Potato stocks

MISSING IMAGE

Material Information

Title:
Potato stocks
Uniform Title:
Potato stocks (United States. Crop Reporting Board)
Abbreviated Title:
Potato stocks (1979)
Physical Description:
v. : ; 27 cm.
Language:
English
Creator:
United States -- Crop Reporting Board
Publisher:
Crop Reporting Board
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C
Creation Date:
March 1980
Publication Date:
Frequency:
monthly, in season (dec.-mar. -1975; dec.-apr. 1976-1978; dec.-may 1979-1981)
monthly
normalized irregular

Subjects

Subjects / Keywords:
Potatoes -- Statistics -- Periodicals -- United States   ( lcsh )
Genre:
federal government publication   ( marcgt )
statistics   ( marcgt )
periodical   ( marcgt )
serial   ( sobekcm )

Notes

Statement of Responsibility:
Crop Reporting Board, Economics, Statistics, & Cooperatives Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Dates or Sequential Designation:
Began with: Jan. 1974
Dates or Sequential Designation:
Ceased with: May 1981.
Issuing Body:
Vols. prior to Jan. 1978 were issued by the Board subordinate to the Statistical Reporting Service; Jan. 1978- by the Board subordinate to the Economics, Statistics, & Cooperatives Service.
General Note:
Title from caption.
General Note:
"Pot 1-2."
General Note:
Description based on: Jan. 1979.

Record Information

Source Institution:
University of Florida
Rights Management:
All applicable rights reserved by the source institution and holding location.
Resource Identifier:
aleph - 000490368
notis - ACQ8719
oclc - 02255959
lccn - sc 78000227
issn - 0364-2259
sobekcm - AA00005270_00012
Classification:
lcc - NOT IN LC
ddc - 338
System ID:
AA00005270:00034

Related Items

Preceded by:
Total potato stocks
Succeeded by:
Estimated potato stocks and production

Full Text
'"I


irui


'L"-'


TAT


S I


Meant


March


1980


DEPOSITORY


STOCKS


March


There were an estimated


, 1980 by growers,


1978.


than


was 5 percent


on March


dealers


the record


HUME

APR


LIBRARY

I1 .l.


5 PERbENT BELOW LAST YEAR


Fmi .S.
million cwt


no proc
holding


essors
s last


of Florida
nntatnes I


in the fall


year,


Economics Statistics, &
Cooperatives Service
SUS. Department
of Agriculture
Washington D.C
20250


_ ~U


uses


producing area


but 5 percent above


held on


tocks


The regional
lion cwt on hand,


figure.
previous


Mai ne


breakdown


as follows


23 percent above


tock


two seasons.


off 19 percent from


a year ago and


, at 16.4 million cwt,
In the eight Central S


last March


stocks were 30 percent below


cent


lower than on March


last
1979.


year


hand, a 6 percent decline from a year
ington, and Oregon.


seven Eastern


states


10 percent higher than the


remained well


states,


5 percent


s level


The eight W


earlier


holdings


than


and Minnesota


western


states


above the
totaled


1978


s stocks


mil-
1978


levels of t
1.1 million


North


were


Dakola


had 85.4 million cwt on


, reflecting reductions


Idaho,


Wash-


Disapp
(excluding
last season
5 percent,
total disap


gradin
due to


earance of
Nevada), 8


1979 fall


percent


appearance


respectively,


pearance


ig, fed to
shrinkage


inclu


crop


hort of the


to-date


to March


1980 totaled


170 million cwt


185 million cwt for the comparable period


Eastern


from a year ago while t
des 23.1 million cwt of


livestock on farms where grown,
(moisture loss).


and Central


he West wa
potatoes
discarded


S


down


ons was off
10 percent.


that were dumped during
without grading and lost


The quantity of pota
totaled 63.1 million cwt,


son and 11


percent below


toes


process


6 percent
the March


to March


1978


1980


seven major


States


than during the comparable period last


total


sea-


Produlion and Stocks


MLCWt


r~ rr r n


Un iv. al
nf~. fal.1


300

; "250


200O

ian


I I I I I N l I l ll ll l I I


.....


,,


oE~B~


r-


7


r


*









NOTE:


Stocks


and uses,
the date o


are defined


as the


quantity remaining in storage for all


including shrinkage and


f


each report.


account for


age and


waste


and other


of fall potatoes for


about 90 percent of


and home use


account for


the total


purposes


that occur after


purposes


fall production.


the remaining


10 percent.


gener-
Shrink-


TABLE


APPIL


FALL POTATOES


AND MAY


: PRODUCTION


TOTAL


STOCKS


DECEMBER
CROPS O


JANUARY


F 1969-79


FEBRUARY 1


IN THE FALL


, MARCH 1,


STATES


T:: OTAL STOCKS
*: ~ FOLLOWING YEAR
YEAR : PRODUCTION : DEC 1
Y P C : JAN 1 FEB 1 MAR 1 APR 1 MAY 1
: 1,000 CWT

1969 252,561 162,800 138,140 111,510 87,620
1970 267,827 175,145 150,030 122,230 96,780
1971 1/ : 266,707 176,390 151,435 124,375 98,485
1972 ~ 249,320 158,565 134,420 107,310 83,380 G8,250
1973 254,379 157,837 133,665 106,615 81,165 55,870
1974 289,342 187,935 163,095 133,425 104,116 75,905
1975 278,391 185,965 159,140 131,685 104,050 71,640
1976 307,427 201,980 174,775 143,925 114,140 81,875
1977 307,064 206,690 178,205 149,690 120,970 89,205
1978 323,498 223,290 196,080 164,666 133,247 99,808 65,116
1979 301,628 209,180 182,755 154,005 126,530

1/ BEGINNING WITH 1971, LATE SUMMER PRODUCTION FOR N Y LI, WIS AND WASH HAS BEEN CLASSIFIED AS FALL.


TABLE 2. POTATOES USED FOR PROCESSING 1/, SEVEN STATES, 1978 AND 1979 CROP 2/


: STORAGE TO TO TO TO : TO TO ENTIRE
STATE SEASON DEC 1 JAN 1 FEB 1 MAR 1 APR 1 MAY 1 SEASON

: 1,000 CWT

IDAHO AND MALHEUR: 1978-79 15,720 21,215 26,055 31,130 37,095 43,305 61,290
CO., OREG 1979-80 14,210 18,680 23,980 28,840

MAINE 3/ : 1978-79 2,280 2,800 3,670 4,390 5,355 6,205 8,140
1979-80 2,010 2,655 3,470 4,245

WASH AND OTHER 1978-79 15,075 18,380 22,230 26,035 30,125 34,770 44,2951
AREAS, OREG : 1979-80 13,510 16,995 20,725 24,915

OTHER STATES 4/ : 1978-79 2,625 3,520 4,420 5,290 6,255 7,155 10,540
: 1979-80 2,625 3,365 4,215 5,055

TOTAL : 1978-79 35,700 45,915 56,375 66,845 78,830 91,435 124,265
: 1979-80 32,355 41,695 52,390 63,055
S


L ATOT QUANT I TY REC E I VED AND USED FOR PR E


PRODUCED.


DOES NOT INCLUDE QUANTITIES USED FOR POTATO CHIPS IN MAINE,


2/ 1978-79 REVISED.
3/ INCLUDES MAINE GROWN POTATOES ONLY.
1/ MICH, MINN AND N DAK.


MICH OR MINN


'I








TABLE 3.


POTATOES:


PRODUCTION AND TOTAL STOCKS OF FALL POTATOES HELD BY GROWERS,


PROCESSORS AND LOCAL DEALERS ON MARCH


1979 AND MARCH 1


: CROP OF 1978 : CROP OF 1979
STATE:T. TOT ST* MAR 1 STOCKS : MAR 1 STOCKS
STATE PRODUCTION TOTAL STOCKS AS % OF PRODUCTION : TOTAL STOCKS AS % OF
: MAR 1, 1979 PRODUCTION : MAR 1, 1980 PRODUCTION
: 1,000 CWT PERCENT 1,000 CWT PERCENT

CALIF 6,055 1,900 31 6,364 2,100 33
COLO 11,275 4,650 41 11,455 4,250 37
CONN : 1/ 1/ 1
IDAHO : 100,310 53,000 53 88,200 48,000 54
IND : 936 50 5 1,071 90 8
MAINE 25,960 12,100 47 28,750 16,400 57
MASS : 810 145 18 748 165 22
MICH : 8,500 3,000 35 8,000 2,300 29
MINN : 14,910 7,600 51 12,920 6,800 53
MONT : 2,088 1,750 84 1,800 1,500 83
NEBR : 1,800 770 43 1,482 650 44
N Y LI : 6,175 600 10 6,431 1,000 16
UPSTATE : 6,500 1,200 18 6,463 800 12
N DAK : 22,400 9,900 44 18,240 6,900 38
OHIO 2,215 300 14 2,400 420 18
OREG 28,488 9,900 35 25,310 9,800 39
PA : 6,250 2,200 35 6,000 1,650 28
RI : 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/
S DAK : 1190 o180 15 1,203 -240 20
UTAH : 1,127 300 27 1,300 480 37
VT 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/
WASH 507685 197300 38 48,925 19,000 39
WIS 17,325 4,100 24 17,010 3,700 22
WYO 1,462 260 18 1,144 230 20

OTH STS 1,597 42 3 1,462 55 4

23 STATE :
TOTAL2/ : 318,058 133,247 42 296,678 126,530 43
*I


1/ STOCKS INCLUDED IN OTHER STATES. 2/ EXCLUDING NEV FOR WHICH NO STOCKS ESTIMATES ARE MADE.
PRODUCTION 5.440.000 CWT AND 1979 PRODUCTION 4.950.000 CWT.


NEV 1978


To assist users in
"Root Mean Square Error"


evaluating the reliability of the March


a states


, 1980 potato


tical measure based on past performance, has


computed by expressing the deviations between the
a percent of the final estimate and averaging the


year peril
ability s


cM


. The square root of


March


1 preliminary


stocks e
been cal


estimatess
culated.


estimate and the final


squared percentage deviations for the


, the


estimate as


1960-79 twenty-


this average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error"


statements can be made concerning expected errors


in the current preliminary estimate r


the final end of season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this
from those influencing recent year's preliminary estimates.


year


e


. Prob-
!lative to


s estimate are not different


The "Root Mean Square Error" for the March


, 1980 potato stocks estimate is 3.7 percent.


means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current estimate of 127 million hundredweight will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 3.7 percent or approximately 4.68 million hundredweight.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 6.4 percent or
approximately 8.10 million hundredweight.


During the past 10 years, the difference be
aged 3.1 million hundredweight. The largest dev
.3 million hundredweight. The preliminary March


tween the March 1 preliminary and the final estima
iation was 6.3 million hundredweight and the small


1 estimate was below the final


estimate 9 times and


te aver-
est was


..




UNIVERSITY OF FLORI

I lIIIlH111111111lllllllm II
3 1262 08862 000


POTATO STOCKS QUALITY SURVEY
MINNESOTA AND NORTH DAKOTA (RED RIVER VALLEY)


The potato
Economics, Stat


stocks quality information contained in this report is based on a survey conducted by the


stics


bags of potatoes


each month during the


potatoes at the
citation, samples


, and Cooperatives


Service in the Red River Vall


selected on a random basis


1979-80 storage season will


time of removal


were


from storage


selected only for process


were placed


ey of North Dakota and Minnesota


in storage at harvest time.


show the cumulative average grade


At the


Reports


and weight


request of the Red River Valley Potato Growers


ing potatoes.


issued
for
Asso-


of white varieties recovered before March


quality at harvest and after storage t
decline while in storage in percentage


percentage


points for


same period a


removed from


1, 1980 continue to indicate a significantly


recovered by the comparable date a year earlier.
of white varieties grading No. 1 (including B's)


storage to date.


lower
The
was 9


This compares with an 8 point decline during


year earlier.


March


The percent of white varieties
1 is well above a year ago.


percent,


graded as


Total


culls


at harv


weight


compared with 5 percent during the


same period 1


est and after storage
in storage for sample
t season.


in samples
recovered


recovered by
to date is 4


This report does


were


great


recovered by March

The cooperation of


y apprec


not include


information for Pu


1980.


the many potato growers and


lated


sset potatoes


storage operators


as an insufficient number of sample


who assisted on


project


POTATO


STOCKS QUALITY


SURVEY


RED RIVER VALLEY


AVERAGE GRADE OF POTATOES


1979-80


CROP


INCLUDING B


HARVEST


:AFTER
STORAGE


HARVEST


AFTER
STORAGE


CULLS


HARVEST
PERCENT


AFTER
: STORAGE


B'S I/
AFTER


HARVEST


: WEIGHT
LOSS


STORAGE


SAMPLES RECOVERED BEFORE MARCH


, 1980 2/


WHITE
RUSSET 3/


SAMPLES RECOVERED BEFORE MARCH


, 1979 2/


WHITE
RUSSET


ALL SAMPLES


1978-79


STORAGE


SEASON-FINAL 2/


WHITE
RUSSET


1/ NO. 1
THE AREA:


B'S


ARE POTATOES THAT MEET THE U


RED AND WHITE VARIETIES -


IN DIAMETER OR LESS THAN 4 OUNCES.


GRADE BUT DO NOT MEET THE MINIMUM


SIZE


1/4 INCHES IN DIAMETER; RUSSET VARIETIES


STANDARDS FOR


- UNDER


INCHES


MATCHED SAMPLES; QUALITY


AT HARVEST COMPARED WITH QUALITY


AFTER STORAGE.


DATA NOT AVAILABLE; INSUFFICIENT NUMBER OF SAMPLES REMOVED FROM STORAGE PRIOR TO MAR 1.


Sample


a:: EE:I~


" "I


;rill~


1