please send additional information Name Institution Street City State Zip 300 North Zeeb Road Dept. PR. Ann Arbor. Mi. 48106 U.SA. 30-32 Mortimer Street Depl. PR. London WIN 7RA England CAl?BBEAN PEVIEW/37 The Socialist International and Latin America Problems and Possibilities By Karl-Ludolf Hubener amaica's Michael Manley called it "ser- vile" accusing the US of pressuring Venezuela's Accidn Democratica into requesting that Willy Brandt postpone the Leader's Conference of the Socialist In- ternational which was scheduled to be held in Caracas at the end of February. Acci6n Democratica, the major opposition party in Venezuela, had balked at inviting the sandinistas to attend as observers-even though they often had attended meetings of the Socialist International in the past. Wash- ington must regard Manley's indignant out- cry as a barometer of its success in trying to drive a wedge through the seemingly closed ranks of the Organization. The Socialist International (SI) has aroused the suspicion of US foreign policy makers as it has taken a more progressive attitude toward liberation movements in the Third World. Constantine Menges, CIA chief for Latin America, bluntly listed the Socialist International under its president, the Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Willy Brandt, among the four major threats to the stability of the region. The other three were Cuba, the PLO and "certain other Arab nations," and Mex- ico. Menges does not even believe that the leaders of the SI are being used as, to use an expression of Lenin's, "useful idiots" by in- ternational communism. He is convinced that they are rather dangerous in their own right. This view is also shared byAcci6n Dem- ocratica. The party had only reluctantly added its signature to the many progressive resolutions and statements put out by the International. The strong conservative right- wing of the party is convinced that what it regards as its social democratic platform has little in common with what they suspect Karl-Ludolf HObener is editor of the journal Nueva Sociedad. Nueva Sociedad is pub- lished in Costa Rica with the support of the German Social Democrat Friedrich Ebert Foundation. 38/CAIBBEAN NVIEW to be the Marxist-Leninist ideals of the sandinistas and other such opposition movements in Central America. The in- fighting among its ranks has suddenly cata- pulted the SI (which includes socialist, so- cial democratic and labor parties) into the headlines of the Latin American press. However the mixture of fact and fiction in the reports, only serves to show how little is really known about the history and objec- tives of this organization. The SI has existed in different forms since 1864, when it was founded in London by Karl Marx. The First International did not last very long and was dissolved in 1876. The Second Interna- tional was started in Paris in 1889. Diver- gent points of view with regard to the First World War, as well as the sharp ideological differences between reform, revisionist and revolutionary platforms led to divisions within the workers movement. In 1919 Lenin founded the Third International called the Komintern, while the members of the Second International reorganized themselves in 1923 as the "Labour and So- cialist International." However, the Second International was dissolved during the Sec- ond World War in 1940, and in 1943 so was the Komintem. In 1951 the Second Inter- national was started up once again and a new epoch began in the history of the movement. The new International could not help but be influenced by the cold war. The Pream- ble to the 1951 Frankfurt Declaration states: "International communism is the in- strument for a new imperialism. Wherever it has achieved power it has destroyed free- dom or the chance of gaining freedom. It is based on a militarist bureaucracy and a ter- rorist police." This is not a rejection of "Marxism." It is a rejection of "communism" because communism is "incompatible with the critical spirit of Marxism...whether So- cialists build their faith on Marxist or other methods of analyzing society, whether they are inspired by religious or humanitarian principles, they all strive for the same goal-a system of social justice, better liv- ing, freedom and world peace." Until 1976, the Third World was not very important in the SI. The image thatthe Inter- national reflected in the developing coun- tries was not exactly progressive. Salvador Allende called the organization the ex- tended arm of US imperialism. Moreover hardly anyone paid any serious attention to its conferences, resolutions or declarations. To most people, at that time, the SI was a sort of club for retired politicians-a sin- ecure for services rendered. The situation changed completely, when in 1976, in Gen- eva, Willy Brandt was elected president. He widened the scope of the International to include the countries of the Third World. Even before Willy Brandt, Olof Palme, for- mer Prime Minister of Sweden and Austrian Chancellor Bruno Kreisky had criticized the Eurocentrist orientation of the movement. In conversations with Palme and Kreisky, the former German Chancellor argued that the principles of the International made it difficult for them to have contacts with polit- ical parties in countries such as those in Africa, because the principles did not per- mit the inclusion of monolithic parties. Brandt argued, however, that these mono- lithic parties often contained different politi- cal streams which in another system would have formed themselves into different polit- ical parties. He questioned, "Why should friendly powers, who define themselves as socialists, socialist parties or socialist-orien- tated groups within a party not meet singly or in groups with the socialist and social democratic parties of Europe, not only ad hoc, but to work with us on a more or less regular basis?" Despite this positive attitude Brandt's ob- jectives were only partially realized. Africa did not become the central field of action, even though the SI consolidated its con- tacts with the front-states and liberation movements of Southern Africa. Yet despite Frangois Mitterrand, Willy Brandt, Felipe GonzAlez, and Joop den Uyl at a SI conference in Paris, 1981. Wide World Photos. these contacts Africa and Asia are very poorly represented in the SI. The organiza- tion has had more success in Latin Amer- ica, though the relationship is today under stress and the outcome uncertain. Even be- fore 1976, 27 political leaders from Latin America and Europe met to demonstrate their solidarity. The spectrum of the attend- ing parties extended from socialist and pop- ulist to liberal parties. These leaders reached a consensus on many points, al- though it must be noted that it is easy to pass resolutions, but extremely difficult to put them into practice. Willy Brandt stressed the fact in Geneva that the SI never was, and never would be, an international "Command Center." It would never dictate an ideological direction to the member par- ties. As Brandt said, the SI is "an association of sovereign and independent parties, based on certain common basic ideals." With reference to the new objectives of the SI, he added: "let us remember our anti- imperialist tradition... In 1900 at the Paris Congress, the Second International con- demned colonial policies. In 1907, when in Stuttgart, the 7th Congress demanded that the mineral resources of the earth be put at service of all mankind." This idealistic reso- lution, however, Brandt remarked a little later, did not prevent the Western industrial nations from getting together with the fi- nancial elite to serve their own short-term economic interests: "Those who for hun- dreds of years supported and collaborated with feudal systems and corrupt family clans are also responsible for spreading dis- tress and misery and should not be sur- prised when the rebellious masses in the Third World today look elsewhere for their models." The member parties who met in Geneva passed a Latin America resolution. The res- olution dealt primarily with the dictatorships established in the "southern cone" and called for democracy and respect for human rights. The declaration went so far as to mention eventual sanctions against these regimes and the US was severely criti- cized: "The United States will play a decisive role in determining the future of Latin America. The member parties of the Social- ist Intemational should therefore use their influence to persuade the [Carter] admin- istration to undertake a fundamental review of their policies towards military dictator- ships in Latin America and the activities of multinational companies." The language was restrained and it seems that the resolu- tion had a modest effect on the early Carter administration's stress on the principles of human rights. It was still possible in 1978 for the SIto persuade the Carter administra- tion to check the evidently dishonest post- election maneuvers in the Dominican Re- public, with the result that the SI member party, the Partido Revolucionario Domin- icano, won a just victory and forced the resignation of Balaguer. The Latin American Committee The first conference of the Latin American Committee of the Socialist International was held in Santo Domingo in 1980. The General Secretary of the PRD, Francisco Pefia G6mez, was elected as head of the Committee which included Jamaica's for- mer Prime Minister Michael Manley and Carlos Andres P&rez, former President of Venezuela. The committee was influential in winning support for the Sandinista Libera- tion Front (FSLN) of Nicaragua. The rebellion against Somoza in Nicaragua also marks the shifting of inter- est within the SI from the "southern cone" of Latin America to rebellious Central Amer- ica. Nicaragua was later to become the test for the unity of the International. At first, the triumph of the revolutionaries in Managua was loudly acclaimed by all member par- ties. Nicaragua became a symbol for op- pressed people all over the world, and many began to believe that "the revolution" could not be stopped. In the general enthusiasm it was easy to forget-or not want to remem- ber-the ominous factor of the US. El Sal- vador provided the sobering reality and it became clear that in this hemisphere libera- tion from economic and political oppres- sion could not easily be attained. However at the first regional conference in Santo Domingo, spirits were still high. The members passed a strong and optimis- tic resolution: "The Regional Conference marks the beginning of an era of unity among anti-imperialist and socialist forces in Latin America, Europe, Africa and Asia ... In this conference the Latin Americans have CAI?BBEAN IEV1-W/39 made the commitment to offer their sup- port to the liberation struggle of the ex- ploited peoples of Africa and Asia." Except for the standing ovation given to the repre- sentatives of some African liberation orga- nizations, only empty words remained. For the Latin American members of the Interna- tional already had enough trouble showing their solidarity with liberation movements in their own region. In Santo Domingo, the US was chal- lenged: "Imperialist activities have left indel- ible marks upon the area. The vestiges of this policy can still be seen today, as ex- emplified by the colonial status of Puerto Rico and other territories under the control of European powers, as well as the exis- tence of foreign military bases in the re- gion." The US was anything but pleased with the reference to Puerto Rico, and for the first time the State Department officially voiced its displeasure at this "interference" to some of the major member parties. The involvement of the SI in the revolutionary turmoil taking place in Central America rad- ically changed the attitude of the organiza- tion towards armed struggle in the Third World. Whereas most European political leaders concentrate on peaceful solutions to all problems, the SI admits that in Latin America other forms of confrontation, in- cluding armed struggle, are often neces- sary and legitimate. The International does however make a clear distinction between revolution and ter- rorism in Western capitalist states. The mass armed liberation movements in the Third World, as against terrorist activities, have to struggle against brutal dictatorships where there is no vote and no other way to change oppressive regimes except to bring them down by force. The government of Ronald Reagan however does not sub- scribe to this distinction between terrorism and revolutionary struggle. On the contrary, revolutionary guerrillas are labeled "terror- ists." The Reagan administration sim- plistically blames everything on the subversive activity of either the Soviet Union or Cuba. For the US, East-West conflict is the measure of all things. That social misery and oppression are the reasons for revolu- tion has little relevance according to the US analysis. In this way the policies of the West in this region are reduced to simple-minded anti-communism. This fear of communism goes so far that even liberal US presidents have prevented not only "left wing" but also moderate "right of center" parties from holding power and bringing about reforms. An ideal witness is Robert White, former US ambassador to El Salvador. White has pointed out how US propaganda fogs the real issues, dismissing the claim of Haig and company that the source of all trouble in El Salvador is Cuban and Soviet subver- sion. He has stated categorically that the reasons for the present turmoil are to be 40/CAI?BBEAN REVIEW found in the social and economic condi- tions within the country itself; unemploy- ment, hunger and social injustice. That White himself-or more correctly, his boss at the time, Jimmy Carter-also has to shoulder a large portion of the blame for the present situation is another matter. Statistics give some indication of the poverty and exploitation suffered by the five million people of El Salvador: 0.4% of the population own 38% of the arable land; 91.4% are crowded together trying to eke out a meager living on 22% of the cultivable land; 60% of the rural and 40% of the urban population are illiterate; only 16% of the la- The CIA chief for Latin America bluntly listed the Socialist International among the four major threats to the stability of the region. bor force is employed the whole year round; there are only three doctors for every 10,000 inhabitants and the majority of the doctors practice in the cities; only 39% of the population has access to electricity. In 1979 hope began to fade in El Sal- vador. The firstjunta was not serious about social change. The much touted reforms turned out to be mainly propaganda while the "death squads" continued liquidating all opponents. Bitterly disappointed with the turn of events, Manuel Guillermo Ungo, leader of the National Revolutionary Move- ment and a member of the Socialist Inter- national, left the junta. After this, the SI began to support the opposition in El Sal- vador. This caused the first rifts in the move- ment. The leaders of the National Liberation Party of Costa Rica, Daniel Odu- ber, a vice-president of the International, and Luis Alberto Monge, the newly elected president of Costa Rica, objected to a press release of the International in 1981, which they interpreted as exclusive support for the armed struggle. In huge full-page news- paper advertisements across the continent, the Costa Ricans disassociated themselves from the SI policy of complete support for the Democratic Revolutionary Front (FDR) led by Ungo and the Farabundo Marti Liberaci6n Nacional (FMLN). These ad- vertisements attracted a lot of critical and adverse attention, and demonstrated visu- ally and dramatically the slippery path of Latin American politics that the once purely European-orientated International had taken. At the Madrid Bureau Meeting in 1980, the situation seemed to be different. The Latin American wing was strengthened with new members so that there were 14 Latin American parties among the 49 full mem- bers and 15 consultative parties that made up the Intemational. The largest of all the Latin American member parties is the Democratic Action Party of Venezuela, which claims to have more than a million members. Another Venezuelan party, the Peoples Electoral Movement (MEP), is also a member. This small party split fromAD in 1967 and moved to the left, defining itself as socialist. Other Latin American parties in- clude the Democratic Left Party (Izquierda DemocrAtica) of Ecuador and (which plays a relevant role in the political life of the country) and the Popular Socialist Party of Argentina (which can at best be described as a mini-party and whose membership is expected to be suspended at the next Con- gress because of collaboration with the mil- itary regime). The Radical Party of Chile was part of Salvador Allende's Unidad Popular and is today in exile. Its leader Anselmo Sule is one of the four Latin American vice-presidents of the International. Other members of the presidium from Latin America and the Car- ibbean are Gonzalo Barrios (AD/Venezu- ela), Daniel Oduber (PLN/Costa Rica) and Michael Manley (PNP/Jamaica). In Central America the Democratic Socialist Party of Guatemala, the National Revolu- tionary Movement of El Salvador and the winner of the February elections in Costa Rica, the National Liberation Party, are all members. In the Caribbean the member- ship includes the Dominican Revolutionary Party (with Antonio Guzman, the governing party today), the Peoples National Party of Jamaica, the Barbados Labour Party headed by Prime Minister Tom Adams and the New Jewel Movement of Grenada lead by Prime Minister Maurice Bishop. In Madrid two new members from the Nether- lands Antilles were admitted: The Peoples Electoral Movement (Movimiento Elec- toral di Pueblo) of Aruba, which under its leader Betico Croes is seeking Aruban inde- pendence and the New Antilles Movement (Movementu Antiyas Nobo) of Curacao, until recently the governing party of the is- land under its leader Don Martina. The Mexican governing party, the Party of the Institutionalized Revolution (PRI) is, contrary to many false assumptions, not a member of the SI. The Mexicans have founded their own organization to supple- ment their foreign policy-the COPPPAL. Latin American parties from the center to the left are represented in this organization. Some SI parties are also members of COP- PPAL. Until now the COPPPAL has played a very positive role, especially in Central America, but it is difficult to foresee its fu- ture, as it is very dependent on the person- ality of each Mexican president and his foreign policy. Ideological Disagreements At a glance, the list of regional member parties seems imposing enough. Except- ing the southern part of the hemisphere, the SI is extremely well represented in Central America and the Caribbean Basin. How- ever, it would be misleading to interpret these various parties as representing an ideological front. On the contrary, the mem- ber parties in this region are almost as di- verse as those represented in the UN. They range from Manuel Pefialver (AD/Venezu- ela) who is a hard-line anti-communist on the right to socialist Maurice Bishop who represents the extreme left wing of the polit- ical spectrum. Between the two extremes, there is little ideological agreement and often even a disguised animosity between members. While the ODCA, the regional union of Christian Democratic parties closely allied to US policies in the area, can present a common ideological platform based on a minimum political consensus, it is almost impossible to find a common basis for the Latin American parties in the SI. As the Frankfurt Declaration can hardly be relevant to this region, it is left to each party to more or less define for itself, what it understands by "socialism" or "social democracy." This has led a man such as L6pez Michelsen from the Liberal Party of Colombia to try to improve his image by seeking admission to the SI. L6pez Michelsen has understood only too well that certain liberal ideas can be represented, and are represented by, certain parties who vaguely define themselves as "social democratic." However it should not be forgotten -that under President Turbay Ayala, who also comes from the Liberal Party of Colombia, torture and the denial of basic democratic rights have not been un- usual. Even Admiral Massera, who was an infamous member of the first Argentine junta after the downfall of Isabel Per6n has tried to pass himself off as a social demo- crat to make himself more palatable at home and abroad. The danger that the term "social democ- racy" could begin to mean all things to all men has begun to worry some of the mem- bers of the SI and it has become an acute necessity to define a common ideological position. However an attempt in this direc- tion at the second meeting of the commit- tee in the fall of 1980 in Caracas failed miserably. A proposition to base the defini- tion on the one worked out by the PNP of Jamaica landed in the wastepaper basket. The PNP defined democratic socialism as: "a political and economic theory under which the means of production, distribution and exchange are owned and/or controlled by the people. It is a system in which politi- cal power is used to ensure that exploitation is abolished, that the opportunities of soci- ety are equally available to all and that the wealth of the community is fairly dis- tribute. A process rather than a rigid dogma, its application must depend on the particular conditions which obtain from time to time in each country. It emphasizes co-operation rather than competition, and service rather than self-interest, as the basic motive forces for personal group and com- munal action. Its ultimate objective is the building of a classless society by removing the element of entrenched economic priv- ilege which is the basis of class divisions. As distinct from scientific socialism, its method is based on the alliance of classes around clear objectives." The committee Salvador Allende called the organization the extended arm of US imperialism. instead decided to retain such pompous and vague terms as "freedom," "solidarity" and "justice." Words that each member can conveniently interpret to suit his own ends and that are even frequently used by dicta- tors on ceremonial occasions. The Sl's commitment to the Third World is controversial. US sociologist James Pe- tras, for example, has pointed an accusing finger at the SI and especially at the Social Democratic Party of Germany. He has claimed that German social democracy is an attempt to find a political basis for Ger- man capital, an attempt to present a more or less social form of capitalism. On the other hand, Carl Gershman, a representa- tive of the Social Democrat Party of the US and a member of the SI, has claimed that the SI has formed an alliance with the "anti- Western revolutionary movements in the Third World.... Beyond muddled and radi- cal ideology, beyond the fashionable and condescending view that democracy can- not be expected in the Third World is the deep anxiety of many European leaders about their countries dependence on raw materials from the Third World." These re- flections and analyses do contain some seeds of truth, but they do not reflect the whole complex picture of contradictions and the reality within the SI. Not even the Committee for the Defense of the Revolu- tion in Nicaragua, which has such famous names as Willy Brandt, Carlos Andr6s P&rez, Olof Palme, Frangois Mitterrand, Michael Manley and Bruno Kreisky, among its members is undisputed-as the events in Caracas recently demonstrated. At a time when solidarity is more neces- sary than ever, some of the parties in the SI seem to be having their difficulties. The heavy propaganda barrage constantly being fired from the US against the san- dinistas in Nicaragua has borne fruit. Some of the more conservative parties within the SI, the AD/Venezuela and the PLN/Costa Rica, have begun to express their doubts about the revolution in Nic- aragua. TheAD in particular insists that the sandinistas comply with the principles of political pluralism, a mixed economy and follow a policy of strict non-alliance in inter- national relations. It is interesting to note that these conditions were never mentioned in Madrid. The call for political pluralism may be acceptable to a point, but the demand that thesandinistas develop a mixed economy can be regarded as pure interventionist poli- tics. More so since the founding Frankfurt principles do not prescribe any particular form of economy. In Nicaragua over 70% of business and industry is still in private hands and one cannot help asking if the persistent calls for a mixed economy from certain political quarters are not really meant to obstruct necessary and urgent changes in the economy. A careful observer could not have failed to notice signals of a rift within the ranks of the Latin American member parties some time ago. At the Oslo Bureau Meeting in 1980, Oduber and Mario Soares of Portugal tried to canvas members to accept the can- didature of Nicaraguan Alfonso Robelo, whose party opposes the sandinistas. The public disagreement of the PLN/Costa Rica over El Salvador has already been mentioned, while the meeting of the Latin America Committee in Grenada last August was poorly attended. The more conserva- tive wing: Accidn DemocrAtica, PLN and PRD with its general secretary Pefia Gomez, who is at the same time the president of the Committee, were conspicuous by their ab- sence. In December last year the executive committee oftheAD/Venezuela adopted a deliberate collision course with the official SI policy, when Manuel Pefialver invited the Social Democratic Party of Nicaragua for a visit. Pefialver stated thatAD because of the "increasing totalitarian tendencies in Nic- aragua," would now support the Social Democrats. Only a year ago the SI had re- futed the advances of Nicaragua's so-called "Social Democrats" and presented its opin- ion of the party in a press release: "The misnamed Social Democratic Party of Nic- aragua acts on behalf of obscure foreign and domestic reactionary interests the pur- pose of which is to discredit the honest intentions of the FSLY." In Latin America the SI has arrived at the crossroads. The question is: will the SI place its confidence in groups and parties which often have contradictory ideas and are small today but are prepared to create the kind of society that will offer the people of Latin America a better life tomorrow? Or, will the SI only throw in its lot with the large populist and liberal parties of the continent and follow them from one compromise to another? o CAIBBEAN EVeI 6/41 P~ ~ .u:. : c -YrurY~j 9 Z ~L~.L"-L;:: 42/CAI?BBEAN P VIEW he Socialist International (SI) has ac- quired increasing importance in Latin American affairs, appearing as a pres- sure group legitimizing certain political opinions, condemning specific govern- ments, and counteracting the influence of the United States. All this has been made possible by the gradual loss of authority of the United States within the international political arena, and by the simultaneous ac- quisition of economic power and political prestige of countries like Germany, France, and Sweden. The death of Franco in 1975 brought about the resurrection of the Spanish So- cialist Worker Party (Partido Socialista Obrero Espatiol) and thrust onto the inter- national arena the charismatic Felipe Gonzalez. Gonzalez is connected not only institutionally to the Socialist International, but also personally, through ties of mutual affection with Willy Brandt (president of the SI and architect of its projected influence abroad) and with the Swede, Olof Palme. With Gonzalez and the Spanish Socialist Worker Party, the Socialist International de- veloped the proper drive belt to exert its influence in distant Latin America. Spain would be the bridge, and the Spaniards the most appropriate spokesmen. On the other side of the Atlantic favorable circumstances were also taking place. Echeverria ruled in Mexico, Torrijos in Panama, and Carlos An- dr6s P6rez in Venezuela. These leaders dis- played Third World behavior, independence from the authority of Washington, and that obscure state populism called "socialist" or "revolutionary" by Latin Americans. The presence of the Socialist International gathered strength from 1975 on, until now when it has become particularlywell-known during the current Central American and Carlos Alberto Montaner is an author, colum- nist and playwright who lives in Madrid. Among his works are: Perromundo (novel), Perro de Alambre (moviescript), Witch's Poker Game (short stories), Instantaneas al Borde del Abismo (short stories), 200 Afos de Gringos (essays), El Ojo del Cicl6n (essays), Secret Report on the Cuban Revolution (political ethnography). Nestor Dominguez, a professional translator, is with the University of Miami. The Mediation of the Socialist International Inconsistency, Prejudice and Ignorance By Carlos Alberto Montaner Translated by Nestor Dominquez Caribbean crises. Contributing to their presence is the victory in France of a social- ist government with R6gis Debray a political advisor to the French president, and Danielle Mitterrand, the president's wife, as chairwoman of the Committee of Solidarity with El Salvador and Latin America. With- out a doubt, the most immediate conse- quence of this coincidence is the unexpected meddling of France in matters that are completely alien to the diplomatic tradition of the Quai d'Orsay. Lack of Qualifications These new factors raise many doubts. For many centuries, international influence was exerted by nations whose State Depart- ments were capable of defining their own interests and of outlining strategic guide- lines that could be of use to them. But if it is obvious that the power elites of only some very few nations do indeed possess that fine sense for international relations (with the ability to carefully determine and defend their own interests), it is doubtful that the task can be rationally carried out by interna- tional federations of political parties who may agree on some ideological points, but whose interests may also be in opposition. So, the first observation that can be made regarding the mediation of the Socialist In- ternational in Latin American affairs is that perhaps it will prove to be counterproduc- tive for the cohesion of the organization itself. A second observation may be less practical, but it is equally important: the aims pursued by the Socialist International are not clear. Is it trying to promofe in Latin America a model of democratic govern- ment conceived as the very image of the ones in Western Europe? If that is the case, how is it possible that the Socialist Interna- tional lends itself to include on its political clientele list governments such as the one in Managua, avowedly Marxist-Leninist, or Mr. Bishop's mini-dictatorship in Grenada? What is the sense of condemning the old Marxist-Leninist regimes in Europe, and supporting them in Latin America during their period of consolidation? Why does Mr. Gonzalez, Vice-President of the SI for Latin America, chair an International Committee for the Defense of the Nicaraguan Revolut- tion? Why do the constant accusations against the increasing dictatorial abuses of sandinismo, made by the Social Demo- crats of the Nicaraguan, Robelo, fall on deaf ears? Why is a Panamanian "strongman" acceptable, but not his equivalent in other nations of the area? Why, if it is the case of an essentially ethical mission, is Mr. Gonzalez capable of maintaining excellent relations with the Cuban dictatorship? From these contradictions it must be concluded that what determines the con- demnation or support of the Socialist Inter- national in Latin America, is not the moral texture or the real behavior of the Central American or Caribbean governments, but the kind of image they project. In the case of a group like the sandinista commanders, who still benefit from a good international image, the Socialist International has no ob- jections in tuning over all the organization's weight in their benefit. If the dictator hap- pens to be a photogenic politician, neither Felipe Gonzalez nor the Socialist Interna- tional show the slightest prejudice in coor- dinating with him the political projects of the zone. Ethical reasons must also be eliminated as motivations of the Socialist International. Those reasons, if they exist, are too heavily tinted with opportunism to be taken in con- sideration. As long as Castro, Bishop, or Daniel Ortega is accepted, it does not seem coherent to repudiate the Polish dictator- ship in the name of human rights and dem- ocratic principles...unless, that is, if one endorses a value scale so flexible that the same facts are assessed in different ways, depending on whether they take place in white developed Europe, or in poor cross- bred Latin America. The Hidden Reserves What induces having discarded human- itarian principles this desire by the SI to assume a leading role in Latin America? It seems to me that it is simply a rebellious act against the hegemony of the United States; a rebellious act in line with the increasing disagreements arising in Europe over the way to confront the Soviet Union, the kind of atomic weapons prescribed by the Ameri- cans, or the US interest rates which weaken European currencies. Europe constantly sends forth signals about its desire not to conform to its role as subordinate to the American superpower. However, the cer- tainty that it cannot escape such subordina- tion in the Old Continent without running the risk of being subdued by the Soviets forces this expression to be limited to politi- cal and diplomatic actions executed in the Third World. Specifically, this independence is claimed vis-a-vis Latin America and Af- rica, underscoring a sovereignty that reality prevents from expression in Europe but that finds outlets in other less compromising corners of the planet. The ones who first realized this paradox were the clever strategists in Havana. From the moment of Reagan's victory, Cuba de- cided to thoroughly use the weight of the European socialists for the benefit of its own political interests (especially as a blocking mechanism against the reprisals proposed by Reagan's advisors in the Santa Fe document, a position paper considered alarming in Havana). Strictly speaking, the Cuban project was not illogical and had, in its favor, an unusual precedent a year be- fore, when the final offensive against Somoza was coordinated in Havana, it was able to verify, not without a bit of ironic surprise, that it was perfectly possible to recruit on the same side! people like Carlos Andr6s Perez, Rodrigo Carazo, Jos6 Figures, Felipe Gonzalez, Omar Torrijos, the Palestine Liberation Organization, the Socialist International, and even the wearied William Bowdler, Under-Secretary of State in the Carter administration (who was ready at the last hour to believe any promise pro- vided that the serious Nicaraguan crisis would come to a "solution" even if the "so- lution" entailed the beginning of another even more serious, dangerous and distress- ing crisis). After Reagan's victory, Cuba made haste to expedite the meddling of the Socialist International in Latin American affairs. Then in December 1981 Felipe Gonzblez was invited to establish and direct the Com- mittee for the Defense of the Nicaraguan Revolution and was asked to hurriedly for- mulate statements against a supposed mili- tary attack Havana was expecting from CAITBBEAN IEVIEW/43 Washington. Objectively, for the Castro gov- ernment, Felipe GonzBlez and the Socialist International were instruments of the anti- yankee policy, assigned to block Wash- ington's actions in Central America and the Caribbean. Yet this role as Washington's adversary in Latin America, even given the imperial nos- talgia of the Europeans, is not compatible with the socialist parties in Europe. It is to- tally inconsistent to live in Europe under a military doctrine designed by the Pentagon and US Department of State to serve as a containment strategy and, simultaneously, to move 7000 kilometers to the West to oppose the very same Pentagon and the very same State Department on the south- ern border of the same United States - fighting in Central America for something no less than the same weltanschauung proposed by Washington in Europe. There is no doubt that the Socialist Inter- national has acted in Latin America without serious analysis, without weighing the con- sequence of its actions. The parties who are members of the Socialist International lack the minimal information and political and military intelligence structures capable of detecting the intentions and the activities of Havana and Moscow in Latin America. Nor do they have at their disposal qualified aca- demics to contribute serious thought about Latin America's problems. All of this makes the mediation of the SI an act unworthy of responsible groups with decades of political experience. Consider, for example, that in distinction to the happy "amateurism" of the Socialist International, the Cuban Cen- tral Intelligence Office has a staff of 150 specialists, under the expert leadership of General Pifieiro, dedicated exclusively to at- training the objectives intended for Latin America by Moscow and Havana. Prejudices of the SI The inevitable question, then, comes to mind: How has the Socialist International been able to participate in the political arena without first defining its objectives, without later on gathering elements of information, and without the aid of qualified academics? The answer is obvious: Because the results of that action are not vital for European interests. In the long run, it is the case, once again, of events taking place in banana re- publics and carried out by those dark and Spain would be the bridge and the Spaniards the most appropriate spokesmen. explosive little men appearing in the novels of Garcia Mbrquez and Alejo Carpentier. It is possible that the same European socialist who considers the colonels of the Greek junta repulsive, may find the commanders of the Nicaraguanjunta to be charming. For sure, the repudiation that a man like Jaruzelski gets from the Socialist Interna- tional is not in contradiction with the esteem that a photogenic dictator like Fidel Castro provokes. How? Because for the Socialist International, as for a good part of the Euro- pean world, the Latin American bug an- swers to the noble-savage-turned-into-the- noble-revolutionary stereotype, brilliantly Review Latin American Literature and Arts Subscribe Now! Individual Subscription $10.00 Foreign $12.00 U.S. Institution $15.00 Foreign Institution $20 00 Published three times a year. Back issues available. NAME ADDRESS A publication of the Center for Inter-American Relations 680 Park Avenue, New York, New York 10021 44/CAIBBEAN REVIEW portrayed by the Venezuelan Carlos Rangel in his famous book Roughly, the European socialist parties have endorsed the superficial scheme de- scribing the Latin American societies as the captives of despotic oligarchies, nourished by the United States, against which the ex- ploited population rebels. The guerrilla fight, then, is not the product of a political and ideological confrontation, just the sim- ple battle of the oppressed against the op- pressors, of the tyrannized poor against the rich, served by their armies. An analysis of the political events of Cen- tral America and the Caribbean that is so weak, can only be explained by the almost complete ignorance of European political leaders about the social and economic real- ity of Latin America. It is difficult to believe that a French, Swedish or Spanish socialist leader might know the rate of development of the Salvadoran economy prior to the civil war, its rate of consumption of electricity, cement, newsprint or any of the other indi- cators of relative levels of development, the degree of industrialization within the fright- ening Central American context, the degree of agricultural yield, or the percentage of salary increases within the last decades. All that basic information is replaced by the repetitious story indeed false of the "fourteen families" -and bythe unyielding stubbornness of considering as a social revolution what is, essentially, a rebellion of a political nature. This does not mean that El Salvador was a prosperous country without serious in- justices, only that the analysis of the eco- nomic and social reality of El Salvador that the Socialist International does is not se- rious, but the result of an emotional sim- plification. For example, the Socialist International ignores that in the twentyyears since the triumph of the Cuban Revolution and the beginning of the Salvadoran civil war in 1979, El Salvador was three times more prosperous than revolutionary Cuba. This puts the SI in a difficult position. The Sl's assumption that the Salvadoran revolu- tion is carried out to seek more efficient methods of generating wealth and more reasonable forms of distributing it leads them to back the armed struggle. By the same token should not the SI also support the fight against the Cuban dictatorship, and be ready as well to do the same against the sandinista dictatorship when it be- comes evident that the Managua govern- ment is leading its people towards even greater shares of misery than did the pre- vious tyrannical regimen, and towards the imposition of a costly nomenklature which has already replaced the old oligarchy in exercising and reaping the ben- efits of economic privilege. Among the de- plorable contradictions made by the Socialist International, is one of keeping a most prudent silence in the presence of the neglectful inefficiency of the left, while justi- fying the armed rebellion against the ne- glectful inefficiency of the right. Neither Gonzalez, nor Brandt, nor Palme, have ever declared that the Torrijos' government had a disastrous effect on the Panamanian economy, stagnating its economic devel- opment, jeopardizing its future with one of the highest per capital foreign debts in the world. Once more this demonstrated that when a country's misery can be attributed to the clumsy management of a rightist economic oligarchy, it deserves the censure of the Socialist International. But when that indigence is compounded as in Cuba, Panama, Peru or Nicaragua by the irre- sponsible actions of the leftist political oligarchies, this fact simply does not provoke the rejection of European socialists. Washington and the SI Actually, there is nothing clear, or coherent, regarding the presence in Central America and the Caribbean of the Socialist Interna- tional. The only thing that is clear is that the Socialist International wants to "balance" the influence of the United States in the region without having to outline its intended goals or the theoretical base sup- porting those goals. The American attitude may be debatable and even hardly gener- ous, as it is not based on humanitarian con- siderations. But at least it is clear and based on a series of well articulated reasons intended to protect its interests: first, in the long run the United States cannot survive as a free, democratic and prosperous society if its territory is surrounded by nations linked to a hostile superpower; second, 70% of the oil imported by the United States passes through the zone in dispute, also the loca- tion of the Panama Canal, the shortest route between the Atlantic and Pacific Coasts.of the nation; third, since the triumph of the Cuban Revolution there has been the Soviet intention to exert influence in and maintain a military presence within the zone chal- lenging the power of the United States and moving the never forgotten "cold war" to the American sphere of influence; fourth, from all of the above it can be concluded that the most reasonable American objec- tive is to avoid the installation of Marxist groups in government centers that are so close by. This does not necessarily mean that in exchange for its anti-communism, the US will enthusiastically support the repulsive right-wing dictatorships that may exist in the Isthmus. Rather, it means thatthe US will not make exceptional efforts to dislodge them from power, among other things, be- cause they do not damage their vital inter- ests. The US will be forced to support them only if the alternative proposed by the guer- rillas is a dictatorship guided from Moscow jeopardizing the security of the United States. Logically, Washington feels a greater affinity towards Venezuelan or Costa Rican democracies than towards Guatemalan dictatorship, but is not always in the hands of Washington to prevent the Latin Ameri- can military from obstructing the demo- cratic game and propitiating the commu- nist insurrections. At times, Washington succeeds, as was the case in the Dominican Republic after the defeat of Dr. Balaguer, or in Honduras, during the recent liberal vic- tory elections that were respected due to real American pressure on behalf of two parties, connected, bythe way, to the Social- ist International. At other times, the irre- The most immediate consequence of this coincidence is the unexpected meddling of France in matters that are completely alien to the diplomatic tradition of the Quai d'Orsay. presible obstinacy of the military closes all doors to the democratic political process. This is the analysis proposed by the Americans. But in some way, it is also valid for all the democratic nations in the area. It is similarly not convenient for Venezuela, or for Mexico (whose oil fields are within the "combat zone") that the Caribbean and Central America turn into an explosive trou- ble spot in which Marxist radical move- ments proliferate. The Colombian case, and the Cuban-Soviet complicity with the M19 guerrillas, should provide a good les- son for the Caracas and Mexico City gov- ernments. The fact that there is a democracy, elections and formal liberties in Colombia, has not prevented the Cuban government from training guerrillas and having them infiltrate Colombia via Pan- ama. Cuba and Moscow are now fighting to put an end to military dictatorships, but to install regimes sympathetic or accessory to the communism canonized by the Soviet Union, not caring in the least about the political nature of their allies or adversaries. In another continent in the eastern part of Africa -with a strong dose of oppor- tunism, in the course of a few weeks, Havana changed its political and military commitments and passed from ally to en- emy of Somalia and Eritrea. That kind of behavior is the same that the Mexicans or the Venezuelans can expect from Cuba as soon as the propitious circumstances arise in those countries for a Marxist insurrection. Continued on page 57 The Latin American and Caribbean Center has recently published the second study in its Occasional Papers Series: "Vernacular Culture in Uruguayan Art: An Analysis of the Documentary Function of the Works of Figari, Gonzalez, and Solari" by Alicia Haber. Manuscripts are solicited for blind evaluation for the Occasional Papers Series. Research that addresses individual countries or the whole of Latin America and/or the Caribbean from the perspectives of the humanities and social sciences is welcome. Manuscripts should be no longer than 45 typewritten pages in length and should be sent in duplicate to: The Editor, Occasional Papers Series Latin American and Caribbean Center Florida International University Miami, FL 33199 Florida International University now offers a Master of Arts program in Economics with an emphasis in International economic develop- ment. The program, consisting of 30 semester hours with the option of a thesis or a research paper, is designed to be completed in one year. For information please contact: Dr. Jorge Salazar Department of Economics Florida International University Miami, Florida 33199 (305) 554-2316 CAffBBEAN EVIW/45 Occasional Papers Series Latin American and Caribbean Center The French Connection Two Views of Their Latin American Policy Interviews by Barry B. Levine rance's attitude toward the left, both in terms of internal and international policy, changed drastically when Francois Mitterrand took over the presi- dency from Valery Giscard d'Estaing. Giscard d'Estaing was an anti-communist vis-a-vis France's internal politics but was "soft" on the Soviet Union. Mitterrand, how- ever, has developed a "hard" line toward the Soviet Union while incorporating Commu- nists into his government. A consequence of Mitterrand's political geography is the new French policy toward Latin America. French policy today operates on the basis of a similar belief that one can distinguish between leftist movements attempting to bring about internal changes in society and the geo-political relationships of that soci- ety. This has generated an untold amount of consternation in the United States. The following two interviews are pre- sented to bring out the critical issues that the new French policy creates. Both inter- viewees are academics who have, or have had, some advisory capacity with the French governments. Given the court eti- quette of such relationships they speak here as private individuals and not as govern- ment spokesmen. Alain Rouquie is a researcher with the Centre d'etudes et de recherches inter- national (CERI) de la Fondation na- tionale de sciences politiques (FNSP). Among his works are Pouvoir militaire et socidtd politique en Republique argen- tine (Presses de la Fondation national des sciences politiques, 1978; Spanish edition, Emece, 1981) and Le Mouvement Fron- dizi et le radicalisme argentin (Fondation national des sciences politiques, 1967). His interview, conducted in Spanish, was translated by Lourdes A. Chediak, formerly of the Caribbean Review staff. His analysis presents the positive aspects of the new French policy toward Latin America. Offering a critical analysis of this policy is Francois Bourricaud. M. Bourricaud is pro- fessor of sociology at the Universit6 de Paris (IV). Among his works are Esquisse d'une theorie de l'autoritd (Plon, 1961); Changements a Puno: etude de so- ciologie andine (Institut des hautes etudes de l'Amerique latine, 1962; Spanish edition, 46/CAlBBEAN "VIEW French President Fran;ois Mitterrand, 1981 Wide World Photos. R6gis Debray, today a counselor to the French president on Latin America, in 1974. Wide World Photos. Institute Indigenista Interamericano, 1967); Pouvoir et socidte dans le Perou con- temporain (Cahiers de la Fondation na- tionale des sciences politiques, 1967; Spanish edition, Sur, 1967; English editions, Farber and Farber, 1970, Praeger, 1977); Universities la derive (Stock, 1971);L'in- dividualism institutionnel: essai sur la sociologie de Talcott Parsons (Presses universitaires de France, 1977; English edi- tion, University of Chicago Press, 1981); Le bricolage iddologique: essays sur les in- tellectuels et les passions ddmocrati- ques (Presses universitaires, 1980). The interviews took place in Paris in early January 1982, shortly before the French government announced it was to sell arms to the sandinista government of Nic- aragua and amidst the very vocal French condemnation of events in Poland. But by that time swords had been crossed with the US over policy for Latin America: M. Regis Debray, a former companion of Ch6 Guevara, had been appointed as a personal advisor to the French president for Extemal Affairs; Mitterrand made his famous pre- Cancun speech in Mexico before the Monu- ment to the Revolution committing France to support leftist liberation movements, of- fering "a message of hope to all the comba- tants for freedom"; and France joined Mexico in recognizing the rebels in El Sal- vador as a "legitimate political force." The interview with M. Rouquie is presented first, and then M. Bourricaud follows. Alain Rouquie: Reducing the Logic of Power Blocs* Barry B. Levine: What is the philosophy behind France's international relations with Latin America and the Caribbean? Alain Rouquie: France's foreign policy under the present government follows two important principles. On the one hand there is the defense of human rights and of the freedom of self-determination; that is to say, the right to individual and national dignity, the possibility of independent choice on the road to development with the freedom to elect one's system of government and gov- *Translated by Lourdes A. Chediak ernment officials. On the other hand, French policy ac- knowledges the need to reorganize world commerce and world exchange and com- munication with the nations of the Third World in a more just and equitable manner. The French government believes that to strengthen world peace the Third World must be taken out of the East-West conflict so that they be given a chance to develop rather than remaining pawns in the great power conflict. We need to create a new economic order at the international level to reduce what the Socialist program refers to as "the logic of power blocs." We need to give more weight to the opinions of those people that have a more independentwill so as to strengthen world peace. How can these objectives, these princi- ples, be applied to Latin America? There is on the one hand, an absolute decision made by France to have a policy of pres- ence in all parts of the world; that is, to consider no spaces sacred, no zones taboo where we cannot pronounce political judg- ments. On the other hand, there is the pres- ent situation in Central America. In this case, it was the North American administra- tion itself that presented the Central Ameri- can issue to its European allies, requesting that we accept Washington's interpretation of the facts: that the entire crisis was di- rected from the outside, that it was the man- ifestation of a foreign aggressor-of Soviet expansion in the free world. It was the United States that required the European nations to take a stance concerning the Central American situation and oblige those governments to make their own anal- ysis of the situation to check and see if it coincided with that of the Reagan administration. The previous French government, under the presidency of ValIry Giscard d'Estaing, accepted the American interpretation of the facts. The French foreign minister went to Washington and came to the conclusion that the facts, as set down in the US "White Paper" coincided with the actual facts and thus the policies that were being planned toward Central America. The analysis of the new Socialist administration was different. Since the time of Latin American inde- Alain Rouqui6. pendence, France has had an important influence in both the cultural and intellec- tual aspects of these countries. But for vari- ous and diverse reasons, France never took advantage of this. France's interests had, historically, tended to lie mostly in Asia and Africa. France had a colonial empire and the process of decolonization was long and hard until the end of the Fourth Republic. There was, in addition, the existing notion that Latin America was the reserved ground of North America. It was a continent that held no interest for France and France therefore did not feel it should be present there. Things began to change by 1964 with the famous trip of General de Gaulle. This trip was a great political gesture and was natu- rally one of great discovery for France, which was at that time emerging from its last colonial war. But this trip was not fol- lowed by a policy of economic presence nor by any of the moves that might have been expected by the visited countries. It was a grand gesture that symbolized France's newbom interests toward the Latin Ameri- can continent and de Gaulle's new policies towards Third World nations, but it was not solidified, it was not implemented. The successive presidencies of Pom- pidou and Giscard d'Estaing saw a re- awakening of interest in Latin America, but the political aspect was not emphasized. If there was an effort in negotiations it was towards formation of an economic pres- ence, which was at that time still very weak. The political aspect was totally secondary. Today, under the Francois Mitterrand gov- emment, there is the will to have a political presence in Latin America that is not simply symbolic. Under Mitterrand, we will achieve the synthesis of these two orientations, of these two needs, within the selfsame princi- ples of our government and within its own global concerns. BBL: Then it is not a question of definite interests but of a general interest in North- South relations? AR: There are concrete and very definite interests. It is true that France is more de- pendent on other countries for its raw mate- rials than many other industrial nations, but it is also true that Latin America consists of CAIBBEAN PEVIEW/47 Francois Bourricaud. many countries with unique characteristics that serve to unite them with France. It is entirely natural that such policies of new relations with the Third World should be applied above all to Latin America, to those nations that have cultural affinities with us. Both the economic and the cultural aspects converge to explain this new interest and the foundation of these new relations with Latin America. There is also this fact to con- sider-that Latin America is a group of na- tions, not all, that can be called the middle class of the Third World, the most devel- oped areas of the Third World. Then, in so far as France needs to find new ties of coop- eration with Third World countries on an equal basis including, for example, co-de- velopment and co-planning agreements, then the Latin American countries, more developed and with economies compli- mentary to our own-and I do not speak solely of Mexico's oil-take first priority. BBL: Mitterrand's socialism is not pro- Soviet communism. Is the same strategy that put him in power in France-squeez- ing between the left and the right-the basis for his policies towards Latin America? AR: Of course, it cannot be considered that French aid to Latin American liberation movements and support of Nicaragua's sandinista regime means approval of pro- Soviet communism. On the contrary, these involvements mean that when there is a government that attempts to follow an inde- pendent line bywaging its own revolution in the form of a liberation movement, it be- comes imperative for the nations of the Westem world to help it avoid the choice between abandoning the road to social change or becoming allies of Moscow. So, it is precisely in the sense of reducing com- munist expansion in the Third World and not, as some critics would have it, of lending support to a communist regime that we have done what we have. In that sense, also, it is false to say that Nicaragua has ever been, to date, a communist government. Nor is it true that the guerrilla movement- as complex and as varied as is the armed opposition in El Salvador-represents only Latin America can be called the middle class of the Third World. an international communist movement. That means that our policies towards Latin America are not different from or con- tradictory to our policies towards the Soviet Union, or Poland, or the United States. In the same way as the French government took a stand, quite firm, in the situation in Poland, in that way it takes an appropriate attitude towards Central America. In both cases there is a question of the defense of human rights and in both cases there is the will of a people who seek to withdraw from a hegemony, to defend a possibility of na- tional freedom. There is never, in any way, the desire to support the international com- munist movement or to the designs of the Soviet Union. BBL: In La Condition Humaine by An- dre Malraux one of the characters talking about tactics in the Chinese uprising says "extend the revolution, and afterwards deepen it." The American government seems to be saying that where you see a many sided armed opposition in El Sal- vador they see a tactical diversity for an ultimate communist take over. AR: We have to avoid pushing a nation into communism. We have to stop assum- ing that a nation is already lost to those values that we stand for by assuming it has become communist. To prejudge and to label a country as being communist is to push it. Then the communist element will say to the people that the US government is supporting the oppressor whom they are trying to overcome, and the people will have no other choice than to look to the Soviet Union and the East for help. That is the way of the world, it is what you call a "self-fulfill- ing prophesy." I believe that some of these past experiences could be used to avoid the same errors in the future, and to proceed instead, with neither expectations nor naive innocence, to do everything in our power so that those who share our values, those who have the least interest in an alliance with Moscow, can take the initiative and di- rect these revolutions. To predict that a revo- lution will end on the side of communism is to not take an appropriate and competitive stand. It is, on the contrary, to take a passive attitude, an attitude of defeat BBL: The US government has appar- ently adopted the distinction reintroduced by US Ambassador to the UN, Jeane Kirkpatrick, between totalitarian and au- thoritarian regimes (in her articles in Com- mentary) as the basis for political responses. As someone who understands the French perspective, what value does that distinction have? AR: This distinction, that arose during the cold war of the 1950s, is a polemical distinction. In Regis Debray's recent book, Critique de la raison politique (Gal- limard, 1981), there is an interesting section on this concept of totalitarianism, calling it a concept that covers over an emptiness, covers over a vacuum of conceptualization, designating only absolute evil. Now, 1 am not going to get into these distinctions to decide whether Somoza was a moderate autocrat or a bloody dictator. It is worthless to follow through with these distinctions which, applied to human rights, are nothing but a definition of polemical and not scien- tific facts. BBL: M. Debray makes a distinction be- tween guerrillas in Europe and those in 48/CAI?BBEAN rEviEW Volume 10 January & July 1980 1 A r, STUDIES SPECIAL VOLUME 1eAu IN AFRICA Cuban-Soviet Relations and Cuban Policy in Africa Cuba's Involvement in the Horn of Africa Limitations and Consequences of Cuban Policies in Africa Economic Aspects of Cuban Involvement in Africa Published by the Center for Latin American Studies. University Center for International Studies, University of Pittsburgh. Annual subscription rates are $8 for individuals and $16 for institutions. Address inquiries to: Center for Latin American Studies, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15260, USA. Latin America. He has indicated that he sees no positive attitudes in the European guerrillas, but that in certain cases he would accept those of the Latin American move- ments. How are they different? AR: You can't judge those who rebel against dictatorship and institutional op- pression by the same standards as you would adventurers and mercenary Euro- pean terrorists. We cannot be more "guevarista" than Guevara when he wrote, in his Guerra de guerrillas that as long as there existed the possibility of a democratic government, while there is the hope of free- dom of expression and of free participation in political life, there is no need to appeal to armed revolution. The right to insurrection against an oppressive or illegitimate gov- ernment is inscribed in the charter of the United Nations. When there are many types of oppression, when all the political chan- nels are closed, as in Guatemala, for exam- ple, where all the possibilities of free democratic expression in the defense of lib- erty were liquidated, where the moderate opposition was killed, then what solution remains? This has not been the case in Western Europe. The situations are entirely different. Certain Latin American uprisings have been cases of popular and national rallying. Not so in Europe, or in other Latin American instances, where guerrilla warfare goes on in spite of democratic possibilities. BBL: What was the purpose of the Franco-Mexican recognition of the guer- rillas of El Salvador? AR: The Franco-Mexican resolution of August 28,1981, was a response to both a humanitarian and a political concem. The humanitarian issue is to attempt to take the initiative and institute measures that will stop the killing and the daily misery of the people of these countries. Any measure that might bring us closer to world peace seems just to the government of France. In his speech in Mexico President Mitterrand spoke of the international projection of French law which obligates one to aid peo- ple in danger of death. For the French gov- ernment, that is an international concern, when a nation is in danger of death we must take immediate measures-and this is not intervention. All governments have the right to express what they think before situations of dramatic crisis; moreso, when an ally such as the US expressly requests it More- over, we feel that the rights of the people are It becomes imperative for the nations of the Western world to help Latin America avoid the choice between abandoning the road to social change or becoming allies of Moscow. above the rights of the state. That is our first concern. Our second concern is political and pertains to both the US and the sides in conflict The Franco- Mexican declaration, well understood, means that North America's greatest allies cannot follow it in its methods to contain communism. We have the same objectives but we do not conceive all things in terms of a confrontation between East and West We cannot follow US policies of supporting a junta government the priorities of which we know cannot achieve peace. The establish- ment of peace requires the acknowledge- ment of all the actors involved by global negotiations. I do not know if the declaration had that specific objective, but it had those conse- quences. I believe that in spite of criticism, the more democratic, moderate and nego- tiation-oriented sectors have been strength- ened-as against those who want or support a military solution either for the opposition or the junta. Outside of those who considered that the only possibility was one of reciprocal military liquidation, there were countries with authority, nations whose opinions carry some weight in the world, that agreed it was better to get to the negotiation table to end the misery of the people of El Salvador. It is in that direction that the French declaration is intended to point There was much hypocrisy on the part of many Latin American nations. They claimed that the resolution by Mexico and France was intervention. That was not inter- vention. It is no more intervention than to speak your mind about a crisis of that mag- nitude. Non-intervention is neither indif- ference to nor blind isolation from the rights of the people. BBL: But the resolution startled certain countries such as Colombia, which as you know has the M-19 rebels in its mountains. AR: In spite of Colombia's security mea- sures and the growing concerns over its evolution, it is a democratic country. They have elections, political parties, freedom of expression. Colombia is a country that has endured endemic guerrilla warfare for 30 Continued on page 58 rA&RBAM WVWW ~ LA A / Florida International Ur Tamiami Trail, Miami, Fl No 4 No. 1 No. 2 No 3 No. 4 :No 1 Nol 1 No. 3 No. 4 No. 1 Vol. VI Vol VII Vol. VII Vol VII Vol. VII Vol. VIII Vol. X Vol. X Vol X Vol. XI diversity - orida 33199 Please send me the back issues indicated. O A check for $5.00 per issue ,s enclosed.-- Please charge to my Mastercharge. O Visa/Bank Americard - Account No. Epiration Date -'_ _ Signature Name --. _:-; . Address - City Country Zip CAIBBEAN FMVIEW/49 Vol. I Vol II Vol. IIl Vol IV Vol. IV Vol. V Vol.-V Vol. V Vol. VI Vol. VI No 2 No. 3 No. 2 No 3 No. 4 No. 1 No. 2 No. 4 No. 2 No. 3 : -':-_ US & the Caribbean Continued from page 9 ceasing its policy of differentiation between states on the basis of the efforts that they might be making to reorganize domestic economic structures and policies (for ex- ample its support for Jamaica in its rela- tions with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) while not being necessarily sym- pathetic to the government's foreign pol- icies). Instead the administration now began to place emphasis in its relations with the states, on their attitudes to security and external relations questions. In practice, this meant not overt acts of hostility to countries like Jamaica and Guyana: not so much acts of commission, as acts of omission. That is, no assistance- private or public-would be given where the US had not been previously obligated to do so, where such assistance might have been useful in allowing the government greater domestic flexibility. Assistance would be given to the governments, or to sectors within the societies, where this coincided with the American national interest. Given the known vulnerability of these countries, deriving from location and economic de- pendency, such pressures could have mul- tiple effects on the local economies and socio-economic systems. This policy of "hands off" took place-in both Jamaica and Guyana-in the context of their re- course (dejure or de facto) to IMF stabil- ization agreements that led inevitably, to major social difficulties, placing govern- ments on the defensive at home, at the same time as their external contexts were becoming increasingly rigid and restrictive. This conjuncture of internal and external difficulties had one of two effects: either radicalization of external policies to counter or alleviate domestic political (and party) pressures, this radicalization itself then in- ducing further hostility from the United States; or an increase in internal domestic control and repression, in order to effect the stabilization policies, a recoil from radical external policies deemed hostile to the US, and a certain acceptance of American se- curity definitions. In this atmosphere, the revolution in Gre- nada, led by the New Jewel Movement, with its partiality to Cuba, was enough to rein- force and maximize the American concern with security. Economic aid, now more than ever, became the handmaiden of security stabilization; an orientation reinforced by electoral/political changes in St. Lucia and Dominica, simple-mindedly read, in the cli- mate, as instances of radical change. Then, in the context of the dispute over American policy in respect of Nicaragua in a develop- 50/CAI?BBEAN PREVIEW ing electoral season in the United States itself, came the spectre of the development of tight diplomatic relations between radical governments in a manner not hitherto in existence, across the whole breadth of the "American Mediterranean": Nicaragua- Cuba-Jamaica-Grenada-Guyana. It is an open question whether, for American diplo- macy, the development of coherent Carib- bean-Central American relations or al- liances, unmediated by American interest and power, is acceptable. What, neverthe- less, is noticeable is an American orienta- tion towards differentiation of policies Economic aid, now more than ever, became the handmaiden of security stabilization. towards the areas deemed possibly hos- tile-Jamaica, Guyana, the Lesser Devel- oped Countries, within the broad context of security stabilization diplomacy. The Reagan Diplomacy It is, in fact, a short step from this general line of the Carter administration (in which the Young-Vance influence had given way to that of Brzezinski) to the Reagan admin- istration policies-harking back to an ear- lier period and approach, of concentration on security in the region, differentiating be- tween firm allies and others, and isolation of Cuba. In a sense, the groundwork for the reinforced security oriented policies of the new administration, had been prepared in the last phase of the Carter regime. This is welcome, it should be said, to some governments in the region, operating with an awareness of weakness and depen- dence exacerbated by the continuous pe- troleum price explosion and minimum regional cohesiveness. In such an environ- ment, there have tended to develop policies of seeking to derive resources on the basis of proven allegiance to the dominant power. We can perceive three cross-currents, or potential countervailing forces, to this at- tempt at reassertion of American domi- nance. First, there has been a certain re- invigoration of interest on the part of Eu- rope, with its doctrines of social and Chris- tian democracy. This re-invigoration de- rives not simply from ethical considera- tions about the legitimacy of social change and resistance to dictatorship in Latin America. It derives, also, from as the case of European-Middle Eastern relations dem- onstrate, a perception of self-interest in an international economic climate of increas- ing "struggle for the world product" in Helmut Schmidt's phrase. It leads to a con- cem on the part of European countries, that active, unilateral interventionism propelled by domestic forces and interest groups in the United States, may lead to an American distortion of the general socio-economic environment, and hinder their (the Euro- peans') attempts to construct an environ- ment in which there is a continuity of access to crucial commodity requirements, and availability of markets. Such a concern leads, from time to time, to divergences of interests and policies in the Third World, between Europe and the United States. This is the relevant interpretative framework of the spread of European social/Christian democratic trends, and of the competition within Latin America between them. Atten- tion to the Caribbean represents in part a spill-off from this. A second countervailing current is the rise of the so-called middle powers in Latin America, and particularly in the Caribbean- Central America area: Venezuela and Mex- ico. Such countries, as is well perceived by now, have the potential for playing either "proxy" roles, or limited but important "buffer" roles, vis-a-vis American policy. We might simply note here what we can call recent Venezuelan "assertive interven- tionism," and Mexican "protective diplo- macy" in contemporary Caribbean-Central American regional relations. Of course, these countries' still asymmetric relation- ships with the United States constitute im- portant parameters in the regional role- playing which they can undertake. So too does the fact of structural incoherences in their domestic economic and social sys- tems. But clearly Mexico, for example, now perceives that certain forms of American interventionism in the region not only in- crease diplomatic instability in the area, but can give rise to internal pressures on her own government-whether from local fac- tions hostile to such interventionism, or from growing numbers of migrant exiles from other countries. Her own domestic po- litical relations could therefore, as a result, become complicated. Third, there is the perception that there are still not in existence, new and viable economic strategies capable of dealing with the problems that gave rise to the crises in Caribbean states in the first place, even after the boom years of the 1960s. Certain questions arise here. Is more massive capi- tal-intensive investment in the short term likely to make any major impact on the unemployment problem in Jamaica, even if the optimal local climate is provided? Are foreign investors interested in labor-inten- sive agro-industrial enterprises with longer lead times for recovery of investments than the mineral industries? Is the functioning of the Guyanese economy, in the medium term, dependent perhaps not so much on foreign investment in bauxite or massive hydro-electricity schemes, but rather on the rationalization of local racial-political rela- tions that will allow incentives to those in- volved in the major agricultural sectors there-a problem not susceptible to exter- nal solution? Can regional planning take place in the Eastern Caribbean without ma- jor innovation in the local political institu- tions, so as to permit predictability in the functioning of regional and supra-national institutions? Is the functioning of such co- operation institutions compatible with an emphasis on bilateralism in economic aid between the United States and the Carib- bean countries, which while providing polit- ical leverage and visibility for the donor, reinforces the tendency to competition be- tween the Caribbean countries themselves? It is ironic that the current protagonists in the Caribbean, in the private economic and in the political sectors, of the American free enterprise way, do not recognize the histor- ical fact of the major effort at innovation in political institution-making among the sep- arate states in the United States that set the trend at the end of the 18th century for a slow but continuous continental harmo- nization and centralization of decision-mak- ing structures (private and public) there. Nonetheless, there is now a dawning real- ization in the Caribbean at least, that the problems of the social systems of say, Ja- maica and Dominica, have little to do with the presence or absence of Cubans in those territories. Still, however, the view appears to be prevalent, and emphasized by American emissaries, that it is necessary to reinforce the security systems of these countries, as a prerequisite to their economic develop- ment This harks back, of course, to the philosophy applied in Southeast Asia in the 1960s, and popularized by then Secretary of State Robert McNamara, emphasizing what was taken to be the key linkage be- tween national security and economic de- velopment. In Latin America, this took the form of the close relationship between the Alliance for Progress economic programs, and programs of counter-insurgency; the alleged economic successes of the post-1964 Brazilian regime were seen as justifying this approach. The fact of the matter is, however, that in small countries, the reinforcement of the local security systems leads to an upsetting of the balance between the various socio- political sectors in the countries, giving the military, or national security sector, a deci- sive weight and a tendency to eventual pre- eminence in the political systems. This is, and is likely to be the case for two reasons additional to their mere technological dom- inance. First, with few exceptions, the politi- cal party systems, as conciliating and legitimating structures or mechanisms in the Caribbean countries are still weak. Within the context of their lack of capacity for solving mass economic problems, their 'moral' strength weakens, and becomes in- capable of counter-balancing the apparent strength of the modernized security forces. Second, the process of modernization of the security forces has a strong ideological content, in addition to its technological content. Already, in the Western tradition, set apart from society, the modernization process suggests to the military a sense of their particular status as the only virtuous sector-as the guardians of the system. Since in small countries the unnatural in- stitutional segregation of the military can- not supersede the traditional social reality of kinship and other such networks, their as- The emphasis on security is destructive of the society. It ultimately de- legitimizes the local government and political elite itself. sumption of political power is likely to be soon tainted by the divisions and social competitiveness of the society. This sets the basis for the coup and counter-coup syndrome. Thus the emphasis on security is ulti- mately destructive of the society. It further draws the United States into the local politi- cal system, establishing the country and its representatives as the ultimate mediators of the local political system. Such influence can of course even be seen as benign, as in the case of the assurance of the election of Guzman in the Dominican Republic. But it ultimately de-legitimizes the local govern- ment and political elite itself. If then, this model is applied to the newly independent Caribbean, the results can only be similar to those characterizing the older Caribbean, and most of Central America. It is therefore importantthat the Caribbean leadership, to- day frequently crippled by the local eco- nomic disorder and social pressure, not succumb to this model. There is no substitute for the endeavour, however faulty and faulting, or regional co- operation and integration of these relatively small national systems, supported by sub- stantial technical and economic assistance by the major metropoles. And though the point is still not accepted by many of the region's academics and political intel- ligentsia, there is the possibility that the strengthening of the regional system can have an important, though not determin- ing, influence on national social integration. Here again, the geographically peripheral countries, Mexico and Venezuela, will play a role in the determination of the mode of cooperation that can develop; as also in the resolution of the question of whether re- gional cohesion in the West Indies and Cen- tral America will develop within parameters that give primacy to unilaterally adduced US notions of hemispheric interests; or whether, at a minimum, the concerns of national liberation and Third World country economic and political alignments will qualify the influence of those parameters. ANNALES DES PAYS D'AMERIQUE CENTRAL ET DES CARAIBES PUBLICATION BILINGUE (FRANCAIS-ESPAGNOL) CENTRE DE RECHERCHES ET D'ETUDES SUR EAMERIQUE CENTRAL ET LES CARAIBES DE INSTITUTE D'ETUDES POLITIQUES D'AIX-EN-PROVENCE BULLETIN DE COMMAND SERVICE DE PUBLICATIONS UNIVERSITY D'AIX-MARSEILLE III 3, AVENUE ROBERT SCHUMAN 13628 AIX-EN-PROVENCE FRANCE PRIX 45,00F-FRAIS DE PORT ISBN 2-7314-0004-8 CAI?BBEAN Evlew/51 The Real Danger Continued from page 19 tionally, an overt military move by the United States against Cuban territory is an act of war, with potentially very grave conse- quences because of the security relation- ship between the Soviet Union and Cuba. A full naval blockade-a move which is occa- sionally threatened by Washington-is also tantamountto an actof war; certainly such a maneuver is neither politically or militarily as viable as itwas 20 years ago at the time of the missile crisis. A punitive strike against Cuban forces in Africa or elsewhere may seem tempting, but it too would be ex- tremely risky. Given the highly dispersed deployment of Cubans overseas, massive, multiple attacks would be necessary if real damage were to be done to the Cuban armed forces. A large number of non-mili- tary and non-Cuban casualties would surely result. The diplomatic and other costs of that kind of aggression are incalculable. Thus, the basic inaction of the admin- istration toward Cuba is understandable. No really damaging, low cost punishment can be found for Cuba-the-culprit And if actions are to be tailored specifically to the alleged crimes, instead of simply assaulting the Cuban Revolution en masse for puni- tive purposes, viable policies are no easier to find. Stop Cuban training of insurgents? (By bombing training camps?) Stop Cuban support for arms shipments to guerrilla groups? (By seizing Cuban bank assets in third countries? By shooting down any Cuban airplane headed for Central Amer- ica?) Stop Cuban attempts to forge unity among diverse insurgent groups? (By for- bidding Cuban officials to talk?) Faced with these realities, the Reagan administration has had no answers other than threat, blus- ter, semi-documented allegations, and oc- casional stupidities like intercepting Cuban periodicals destined for the United States, refusing to grant visas to Cuban visitors, and spending millions of dollars on a new radio transmitter that will broadcast much the same material (without the advertise- ments) that any Cuban can now hear by tuning into commercial broadcasts from Miami. El Salvador and Guatemala If "going to the source" in any serious way is difficult and possibly prohibitively costly, what about "going to the targets?" A partial answer to the question is found in the Rea- gan administration's actions to date in El Salvador. Despite an avalanche of rhetoric, the administration has done little more than remove the policy inconsistencies (and the ambassador) inherited from the closing 52/CAI?BBEAN REVIEW days of the Carter presidency. To ex-Ambas- sador Robert White's credit he did attempt to combine concern for human rights with support for the Duarte government But the task was more than Herculean, it was im- possible. Hercules, at least, was cleaning out a gigantic stable from which the ani- mals had been removed. Ambassador White was trying to get a stable cleaned out while the animals were still living there- and being given handouts by the United States government. (Hercules was given only one day in which to clean up centuries' worth of accumulated manure. He accom- plished the job by diverting the cleansing It is a venerable Cold War argument, dating at least from the early 1960s in what might be called its "Cuba-centric" form. Alpheus and Peneus rivers through the Augean stables.) The Reagan administra- tion, on the other hand, simply ignores the condition of the stable, concentrating in- stead on helping the stablemen survive po- litically and economically. Survival is one thing, however, and de- stroying the enemy is quite another. Win- ning the guerrilla war is proving to be a seemingly impossible task for the Sal- vadoran military, at least with the levels of American instructors and equipment given to date. In fact, there is evidence that at the end of 1981 the guerrillas were stronger vis-a-vis the government forces in El Sal- vador than they were a year earlier when US counter-insurgency aid began in earnest. To add to the frustration, it is proving difficult both domestically and internationally for the Reagan administration to place either men or material in El Salvador in sufficient quantity to tip the balance. Certainly no quick military victory for either side is now in sight. Few observers believe that the March 1982, elections will heal the basic social and political schisms in the country. In short, a "solution" of the sort that the Reagan administration would like to see in El Salvador is proving very difficult to achieve. Guatemala is a somewhat different case, but hardly one to give solace to hardliners in the long run. At first glance the situation looks more promising. The Guatemalan military is stronger, better equipped and trained, and more directly under the control of the president than in El Salvador. The insurgent forces are still more scattered and less unified. Mexico is much less likely to be supportive of a guerrilla movement on its immediate border than it has been of the Democratic Revolutionary Front much far- ther to the south in El Salvador. And cer- tainly the Guatemalan government has shown no inhibiting sensitivity to human rights pressures-nor is there any indica- tion that they are receiving serious pres- sures of that sort from Washington. In general, then, Guatemala looks like the ideal situation in which to prove that a revo- lutionary movement can be defeated if only the local military and its friends and sup- porters both inside and outside the country are left free to fight with all the weapons necessary. But the news from the highlands cannot be entirely comforting forthose who hold such views. There are multiple indica- tions that more and more previously iso- lated and "apolitical" Indians are joining the guerrillas. There is increasing evidence that the government's policy of massive and un- differentiated repression is not working as a deterrent Thus, the potential, if not yet the actual nightmare for those who support the status quo is that even under such favorable con- ditions the powers-that-be may not be able to contain an explosion of revolutionary change. If Alexander Haig and his friends in Washington are not presently concerned about that possibility, it is only because they have not been well briefed on Guatemalan realities. And if and when Guatemala does move to the center of attention, many of the same constraints to policy as now operate with El Salvador will become evident: It will not prove easy to make the commitment of men and material necessary to "make a difference" if the tide begins to turn in favor of the insurgents. No "democrat" like Jos6 Napoleon Duarte is likely to be in the saddle to legitimate US aid when the critical mo- ment arrives. The introduction of proxy troops from outside the region-since closer to home no supporters of the Guatemalan regime can spare the man- power-will not turn out to be as attractive in practice as it might seem in theory. Ar- gentine boys killing Indians and in turn dying in support of Guatemalan land- owners and generals is not a scenario likely to make hemispheric relations run more smoothly. As many Americans discovered more than a decade ago with Vietnam, even the otherwise arrogant Argentine military might eventually learn that foreign adven- tures in the service of corrupt and repres- sive regimes almost inevitably result in the war being brought back home. Nicaragua If Cuba is a tough nut to crack, and if victo- ries over the insurgents in El Salvador and Guatemala do not seem imminent, where in Central America and the Caribbean can the Reagan administration hope to demon- strate that its muscles are as big as its mouth? The answer is obvious: Nicaragua. From the point of view of those who want to stoke the fires of the cold war in the Caribbean basin, the Nicaraguan Revolu- tion is, in fact, a godsend: The sandinista triumph can be blamed on the "liberals" in the previous administration; Cuban support for the Nicaraguans "proves" that the san- dinistas are the proximate supplier of weapons to Central American insurgents; the crackdown on certain opposition lead- ers and voices demonstrates according to Secretary Haig that "the hours are growing rather short to prevent Nicaragua under the leftist sandinista government from be- coming a totalitarian state like Cuba"; and-best of all according to Haig-the growth of the Nicaraguan armed forces suggests that "the militarization of Nic- aragua is but a prelude to a widening war on Central America (emphasis added)." Thus, the sandinista government is portrayed as quasi-totalitarian, a primary supporter of lo- cal insurgencies, and the new military power threatening the security of its neigh- bors. It is worth emphasizing that except for the growth of the armed forces-in itself a very rational response to the current level of external threat-there is no substantial evi- dence to support this portrayal of the Nic- araguan Revolution. The list of charges is, of course, not dis- similar from the list drawn up against Cuba. There is one critical difference between the two cases, however. Whereas geography and its economic and security relations make the Cuban Revolution very difficult to attack effectively, the Nicaraguan Revolu- tion seems extremely vulnerable to imperi- alist actions. With an economy still dominated by the private sector, serious balance of payments and production prob- lems, thousands of ex-National Guardsmen just across the border in Honduras, ethnic and regional stresses-particularly on the Atlantic Coast, and very significant opposi- tion groups operating domestically, Nic- aragua appears to be a destabilizer's dream. However, a second look at the Nic- araguan situation suggests that there are also impediments-and thus potentially deep frustrations-for those who would de- stroy the sandinista Revolution. On the one hand, Nicaragua's alleged domestic sins cannot be used to legitimate an armed intervention. Bad management, arresting a few opposition leaders, and temporarily closing a newspaper are not sufficient cause to justify landing troops; if such were the case, the US would have occupied every square inch of Guatemala years ago. Addi- tionally-although this is not necessarily understood by the Reagan administra- tion-US hostility probably strengthens the power of the sandinistas, leading at the same time to a less pluralistic political sys- tem and a stronger defense posture. Also, international support for the sandinistas, spearheaded by the Mexican government and European Social Democrats, provides a diplomatic and economic if not a military shield against aggression. Finally-and quite unlike the anti-Allende campaign in Chile-enemies of the sandinistas cannot count on the Nicaraguan armed forces to lead a counter-revolutionary movement from within. Outside intervention, some- how dressed up to cover its nakedness, will be needed. What the Reagan administration now seems to be doing is cutting and tailoring the rags with which that nakedness can be clothed. By casting Nicaragua as Haig has as a potential "platform of terror and war in There are multiple indications that more and more previously isolated and "apolitical" Indians are joining the guerrillas. the region," the administration is seeking nothing less than a rationale for future mili- tary action. If Nicaragua can be made to seem the actual or potential aggressor in the region, a new range of options, from blockade to joint military actions by other Central American nations and "allies" from the Southern Cone, can be placed on the agenda. Placing these options on the agenda is one thing, however, and actually executing them successfully is quite another. With every week that passes-as the Reagan ad- ministration well knows--the Nicaraguan Revolution becomes militarily stronger. Al- though Nicaragua can be badly hurt by some combination of overt and covert armed actions, it is doubtful that the san- dinistas can be overthrown by anything short of a full-scale invasion by US troops. And that, as the Pentagon has been at- tempting to tell the White House and the State Department, would not only weaken the United States in other, more critical areas like the Middle East, but would be a sure guarantee that 99% of the Nicaraguan people would unite behind their govern- ment to do battle against the Yankees. The promulgation of a perspective in which Nicaragua appears as a platform of terror and war in the region thus carries a double message: On the one hand it too both reflects and embodies the geography of frustration mentioned earlier. If the United States cannot "get" Cuba, and if easy victo- ries in El Salvador and Guatemala are not in reach, then by elimination Nicaragua looms large as the one country in which the impe- rial power can hope to demonstrate its re- solve. The only revolution-in-power in Central America becomes the surrogate for other revolutionary movements which cur- rently are either too well defended or too elusive for the United States to hunt down and destroy. But there is a second message, really a subtext, that is even more ominous. An ad- ministration that believes that revolutionary unrest can be contained if only Nicaragua and/or Cuba can be "made to behave" is dangerously out of touch with reality. In classic fashion, the Reagan administration early in 1981 helped to ensure that it would remain out of touch with reality by firing or forcing out many of the top State Depart- ment career officers with extensive experi- ence in Central America and the Caribbean. This being the case, frustration can only mount, either because Cubans and Nic- araguans refuse to "behave," or because no matter what they do, little else improves in other parts of Central America. At some point--and the anti-Nicaraguan rhetoric suggests that such a point is not too dis- tant-there is a real possibility that the frus- trations will breakthrough the constraints of more normal policy calculations and cost- benefit analysis. At that moment, it no longer will make any difference what Mex- icans or other Latin Americans think, what advantages will accrue to the Soviet Union if the United States has its own Afghanistan, what the fine print in the War Powers Act says, or how the liberals at home or abroad will react. It will have become, in one of Washington's favorite metaphors, a differ- ent ball game. If this seems too harsh ajudgement of an administration that to date has done little in the region except bluster and threaten, it is useful to remember that it took the Carter White House many months and much soul- searching before finally launching the luna- tic expedition to rescue the hostages. It is also sobering to recall how surprised most Americans were to learn that the seemingly dovish Carter administration had actually used force in an attempt to regain the initia- tive in its quarrel with Iran, even though the use of force meant putting the lives of the hostages (and of other Americans in Iran) in jeopardy. History suggests that policies of aggression and military adventurism are often born out of just such combinations of spiraling frustration and misperceptions of reality. This, then, is the real "clear and present danger" in Central America and the Carib- bean. An administration incapable of for- mulating an alternative view of the region is inevitably trapped between its analysis of the problem and its seeming inability to act with the decisiveness that its analysis sug- gests is essential. Caught in a snare of its own making, increasingly frustrated, not wanting to appear a paper tiger, military action-no matter what the conse- quences-looms as more and more "ra- tional" to the empire's high command. [] CAl?BBEAN IPEVIW/53 Good Neighbor Continued from page 27 Phillips (1977), who characterized it as "brazen intervention." Washington recognized the need for giv- ing Castillo Armas financial support, and it did so in handsome fashion. He maintained some of the reforms of his immediate pred- ecessors, but he also retumed to the United Fruit Company its expropriated acreage, declared the Communist Party illegal, and restricted the vote to citizens who could read and write. He returned Guatemala largely to its old ways under Ubico, and the liberalizing efforts of Ar6valo and Arbenz were largely halted. Today, the Guatemalan regime is essentially a military dictatorship. The Limits to US Influence This experience exemplifies the difficulty of the part the United States can play in the Caribbean and elsewhere in Latin America, with respect to affecting the types of gov- ernments that its neighbors may adopt, or have inflicted upon them. During World War II, the United States endeavored by non- recognition, freezing of assets, control of exports, and influence over elections, to cause Argentina to change its policies to- ward the Axis, and even to force the Argen- tina military to give way to a civilian government. The failure of Hull and Braden in these efforts was total, and the failure is remembered in the Department of State. In the earlier case of Nicaragua, even the use of the Marines was ineffectual in changing the political mores of the people. In Guatemala, the success of the CIA was a limited one. The case demonstrated that the use of force by the United States could in certain cases be effective in denying the presidency to an individual and his associ- ates. However, such use of force did not instill a love of liberty, electoral honesty, and a concern for human rights that accom- pany a democratic regime as known in the United States and, for example, in Costa Rica. Encouraged by its success in Guatemala, and learning little from it, the CIA obtained authority from Eisenhower and then from President John F Kennedy, to mount the expedition at the Bay of Pigs that was to destroy the Castro regime in Cuba, in 1961. There are many causes for the failure, including Kennedy's unwilling- ness to order a larger air strike, but one The United States was certainly not going to raise issues about human rights or political freedom with these governments that werg cooperating so closely in the struggle for survival against the Axis. reason was that in Cuba, as distinct from Guatemala, there was no old-time army that could be counted on as an ally of the CIA. Ernesto Guevara was in Guatemala City at the time of the invasion in 1954, and he counselled Castro that it would be neces- sary, in consolidating his power, to elimi- nate the military establishment, and this was done. The missile crisis of 1962, with its direct threat to the security of the United States is, of course, the reason why the United States is still concerned about the Communist re- gime in Cuba, and about the nature of the government in Nicaragua following the deposition of the younger Somoza in 1979. Similarly, the Department of State is con- cemed about the unresolved struggle in El Salvador, where the Duarte junta is assailed by "leftist" guerrillas. As John Moors Cabot, former Assistant Secretary of State for Latin American Affairs, put it: "Guatemala was on a course which would have made it-as Cuba later became-a menace to our na- tional security." Had the United States made a serious effort to convene a meeting of foreign min- isters in late May 1954 at the time of the Guatemalan crisis, ways might have been found for aiming collective action of the American states in such a way as to satisfy both the concern of the other American republics to avoid intervention by the United States, and the desire of the United States to restrain the influence of local communists and of international communism in Guatemala. That opportunity was, however, lost, for no such meeting was held, al- though one was scheduled on June 28, for July 7, but was later cancelled in view of Arbenz' resignation on June 27. At the pre- sent time, collective action by the OAS seems impossible to arrange, given the ad- verse vote in the OAS in 1979 on the pro- posal for joint action, sponsored by the United States, in connection with the Nic- araguan situation. The United States, there- fore, without prospects for multilateral OAS action, is left to deal with individual coun- tries in seeking to bolster its own security. In the Dominican Republic affair in 1965, the Johnson administration took no chances with the CIA, but sent in some 30,000 troops to keep the peace and ar- range for elections. The OAS entered the situation after Brazil, Nicaragua and a few other countries had supplied military forces, but its action was primarily a face- saving device. The essence of this massive operation was that it demonstrated that the United States would not allow another Cuba in the hemisphere, especially in the Carib- bean. The end of the affair was much later celebrated by Zbigniew Brzezinski, Presi- dent Jimmy Carter's National Security Ad- viser, in stating: "To me the central problem is that because we and the Latin Americans have a divergent view of our common past we may confront the risk of divergent fu- tures. Americans tend to be very proud of the Monroe Doctrine. To most Latin Ameri- cans it is a document expressing American domination.... We have deliberately chosen not to label our policy toward Latin America and instead to pursue a policy of treating Latin American countries as mature part- ners on a bilateral basis in most cases, as we do with Europe and Asia; on a regional basis when needed (and we have made real strides in developing Caribbean coopera- tion); and on a global basis in regard to those problems which Latin America shares with other developing countries" (The HNew York Times, Jan. 4,1979). [E 54/CAI?BBEAN REVIEW N W i N ot@a from FIU's International Affairs Center Florida International University is the University's Summer Program in the present locus of a new Cambridge. international organization, the Professor Jorge Salazar Interamerican University Council for convened a recent meeting to Economic and Social Development. discuss final plans for the May 1982 The Council was established in meeting of the Brazilian Economic March 1982 at an Assembly in Seminar. Washington, D.C. The Secretariat Under cosponsorship with the may be addressed in care of Victoria and Albert Gildred Gregory B. Wolfe. President. Florida Foundation for Health and International University who is Education in Latin America, the serving as the first Board Chairman. International Affairs Center and the Professors Mary Volcansek and School of Education conducted a Jan Tucker hosted a reception for five-day higher education seminar the visiting delegation from the at the University for administrators Division of Extramural Studies of from the Universidad Pedagogica Cambridge University in advance of Nacional in Bogota, Colombia. International Affairs Center Florida International University Tamiami Trail, Miami, Florida 33199, Ph: (305) 554-2846 Tradition of Democracy Continued from page 31 least disposed to leave the limelight He was elected president of Costa Rica again in 1970 at the age of 63. This last presidency turned out badly for him, principally be- cause of his involvement with the "fugitive financier" Robert Vesco, but other than his personal problems he was a democratic president. However, Don Pepe had earlier, in 1966, declined to run for the presidency, when he might have, declaring, "I want time for scholarly pursuits. I want the young men to move along as they develop. [Daniel] Oduber is qualified, and I support him." What changed his mind in 1970 was Odu- ber's defeat in the 1966 election and the conviction that he was needed to restore the PLY's fortunes. Of course, these leaders continued to be influential, as already noted in the case of Mufioz. They were politicians and, although they were not perfect, they were men of deep conviction. In 1967, Betancourt con- fided to Figueres: "I am uneasy about the situation in Venezuela. The conflicts among the candidates within the AD could even- tually lead to disaster." Still, he stayed away and did not take part in the 1968 election, which AD lost It may be noted, too, that none of the three got along well with his successor, but none behaved un- democratically. Betancourt's relations with Leoni were strained and he was barely on speaking terms with AD's Carlos Andres Perez during the latter's presidency, 1974-1979. When Oduber finally became president of Costa Rica, 1974-1978, he and Figures had a complete falling-out Mufioz had the same experience with his protege and successor Roberto Sanchez Vilella, which accounted for the victory of Luis A. Ferr6, the statehood candidate, in 1968. Overall, the three leaders set a democratic example, permitting the political process and nature to follow their course. The democratic example which the three leaders set was enhanced by a healthy prag- matism and a warm sense of humor. Ac- companying a willingness to subordinate personal ambition to institutional growth was an awareness of the need to avoid ex- tremes. Betancourt for years opposed the nationalization of Venezuela's petroleum in- dustry on the grounds that it was better to compromise with the oil companies and keep the revenues coming for economic development and social programs, while the Venezuelans prepared themselves for ownership, rather than to take the popular step of seizing the oil fields prematurely, with a consequent lengthy period of sacri- fice and disruption. Mufioz's common- wealth idea was a classic compromise solution. In all matters, Muiioz was well- known for. his comment, "If it works, use it" Don Pepe consistently argued that class harmony was essential for full production, generally striving to combine the best fea- tures of capitalism and socialism and to discard the worst. The pragmatic approach of the three made them targets of both the left and the right, but Figueres was philo- sophical, telling Betancourt, "I ought to have the hide of a rhinocerous." Clearly, the strength of their leadership was sustained by the friendship they shared for one an- other and the good humor they displayed among themselves. In 1960, when Figueres supported a tour of Latin America by Adlai Stevenson, he urged Betancourt to arrange a demonstra- tion in behalf of Stevenson in Caracas, but cautioned his friend to do it discreetly. "We have to act like gentlemen," he wrote, "and not like what we are, like Cantinflas." While president, Betancourt told Figueres that his presidency was like a marriage, "in that the first year is the most difficult, and the others are worse." In 1965, when the three leaders were called upon by President Lyndon Johnson to try to mediate the Dominican crisis, after Johnson had already inter- vened, Mufioz was not deceived, calling their action, "operacidn sacar la pata" (operation removing the foot from the mouth). It should be noted also that they were honest men. Except for Figueres's problems with Vesco, which was more a matter of badjudgment than personal gain, no hint of scandal or corruption touched their administrations. None of them was a wealthy man or abused his political position for personal enrichment. A Tradition of Democracy The unique leadership of Betancourt, Figures, and Mufioz has established a tra- dition of democracy in the Caribbean. They created working democracies in Venezuela, Costa Rica, and Puerto Rico and contrib- uted to democratic progress in the Domin- ican Republic and Honduras. Their achievement provides hope for the future and a nexus for the formulation of US pol- icy. If the three men seemed more compati- ble with certain leaders of the US Democratic party, it was because they per- ceived North American liberals as more sympathetic toward the idea that democ- racy could not survive in the Caribbean without promoting social and economic change. Figures frequently lamented that his presidencies coincided with Re- publicans in the White House. The three leaders criticized Republican administra- tions for failing to appreciate that the Carib- bean oligarchy was not merely conservative but was reactionary and was prepared to use repression to maintain its privilege and wealth. In the view of the oligarchy, democ- arcy itself was subversive. The Caribbean's democratic leaders also expressed concern thatthe anti-communism of the Republican party was too narrowly conceived and that Republican leaders appeared to distrust change as either communist-inspired or as providing the opportunity for communist infiltration. The fate of democracy in the Caribbean, however, was not necessarily linked to US partisan politics. Betancourt, Figueres, and Mufioz admired such Republicans as Clifford Case, Douglas Dillon, Jacob Javits, and Nelson Rockefeller. Figures summed up the attitude in a letter to Arthur Schlesinger, Jr., in February 1960, follow- ing a visit to San Jose by McGeorge Bundy (then dean of the faculty at Harvard Univer- sity). "He [Bundy] is a very bright fellow, in spite of his being a Republican," Don Pepe wrote. "It is too bad that you fellows, Yankee scholars, are not better known in the non- English-speaking parts of the world. We get enough of coca colas and Mr. Dulles instead." It is too early to tell about Ronald Reagan, because the signals are mixed. The talk of the distinction between authoritarian and totalitarian regimes is reminiscent of the double standard of John Foster Dulles with SFlorida International University now offers an interdisciplinary Master of Arts program in International Studies with an emphasis on socio-economic development. The program seeks to train individuals for employment with governments, private enterprise and international organizations. Courses in the program are offered by faculty in Political Science, History, Economics, International Affairs, Sociology and Anthropology. For further information contact: Dr. Farrokh Jhabvala Florida International University Tahmiami Trail Miami, Florida 33199 (305) 554-2555. CARfBBEAN eVI1W/55 reference to right-wing and left-wing dicta- tors, but the Reagan administration has an- nounced plans for a program of develop- ment in the Caribbean basin, showing an awareness of the economic and social causes of unrest. Secretary of State Alex- ander Haig has called for the creation of an institute for the study of democracy in the Americas, under the auspices of the OAS, proposing to name it in honor of R6mulo Betancourt. The latter action may indicate an important change in attitude. The Rea- gan program apparently places emphasis upon private investment and self-help, and the Caribbean's democratic left may be re- ceptive to a shift in strategies, given current economic conditions, but the approach ought not to be doctrinaire and needs to Hegemony Continued from page 33 States is enlisted as supporter of such gov- ernments on the premise that the threats not simply of a more just distribution of wealth and income, but of "communism," and thus of an extension of Russian power. The military regimes placed in power may, like the demons summoned by the sorcerer, not always obey him, and military governments may prove to have their own way of ruling not necessarily to the liking of the propertied classes that had solicited military intervention against movements of popular power; they may have nationalist and socialist ideas of their own, or they may themselves assume permanent rulership in their own personal and institutional interest, dealing directly with the United States and diminishing the role of the old oligarchy. As repression is heightened, however, the possibility emerges of the steady alienation of the middle class from the regime, the intensification of the hostility of the lower classes, and finally the development of an insurgency or civil war which the regime may well lose, as in Nicaragua. Given the self-identification of the United States with the regime, which represented "anti-com- munism" and law and order, the emergence under these circumstances of a revolution- ary government has been regarded by US administrations as a "defeat" (although there is no reason why it could not have equally well been interpreted as a triumph for American democratic principles and an analog to the American Revolution, if the US government had not made a point of wearing its anti-communist hat). The atti- tude of the Roosevelt administration to the government of Lazaro Cardenas is apposite 56/CAI?BBEAN PIEWvi recognize that there are grave economic and social problems which may not attract private capital. As someone has already ob- served, it is awfully difficult to pull yourself up by your bootstraps if you don't have any boots. The plan must accept the democratic pluralism of the Caribbean and the na- tionalistic sensitivities and locally-devised programs for the solution of local prob- lems. It does not advance the cause of Costa Rican democracy, for example, to charge that the welfare state is spending more than it earns. Reform may be neces- sary in Costa Rica, but its problems cannot be blamed solely upon its social democratic course. In 1954, George Humphrey, Eisenhower's Secretary of the Treasury, here, or the difference between the attitude of the Kennedy administration to the origi- nal election of Juan Bosch in 1961, and the attitude of the Johnson administration to the prospect of Bosch's return to power in 1965. Escaping Hegemony Assuming that a more enlightened US gov- ernment is not now in prospect, and absent an economic miracle (e.g. oil strikes of Mex- ican or Venezuelan proportions) that would make it possible for economies to gratify popular aspirations without touching the present distribution of wealth, then a gov- ernment in the Caribbean today has prima facie the choice of playing the game by the rules laid down by the United States and the international financial institutions, which means shelving prospects for serious eco- nomic redistribution, and therefore resort- ing -increasingly to repressive techniques; or mobilizing and arming the population to deter incursions from mercenaries, armies of neighboring countries, and others prompted bythe CIA, etc., and to indicate to the United States that outright military ac- tion would bring no easy victories but would instead raise prospects of an endless Viet- nam-type engagement. Another course may however be possi- ble, given the present correlation of forces in the region. Fidel Castro believed that his only option, if he wanted his country to be truly independent of the United States, was to sign up with the Soviet Union. Today it may be possible to put together a protective and supportive international network with- out a speech proclaiming oneself a Marxist- Leninist, with the very mixed blessings that that brings in its train. Perhaps sympathy from Mitterrand's France and even Helmut Schmidt's Germany, a little solidarity from the Socialist International, some Christian Democratic gestures from Venezuela arid revolutionary nostalgia from Mexico, can be translated into enough economic and dip- lomatic support to ride out the waves of self- took a similar negative view toward as- sistance to state-owned enterprises, under- mining the solutions of the democratic left and indirectly providing the opportunity for those of Fidel Castro. The leaders of Costa Rica and Venezuela aided in the overthrow of Somoza, but they were not pro-san- dinista. They were not afraid to oppose a tyrant because of the possibility that the Marxists might triumph and they continue to aid the Nicaraguan revolution in order to enable the democratic forces to prevent that from happening. Betancourt, Figueres, and Mufioz could be tough against those who violated the democratic process, but they always gave democracy a chance, even if they did not like the results. That is their legacy. E righteous outrage in Washington and New York. If one may allow a little play to the imag- ination here, there may be possibilities that sandinista Nicaragua, for example, has overlooked. How much wind would it take out of the sails and the speeches of Alex- ander Haig, and how much menace out of the covert instructions being given by his colleagues, for example, if Tomas Borge or Humberto Ortega were to announce that after due consideration of Cuba and other revolutionary forerunners sandinista Nic- aragua had decided to adopt the Mexican model? General Sandino was himself of course inspired by the Mexican Revolution during the period he lived and worked in Mexico, so this would be no more than a return to first principles. The Mexican model signifies a leading role (and an indefinite stay in power) for the revolutionary party other parties are legal, they compete, they are even encour- aged and subsidized by government; they are just never popular enough to win. Mex- ican land reform legislation could be adopted in toto, along with Mexican rules governing private and foreign business and assigning a substantial role to the public sector. The principles of Mexican foreign policy-non-intervention, juridical equality of states, etc. are all perfectly appropriate. Mexican technical assistance missions could be brought in. Surely the flattered Mexicans would exert themselves to pro- vide economic assistance. The cold war- riors in Washington would have a harder time peddling the formula that a revolution- ary government necessarily means a gov- emment in the Cuban or Russian mode. The United States' need for Mexican oil would inhibit attacks on a state identified so closely with Mexico. Perhaps this vision is too rosy; perhaps it carries the point too far. In today's Carib- bean, however, there may be enough play in the situation to suggest that hegemony need not be absolute. M Mediation Continued from page 45 Let no one think that in Central America Cuba is defending freedom and human rights, for they will then have to explain why Cuban troops are supporting the Ethiopian government, a government responsible for a horrifying genocide in its devastated Af- rican comer. It is in that sense that strategy instituted by Washington for the defense of its inter- ests, can also be useful to protect the inter- ests of Latin American democratic nations. This is not always understood in Latin America. Too frequently Social Democratic leaders conspire against their own political and ideological objectives in exchange for the circumstantial applause of the more able Marxist groups, and for the mysterious prestige that the abused word "revolution- ary" still carries in the primitive Latin Ameri- can political milieu. Finally, what is the alternative the Social- ist International proposes to substitute for the American action? Given the perform- ance models in Nicaragua and El Salvador, it appears that the most agreeable formula to the SI consists of not opposing the insur- rectionary movements encouraged by Cuba/Moscow, while trying to control these movements by the inclusion of democrats within the rebel cadres. This is the story of Alfonso Robelo and Violeta Chamorro in thejunta that set up Somoza's downfall, and this is the story of Ungo and Zamora in the Front that lies in wait for power in El Salvador. Experience has shown that this strategy is childishly naive as the military apparatus of the Guerrillas remains con- trolled by Marxist-Leninist groups. It is sad that the Socialist International has not learned the Cuban or Nicaraguan lesson, but it is even sadder that their very own European lesson at the end of the Second World War is not even remembered. Then, Marxist-Leninist parties, with the backing of the military apparatus, seized power in half of Europe, paying no attention to the pro- tests of the naive social democrats, who had believed the communist promise of politi- cal fair play. As Mao used to say, in convul- sive societies, power comes from the muzzle of a gun. The Breakdown of the SI in Latin America The Socialist International has so many contradictions, and the damage its unex- pected actions can cause to the political destiny of Latin America (and to its own relations with the United States) is so great, that it would not be surprising to see the future breakdown of the social democratic movement in the region. One segment, the Romulista faction ofAcci6n DemocrAtica seems to be ready to repudiate the irrespon- sible conduct of the SI. It is possible that the apristas of Andres Townsend, the full membership of the Liberaci6n Party in Costa Rica, and the guzmanista sector of the Partido Revolucionario Dominicano, may follow the same line. Some voices, as in the case of the Chilean Alberto Baeza Flores, historian of Latin American social democracy, are already calling for the resur- rection of the Democratic Left, and the re- pudiation of an International that serves the democratic interests in Europe and the to- talitarian ones in Latin America. It would not be surprising if this separation takes place during the coming years and, basically, it will come as a result of the absurd behavior of the socialist parties of a Europe not re- signed to the marginal role the bipolarity of the planet condemns it to. It has acted with the greatest irresponsibility in an area of the world where the consequences of these ac- tions will be always considered alien, some- thing like a distant flare-up splendor, on the other side of the Atlantic. Of course, none of this means that the democratic forces of the West should re- main impassive in the face of the horren- dous Central American carnage, but it is indispensable that the actions undertaken be carefully pondered over, even if it is only for the compassionate reason of not creat- ing greater harm for those unfortunate pop- ulations. Cubans discovered that it was possible to surpass the horrors of the Batista era, and the Nicaraguans are about to repeat the same frightful discovery in regards to Somoza. It is necessary to oust from power the military dictatorships andto establish instead democratic governments that will promote social justice. But this can never be achieved by backing Castro-So- viet obedient armed groups even when re- spect for the democratic game is demanded of them for they will never keep their promise. [ CARBBEAN NW'VW/57 THE REVIEW AWARD The Caribbean Review Award is an annual award to honor an individual who has contributed to the advancement of Caribbean intellectual life. The recipient of the Third Annual Award is Aime C6saire. Aim6 C6saire was born in Basse-Pointe, Martinique in 1913. He is with Leopold Senghor and Leon Damas, the father of n6gritude, also today's foremost black dramatist in the French language, an internationally recognized poet, historian, political activist and combatant for black and human dignity. As Andr6 Breton said: Aime C6saire est un Noir qui est non seulement un Noir mais tout I'homme et qui s'imposera de plus en plus A moi comme le prototype de la dignity His greatest political treatise, Discours sur le colonialisme (1950), his most read poem, Cahier d'un retour au pays natal (1939), his greatest play, La Tragddie du rol Christophe (1963), are cultural and intellectual dimensions paralleled by his political service: maire of Fort-de-France and d6put6 in the Assemblee Nationale for 35 years. His contribution to Martinique, to the Caribbean, to Africa, to France and to mankind make him a model for our generation and many to come. The award committee consisted of Lambros Comitas (Chairman), Columbia University, New York; Fuat Andic, Universidad de Puerto Rico, San Juan, Puerto Rico; Wendell Bell, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut; Locksley Edmondson, University of the West Indies, Mona, Jamaica; Anthony P. Maingot, Florida International University, Miami, Florida. Nominations for the fourth annual Caribbean Review Award-to be presented at the Eighth Annual Meeting of the Caribbean Studies Association in Spring 1983-should be sent to The Editor, Caribbean Review, Florida International University, Miami, Florida 33199. The award recognizes individual effort irrespective of field, ideology, national origin, or place of residence. In addition to a plaque the recipient receives an honorarium of $250, donated by the International Affairs Center of Florida International University. French Connection Continued from page 49 years (going back to its period of "violen- cia"); it is not a dictatorship nor a military regime. It has other problems, as un- satisfactory as they may seem. BBL: What is the relationship between France and Nicaragua? AR: Given their economic difficulties- 40 years of dictatorship, three years of war-and the strategic difficulties that rid- dle a country in crisis and the difficulties met in reconstruction, I don't think it proper to take a hard stand, to cut their credit, to press and threaten them with military inter- vention. On the contrary, we have to help them. We have to support them in all thatwe recognize as constructive and productive. We have to give them all we can. Not only financial aid but aid of any other kind that might comfort the people and strengthen their national independence. To label it a totalitarian state, a satellite of the Soviet Union, is totally negative and counterproductive. BBL: What is France's attitude toward the US proposed mini-Marshall plan for the Caribbean? AR: As far as the mini-Marshall plan is concerned, no one has invited us to partici- pate-but we believe that international aid is a necessity for the development of those counties with the poorest economies. We are planning to double the amount of France's public aid, but aid is not enough. Aid has to come together with a reorganiza- tion of international relations. And with the establishment of prices for raw materials that will allow economic solvency so that the resources of these countries in develop- ment will not be subjected to international market laws that prevent a fair income and frustrate steady development. With that, and with the withdrawal of these countries from the middle of the East-West conflict- these are the two conditions necessary to allow these countries to climb out of under- development They need peace. And peace is to be had only through the end of conflict; through an alliance of all developed nations So we must not isolate the issue of for- Non-intervention is neither indifference to nor blind isolation from the rights of the people. eign aid. We must not deviate from the more general framework of North-South re- lations and I would say that the problem of world economic order is fundamental, be- cause if we do not better relations between the North and South we will create currents unfavorable to the establishment of peace. Such a result can only serve to reinforce negative forces against the values of de- mocracy and freedom, forces represented by the alliance against the North of the East and the South. All the policies of the present French government attempt to thwart that unhappy force, that alliance or domination of the East and the South, against those of the West. This realization is vital to the un- derstanding that there is no antagonism between President Mitterrand's policies and the long-term interests of the US. Instead, there are differences of behavior, there are modalities. But they are based on common values. Francois Bourricaud: French Latin American Policy Is Not Too Serious Barry B. Levine: How would you charac- terize French policy toward Latin America under the Mitterrand government? Francols Bourricaud: The nuances and shades of Latin American Policy have been blurred in recent years. Those who are in the government now, except forthe presi- dent, are people who get their most basic inspiration from '68. These people look at the problems of Latin America from special glasses. They were deeply moved by what happened in French student politics in May 1968. This was the time of the Vietnam War, the time of Ch6 Guevara and his followers, who were the cultural heroes of the Euro- pean intelligentsia. They had this special admiration for the man who went to the mountain and was able to defy the gigantic American imperialism, set up the first so- cialist state in Latin America. Remember the incredible paper that Jean Paul Sartre wrote defending Castro. It was one of the saddest things he wrote, written after a visit of just ten days. It was an example of what has been called "the classic irresponsibility of the French intellectual." True, the fantastic enthusiasm for Ch6 Guevara, Fidel Castro and all their crew is probably fading now. Lastyearwhenwe had this terrible exodus of boat people leaving Cuba-it was very hard for these people to defend Fidel and the Cuban regime. That NTILLEN REVIEW ANTILLEN REVIEW intends to satisfy the need for regular and expert review on devel- opments in and concerning the Netherlands Antilles. By means of responsible analyses the political, financial-eco- nomical, social and cultural processes in the Netherlands Antilles as a whole and each island individually will be spotlighted. ONE-YEAR SUBSCRIPTION FORM (6 issues) Name :__................-.._--__ .....-......--. ........... Address : ........................................................................ City : ............................- ......................................... Country : .......................................................................... Payment: [ Cheque enclosed, payable to: GRAFIMU N.V. O Bank transfer to account nr. 422850 with Maduro & Curiel's Bank (Curacao) in the name of GRAFIMU N.V. ONE YEAR US$ 28,-* By airmail Mailing will take place after receipt of payment. I58/cABBAN Pview 58/CAIBBCAN PEVIEW Maalweg 6 Curacao, N.A. was too much-not even Le Nouvel Ob- servateur could! The flame for Cuba is vanishing. Fidel is no longer a shining young man. It's difficult to look at that sad cigar smoking boss as a hero coming down from the sierra. They started realizing that they were cheated, deceived; and if they have been fooled it is because they are fools. All of that has started to fade but at the first possible opportunity it could start up again and for the benefit of another hero of the same variety. Please excuse my funda- mental pessimism. The French policy is not very systematic, it's more of a mood, an undertone, an atti- tude. The people around M. Mitterrand, who inspired him when he delivered his speech in Mexico, are of the intellectual fiber that I've tried to describe in my book, Le bri- colage ideologique: essais sur les intel- lectuels et les passions democratiques. "Bricolage" is a concept I took from Claude Levi-Strauss' La pensee sausage (Plon, 1962). He uses the concept to dis- tinguish the intellectual products of the sav- age mind in relation to modem thought. "Bricolage" is the way savages deal with problems which are infinitely beyond the scope of their intellectual mastery. Political ideologies in our cultures raise problems of the same type. These ideologies grow, re- main, and then decay. It's something like the difference in Pareto's thought between logical and non-logical actions. But you also have another line of thought, more technical, which comes from the technocrats, specialists, diplo- mats, etc. These people look at Latin Amer- ica in terms of problems between the North and the South. M. Cheysson, the foreign minister, is such a person. They all take much too global a view of Latin America, they see it as homogeneous, unified. They still live on the catastrophic as- sumption that the Third World has been a disaster, that there are no possible solutions for that part of the world. They have taken all that literature from the '50s and '60s about center and periphery, dependency theory and the lot, much too seriously. Depen- dency theory is an interesting ideology but its explanatory powers are extremely lim- ited. It starts from the fact that people in some areas of the world are very rich and more powerful than others in other parts of the world. That is obvious..But as a theory it is too global, and it ignores the internal con- ditions of the countries of the areas that it is supposed to describe. Everything that hap- pens in the periphery'is explained in terms of the domination by the center. When I wrote my book on Peru, I very carefully took the opposite perspective and tried to explain what was happening in Peru mainly by the integral structure of that soci- ety. That isn't all, of course; Peru doesn't exist for itself and by itself. It has some rela- tion to the outside world, but the method, the procedure that I used was to start with proven facts about what was happening in Lima, and not what was happening in New York or New Orleans. The consequences of dependency the- ory for policy are twofold. On the one hand, you have a rhetorical consequence which pays off extremely well, especially with the kind of government we have now, because it builds you into a defender of the op- pressed people, of the pariahs of the world. That was the Mitterrand position of last Oc- tober in Mexico. On the other hand, there is a diplomatic consequence. It's a kind of trick or strategy that leaves you free to France wants to be a good friend of American policy in Europe without at the same time appearing to be a follower of American diplomacy. choose between certain alternatives. It al- lows you to take the position that you are neither in opposition to, nor in support of, American policy while you can still say that the Americans are responsible for the ex- ploitation of these underprivileged coun- tries. That's what makes it so useful a policy for M. Mitterrand. He wants to be a good friend of American policy in Europe without at the same time appearing to be a follower of American diplomacy. So this theory gives you the appearance of a transcendental neutrality, or transcendental activism if you prefer, but though they claim to be strongly committed my suspicion is that it's sheer rhetoric and of not the slightest possible consequence. BBL: The political strategy of the French Socialist Party was to fit between the Com- munist Party and the rest of the country, controlling the communists and dis-identi- fying with the right Isn't their policy in Latin America a projection of this strategy? FB: Yes, except that the situation in Latin America is very different, it's even easier to play the middle position overseas. In France, the position of the so-called conser- vative forces is in many respects something that you have to deal with when you are in government After all, you may agree that capitalists are bad people, that conserva- tives are stupid, etc., etc., but in terms of elections they represent a vast part of the population, in terms of the economics of the country they represent something you have to deal with. But when it comes to saying the same thing in Latin America it is an entirely different question. You have no restrictions and limitations on the accusa- tions you make about their governments. What is the danger of saying that the El Salvador regime is corrupt and that the Sal- vadoran government has to be changed? You and I totally agree about that, so it's totally inconsequential. The pronouncements of the French gov- ernment in international affairs are margi- nal, they don't carry much importance. It's still debatable if France is a world power, and if it is a world power it is a second rate world power at that. But the very nature of the role of the presidency in France is such that the president is always looking for addi- tional resources. Thus, to show that he is important in world affairs, to show that what he says has some importance in the deci- sions of the so-called super powers is sud- denly extremely rewarding for him. This is especially so because for at least ten years now foreign policy has been uncontrover- sial in French politics; once we got out of NATO itwas assumed that we were between the two world powers and a sort of consen- sus developed. The reactivating of the con- sensus has been very useful for the president and the power incumbents. The speech of M. Mitterrand in Mexico is a sort of replica of General de Gaulle's speech in Phnom Penh in 1966. BBL: You obviously don't approve of the French and Mexican recognition of the armed opposition in El Salvador. FB: I don't see the point; frankly I think its a faux-pas. It has no consequences be- cause, as I've said before, our importance in that area is limited. The statement is unbe- lievable. It is without provable effectiveness except maybe only to tease the Americans. It is not too bright for a government to pro- ject a feeling that its decisions are inconsequential. BBL: Then French Latin American policy is without consequence? FB: The only consequences in Latin America that I can see would be in terms of the integral situation of the Caribbean de- partments of France. I would be surprised, for example, if there were no connection between Cuba and those who are favoring the independence of Martinique and Guadeloupe from France. Cuba says they have nothing to do with such persons but I wouldn't take such a statement at face value. As soon as a violent movement starts in one of these two departments, and as soon as some leaders emerge with a very explicit call for independence, for instance, that would put M. Mitterrand and his gov- ernment into a rather unpleasant situation. The way out would be to say, "Well, we'll go to elections." But is it possible for that kind of radical element to accept the dictum or verdict of the polls. Thatwould be unlikelyto happen. You have that situation, without of course the presence of Cuba, in what is now going on in New Caledonia. There you have a CARBBEAN PEv 1W/59 Revista/ Review Inter- americana ISSN 0360-7917 Multidisciplinary Bilingual (Spanish-English) Quarterly of Interamerican Interest Now entering its 9th year of publication, with articles for both the general reader and the specialist in Puerto Rican, Caribbean and Latin American affairs. Articles on linguistics, literature, history, education, anthropology, political affairs and economics. Plus poetry, short stories and book reviews. Special themes have included Education in Puerto Rico, U.S. Foreign Policy in Latin America, Sociolinguistics and Bilingualism, Race Relations in the Americas, Population, Women in Latin America, Caribbean Literature, the Bicentennial and the Caribbean, Modernization in the Caribbean, Caribbean Dictators, Cuba in the 20th Century.. .etc. Forthcoming issues include Tainos, Migration, Religion, Women Poets, and others. Authors have included such recognized authorities as Margaret Mead, Erich Fromm, Eric Williams, Magnus Morner, Joshua Fishman, J.L. Dillard, Aurelio Tio, Washington Llorens, Bernard Lowy, Selden Rodman, Herbert J. Muller, Eugene Wigner, T. Dale Stewart, John Bartlow Martin, Henry Wells, George Lamming, Piri Thomas, and others. Published Four Times A Year Spring, Summer, Fall and Winter Institutions: $16.00 per year Individuals: $10.00/yr; $16.00/2 yrs. Inter American University Press G.P.O. Box 3255, San Juan, Puerto Rico 00936 rather explosive situation. You have a native population which has been colonized and ruled by the French under a classical colo- nial system. The local Socialists of New Cal- edonia have insisted that some sort of self- government, home rule, etc., be given to the territory. It was one of the promises in our national presidential and legislative elec- tions and now these people are asking for the fulfillment of the promises. The Socialist government is now embarrassed. There are large industrial interests in New Caledonia where you have nickel And it's always un- pleasant for a government, whatever the government, to have to grant indepen- dence to a new territory. Suppose now that something of the kind happened in Guadeloupe or Marti- nique...with Fidel Castro behind it! It would be rather an embarrassing situation. And it could likely happen because expectations such as these once aroused would not be satisfied with only a little more public spending from the French treasury. BBL: Could French policy toward Latin America, in the context of a Socialist gov- emment, be any different? FB: It could be a little more realistic, a little less rhetorical. You could send M. De- bray to study. You could pay more attention to what your diplomatic attaches write. You don't try to invent grand policy for the mass media. I think it could be easily rearranged without turmoil, even within the Socialist Party itself. They are quite capable of con- trolling the situation, avoiding any claim from rank and file that some basic tenet of the doctrine has been betrayed. What they have now is gratuitous, it's done for their own pleasure, a sort of autistic and narcissistic behavior. French Latin American policy is not too serious and never has been by the way. Latin America as a whole doesn't exist any longer. Several of the countries have much better possibilities than do others, Brazil, Mexico, etc. It doesn't do any good to work with the broad sweeping generaliza- tions that they do. The first condition for a realistic policy about Latin America would be to dump stupid aggregates like "Latin America." It is not the case that all of Latin America suffers the same problems or has the same possibilities. BBL: What then is the importance of M. Mitterrand's speech in Mexico? FB: Just before the meeting in Cancin, the president went to Mexico City to meet with Mexican president Jos6 L6pez Portillo. During that show he delivered a speech to the "descamisados," the poor people of Latin America. He had to deliver it at the Plaza de las tres cultures. He was follow- ing the model of General de Gaulle who delivered a speech from the balcony of the Mexican Presidential Palace. Mitterrand, of course, couldn't do less, but they couldn't let him speak from the balcony. The priv- ilege of speaking from the balcony is re- stricted to very few people and the French quota had been dried up for the next 50 years after de Gaulle! So I am told that it took subtle maneuvers by the diplomatic services of both countries to arrange for the speech in the plaza. From pictures one gathers that it was a second or third order rally-it was not the Queen of England or Princess Diana after all! But the important point is the relationship between such symbolic gestures in and for Latin America and more instrumental pol- icy concerning the North-South problems. That is something that is taken seriously by the French diplomatic service, and by the technocrats and the bankers. The president ofSociete Generale, an important French bank, has written a book and an endless amount of reports trying to show that the international monetary system is about to break down because of the insolvency of the countries of the Third World. The only way to save it would be to engineer a new variety of massive Marshall Plan. But they are mistaken to treat the Third World as one unit. The problems of Brazil, Mexico, Colombia and Venezuela are totally different from the problems of Senegal, Zimbabwe and Madagascar. You see what they are doing is in order to give some minimum credibility to the vagaries of Latin Americathey are covering it with the facade of the North-South business. If you truly want to have an effective North-South policy, especially given French resources-alone we couldn't muster all that much to loan to the South-we would have to have some kind of agreement, some kind of common views, some kind of common policy with the US, Japan and Germany. But then suddenly that would be so much less rewarding than to deliver a speech at the Plaza de las tres cultures. It's not even an ideology, it's a glamorous imitation...no, simply it's electoral convenience. BBL: Given your previous statements that French Latin American policy could change, do you think it might? FB: Could be. First, they could get bored and finally realize that it doesn't work. Sec- ond, they could need more and more help and support from their allies in order to finance their own internal needs. The French economic situation two years from now, perhaps less, might make the Socialist government a little more receptive to what comes from the international community. It is easier for the French government to stick to its macho attitude in Latin America and other sensitive spots if it has nothing to ask from the American bankers or from the in- temational monetary institutions. Finances and deficits might compel the government to be more modest. Then they would clearly talk more North-South and less Fidel Castro. E 60/CAffBBEAN El IEW Recent Books An informative listing of books about the Caribbean, Latin America, and their emigrant groups By Marian Goslinga Anthropology and Sociology BOLIVIA THE EVOLUTION OF A MULTI- ETHNIC SOCIETY Herbert S. Klein. Oxford University Press, 1982. 320 p. $19.95; $6.95 paper. BRAZILIAN WORLD. Robert Hayes. Forum Press (St Louis, Mo.), 1982. $5.75. THE CHURCH IN BRAZIL: THE POLITICS OF RELIGION. Thomas C. Bruneau. University of Texas Press, 1982. 270 p. $27.00. CIVILISES ET ENERGUMENES: DE LENSEIGNEMENT AUX ANTILLES. Andr6 Lucrece. Editions Caribeennes (Paris, France), 1981. 70.00E THE COSTA RICANS. Richard Biesanz, et al. Prentice-Hall, 1982. 304 p. $14.95. CULTURAL Y SOCIEDAD EN AMERICA LATINA Y EL CARIBE. United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization. Unesco, 1981. 183 p. Papers presented at a conference held in 1978 in Bogota, 'Colombia. CULTURE ET POLITIQUE EN GUADALOUPE ET MARTINIQUE. J. Blaise, et al. Editions Karthala (Paris, France), 1981. 36.00E DEMOGRAPHIC COLLAPSE: INDIAN PERU, 1520-1620. N. David Cook. Cambridge University Press, 1982. 320 p. LE DISCOURS ANTILLAIS. Edouard Glissant. Editions du Sueil (Paris, France), 1981. 504 p. With emphasis on Martinique. ENSAYOS SOBRE LA CULTURAL DOMINICANA. Bemardo Vega, et al. Museo del Hombre Domincano (Santo Domingo), 1981. 247 p. $8.50. LESCLAVE AUX ANTILLES FRANCHISES, XVII-XIX SIECLE: CONTRIBUTION AU PROBLEM DE LESCLAVAGE. Antoine Gisler. Rev. ed. Editions Kathala (Paris, France), 1981. 68.00F THE EYE OF A FLAME. Victor D'V C'Ng. Vantage Press, 1982. $6.95. Social conditions in Venezuela. FOLK CULTURE OF THE SLAVES IN JAMAICA. Edward K. Braithwaite. Rev. ed. Caribbean Booksellers (Parkersburg, Iowa), 1981. $2.25. THE HISPANIC AMERICANS. Milton Meltzer. Harper & Row, 1982. 160 p. HISTORIC DE LA ANTROPOLOGIA INDIGENISTA: MEXICO Y PERU. Manuel Marzal M. Pontificia Universidad Cat6lica del Peri, 1981. 572 p. $23.00. INMIGRACION Y CLASSES SOCIALES EN EL PUERTO RICO DEL SIGLO XIX. Francisco A. Scarano, ed. Ediciones Huracan (Rio Piedras, Puerto Rico), 1981. 208 p. $5.95. THE LAST LORDS OF PALENQUE: THE LACANDON MAYAS OF THE MEXICAN RAIN FOREST Victor Perera, Robert D. Bruce. Little, Brown & Co., 1982. $17.95. A LEGACY OF PROMISES: AGRICULTURE, POLITICS AND RITUAL IN THE MORELOS HIGHLANDS OF MEXICO. Guillermo de la Pena. University of Texas Press, 1982. 262 p. $25.00. EL NEGRO EN COSTA RICA. Carlos Melendez. Editorial Costa Rica (San Jose), 1981. 258 p. $7.50. LOS NEGROS CARIBES DE HONDURAS. Ruy Galvao de Andrade Coelho. Editorial Guaymuras (Tegucigalpa, Honduras), 1981. 208 p. THE NEW AMERICANS: CUBAN BOAT PEOPLE. James Haskins. Enslow Publications, 1982. 64 p. $7.95. ORDER WITHOUT GOVERNMENT THE SOCIETY OF PEMON INDIANS OF VENEZUELA David J. Thomas. University of Illinois Press, 1982. 328 p. THE POTTERY OF ACATLAN: A CHANGING MEXICAN TRADITION. Louana M. Lackey. University of Oklahoma Press, 1982. 164 p. $19.95. SAN JOSE DE GRACIA: MEXICAN VILLAGE IN TRANSITION. Luis Gonzalez. John Upton, tr. University of Texas Press, 1982. 400 p. $8.95. A reprint SAN PEDRO, COLOMBIA: SMALL TOWN IN A DEVELOPING SOCIETY Miles Richardson. Irvington Publications, 1982. 104 p. $6.95. SOBRE LOS INDIOS DE GUATEMALA. Pedro Carrasco. Seminario de Integraci6n Social (Guatemala), 1981. THE TEJANO COMMUNITY 1836-1900. Amoldo De Leon. University of New Mexico Press, 1982. 288 p. $19.95. TOLTECAYOTL- ASPECTS DE LA CULTURAL NAHUATL Miguel Le6n-Portilla. Fondo de Cultura Econ6mica (Mexico), 1981. WOMEN OF CUBA. Inger Holt-Seeland. Elizabeth Lacoste, tr. Lawrence Hill (Westport, Conn.), 1982. 144 p. $14.95; $7.95 paper. Biography BIOGRAFIA DE COSTA RICA. Eugenio Rodriguez Vega. Editorial Costa Rica (San Jose), 1981. 190 p. $7.50. COLUMBUS: HIS ENTERPRISE. Hans Koning. Monthly Review Press, 1982. 128 p. $6.50. JOSE GABRIEL TUPAC AMARU ANTES DE SU REBELION. Jos6 Antonio del Busto Duthurburu. Pontificia Universidad Cat6lica del Perd, 1981. 134 p. JOSE GIL DE CASTRO: VIDA Y OBRA DEL GRAN PINTOR PERUANO DE LOS LIBERTADORES. Ricardo Mariategui Oliva. Empresa Editorial La Confianza (Lima, Peru), 1981. 282 p. JOSE MARTI, GUIA Y COMPANERO. Carlos Rafael Rodriguez. Editorial Nuestro Tiempo (Mexico), 1981. 118 p. $4.55. CAIfBBEAN VIE1W/61 A MATTER OF FEAR: PORTRAIT OF AN ARGENTINIAN EXILE. Andrew Graham- Yooll. Lawrence Hill (Westport, Conn.), 1982. 136 p. $12.95; $7.95 paper. Biography of Jacobo Timmerman. MEMORIES SOBRE LA VIDA DEL LIBERTADOR. TomAs Cipriano de M6squera. TomAs Cipriano M6squra Wallis, ed. Ediciones Banco del Estado (Bogota, Colombia), 1981. 2 vols. $120.00. MONSENOR ROMERO. Arnoldo R. Mora. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana (San Jos6, Costa Rica), 1981. 374 p. $10.00. NUESTROS GOBERNANTES, 1821-1981. Francis Polosifontes. Editorial Jos6 Pineda Ibarra (Guatemala), 1981. 215 p. $8.00. SIMON BOLIVAR: SU VIDA, SU OBRA, SU MENSAJE. Max G6mez Vergara. Universidad Pedag6gica y Tecnol6gica de Colombia (Tunja), 1981. 200 p. $20.00. LA VIDA GLORIOSA Y TRISTE DE JUAN PABLO DUARTE. Rafael Est6nger. Editora Universidad Nacional (Santo Domingo), 1981. 203 p. Description and Travel CARIBBEAN HIDEAWAYS. Ian Keown. Rev. ed. Crown, 1982. $7.95. MEDELLIN: SU ORIGEN, PROGRESS Y DESARROLLO. Jorge Restrepo Uribe, Luz Posada de Greiff. Servigraficas (Medellin, Colombia), 1981. 658 p. $100.00. NINETEENTH-CENTURY SOUTH AMERICA IN PHOTOGRAPHS. H. L. Hoffenberg. Dover, 1982. 160 p. RIOS, PLAYAS Y MONTANAS DE COSTA RICA. Miguel Salguero. Editorial Costa Rica (San Jos6), 1981. 172 p. $15.00. SOUTH AMERICA OVERLAND. lan Finlay, Trish Sheppard. Hippocrene Books, 1982. $22.00. Economics ACUMULACION ORIGINARIA Y DESARROLLO DEL CAPTIALISMO EN EL SALVADOR. Rafael Menjivar. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana (San Jos,. Costa Rica), 1981. 169 p. $7.50. THE AGRARIAN QUESTION AND REFORMISM IN LATIN AMERICA. Alain de Janvry. Johns Hopkins University Press, 1982. 352 p. $27.50; $8.95 paper. AL NORTE DEL RIO BRAVO: PASADO INMEDIATO, 1930-1981. David Maciel. Siglo Veintiuno (Mexico), 1981. 234 p. $8.75. A survey of Chicano labor history.. CHILE: AN OUTLINE OF ITS GEOGRAPHY ECONOMICS AND POLITICS. Gilbert J. Butland. Greenwood Press, 1982. 128 p. $19.75. Reprint of the 1956 ed. 62/CAI?BBEAN MEIEW CRISIS ECONOMIC EN COSTA RICA. Helio Fallas. Editorial Nueva Decada (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 120 p. $7.50. CRISIS Y POLITICAL AGRARIA EN EL PERU: PROBLEMA Y SOLUTION. Jos6 A. Portugal Vizcarra. Consultoria de Proyectos Agro-Industriales (Lima, Peru), 1981. 165 p. DESARROLLO DEL CAPITALISM EN COSTA RICA. Reinaldo Carcanholo. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana (San Jos6, Costa Rica), 1981. 388 p. $12.50. ECOLOGIA Y SUBDESARROLLO EN AMERICA LATINA. Santiago R. Olivier. Siglo Veintiuno (Mexico), 1981. 225 p. ECONOMIC SUBTERRANEA O EL IMPERIO DEL CONTRA-DERECHO EN COLOMBIA. Benjamin Losada Posada T. Praga (Bogota, Colombia), 1981. 212 p. $10.00. LOS EMPRESARIOS Y EL ESTADO. Carlos Arriola. Fondo de Cultura Econ6mica (Mexico), 1981. 213 p. $5.25. About the influence of big business on Mexican government. ESTILOS DE DESARROLLO Y MEDIO AMBIENTE EN LA AMERICA LATINA O. Sunkel, N. Gligo, eds. Fondo de Cultura Econ6mica (Mexico), 1981. 2 v. LA HACIENDA COSTENA EN EL PERU: MALA-CANETE, 1532-1968. Eduardo Arroyo. Centro de Proyecci6n Cristiana (Lima, Peru), 1981. 202 p. THE IMPACT OF IMPORT SUBSTITUTION POLICIES ON MARKETING ACTIVITIES: A CASE STUDY OF THE GUATEMALAN COMMERCIAL SECTOR. Marta Ortiz- Buonafina. University Press of America, 1982. 158 p. $19.50; $9.50 paper. LANDOWNERS AND REFORM IN CHILE: THE SOCIEDAD NATIONAL DE AGRICULTURA, 1919-1940. Thomas C. Wright University of Illinois Press, 1982. 443 p. $21.00. LE MAL-DEVELOPPEMENT EN AMERIQUE LATINE: MEXIQUE, COLOMBIE, BRESIL Ren6 Dumont, Marie-France Mottin. Editions du Sueil (Paris, France), 1981. 55.00E MEXICO'S POLITICAL ECONOMY: CHALLENGES AT HOME AND ABROAD. Jorge 1. Dominguez, ed. Sage, 1982.288 p. $20.00; $9.95 paper. NUEVA FASE DEL CAPITAL FINANCIERO: ELEMENTS TEORICOS Y EXPERIENCIAS EN AMERICA LATINA. Jaime Estevez, ed. Editorial Nueva Imagen (Mexico), 1981. 391 p. $20.75. PEMEX MUERE. Rail Prieto. Editorial Posada (Mexico), 1981. 264 p. $10.10. RELACIONES LABORALES EN LAS EMPRESAS ESTATALES DE AMERICA LATINA. A. S. Bronstein. International Labor Organisation (Geneva, Switzerland), 1981. 193 p. $14.25. LOS SINDICATOS Y LA POLTICA EN MEXICO: LA C.R.O.M., 1918-1928. Rocio Guadarrama. Ediciones Era (Mexico), 1981. 239 p. $11.25. SUCRE AMER: ESCLAVES AUJOURD'HUI DANS LES CARAIBES. Maurice Lemoine. Nouvelle Soci6t6 des Editions Encre (Paris, France), 1981. 293 p. History and Archaeology ACERCA DE LA HISTORIC Y EL UNIVERSE AYMARA. D. Llanque, et al. Centro de Informaci6n, Estudios y Documentaci6n, CIED (Lima, Peru), 1981. 149 p. THE ANCIENT FUTURE OF THE ITZA: THE BOOK OF CHILAM BALAM OF TIZIMIN. Munro S. Edmonson, ed. University of Texas Press, 1982. 240 p. $37.50. ANCIENT MAYA CILIZATION. Norman Hammond. Rutgers University Press, 1982. 352 p. $12.95. ARQUEOLOGIA DE LA AMERICA ANDINA. Luis Guillermo Lumbreras. El Virrey (Lima, Peru), 1981. 300 p. $18.00. THE CATHOLIC CHURCH IN COLONIAL HAITI, 1704-1773: SELECTED LETTERS, MEMOIRES, AND DOCUMENTS. George Breathett. Documentary Publications, 1982. A CENTURY OF CHANGE IN GUATEMALAN TEXTILES. Ann P Rowe. University of Washington Press, 1982. 152 p. $18.95. COMPENDIO DE LA HISTORIC DEL REINO DE GUATEMALA, 1500-1800. Domingo Juarros. Piedra Santa (Guatemala), 1981. 407 p. $15.00. THE COSTA RICANS. Richard Biesanz, et al. Prentice-Hall, 1982. 304 p. $14.95. ESCLAVOS REBELDES: CONSPIRACIONES Y SUBLEVACIONES DE ESCLAVOS EN PUERTO RICO, 1795-1873. Guillermo Baralt Ediciones Huracin (Rio Piedras, Puerto Rico), 1982. 184 p. $4.95. STUDIO DE CUATRO NUEVOS SITIOS PALEO-ARCAICOS EN LA ISLA DE SANTO DOMINGO. Elpido Ortega, Jose Guerrero. Museo del Hombre Domincano (Santo Domingo), 1981. 226 p. $6.00. STUDIOS SOBRE LA CONQUISTA DE AMERICA. Nestor Meza. Editorial Universitaria (Santiago, Chile), 1981. 184 p. $4.90. GOVERNMENT AND SOCIETY IN CENTRAL AMERICA, 1680-1840. Miles L Wortman. Columbia University Press, 1982.464 p. $27.50. EL GRITO DE INDEPENDENCIA: HISTORIC DE UNA PASSION NATIONAL. Femando Serrano Migallon. Porr6a (Mexico), 1981. 236 p. $15.00. GUERRILLA INDIGENA EN LA GUERRA CON CHILE. Nelson Manrique. El Virrey (Lima, Peru), 1981. 430 p. $17.00. EL IMPERIO DE LOS CUATRO SUYOS: BREVE EXPOSICION POLITICA-SOCIAL DEL INCARIO. Luis Femando Guachalla. Biblioteca Popular Boliviana de 'Ultima Hora' (La Paz, Bolivia), 1981. 189 p. $4.95. LA INDEPENDENCIA Y LA MAFIA CRIOLLA David Emesto Pefias Galindo. Ediciones Tercer Mundo (Bogota, Colombia), 1981. 92 p. $5.00. About Colombia. LA LEGISLATION ECLESIASTICA EN EL VIRREYNATO DEL PERU DURANTE EL SIGLO XVII. Valentin Trujillo Mena. Editorial Lumen (Lima, Peru), 1981. 362 p. LIMA: EL VALLE DE DIOS QUE HABLABA. Alfonsina Barrionuevo. El Virrey (Lima, Peru), 1981. 166 p. $6.00. LAS MALVINAS EN LA EPOCA HISPANA, 1600-1811. Laurio H. Destefani. Corregidor (Buenos Aires, Argentina), 1981. 424 p. $17.90. MATERIALS PARA LA HISTORIC DE SANTA MARTA. Arturo E. Bermidez Bermidez. Banco Central Hipotecario (Bogota, Colombia), 1981. 339 p. $30.00. MAYA SUBSISTENCE. Kent Flannery, ed. Academic Press, 1982. $34.50. LOS MAYAS Y LAS INCOGNITAS DEL IMPERIO ANTIGUO. Jorge Santos G. Paraninfo (Madrid, Spain), 1981. 264 p. MEXICO: FROM INDEPENDENCE TO REVOLUTION, 1810-1910. W Dirk Raat, ed. University of Nebraska Press, 1982. 379 p. MODERN MEXICO. James Cockroft. Monthly Review Press, 1982. $17.50. ON THE PERIPHERY OF NINETEENTH CENTURY MEXICO: SONORA AND SINALOA, 1810-1877. Stuart Voss. University of Arizona Press, 1982. ORIGINS OF PRE-COLUMBIAN ART. Terence Grieder. University of Texas Press, 1982. 192 p. $20.00. ORIGINS OF THE MEXICAN WAR: A DOCUMENTARY SOURCE BOOK. Ward McAfee, J. Cordell Robinson. Documentary Publications, 1981-82.2 v. $40.00. PRE-COLUMBIAN ART HISTORY. Alana Cordy- Collins. Peek Publications (Mountain View, Calif.), 1982.400 p. $16.95; $11.95 paper. PREHISTORIC SETTLEMENT PATTERNS IN THE NEW WORLD. Gordon R. Wiley. Greenwood Press, 1982. 202 p. $27.50. Reprint of the 1956 ed. REBELLION DE SAN GERMAN, 1701-1712. Francisco Uuch Mora. Isla (Mayaguez, Puerto Rico), 1981. 75 p. $4.50. About Puerto Rico. THE SACK OF PANAMA. Peter Earle. Viking Press, 1982. 320 p. $16.95. EL SALVADOR: BACKGROUND TO THE CRISIS. Central American Information Office. CAMINO (Cambridge, Mass.), 1982. 148 p. $5.00. THE STATE, EDUCATION, AND SOCIAL CLASS IN MEXICO, 1880-1928. Mary K. Vaughan. Northern Illinois University Press, 1982. 380 p. $22.50. VENEZUELA: THE SEARCH FOR ORDER, THE DREAM OF PROGRESS. John V Lombardi. Oxford University Press, 1982. 368 p. $19.95; $6.95 paper. Language and Literature ANTI-YANKEE FEELINGS IN LATIN AMERICA: AN ANTHOLOGY OF LATIN AMERICAN WRITINGS FROM COLONIAL TO MODERN TIMES IN THEIR HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE. F Toscano, James Hiester. University Press of America, 1982. 314 p. $22.50; $12.25 paper. ANTOLOGIA DE LA POESIA SURREALISTA LATINOAMERICANA. Stefan Baciu. Editorial Universitaria de Valparaiso (Chile), 1981. 288 p. $38.00. CINCO POETAS HONDURENOS. Heman Antonio Bermidez. Editorial Guaymuras (Tegucigalpa, Honduras), 1981. 102 p. ENRIQUE A. LAGUERRE. Estelle Irizarry. Twayne, 1982. $15.95. EL ENSAYO HISPANOAMERICANO DEL SIGLO XX. John Skirius, ed. Fondo de Cultura Econ6mica (Mexico), 1981. 407 p. $14.05. FOLK LITERATURE OF THE MATACO INDIANS. Johannes Wilbert, Karin Simoneau, eds. Latin American Center, University of California (Los Angeles), 1982. LITERATURE Y SOCIEDAD EN AMERICA LATINA. Valentin Tasc6n, Fernando Soria, eds. San Esteban (Salamanca, Spain), 1981. 250 p. LITERATURE AND IDEOLOGY IN HAITI, 1915-1961. J. Michael Dash. Bames & Noble, 1982. $26.50. LA ISLA DE ROBINSON. Arturo Uslar Pietri. Seix Barral (Madrid, Spain), 1981. 357 p. A novel about Sim6n Rodriguez, Bolivar's mentor. LA NOVELA SOBRE LA VIOLENCIA EN COLOMBIA. Luis Ivan Bedoya, Augusto Escobar. Ediciones Hombre Nuevo (Medellin, Colombia), 1981. 179 p. $6.00. PLANTADO. Hilda Perera. Editorial Planeta (Madrid, Spain), 1981. A novel about Cuba's political prisoners. THE PORTRAYAL OF IMMIGRATION IN NINETEENTH CENTURY ARGENTINE FICTION, 1845-1902. Evelyn Fishburn. Ibero-Amerikanisches Institut (Berlin, Germany), 1981. EL TEATRO BARROCO HISPANOAMERICANO. Carlos Miguel Suarez Radillo. Porr6a Turanzas (Madrid, Spain), 1981. 3 v. (698 p.) TEXTOS EROTICOS DEL RIO DE LA PLATA. Robert Lehmann-Nitsche (Victor Borde). Libreria ClAsica S.R.L (Buenos Aires, Argentina), 1981. 375 p. $97.00. Reprint of the 1923 ed. Politics and Government APUNTES SOBRE NICARAGUA. Gregorio Selser. Editorial Nueva Imagen (Mexico), 1981. 319 p. $11.00. Newspaper articles. LA ASAMBLEA LEGISLATIVE EN COSTA RICA. Hugo Alfonso Mufioz. Editorial Costa Rica (San Jose), 1981. 305 p. $12.50. EL AUTONOMISMO PUERTORRIQUENO: SU TRANSFORMATION IDEOLOGICAL, 1895-1914. Mariano Negr6n Portillo. Ediciones Huracan (Rio Piedras, Puerto Rico), 1982. 96 p. $4.50. CAfiBBEAN P IE1W/63 BITTER FRUIT: THE UNTOLD STORY OF THE AMERICAN COUP IN GUATEMALA Stephen Schlesinger, Stephen Kinzer. Doubleday, 1982. 336 p. $16.95. EL CARIBE A LA HORA DE CUBA: STUDIO SOCIO-POUTICO, 1929-1979, DEL CARIBE. Gerard Pierre-Charles. Casa de las Americas (Havana, Cuba), 1981. 534 p. THE CIA IN GUATEMALA: THE FOREIGN POLICY OF INTERVENTION. Richard H. Immerman. University of Texas Press, 1982. 296 p. $24.50. COMMUNISM IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN. Robert Wesson, ed. Hoover Institution Press, 1982. 200 p. $10.95. EL CONFUCTO HONDURAS-EL SALVADOR, 1969. James Rowles. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana, EDUCA (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 303 p. $7.50. LA CONSTRUCTION DEL SECTOR PUBLIC Y DEL ESTADO NATIONAL DE HONDURAS, 1876-1979. Maria Posas. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana, EDUCA (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 254 p. $12.50. CRISIS DEL PODER EN CENTROAMERICA. Edelberto Torres Rivas. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana, EDUCA (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 251 p. $10.00. DEMOCRACIA Y PARTIDOS POLITICOS EN COSTA RICA Oscar Aguilar Bulgarelli. Editorial Universidad Estatal a Distancia (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 175 p. $7.50. DIALECTICA DEL TERROR EN GUATEMALA Gabriel Aguilera Peralta. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana, EDUCA (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 281 p. $10.00. LA FASE OCULTA DE LA GUERRA CIVIL DE COSTA RICA Jacobo Schifter. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana, EDUCA (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 156 p. $7.50. GOVERNMENT AND SOCIETY IN CENTRAL AMERICA, 1680-1840. Miles L Wortman. Columbia University Press, 1982. 464 p. $27.50. GUATEMALA: PLAN PILOTO PARA EL CONTINENT. Susanne Jonas Bodenheimer. Editorial Universitaria Centroamericana, EDUCA (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 430 p. $10.00. GUERRA Y POLITICAL EN EL SALVADOR. Adolfo Gilly. Editorial Nueva Imagen (Mexico), 1981. 196 p. $8.50. LAS IDEAS POLITICAL EN COSTA RICA. Luis Barahona Jim6nez. Ministerio de Educaci6n (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 433 p. $12.50. 64/CAifBBEAN lev~W INSURRECCION EN NICARAGUA. LA HISTORIC NO CONTADA Julio Sunol. Editorial Costa Rica (San Jose), 1981. 237 p. $12.50. EL JUEGO DE LOS REFORMISMOS FRENTE A LA REVOLUTION EN CENTROAMERICA. Hugo Assmann, ed. Departamento Ecumenico de Investigaciones (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 181 p. $7.50. MEXICO TODAY. Tommie Sue Montgorery, ed. Institute for the Study of Human Issues, 1982. 140 p. $12.95. THE MURDER OF MADERO AND THE ROLE PLAYED BY U.S. AMBASSADOR HENRY LANE WILSON. Gene Z. Hanrahan, ed. Documentary Publications, 1981. 175 p. $27.95. OIL AND POLITICS IN LATIN AMERICA. NATIONALIST MOVEMENTS AND STATE COMPANIES. George Philip. Cambridge University Press, 1982. 608 p. PARTIDOS POLITICOS Y ELECCIONES EN HONDURAS, 1980. Arturo Femandez. Editorial Guaymuras (Tegucigalpa, Honduras), 1981. 106 p. POLITICAL Y SOCIEDAD EN HONDURAS. Victor Meza. Editorial Guaymuras (Tegucigalpa, Honduras), 1981. 397 p. POLITICS AND SOCIAL CHANGE IN LATIN AMERICA. THE DISTINCT TRADITION. Howard J. Wiarda, ed. Rev. ed. University of Massachusetts Press, 1982, 368 p. $9.95. REPORT ON HUMAN RIGHTS IN EL SALVADOR. American Civil Liberties Union. ACLU, 1982. $6.00. RESENA DE LA SITUATION GENERAL DE GUATEMALA, 1863. Pio Casal. Serviprensa (Guatemala), 1981. 102 p. $8.00. RETRATO DE FAMILIAR CON FIDEL. Carlos Franqui. Editorial Seix Barral (Barcelona, Spain), 1981. 549 p. 23.95R. About Cuba. REVOLUTION FROM WITHOUT: YUCATAN, MEXICO'AND THE UNITED STATES, 1880-1924. Gilbert M. Joseph. Cambridge University Press, 1982. 416 p. THE ROAD TO OPEC: UNITED STATES RELATIONS WITH VENEZUELA, 1919-1976. Stephen G. Rabe. University of Texas Press, 1982. 256 p. $25.00. EL SALVADOR: REVOLUTION Y MUERTE. Le6n Ovidio Medina, ed. Ediciones Hombre Nuevo (Medellin, Colombia), 1981. 415 p. UN SIGLO DE POLITICAL COSTARRICENSE. Eduardo Oconitrello. Editorial universidad Estatal a Distancia (San Jose, Costa Rica), 1981. 274 p. $10.00. SITUACIONES E IDEOLOGIAS EN LATINOAMERICA. Jos6 Luis Romero. Universidad Nacional Aut6noma de M6xico, 1981. 244 p. $7.35. TORRIJOS: COLONIA AMERICANA, NO! R6mulo Escobar Betancourt Carlos Valencia Editores (Bogota, Colombia), 1981. 315 p. $26.00. LAS TRIBULACIONES DE JONAS. Edgardo Rodriguez Julia. Ediciones Huracan (Rio Piedras, Puerto Rico), 1981. 106 p. $9.95. About Mufioz Marin and Puerto Rican politics. VENEZUELA'S TUTELARY PLURALISM. Luis Oropeza. Center for International Affairs, Harvard University, 1982. 130 p. $17.95; $6.95 paper. VOTER PARTICIPATION IN CENTRAL AMERICA, 1954-1981: AN EXPLORATION. Patrick Cotter, George A. Bowdler. University Press of America, 1982. 276 p. $21.75; $11.00 paper. WHAT DIFFERENCE COULD A REVOLUTION MAKE? FARMING AND FOOD IN THE NEW NICARAGUA. Joseph Collins. Institute for Food and Development Policy (San Francisco, Calif.), 1982. 160 p. $4.95. Reference BIBLIOGRAFIA MEXICANA DEL SIGLO XVI. Joaquin Garcia Icazbalceta. Agustin Millares Carlo, ed. Fondo de Cultura Econ6mica (Mexico), 1981. CUBA. A HANDBOOK OF HISTORICAL STATISTICS. Susan Schroeder. G. K. Hall, 1982. $85.00. ENCYCLOPAEDIE VAN NEDERLANDSCH WEST-INDIE. H. D. Benjamins, J. E Snelleman. S. Emmering (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 1981. 782 p. Nfl.65.00. Reprint of the 1914-1917 ed. ENSAYO DE UNA BIBLIOGRAFIA BIOGRAFICA BOLIVIANA. Jos6 Roberto Arze. Editorial Los Amigos del Libro (La Paz, Bolivia), 1981. 71 p. $3.00. RESEARCH GUIDE TO ANDEAN HISTORY: BOLIVIA, CHILE, ECUADOR, AND PERU. Judith R. Bakewell, John H. TePaske, eds., et al. Duke University Press, 1981. 346 p. Marian Goslinga is the Latin American and Caribbean Librarian at Florida International University Ships' Registry: Norway "We had a great time.he S/S Norway is a beautiful ship. And the entertainment is byfar the best. MrMrs.John Noterman, Sarasota,FL. "This was our first cruise and I thought it was really great. "To start with, aboard the S/S Norway you don't have to worry about reservations anywhere. For the price of your room, you have your meals and practi- cally everything else included. "The entertainment aboard the ship during the whole cruise was excellent. We had a really profes- sional performance of the Broadway show 'Hello Dolly.' One night Al Martino, the famous singer, gave us all a great show. And it's really hard to believe but even the television shows on the TV set in our stateroom were good. "A lot of times we had food that I didn't think they were able to serve aboard a ship. One night we had prime rib and another night it was a delicious roast duck. It was really very, very good. "All the different sports you were able to play aboard the S/S Norway were really surprising. I mean we were actually able to play volleyball and basketball. Imagine volleyball and basketball aboard a ship. I was really impressed!" For more information about one-week cruises departing from Miami aboard the magnificent S/S Norway- our $100 million resort-and her visits to St. Thomas and the unforgettable beach party you can enjoy on NCL's private Out Island, see your travel agent or use the attached coupon. We'll be glad to send you a free booklet about the S/S Norway that's full of hints and tips on how to get the most out of your cruise vacation. ll----- ------------------ I Norwegian Caribbean Lines' I First Fleet of the Caribbean Norwegian Caribbean Lines P.O. Box 1111 Addison, Illinois 60101 Please send me your FREE S/S Norway cruising I booklet (#102). NAME ADDRESS I CITY/STATE/ZIP -@a .I AIR FLORIDA OPENS UPA WHOLE NEW WORLD TO THE BAHAMAS FROM NEW YORK Air Florida has the only daily non-stop flights to Freeport, the only non-stop flights to Rock Sound (Eleuthera) and a connecting flight to Treasure Cay. Air Florida also has daily service to Freeport out of White Plains. FROM MIAMI Air Florida has daily non-stop flights to Free- port and 20 flights a week to The Bahamas Out Islands: Treasure Cay, Rock Sound, North Eleuthera, Marsh Harbour and George Town. FROM WASHINGTON, D.C. Air Florida has daily flights to Freeport and connecting service to Rock Sound (Eleuthera). For information call toll free 1-800-327-2971. QCAir Florida At our prices now everyone can go. |
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