Potato stocks

MISSING IMAGE

Material Information

Title:
Potato stocks
Uniform Title:
Potato stocks (United States. Crop Reporting Board)
Abbreviated Title:
Potato stocks (1979)
Physical Description:
v. : ; 27 cm.
Language:
English
Creator:
United States -- Crop Reporting Board
Publisher:
Crop Reporting Board
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C
Creation Date:
February 1980
Publication Date:
Frequency:
monthly, in season (dec.-mar. -1975; dec.-apr. 1976-1978; dec.-may 1979-1981)
monthly
normalized irregular

Subjects

Subjects / Keywords:
Potatoes -- Statistics -- Periodicals -- United States   ( lcsh )
Genre:
federal government publication   ( marcgt )
statistics   ( marcgt )
periodical   ( marcgt )
serial   ( sobekcm )

Notes

Statement of Responsibility:
Crop Reporting Board, Economics, Statistics, & Cooperatives Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Dates or Sequential Designation:
Began with: Jan. 1974
Dates or Sequential Designation:
Ceased with: May 1981.
Issuing Body:
Vols. prior to Jan. 1978 were issued by the Board subordinate to the Statistical Reporting Service; Jan. 1978- by the Board subordinate to the Economics, Statistics, & Cooperatives Service.
General Note:
Title from caption.
General Note:
"Pot 1-2."
General Note:
Description based on: Jan. 1979.

Record Information

Source Institution:
University of Florida
Rights Management:
All applicable rights reserved by the source institution and holding location.
Resource Identifier:
aleph - 000490368
notis - ACQ8719
oclc - 02255959
lccn - sc 78000227
issn - 0364-2259
sobekcm - AA00005270_00012
Classification:
lcc - NOT IN LC
ddc - 338
System ID:
AA00005270:00033

Related Items

Preceded by:
Total potato stocks
Succeeded by:
Estimated potato stocks and production

Full Text
A"I~~


\',\\i pbt'


0


O _CK S


Crop
:2@T~,


Releasect


orvary
OO00 P.M.


La BRAR Y


Economics, Statistics, &
Cooperatives Service


FEB


DEPOSIT


POTATO


1980


-urniv


US. Department
of Agriculture
Washington, D.C
20250


Florki


STOCKS REDUCED 6 PERCENT


An es
processors
holdings a


The
lion cwt
1978. M


date
off


holdings
In the e
low the
holdings


timated
, and d


154 million


eal ers


year earlier


regional


aine'


storage,


cwt of fall


on February


but 3


breakdown


stocks


s in recent yea
17 percent from
28 percent from


eightt Western


year
. at


hington


earlier


potatoes


1980.


percent mor

as follows:


18 percent above


rs
a


for all


uses


were


was 6 percent below


than on Februar


seven E


last February


19.2 million cwt
Stocks in the


year


and 8


last February


States,
inventor


55 million cwt


stocks


stocks were
y, but 6 pe


were off


percent and


astern


and 5


remained well
eight Central


percent below


and Minne
estimated


rce


nt more


sota


13 percent from a


3 percent,


ab


1978.


States


eld by
the r


e


had 24.7


percent higher
ove the levels


States


1978.
s total


totaled


North
was 14


at 102 million cwt,
than on February 1.


year


respectively,


growers,
cord


than
on c


ompar-


27.6 million


Dakota
perce


reduced
t lower


percent be-


1978.


Idaho


ago and Oregon and
from last February


cwt (e
period


potato
carded


Disappearance of


excluding


S


Nevada)


st season
that were


without grading,


percent


This total


crop,
ess th


appearance


dumped during grading


lost due to


to February 1, 1980,
n the 153 million cwt


to date


fed to


shrinkage


includes


talked


143 million


for the comparable
0.7 million cwt of


vestock on farms wh


sture


oss).


ere grown


The quantity of


totaled
February


million cw
1978.


potatoes proc
t, 8 percent


essed to February


less than a


1980


year ago and


in the


seven major States


12 percent below


Fall Potatoes:


Production and Stocks


Mil. cwt

300


250 -

200 -

150 -


A I


_


- ro)


'98)1UM f:








NOTE:


Stocks are defined as the quantity remaining in storage for all purposes


and uses,
the date o


including shrinkage and waste and other losses that occur after
f each report. Sales of fall potatoes for all purposes gener-


ally account for about 90 percent of


the total


fall production.


Shrink-


and loss


and home use


account for


remaining


10 percent.


TABLE


APRIL


FALL POTATOES


AND MAY


: PRODUCTION,


TOTAL


STOCKS


DECEMBER 1
, CROPS OF


, JANUARY 1, FEBRUARY 1, MARCH
1969-79 IN THE FALL STATES


: TOTAL STOCKS
: FOLLOWING YEAR
YEAR PRODUCTION DEC 1
JAN 1 FEB 1 MAR 1 APR 1 MAY 1
1,000 CWT

1969 252,561 162,800 138,140 111,510 87,620
1970 : 267,827 175,145 150,030 122,230 96,780
1971 : 266,707 176,390 151,435 124,375 98,485
1972 : 249,320 158,565 134,420 107,310 83,380 58,250
1973 254,379 157,837 133,665 106,615 81,165 55,870
1974 289,342 187,935 163,095 133,425 104,116 75,905
1975 278,391 185,965 159,140 131,685 104,050 71,640
1976 307,427 201,980 174,775 143,925 114,140 81,875
1977 307,064 206,690 178,205 149,690 120,970 89,205
1978 323,498 223,290 196,080 164,666 133,247 99,808 65,116
1979 301,628 209,180 182,755 154,005

1/ BEGINNING WITH 1971, LATE SUMIMER PRODUCTION FOR N Y LI, WIS AND WASH HAS BEEN CLASSIFIED AS FALL.


TABLE 2. POTATOES USED FOR PROCESSING 1/, SEVEN STATES, 1978 AND 1979 CROP 2/


: STORAGE TO TO TO TO TO TO : ENTIRE
STATE SEASON DEC 1 JAN 1 FEB 1 MAR 1 APR 1 MAY 1 :SEASON
1.000 CWT


IDAHO AND MALHEUR: 1978-79
CO.. OREG : 1979-80


15,720
14.040


21,215
18.430


26,055
23.620


31.130


37,095


43,305


61,290


MAINE 3/


WASH AND OTHER
AREAS, OREG

OTHER STATES 4/


TOTAL


: 1978-79
1979-80


: 1978-79
: 1979-80

: 1978-79
: 1979-80


: 1978-79
: 1979-80


2,010

15,075
13.510


35,700
32.185


3,670
3.440


18,380
16.995


3,520
3,365

45,915
41.44 5


22,230
20,725

4,420
4,215

56,375
52.000


4,390


26.035


5,290


66,845


5,355


30.125


6,255


78,830


6,205


34.770


7,155


91,435


8.140


44,295


10,540


124.265


TOTAL QUANTITY RECEIVED AND USED FOR PROCESSING REGARDLESS


UCED.
1978-


OF THE


DOES NOT INCLUDE QUANTITIES USED FOR POTATO CHIPS IN MAINE,
79 REVISED.


STATE IN WHICH THE POTATOES WERE
MICH OR MINN.


INCLUDES MAINE GROWN POTATOES ONLY.
MICH, MINN AND N DAK.


1/
PROD
2/
3/
I/


" i/i


t







TABLE 3.


POTATOES:


PROCESSORS


PRODUCTION AND TOTAL STOCKS OF FALL POTATOES HELD BY GROWERS,


AND LOCAL DEALERS ON FEBRUARY 1


1979 AND FEBRUARY 1


: CROP OF 1978 CROP OF 1979
STATE TOTAL STOCKS :FEB 1 STOCKS : : TOTAL STOCKSFEB 1 STOCKS
: PRODUCTION TAFEB 1, STO1979 :AS % OF PRODUCTION :FEB 1 1980 :AS % OF
:PRODUCTION : : :PRODUCTION
1,000 CWT PERCENT 1,000 CWT PERCENT

CALIF 6,055 2,500 41 6,364 2,800 44
COLO : 11,275 5,750 51 11,455 5,500 48
CONN :/ 1/ / 1/
IDAHO : 100,3TO 63,0T0 63 88,2U0 55,0U0 62
IND : 936 95 10 1,071 165 15
MAINE 25,960 14,600 56 28,750 19,200 67
MASS 810 235 29 748 250 33
MICH : 8,500 4,000 47 8,000 3,300 41
MINN 14,910 9,400 63 12,920 8,100 63
MONT 2,088 1,830 88 1,800 1,600 89
NEBR 1,800 950 53 1,482 800 54
N Y LI 6,175 1,200 19 6,431 1,500 23
UPSTATE 6,500 1,800 28 6,463 1,400 22
N DAK 22,400 12,200 54 18,240 8,800 48
OHIO 2,215 500 23 2,400 630 26
OREG 28,488 12,500 44 25,310 12,400 49
PA 6,250 2,950 47 6,000 2,250 38
RI 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/
S DAK 1,190 4To0 34 1,2U3 5WO 45
UTAH 1,127 550 49 1,300 720 55
VT 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/
WASH 50,685 24,000 47 48,925 23,300 48
WIS : 17,325 5,700 33 17,010 5,300 31
WYO 1,462 390 27 1,144 340 30

OTHER STATES 1,597 106 7 1,462 110 8

23 STATE TOTAL 2/ 318,058 164,666 52 296,678 154,005 52
*


f I STOCKS INCLUDED IN OTHER STATES. 2/ EXCLUDING NEV FOR
PRODUCTION 5,440,000 CWT AND 1979 PROil'CTION 4,950,000 CWT.


H CIHW NO STO CKS E ST I MATE S


ARE MADE


To assist users in
"Root Mean Square Error"


evaluating the reliability of the February


a statistical


measure


based on past perform


, 1980 potato stocks estimates,
mance, has been calculated. Thi


computed by expressing the deviations between the February 1 preliminary estimate and the final
as a percent of the final estimate and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1960


ty-year period.
Probability state
to the final end


ferent from those


estimate
1-79 twen-


The square root of this average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error."


Iments
of se


can be made concerning expected errors


estimate,


assuming that factors affecting thi
years' preliminary estimates.


ason


influencing recent


in the current preliminary estimate relative


year


's estimate are not dif-


The "Root Mean Square Error" for the February


means


that chances are


, 1980 potato stocks estimate


is 2.9 percent.


out of 3 that the current estimate of 154 million hundredweight will not be


above or below the final estimate by more than


Chances are 9 out of


10 (90 percent confidence


.9 percent or approximately 4.47 million hundredweight.


that the difference will not


exceed 5.0 percent or


approximately 7.70 million hundredweight.


During the past 10 years,
aged 3.5 million hundredweight.
weight. The preliminary Februa
years.


the difference between the February


preliminary and fina


The largest deviation was 6.3 and the smallest was


mry


1 estimate was below the final


estimate


aver-


.4 million hundred-


estimate each year during the past


NEV




UNIEaSITY op PL OWIIA
11 IIIIIIIIIIIIIII111lIIIl
3 1202 088S2 OHSM


POTATO STOCKS QUALITY SURVEY
MINNESOTA AND NORTH DAKOTA (RED RIVER VALLEY)


pota to


Economic
Sample
issued


stocks quality information


, Statistics,
gs of potatoes


each month during the


for potatoes


Growers Assoc


nation


t the
, samp


contained


and Cooperatives Service
selected on a random bas


1979-80


storage


time of remove


were


ecte


from
d on


in the


were


season will
storage.
ly for proc


in this


report


Red River Vall


placed in
show the


is based on a


survey


conducted by the


ey of North Dakota and Minnesota


storage at harvest time


cumulative


At the request of the
essing potatoes.


. Reports


average grade and weight
Red River Valley Potato


of white


after


storage than were


storage of white
from storage to


variety


date.


eties


sam
ies
This


p


recovered before


recover


grading No.
compares w


red by the


February 1
comparable


I (including B's


i th an


1980 were
date a yea


was 7


point decline


of lower quality at harv


r earlier.


percentage


during the


points


est and


The decline whi


for samples


same period a yea


removed


r earlier


The
February


percent of white
1 is well above


4 percent,


compared wi th


eties


a year ago


graded as
. Total


culls at harvest and after


weight


5 percent during the


loss while


same period


storage


in storage for


in sample


recovered by


recovered to date


season.


This report does


were


not i


recovered by February


include information for Russet
1. 1980.


pota toes


as an insufficient number of


samp


cooperation of


the many potato


growers


and storage operators


who assisted on thi


project i


greatly


apprec


iated


POTATO STOCKS QUALITY


SURVEY


RED RIVER VALLEY


1979-80


AVERAGE GRADE OF POTATOES


NO. 1 CULLS : NO. 1
: INCLUDING B'S : : B'S 1/ : WEIGHT
CROP AT :AFTER : AT :AFTER: AT AFTER: AT AFTER FTERLOSS
: HARVEST STORAGE HARVEST STORAGE HARVEST STORAGE HARVEST : STORAGE.
PERCENT

SAMPLES RECOVERED BEFORE FEBRUARY 1, 1980 2/

WHITE 80 73 9 10 11 17 4 4 4
RUSSET 3/

SAMPLES RECOVERED BEFORE FEBRUARY 1, 1979 2/

WHITE 89 81 7 8 4 11 6 7 5
RUSSET 3/

ALL SAMPLES 1978-79 STORAGE SEASON-FINAL 2/

WHITE 88 76 6 10 6 14 6 6 6
RUSSET 81 70 11 16 8 14 2 5 4


1/ NO. 1
THE AREA:


B'S ARE POTATOES THATNEE
'
TilET


RED AND WHITE VARIETIES -


DIAMETER OR LESS THAN 4 OUNCES.


LJ-


MATCHED SAMPLES: 0


1 GRADE BUT DO NOT MEET THE MINIMUM


- 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER


RUSSET VARIETIES


- UNDER


STANDARDS FOR
2 INCHES IN


UALTTY AT HARVFST COMPARFD WTTM IAI TTY AFTFR TTAnRAAF


; ;