Potatoes & sweetpotatoes

4q2.t i/


POT


TOES


Released: January 13, 1984
3:00 P.M. ET




ESTIMATED PC


Reporting
Board


Statistics
Service


Reporting


U.S. Department
of Agriculture


Washington,
20250


POTATO


TOCK


DOWN


PERCENT


Fall
January
a year
potatoes


data


fro


percent


potato
, 1984,


ago a
were
>m the


fall


totaled


for the


70 p


percent


recent


major
below


russ


objective


potato


yield


production


million


torage


million


State


January


6 percent
States.
compared


white
The s
with 6


torage


down
tock!


perc
total


percent


metric


ent red


tons)


percent


from


variety,
ased on


accounted


year


continued


ago.


on page 4.


FALL


(FOR


POTATO


STATES


: PRODUCTION


ESTIMATING


AND


POTATO


TOCK


STOCK


1L EVL.


- ~N* -NE.- -


u









*NOTE:
*
*
*


Stocks are defined


and us
the da


as the quantity remaining in storage for al


es, including shrinkage and waste and other
te of each report. Sales of fall potatoes


account for about 90 percent of the tota


losses
for all


fall production.


purposes


that occur after *
purposes generally*


Shrinkage and


* loss and home use account for the remaining 10 percent. *
*******************************************


TABLE 1.


AND MAY 1


FALL POTATOES:


TOTAL STOCKS


DECEMBER


JANUARY


AND COMPARABLE PRODUCTION FOR


FEBRUARY 1, MARCH 1, APRIL 1,
15 STATES ESTIMATING POTATO STOCKS


: PRODUCTION


247,686
278,679
266,422
294,978
295,421
311,981
285,060
255,691
286,245
296,657
277,769


DEC 1


154,890
183,850
181,720


219,850
200,820
171,730
192,810
206,175
187,100


JAN 1


131,600
160,100
156.220


193,520
176,020
146,610
163,680
178,750
161.210


FEB 1


000 CWT

105,360
131,480
129,710
142,030
147,930


137,120
149,560


MAR 1


80,460
102,963
102,850
112,830
119,850
132,570
121,720
97,280
111,280
121.540


APR i


MAY 1


70,970
81,130
88,680
99,250
92,550
72,460
81,870
89.120


64,830
59,535
44,446
50,660
56.875


TABLE


POTATOES


USED FOR PROCESSING


EIGHT STATES


1 1982


AND 1983 CROPS


STATE


STORAGE
SEASON


IDAHO AND MALHEUR


1982-83
1983-84


TO
DEC 1


14,33
15.75


: JAN 1


18,645
20.445


TO
FEB 1


23,395


MAR 1


28,535


APR 1


34.480


: MAY 1


ENTIRE
SEASON


39.715


53. 395


MAINE


1982-83
: 1983-84


1,915
1.120


2,800
1.515


4.400


5,230


6,010


7,450


WASH AND OTHER


AREAS


: 1982-83
: 1983-84


16,840
16.245


20,130
19,920


23,685


27,870


32,100


36,365


45.500


OTHER


STATES


3/ 4/


1982-83
1983-84


10,220


4.305


12,170


13.820


16.405


6.005


TOTAL


1982-83
1983-84


38,740
37,425


48,710
47.885


59,345


71,025


83,980


95.910


122,750


TOTAL QUANTITY RECEIVED AND USED FOR


PROCESSING REGARDLESS


OF THE


STATE


IN WHICH THE POTATOES


rncr AnriM Tki i in IIl C fIATTTrTC l1rC CAln nATArA PUTin Tiht UATAi U


i++tt)t)ttkkt)ktttttttt)lrtt)tttttRtl


IIIT nnl ir rn


u utrrn


LI nnv nn r.rlr












TABLE 3. POTATO
PROCESSORS


S: PRODUCTION AND TOTAL STOCKS OF FALL POTATOES HELD BY GROWERS,
, AND LOCAL DEALERS ON JANUARY 1, 1983 AND JANUARY 1, 1984


CROP OF 1982


CROP OF 1983


STATE


: PRODUCTION


:TOTAL
:JAN 1


:JAN 1 STOCKS
: AS % OF
: PRODUCTION


: PRODUCTION


:TOTAL
:JAN 1,


TOCKS
1984


:JAN 1 STOCKS
AS % OF
PRODUCTION


1.000 CWT


PERCENT


,000 CWT


PERCENT


CALIF
COLO


NY-LI
UPSTATE


N DAK
OHIO
OREG
PA
WASH
WIS


7,58
12,82
91,71
27,03
8,08
11,52
1,92
2,14
4,99
7,02
17,25
2,32
21,10
5,75
52,80
22.57


15 STATE TOTAL


296,657


178,750


277.769


161,210


assist


u


estimates, the "I


ser;
Root


s in
t Mean


evaluating the
Square Error",


been calculated. This is computed
preliminary estimate and the final est


squared
average


percentage deviations
becomes, statistically,


made concerning expected


season
those


errors


estimate, assuming that
influencing recent years'


reliability
a statistical


measure


January
based


by expressing the deviations
imate as a percent of the final
he 1964-83 twenty-year period.


potato


on past
between


estimate and
The square


performance,


stocks


e January 1
averaging the
root of this


the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements
in the current preliminary estimate relative to the final


factors affecting thi
preliminary estimates.


year's


estimate


can be
end-of-


are not different


"Root Mean


Square


Error" for the


January


, 1984 potato


stocks


estimate


is 2.4 percent.


This means that chance
will not be above or
million hundredweight
difference will not ex


es


are 2


out of


3 that the current


estimate of


161 mil


lion


below the final estimate by more than 2.4 percent or appr
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence le
ceed 4.2 percent or approximately 6.77 million hundredweight.


hundredweight
oximately 3.87
vel) that the


During the past 10 years, the difference
estimate averaged 4.01 million hundredweight.
was 1.23 million hundredweight. The preliminary
9 out of the past 10 years.


between t
The largest
January 1


e January
deviation


1 preliminary
was 5.94 and


y and final
the smallest


estimate was below the final estimate


oV


I








TABLE


FALL


POTATO


JANUARY 1,


STOCKS


1984,


MAJOR


STATE


POTATO TYPES


STATE :


REDS


WHITES


RUSSETS


TOTAL


PERCENT


COLO
IDAHO
MAINE


MICH 4/
MINN
N Y 2/
N DAK
OREG 1/
PA 2/
WASH 1/


STATE


TOTAL


INCLUDES SMALL
INCLUDES SMALL


QUANTITIE


OF WHITES


QUANTITIES OF REDS,


INCLUDES SMALL AMOUNT


NOT PUBLISHED


OF RUSSETS,


TO AVOID DISCLOSURE


LESS


LESS


LES
OF


S


THAN


THAN 5
THAN 5


PERCENT OF


PERCENT OF TOTAL.


TOTAL.


OPERATIONS.


three


ent from a


percent


percent
from a


year


from


while


year


Eastern


ago. M
b year.
;ylvania


States


aine


stocks


stock


were


stocks,


totaled 2
estimated


4.00


million


?.1 million cwt,
at 15.9 million


million cwt,


cwt,


were


down


down


cwt,


were down


44 percent


1984,


million
was up


down


cwt,


8.40 million


Michigan,
million c


:wt,


Central
percent
a gain


percent
In cwt,
at 4.50


States
from la


stored
st year


)f 10 percent
The other 4


off 11


was down


Lion


percent


cwt,


35.0


North


from


Central


Minnesota,
ras down


Dakota


st year
States


cwt of potato


storage


Ohio,


were


.80 million


coes on J
accounted


I.


anuary


at 450 thousand


follows


cwt,


down


Wiscon


percent;


Nebraska,


Western


9 percent


Oregon
ago. C0


from


States


Washington
cellars.


olorado


sto


but California ho


potato


t January.
holdings,
containing
icks, at 8.
Tidings, at


stocks
Idaho,


were


at 52.5 million cwt


at 25.6 million


05 mil


4.21


cwt,
were


, were
dipped


were up


sto


down
8 p


percent


red, declined
fractionally;


than


lightly.


season


yeai
of


r


s app~a nce
to7Thiia nury


s pace


shrinkage,


and 5


percent


dumped


.. -


short
lost


stocks


million


of 2


... -.


years
season


States


year,


This


compared


fron
1


include


1


n the f
percent


'n-nn


.. .h ....


first


below


the
last


15.9 million cwt


million


during


BY TYPE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL STOCKS,


perc


TOTAL.


INDIVIDUAL


PERCENT OF


, holding


New York


million


down


16 percent.


14 percent.


percent


cwt,


while
year
year;


estimated


million


million
lion cwt,


cwt,


million cwt,


potatoes
totaled


percent


from


witi


1









Crop
Reporting
Board


ORDER FORM
USDA CROP REPORTING BOARD PUBLICATIONS

(Publications available only from Crop Reporting Board


Subscription Fee


Subscription Fee


Issued


Domestic


Foreign


Issued


Domestic


Foreign


FIELD CROP SERIES


Stocks


Peanut


(2 issues)


Stocks


Processing


Mar. & Sept.

Mar. & Sept.


$2.50


$3.50


POULTRY SERIES

[ ] Turkey Hatchery


Monthly


$18.00


$24.00


PRICES & EXPENDITURE


SERIES


FRUIT & VEGETABLE
SERIES


Cherry Production
Cherry Utilization
Citrus Fruits
Cranberries


June
October
September
August


Agricultural Prices
Annual


Crop Values
Farm Production
Expenditures (2 issues)
Minnesota-Wisconsin


Milk Prices


June


January


June & JulI


June


OTHER CROPS


LIVESTOCK SERIES


Meat Animals Production,


Disposition,


Sheep


& Income


& Goats


[ ] Wool & Mohair


April
January
March


i Commercial Fertilizer
] 'Farm Labor
] Mink
] Mushrooms
] Sugar Market
Statistics (4 issues)


November


August
July
August


Quarterly


HOW TO ORDER

*Check appropriate box.
*Calculate the total charges for subscription and enter below.


*If your address is outside the United States, use "foreign"
*Make check or money order payable to USDA/SRS.
Do not send cash.


*Allow


price.


weeks for processing.


*For additional


information about reports and ordering,


call (202) 447-4021.


*Mail this


entire order form: CROP REPORTING BOARD PUBLICATIONS


ROOM 5829, SOUTH BUILDING
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250


Please send me the item(s)


have indicated above.


Company or Personal Name


Additional Address/Attention Line


__


__~__~~~











I Reporting
I Board
Statistical
Reporting
Service
Report Title
FIELD CROP SERIES
( 1 Crop Production
(monthly/annual)
Plus single copies of:
Prospective Plantings
Acreage
Small Grains
[ 1 Grain Stocks
Four issues plus copy of:
Soybean Stocks
[ ] Potatoes & Sweetpotatoes
One issue plus 6 copies of:


Potato


Stocks


issues)


Rice Stocks (4


ORDER FORM
USDA CROP REPORTING BOARD REPORTS


Subscription


Domestic


$29.00


Report TlSe


Foreign


Eggs, Chickens, &


Monthly issues plus
single copies of:


$36.25


11.90


11.90


Hatchery


Turkeys


Subtcriptior
Domestic
23.00


iFee
Foreign
28.75


Production Annual


Layers & Egg Prod. Annual
Poultry Prod., Disposition,
& Income
Turkeys
Poultry Slaughter (monthly)


18.00


DAIRY SERIES


Dairy Products
(monthly/annual)
Milk Production
Monthly issues plus single
copy of:


FRUIT & VEGETABLE SERIES


Celery


(monthly)


Noncitrus Fruits & Nuts
(midyear/annual)


Vegetables
Eleven seasonal


16.00


20.00


5.50


18.00


issues plus


(midyear & annual).


Milk Prod.,
& Income


20.00
18.00


Disposition,


OTHER REPORTS


22.50


[ 1 Agricultural Prices (monthly)
[ ] Catfish (monthly)


LIVESTOCK SERIES ] Cold


Storage


(monthly/annual)


27.00
16.00
23.00


Cattle
Two issues plus monthly
issues of:
Cattle on Feed


Hogs & Pigs (4


Livestock
(monthly


issues)


19.00


23.75


SPECIAL SINGLE COPY REPORTS


Scope &


Methods of the


Statistical Reporting Service
SN: 001-000-04369-2


7.50


Slaughter
//annual)


20.00


Agricultural


25.00


POULTRY SERIES


Egg Products


(monthly)


$16.00


Statistics,


SN: 001-000-04269-6
Agricultural Statistics, 1983
(To be published in March


For price


$20.00


information, call


(202) 447-4021)


Note:


For your


convenience


in ordering,


we have grouped


several


publications


together in


packages.


exam


when


subscribe to the Crop Production


copies


of Prospective Plantings,


series


Acreage,


will receive


and Small


Grains.


12 monthly


If you have


y copies


and an annual


summary


any questions about ordering,


of that


please


report


call (202)


plus single
447-4021.


HOW TO ORDER


*Check appropriate box.


*Allow 6 weeks for processing.


*Calculate the total charges for subscriptions and enter below.


*For faster


service


or foreign air mail information, call


*If your


address is outside


the United


States,


use "foreign"


(202) 783-3238.


*Mail this entire form to: Superintendent of Documents


*Make check or money order payable to the Superintendent


Government Printing Office


of Documents.


Washington, D.C.


20402


Enclosed


money


is S .
order


check.


. or charge


to my


Deposit Account No.


MasterCard and
VISA accepted.


Credit Card Orders Only
Total charges $. -


in the boxes


below ca,


Home A'..
Code


Iua-eI I


Order


Credit
Card No


Expiration 1
MonthlYear


liLi~i


Charge orders may be telephoned tc


WlI .11


desk at (202)783-3238 trom
eastern time. Monday-Friday


8 00 am


ne GPC o
to 4 00


(except holidaysl


For Office Use Only


Company


or Personal Name


Quantity


Charges


-L 1 l 1


Publications


22.50


25.00
22.50


33.75
20.00
28.75


5.00


10.65








UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
WASHINGTON. D.C. 20250


OFFICIAL BUSINESS


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~,,~_~*,,,,,,,,~~,,,*.


PENALTY FOR PRIVATE USE. S300


To stop meangO


*.**. 0


0 tow Change your


*n0 o shoot wnth Mbei


Iect. ShowiO new l ree. to Crop
Itepontng Board Pubc eons. SRS. U


kpt of Agncufture.


bM 5829 South


udldmng. 14th & Independfenc Av S.W..


Wt .. D C 20250


IUNIV'ERSITy OF FLORIDA

3 1;62( 886( 47^
rOSTAOt AND Psu oAIO
A. o iott n o |

FIRST CLASS I