Current industrial reports

MISSING IMAGE

Material Information

Title:
Current industrial reports
Portion of title:
Manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders
Physical Description:
v. : ; 28-29 cm.
Language:
English
Creator:
United States -- Bureau of the Census. -- Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders Branch
United States -- Bureau of the Census
Publisher:
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, the Bureau of the Census :
For sale by the Subscriber Services Section (Publications), Bureau of the Census
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C
Creation Date:
March 1968
Publication Date:
Frequency:
monthly, with annual summary[1976-]
monthly[ former 1963-1975]
monthly
normalized irregular

Subjects

Subjects / Keywords:
Manufacturing industries -- Statistics -- Periodicals -- United States   ( lcsh )
Inventories -- Statistics -- Periodicals -- United States   ( lcsh )
Genre:
serial   ( sobekcm )
federal government publication   ( marcgt )
statistics   ( marcgt )

Notes

Additional Physical Form:
Also distributed to depository libraries in microfiche.
Additional Physical Form:
Some monthly issues also available via Internet from the Census Bureau website as: Highlights from the preliminary report on manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders. Address as of 12/17/03: http://www.census.gov/indicator/www/m3/prel/priorrel.htm; current access available via PURL.
Additional Physical Form:
Some annual summaries also available via Internet from the Census Bureau website. Address as of 12/8/2005: http://www.census.gov/prod/www/abs/m3-1.html; current access available via PURL.
Dates or Sequential Designation:
Oct. 1963-
Numbering Peculiarities:
Some annual summaries issued in revised editions.
Numbering Peculiarities:
Each annual summary cumulates previous issues for a period of prior years, i.e., annual summaries for <1976>-197 cumulate from 1958.
Issuing Body:
Prepared by: Bureau of the Census, Industry Division, Manufactures' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders Branch, 1963-1964; issued by: U.S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration, Bureau of the Census, <2000->
General Note:
Title from cover.
General Note:
Some issues not distributed to depository libraries in a tangible format.
General Note:
Paper copy no longer sold by Supt. of Docs., U.S.G.P.O.
General Note:
Latest issue consulted: July 2002.

Record Information

Source Institution:
University of Florida
Rights Management:
All applicable rights reserved by the source institution and holding location.
Resource Identifier:
aleph - 001320832
notis - AGH1708
oclc - 02548418
lccn - 74614399
issn - 0364-1880
Classification:
lcc - HD9724 .U52a
ddc - 380.1/0973
System ID:
AA00008477:00200

Related Items

Preceded by:
Industry survey
Preceded by:
Manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders

Full Text


CURRENT INDUSTRIAL REPORTS

Manufacturers' Shipments,

Inventories, and Orders


'OCTOBER 1982
U.S. Department of Commerce M3-1 (82)-10
BUREAU OF THE CENSUS FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 3C0P.M. E.S.T. THURSDAY, DECEMBER 2,1982

(All figures in text below are in seasonally adjusted current dollars.)


New orders for manufactured goods in October declined
$6 0 billion or 3.9 percent from September to $150.1 billion
the Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census reported
today. After orders peaked in July 1981 at $172.1 billion,
successive monthly declines were recorded thru January of this
year. Orders fluctuated between $155 and $159 billion from
February to September. The October estimate of $150.1
billion is the lowest recorded since June 1980.
Shipments of manufactured goods in October were down
$6.5 billion or 4.1 percent to $152.8 billion. This is the largest
one month decline since the 4.1 percent decrease recorded in
April 1979.
The backlog of orders held by manufacturers at the end of
October was $293.2 billion, down $2.6 billion or 0.9 percent
from September. This is the 15th consecutive monthly decrease
in unfilled orders, as shipments have exceeded new orders
during that period by $35.6 billion, an average of 1.5 percent
per month.
The book value of manufacturers inventories in October
showed a very small decrease from September, down $0.2
billion or 0.1 percent to $272.3 billion. This coupled with the
large decline in shipments caused a sharp increase in the inven-
tory to shipments ratio from 1.71 in September to 1.78 in
October.
Within the major industry categories new order declines were
widespread. The major durable goods declines were in primary
metals, down $1.0 billion or 12.6 percent to $7.0 billion; ma-
chinery, down $1.3 billion or 4.9 percent to $24.7 billion;and
transportation equipment, down $0.5 billion or 3.1 percent to
$14.4 billion The decline in transportation equipment reflected
a large decrease in the motor vehicle and parts industry which
was only partially offset by increases in the aircraft and parts,
shipbuilding and railroad equipment categories.
New orders for nondefense capital goods in October were
down $0.1 billion or 0.5 percent to $20.2 billion, as declines


in the machinery components more than offset increases in
aircraft and parts and shipbuilding. New orders for defense
capital goods were up $0.4 billion or 8.7 percent to $4.7 billion,
following an 18.4 percent decline last month.
The shipments declines were also widespread within the
major industry categories. The largest decreases in the durable
goods sector were registered in the nonelectrical machinery, the
transportation equipment and the primary metals categories.
Within nonelectrical machinery all industries were down except
farm machinery; within transportation equipment, decreases
in motor vehicle and parts shipments of $1.7 billion or 17.3
percent was only partially offset by an increase in aircraft and
parts shipments; the steel industry accounted for virtually all
of the primary metals decline. Within the nondurable goods
sector, the largest declines were in food product shipments,
down $0.8 billion or 3.3 percent; and chemical shipments,
down $0.8 billion or 5.2 percent.
The book value of manufacturers' inventories at the end of
October was valued at $272.3 billion, down $0.2 billion or 0.1
percent from September. Inventories have declined every month
this year except February, and are now 3.8 percent below the
1981 end of year level of $283.2 billion. Raw materials inven-
tories at $89.7 billion in October were down 7.0 percent from
last December, while work in process inventories in October
were estimated at $95.4 billion, down 3.6 percent from Decem-
ber. The October estimate of finished goods inventories of
$87.2 billion was only 0.6 percent below last December.
The figures on the durable goods industries in this report
supersede those issued earlier in the advance report on durable
goods. The present report is based on more complete reporting,
but the estimates are also considered preliminary. Final figures
will appear as historical data in the report to be published for
next month. The advance report on durable goods for November
is scheduled for release on December 21, 1982, and full report
is scheduled for release on January 3, 1983.


Address inquiries concerning these figures to U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Industry Division, Washington, D.C. 20233, or call
Ruth Runyan or Kathleen Swindell-Menth, (301) 763-2502.
For sale by Customer Services (DUSD) Bureau of the Census, Washington, D.C. 20233, or any U.S. Department of Commerce district office. Postage
stamps not acceptable; currency submitted at sender's risk. Remittances from foreign countries must be by international money order or by a draft on a
U.S. bank. Price, $1.50 per copy, $18.00 per year.


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Table b. PEREtNT CHANGES AND REVISIONS FOR MANUFACTURERS' SHI lENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS

(liased on seasonally adjusted data)

Percent change Revisions2

Month-to-month Average monthly rate of change' Average monthly
Item and industry group Year ,
Sept.1982- Aug. 1982- July 1982- Th rd Second First Nov. 1 ago Oct 19 Oct.
Oct. 1982 Sept. 198 Aug. 1982 quarter quarter quarter through 9 through 1-11
Oct1982 1982 1982 Oct.1982 9 Sept. 1982 1977-1981


Shipments:
All manufacturing industries ......... -4.1 0.4 -1.7 -1.8 +0.8 -0.4 -0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2
Durable goods industries........... -5.4 -0.9 -2.3 -3.3 +0.3 -0.4 1. 3 0.5 0.4 0.2
Nondurable goods industries........ -2.9 +1.7 -1.2 -0.3 +1.3 -0.5 0:3 0.0 0.4 c 0.4

Inventories:
All manufacturing industries ......... -0.1 -0.7 -0.2 -1.2 -0.6 -0.4 :0.3 0.1 0.1 e 0.1

New orders: .
All manufacturing industries ......... -3.9 +1.2 -2.7 -2.4 0.0 -0.1 -0.9 0.4 .'.4 0.2
Durable goods industries ........... -4.7 +0.4 -4.5 -4.6 -1.4 +0.6 -1.6 0.' 1 0.7 0.5
Nondurable goods industries ........ -3.2 +1.8 -0.9 -0.2 +1.3 -0.4 -0.3 0.0 0.4 0.3

Unfilled orders:
Durable goods industries............. -0.9 -1.1 -1.4 -3.3 -1.0 -0.3 -0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1

'Method of calculation of these percentages for the quarter and the 12-month time intervals reflect compounded monthly growth rates.
2The revisions are the difference between the month-to-month percent changes of the preliminary and final estimates. The monthly averages are
the simple averages of the differences, without regard to sign, for the months specified. The advance to final percent change differences for the
durable goods industries are shown in the advance report for the month.


Table 7. RATIO OF MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES TO SHIPMENTS AND UNFILLED ORDERS TO SHIPMENTS, BY INDUSTRY GROUP

(Based on seasonally adjusted data)

Inventories--shipments ratio Unfilled orders--shipments ratio'
(months' backlog)
Industry group
October September August July October September August July
1982 1982 1982 1982 1982 1982 1982 1982

All manufacturing industries........................... 1.78 1.71 1.73 1.70 3.76 3.63 3.69 3.67

Durable goods industries...................................... 2.52 2.39 2.38 2.33 4.65 4.46 4.55 4.49
Stone, clay, and glass products............................ 1.66 1.67 1.71 1.68 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.51
Primary metals.............................................. 3.08 2.91 2.88 2.90 2.76 2.66 2.65 2.65
Fabricated metals.......................................... 2.08 2.00 1.98 1.93 2.91 2.80 2.84 2.83
Machinery, except electrical................................ 3.07 2.79 2.93 2.95 4.47 4.04 4.26 4.42
Electrical machinery....................................... 2.40 2.33 2.35 2.22 4.99 4.86 4.82 4.54
Transportation equipment.................................... 2.68 2.47 2.26 2.21 11.54 11.51 11.58 11.14
Instruments and related products........................... 2.46 2.32 2.41 2.41 1.86 1.77 1.82 1.81

Nondurable goods industries.................................. 1.12 1.08 1.12 1.11 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.53
Food and kindred products................................... 0.89 0.86 0.91 0.87 (X) (X) (X) (X)
Tobacco products........................................... 3.66 2.97 3.78 4.79 (X) (X) (X) (X)
Textile mill products....................................... 1.53 1.52 1.52 1.58 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
Paper and allied products................................... 1.38 1.36 1.34 1.35 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
Chemicals and allied products.............................. 1.49 1.41 1.42 1.46 (X) (X) (X) (X)
Petroleum and coal products................................ 0.54 0.53 0.55 0.52 (X) (X) (X) (X)
Rubber and plastics products, n.e.c........................ 1.65 1.55 1.61 1.54 (X) (X) (X) (X)

(NA) Not available. PPreliminary. rRevised. (X) Not applicable.
'Excludes the following industries with no unfilled orders: Wood and lumber products; glass containers; metal cans, barrels, and drums; farm
machinery and equipment; motor vehicle assembly operation; other transportation equipment; foods and related products; tobacco; apparel and related
products; building paper; die-cut paper and board; chemicals; petroleum and coal products; and rubber and plastics products, n.e.c.





U.S. Department of Commerce
BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
Washington, D.C. 20233

Official Business
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